Pro Pundits
27 April 2021 531 comments
Sam FPLFamily Sam FPLFamily
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Even at this stage of the season, the question of which premium assets to trust holds true.

I played my Wildcard in Blank Gameweek 33 and a large part of my thinking and planning was spent on deciding which of the more expensive options to own, and which to ditch.

The fact that Spurs and Manchester City did not play a league fixture this weekend just past made that decision easier as I saw their blank as an opportunity.

I sold Son Heung-min (£9.5m) on the basis that I wasn’t sure which Spurs midfielder would be the right one under Ryan Mason’s managerial spell – especially given Gareth Bale‘s (£9.1m) importance in the Southampton game in Gameweek 32.

Hope that Kane could return in Gameweek 34 as Bale thrives under new manager 1

Selling Son, who was due a price drop, would enable me to make an informed decision on the Bale/Son debate ahead of their match against Sheffield United in Gameweek 34 as well as allowing me to watch them both play in the EFL Cup final.

As part of my Wildcard, I replaced Son with Mohamed Salah (£12.6m). I also held Bruno Fernandes (£11.5m) which, if I’m honest, was more through fear than anything else.

Heading into Gameweek 34 I now have some big decisions to make:

  • Do I sell Salah to get Son/Bale?
  • Do I sell Fernandes to Son/Bale?
  • Should I hold Salah and Fernandes and not bring in a Spurs midfielder?
  • Should I sell Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.6m) and Diogo Jota (£7.1m) for Son/Bale and a 5.1m or under defender?

After Salah’s goal in Gameweek 33 he has now returned in three of his last four Premier League matches and seems to be finding form at the perfect moment for the Liverpool fixture swing. Therefore selling Salah is no longer an option.

Selling Fernandes is not something that I ever thought I would do. After the first 16 Gameweeks of the season he was averaging a double-digit haul every other game and was probably the most assured member of my FPL squad. Fast-forward to Gameweek 33 and Fernandes has failed to return in his last three Premier League matches. Indeed he has only registered one goal and one assist since Gameweek 26.

For his price tag, FPL managers would rightly expect Fernandes to be performing better than he has.

However, Fernandes’ ownership is a big concern for those, like myself, who are considering parting company with the Portuguese international. Currently Fernandes is in 56.3% of FPL teams, making him the most owned player in the game.

 1

Fernandes is an easy sell based on his form and his current points return per million spent. However, his potential for points is extreme given he is Manchester United’s penalty taker and has some set-piece responsibility and when he scores he nearly always receives bonus points on top. It is this coupled with the ownership that make FPL Managers wary of losing United’s midfield magician.

Couple this with Son’s recent performances and Bale’s minutes and he becomes an FPL asset that I often feel I am holding through fear rather than through desire to own. Son has returned just two goals and one assist in the last eight Gameweeks and his performance in the EFL Cup final was incredibly disappointing. Likewise, Bale who put on a fantastic performance in Gameweek 32, had not returned in the five matches previous and started the EFL Cup final on the bench, thus not exactly inspiring confidence.

Fernandes is yet to score against Gameweek 34 opposition Liverpool in the Premier League, although he did net an outstanding free kick for the Red Devils in the FA Cup.

While on paper selling Fernandes feels like the right thing to do especially considering the gulf in fixtures for Manchester United and Spurs in the next Gameweek, I’m not sure it’s something that I am brave enough to do. Now’s the time for me to decide whether I play the rest of this season with a shield or sword mentality. Keeping Fernandes is a shield, selling him is very much a sword.

Sam FPLFamily Fantasy Football Scout's General Manager. Half of the FPLFamily. Pundit on the FPL Pod, Fantasy Show and Sky Sports News. Follow them on Twitter

531 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Play one:

    A: Jota (have Salah+TAA)
    B: Dallas
    C: Holding

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Dallas

    2. Steiger
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      B

  2. zman575
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    what should i do with pereira? have 2 FTs

    move to castagne.
    use both free transfers to get wood/bamford.
    hold

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Move to Castagne

  3. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Play 2:

    A) Shaw
    B) TAA
    C) Holding
    D) Coady

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      B and C

      1. The Train Driver
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Bench the defender that has created most chances (50) of which 11 the last 2 game weeks?

