Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

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FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

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For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    If owning both KDB and Salah, which is the best one to captain based on ownership?

    1. zman575
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      who is th best wolves defender to own over the next few? is saiss actually nailed

      1. The Polymath
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        He's getting some flak so may be dropped for the Donk.

        1. zman575
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          which wolves def would you recommend

          1. The Polymath
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Semedo is popular

            1. zman575
              • 3 Years
              3 years, 5 months ago

              thanks bro probably worth the extra 0;4 for now

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      KDB

    3. zman575
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      kdb for sure. salah isnt great away and villa look much improved defensively. im trying to decide between kdb and jimenez

  2. Andrew Garfield
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Difficult in decision to put KDB, Salah or Jimmy as Captain ...
    Any idea please

  3. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah, KDB or Ings as captain? Ings is 8/11 and Salah is 3/4 to score anytime.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Ings

  4. Messi man
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hi guys.

    Transfer in Sterling or Vardy??

    Fernandes - sterling or
    Wilson & Fernandes - Vardy & Barnes -4??

  5. Muchentuchel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    So many good players in my team but I don't trust anyone to be captain.
    - Salah: Villa's defence is greatly improved and he often looks bad against big, fast guys like Mings. He and Jota are not well matched yet.
    - KDB could play a more defensive role again.
    - Jimenez does not score more than 1 per game.
    - Vardy will have problems with a strong West Ham backline.
    - Rodriguez or DCL: naaah

    1. El Magico5
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Who do you think will score the most points? Its that simple

      I'm on KDB.

      1. Muchentuchel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Maybe, if he's 100% nailed on pens.

      2. Max City
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Didn't he played on the midweek?

        1. Muchentuchel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          yea think he played about 60mins

  6. Oggle22
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Mccarthy
    TAA KWP Taylor
    Salah KDB Bruno Rodriguez Ceballos
    Jiminez Mitrovic

    Nyland Mitchell Saliba Davies

    -4 Ceballos to podence or neto
    -8 Bruno to Sterling and above?

  7. Max City
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed:

    Can't decide to play which 2:

    A) Lamptey (eve)
    B) Wood (new)
    C) Dunne (new)
    D) Foden (lee)

    1. SharkyT
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B and D

      1. Max City
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        thanks

  8. SharkyT
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    On wildcard.

    Final decision:

    A) Fernandez + Brewster
    B) Kane + 4.5m Mid

    1. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Kane has done so many disappointments to me in the past ..lol

  9. waldo666
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Vinagre to Semedo?

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

      1. waldo666
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers mate, you rate him best of the Wolves options?

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          As an attacking defender, especially in this game.

          1. zman575
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            thanks dude super helpful. captain kdb or jimi?

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

  10. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone else who was on kdb captain, but veering towards Salah coz no mane? Really tempted by Salah now

    1. Muchentuchel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mané missing out won't make us stronger...

      1. The Red Devil
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        All the attack will go through him

        1. Muchentuchel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          that's my point. I think this will be easier to defend.

    2. Bollard
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Jota

  11. Arlo2103
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Torres for moura or Wilson for Watkins as ft?

  12. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play Bavies or Soucek?

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If Reguilon starts today it might be time to move on Davies

  13. Trumpeters FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hey Guys - What do you think between Barnes and Zaha?

    I’ve got James in defence, so kind of hoping zaha won’t score against him this week.... but fear he might...

    Thanks!

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Over next 5 gameweeks, I prefer Zaha

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I just can't buy into Zaha for some reason, would be Branes for me.

    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      James in defence, Zaha won't score??
      The game is already over and James didn't even play.. neither did Zaha score

    4. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Prefer Barnes

  14. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    How many points in next 5 do you see for these two?
    A) Ings : Chelsea(A), Everton (H),AVL(A), Newcastle (H), Wolves (A)

    B) Kane : West Ham(H), Burnley (A), Brighton (H),West Brom(A),Man City (H)

    Also, Kane looks the standout captaincy option in GW 5&8 and a decent shout for 6 and 7

    GW10 will be an easy switch from Kane to Vardy as Vardy has Fulham GW10 and then more good fixtures.

    Is it worth using an FT on Ings to Kane especially given the captaincy aspect?