Pro Pundits
14 December 2020 2522 comments
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Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

  1. E25
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on these options for a hit...
    A) Jota, Vardy, Robertson -> KDB, Wilson, Dias
    B) Jota, Vardy, Bissouma -> KDB, Brewster, Soucek

    McCarthy
    James Robertson Konsa
    Salah Bruno Grealish Jota
    DCL Vardy Bamford

    Forster Taylor Bissouma Douglas
    2FT 0.7ITB

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      do you need the third transfer to fund kdb? if not just do the two

    2. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      neither

      I would just do Jota and Vardy to KDB &wilson (or someone else same price range as wilson fixtures getting bad)

  2. trafalgarlaw
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    GTG ? 1FT ITB

    McCarthy
    Konsa Cancelo Ayling
    Salah Bruno KDB Son
    DCL Wilson Bamford

    Nyland Justin Bissouma Mitchell

    Bruno or KDB to captain ?

    1. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      KDB

  3. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? Saving FT....0 itb

    McCarthy
    Chilwell Cancelo Konsa Lamptey
    Salah KDB Bruno Grealish
    Werner Bamford

    Peacock-Farrell Soucek Taylor Davis

    1. trafalgarlaw
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      nice team

  4. Plant Based FPLer
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I voted De Bruyne for best captain but Vardy 2.5%?? Did not expect that. 25% maybe.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Probably because everyone has got rid 😀

      1. Plant Based FPLer
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Everton, you and the rest WILL BE CRUSHED!

        Actually, about 10% to 15% would've been... more accurate. I was thinking de Bruyne would be 70%, then Fernandes deserved some votes but I guess I wasn't thinking about him.

  5. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    What do you think about my team?

    Mendy
    Chilwell, Cancelo, Targett
    Salah, KDB, Bruno, Grealish
    DCL, Bamford, Giroud

    Soucek, Coufal, Justin

    Big question: KDB or Bruno for the armband?

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I went with KDB

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I’d be afraid to leave Soucek and Coufal on the bench

  6. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Madness to captain Bruno ahead of KDB?

    1. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      nope. stats better for bruno.

    2. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, complete madness to captain the guy with more FPL points than Salah and zero blanks away since he joined the PL against the PL team with 1 point in 12 games

      My pick is a clear KDB but Fernandes will probably haul too

    4. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Of course NOT

    5. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      why madness? Madness would be Walker(c).

    6. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Safer, higher EO for Bruno....but I wonder who in the top 10K will go with if they own both

  7. Bobby's Teeth
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Son to Bruno for the next 2. Yay or Nay?

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      No

      1. Bobby's Teeth
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Was thinking of getting United coverage for the next 2, esp considering Son's fixtures. Thoughts?

    2. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      yay

    3. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Depends on the value you will lose because you will most definitely want him back within 2 gws.

      1. Bobby's Teeth
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Hardly any value tied up in him for me

        1. sunzip14
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          In that case, getting Bruno is a sensible move.

  8. Dthinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    I’m thinking about benching Watkins and playing 4-5-1. Thoughts?

    Leno
    Robbo Zouma Fofana Targett
    KDB Bruno Son Grealish Bowen
    DCL

    Button Watkins Brewster Neco

    1. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      nope
      watkins over fofana/targett

    2. Scratch
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      You're backing a few dodgy defenses ahead of a striker.

      1. Dthinger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Watkins is averaging about 1 pt per week since I bought him. But I see your point. Should I bench targett or Fofana?

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          You back Watkins in v Burnley

    3. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, I think most would go Watkins over Fofana

  9. Ando
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on the following transfers?

    Podence and Cancelo âž¡ Grealish and a defender 4.9m or under for -4

    or

    Play Cancelo and Lamptey (with Justin and Podence on the bench as cover) and save my FT.

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Woulnt look to sell Cancelo

    2. Scratch
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'd hold, decent bench. I sold Cancelo when it looked likely he'd be rested for Fulham after playing CL, kicking myself.

  10. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Martinez
    Dias Coufal Dallas
    KDB (c) Bruno Grealish Salah Soucek
    Vardy DCL
    - Justin Brewster 4.0

    1. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Excellent team!

  11. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    All set?

    Torres let's have it son!!!

    Martinez
    Robbo Chilwell Coufal
    Son Salah(v) Grealish Torres(c) Mahrez
    Kane DCL

    Martin Bednarek Kilman Brewster

    1. Party time
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Captain Salah in my opinion

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Had it on him until yesterday but I fancy a big Torres breakout performance today.

          Salah is an amazing differential as it is but he hasn't been lighting it up and it is a stingy Spurs up next.

      • Flair
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Torres (C), wow! and why?

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Boom!!! It's 2020!

          Game has got a bit boring for me lately with all the casual success, and VAR, no fans in real life until last week etc etc

          Fancy a haul for him! I have no KDB as you can see.

      • Goodricke
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I have Salah and am currently thinking of changing to KDB (Sterling is also a possibility) or Bruno for a -4.

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          A hit to remove Salah for 3 City none of which I can be sure will definitely play.

          Could backfire terribly. Like my captain I suppose.

          I was tempted to do Salah to KDB but for a hit and when I would want him right back? Nah!

          1. Goodricke
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            City are odds on for the win (2-17). West Brom are 30-1 against!

            KDB has played the last 6 in a row, he's as nailed on as a city player can be. Wonder if Kun makes an appearnace.

            Sheffield are only 7-1 against!

      • Alisson WondHaaland
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Interesting captain choice, I do hope it works out

      • fzonhd
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Zaha or Grealish?

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          What about them?

      • sunzip14
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Very brave captain choice.

    2. Play Coufal or Lamptey?

      1. Goodricke
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Coufal for the cleanie, Lamptey for the assist, which is more likely?

        1. Even Coufal has serious attacking threat though

          1. Rosey Palmer
            • 12 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Remember he's defending on the same side Eze and Zaha will be attacking....

      2. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Palace will surely score imo

        1. Goodricke
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Zaha is due a return.

      3. sunzip14
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Lamptey

      4. Gabbiadini
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Coufal.

    3. davies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A) DCL + Dunne > Adams + James (-4)

      B) Kilman > Taylor

      1. West End Exile
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B

    4. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Is Bamford still the best fwd under 6.5?

      1. Goodricke
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Only when playing away. He's at home this weekend - I'm a Leeds fan.

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Thnx mate, good time to be a Leeds fan I reckon, you are breath of fresh air to the league

      2. Stupendous
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Adams is but those fixtures turn fast

      3. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yrs

    5. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Thoughts on Bowen + Vardy to Bruno + Welbeck/ Adams? (2FT)

      1. Bowen and Vardy can both do well...
        I would do it if you would captain Bruno

        1. Alisson WondHaaland
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          See this is the thing, virtually my whole team 'can do well' and Im a bit lost as to how I could use my FTs

          1. sminkypinky
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Upgrade bench if needed

            1. Alisson WondHaaland
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Bench is BPF, Bissouma Taylor Ferguson. Not sure if I want to put any more money into the bench

              1. sminkypinky
                • 14 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                Seems fine.

      2. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        No

    6. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Shame Dias has zero attacking threat. Could be in for a massive few weeks if he was more aggressive in offensive corners.

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He was close to scoring a few I thought

      2. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He had actually came close to scoring, unfortunately couldnt convert

        1. sminkypinky
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Brought him in none the less. Hope he proves me wrong.

      3. Rosey Palmer
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He occasionally scores from set plays

      4. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        He should score very soon. Scored lots for Benfica and Portugal.

    7. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      2FT but not much to be done without coming off of Vardy. G2G or further change needed? Options B & C would only be for a few weeks until I use Vardy cash for Grealish/Zaha, but would prevent me losing any value on him should he drop.

      Is my bench order right?

      Martinez
      Robbo Zouma Lamptey
      Bruno(c) KDB Son Soucek
      Vardy DCL Adams
      (Forster Targett Barkley Kilman)

      A) G2G
      B) Barkley to Raphina, bench Soucek
      C) Barkley to Lookman, bench Soucek
      D) Other

      1. GoonSquad
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        What about Barkley and Kilman to Saka/Jones and Stones

        Bank some savings for Vardy out.

    8. Roy Rovers
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Play two from these (Zouma the 3rd)....

      A - Balbuena (CRY)
      B - Vestergaard (ars)
      C - Dallas (NEW)

      1. Goodricke
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Dallas
        Balbuena

      2. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        ac

        1. GoonSquad
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          +1

    9. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Also I’m a bit baffled projection tool tells to bench Zouma before Lamptey. I’m not but pondering.

      1. Rosey Palmer
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I think the projection tool is missing a few factors this week....squad and bench is a headache

    10. klopp2567
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Evening chaps,

      Got 1 FT and really dont feel like rolling them is a good move but also dont know what to do?

      Johnstone
      James Chilwell Dallas
      Salah Bruno Son Grealish Lookman
      Kane Wilson

      Button KWP Mitchell Brewster

      0.0ITB

      The fact that I have absolutely nothing ITB doesnt help either.Please help folks.

      1. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        7.25 am here. Just getting out of bed.

        Imo you’re good to go. Feel City wont be such a success and pool may well open up for Spurs. Save and risk it.

      2. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Don't see anything obvious. Hold for me.

    11. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Simply put, their is no right answer to Kevin and Bruno. One of those 50-50 decisions where you have to go with your gut feeling.

      1. sunzip14
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Agree. Risk taker vs risk averse!

      2. Alisson WondHaaland
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        And Mo will probably outscore both. Seems like one of those weeks

        1. sminkypinky
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Like Kane and Son too. Got rid of both weeks ago thinking this was the way forward. It wasn’t.

        2. Pieterke30
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Mo will blank if he doesnt get a pen

      3. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I was all on KDB untill tonight when I checked out the stats. Bruno playing on thursday is one more reason to try it with him. As for taking a risk, which is more riskier? Bruno's got 40% ownership and KDB 26%. Maybe differential wise it would be better to captain KDB?

      4. Rosey Palmer
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Agreed....for me it comes down to my ML ownership and tendencies. I'm the only one with KDB...everyone has Penandes. So risky play is cap KDB for a big boost...or play safe and cap Bruno because my KDB points alone will be a differential.

    12. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Is a backline of Chilwell, Robbo and Dias too expensive?

      Potentially thinking of downgrading and rotating 2 cheaper defenders

      1. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yupp

      2. Over Midwicket
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yes.

      3. Rosey Palmer
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yes...2 of those 3 would be plenty I think

      4. Flowsick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Currently on this exact back 3 until City have good fixtures. Potentially could downgrade Chilwell to James or get rid of Dias once the fixtures turn.

    13. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Best option for next few gameweeks. Have 2FTs. So either I burn FT or take out Son and improve Mitchell.

      A: Lamptey + Son...with Lewis and Mitchel sub
      B: Dias + Grealish..with Lamptey and Lewis sub

    14. Pieterke30
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Who to bench?

      A. Soucek (CRY)
      B. Lamptey (ful)

      1. Pukki Party
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B

      2. Party time
          5 years, 1 month ago

          B

      3. Pukki Party
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Thoughts here? 2ft 1.2itb

        Martinez
        Robbo Cancelo Taylor
        Fernandes Son Ziyech* Jota*
        Vardy DCL Watkins

        4.0 Soucek Lewis Ayling

        A) Jota, Vardy to KDB, Bamford
        B) Jota, Ziyech to Grealish, Mount
        C) Ziyech to Mahrez

        1. Pieterke30
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Jota and Ziyech to KDB and whoever you can get for the money you have

          1. Pukki Party
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Can't afford

        2. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          A or B. Vardy looking good and kdb/city not consistent.

        3. sminkypinky
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Easy a for me

        4. GoonSquad
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Jota Ziyech to KdB Jones

          1. Party time
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Or this

          2. Party time
              5 years, 1 month ago

              I want to help but I don’t know as well. One thing I know for sure is that I wouldn’t ditch Vardy & wouldn’t bring in Mahrez( rotation issue but could haul).

              So maybe B even though one of them got no balls

              1. Pukki Party
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                Cheers. Don't really like the mid pticed midfielder options atm, Grealish is good long term, maybe just Jota to Grealish and save ft?

          3. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Are City or United more eager to trash their opponents this gw what do you think?

            1. Goodricke
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Bookies have West brom at 30-1 for a win, Sheff are 7-1.

              1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                Checked that out. But City can play this for the bookies and win 2-0 just like vs Fulham.

                1. Goodricke
                  • 10 Years
                  5 years, 1 month ago

                  It all depends when (or if?) West Brom's resolve breaks! If they can go to half time without conceding it would be a different game than if City score in the first 5 minutes. If the latter, they could get 5!

          4. BS03
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Who to bench from this front 8?
            kdb - bruno - salah - zaha - grealish
            adams - dcl - bamford

            1. GoonSquad
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Adams

            2. Rosey Palmer
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Adams this GW

            3. Gabbiadini
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              why do you have all 8 out of curiosity?
              Zaha or one of the strikers, flip a coin.

            4. West End Exile
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Adams

          5. Man Chest Hair United
            • 11 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Son to Rashford for free.

            Will reverse the transfer in game week 16

            1. Gobigorgohome
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              ohh same thinking

            2. Gabbiadini
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              How much do you lose $ doing that?
              I'd lose 0.3 doing that.

              1. Man Chest Hair United
                • 11 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                Nothing lost in value

            3. GoonSquad
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              I wouldn't. Son seems fixture proof right now and Pool have no CBs. Rashford 1 goal in 7.

              1. Gabbiadini
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                I tend to agree.
                If Liverpool is to score first then we'll likely see Tottenham chase the game, the other way around and Jose low blocks.

            4. tokara
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Crazy move

          6. S3
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Who are you guys (C)?....my head tells KDB but my heart says Bruno

            1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              No idea

            2. Gobigorgohome
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              dont know yet

            3. Goodricke
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Vardy has 6 goals and 4 assists against Everton. Better returns (against this week's opposition) than Salah, Bruno and KDB. Still scared to captain him!

            4. Gabbiadini
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Tough.
              Because I think the City scoreline will be greater than United's but Bruno has more influence on what his team does.

            5. sunzip14
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Opposite for me. I want to captain KDB but security of start points toward Bruno.

            6. GoonSquad
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              On Bruno simply for a Thursday captain and the heartbreak a KdB 3 pointer on Tuesday causes for 2 days.....flipside is KdB getting brace and assist with clean sheet for 19 points and staring at it for 2 days with armband on Bruno.

          7. Gobigorgohome
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Rashford anyone?

            1. Gabbiadini
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Not for me.
              I'm quite happy with Salah | KDB | Fernandes | Son | Grealish.

            2. Man Chest Hair United
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              I will if you do! Big upside vs sheff U and all his points have come away from home