  4. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    AWB to Dallas? Yes or No

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      leeds only have one nice home fixture left, gw38

    2. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      No point

  5. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Martinez
    Digne Dunk Dallas
    Salah Gundo Son Lingrad
    Nacho Vardy© Watkins
    (Jota - Konsa - Cresswell)
    What to do Save FH or What ?

    1. JJeyy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Team looks good this week no need for fh. I’d captain Son though

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Thxxxx

      2. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        I mean FT Sorry still Good ?

        1. JJeyy
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Yup with potential double 2ft seems good

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Cheers

  6. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Is Mendy going to play this weekend or do Forster to a 4.5 keeper to be safe? If so, who’s a good 4.5?

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Mendy is clearly the number 1 keeper - and the run-in in the league is super important for CL qualifying. So I expect him to start them all. Maybe there's one random Kepa game but who knows how to guess that.

  7. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Play Trossard or Shaw? Both seem not great this week, so may go with the EO coverage of Shaw

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Play Trossard

    2. Vlekz
        4 years, 9 months ago

        United always try to go for 0-0 in big games. Shaw could.get points

      • Balls of Steel
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Shaw

    3. yanky
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      those with Mendy Forster as your keepers, are you planning on sticking until end of season with them?

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        At this stage yes, but I had alway had a thought of moving to Meslier or Fabianski potentially if I had transfers to use - so that's still an option too. The one random Kepa game doesn't really change much for me.

      2. Balls of Steel
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Sticking for now.

      3. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        this is not the week to change
        will look at Meslier from next week especially if I roll a transfer

    4. Vlekz
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Any of Everton villa Southampton palace players worth getting for their double given that they have nothing to play for from now till then end of the season?

        1. FPL Theorist
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          But Everton still have a decent shot at the Europa Conference League!

          (Sarcasm aside, no.)

        2. Balls of Steel
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Everton lads maybe.

        3. RogDog_jimmy
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          already got J-Rod last gw over Greenwood/Maddison.
          all much of a muchness after 1 week.

      • LloristheHounds
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Who to start?

        A) jota
        B) holding
        C) raphina (if fit)
        ??

        1. DannyDrinkVodka
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          it's a tough one......there are a lot of Pool fans calling for Jota to start over Firmino........I'm confused as well

      • Vlekz
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Bench 2
          A)TAA
          B)robertson
          C)Shaw
          D)Greenwood
          E)jota

          1. Balls of Steel
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            B, C

        • FCSB
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Mendy
          TAA Shaw Rudiger
          Salah Jota Fernandes Lingard Greenwood
          Kane Iheanacho

          Forster Vydra Holding Kilman

          2.6 itb, 2FT

          1. Jota >> Son + save 1FT
          2. Jota >> Son + use the other FT, Mendy (could be rested), or something else

          Thanks

        • Boomerang V
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          I can upgrade Vardy to Kane but, with Leicester next fixtures (sou, NEW) and also a potential DGW, it feels wrong doesn’t it?

        • FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Those with just Kane, are you looking to bring in Son or Bale this week and if so, who for?
          would be Bruno or Vardy for me but just brought the later in last week...

        • Balls of Steel
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Guys, any clear moves here, thinking of saving FT this week?

          Mendy
          Dias Rudiger Holding
          Salah Bruno Son(V) Lingard Jota
          Kane(C) Nacho

          Forster Shaw Vydra Philips

          1FT, 2.4ITB

          Cheers

          1. House Frey Wedding Planner
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Save

            1. Balls of Steel
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              Thanks

        • Ragabolly
          • 16 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Risers: Salah (12.7) Dallas (5.3)

          Fallers: Adams (5.7) Gündogan (5.7) Lonwijk (3.9)

          1. House Frey Wedding Planner
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Nice one

          2. ZimZalabim
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Cheers RB

        • House Frey Wedding Planner
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Martinez
          Dias Rudiger Castagne
          Mount Salah Son Lingard
          Kane (c) Vardy Nacho

          Shaw, Jota, Phillips

          1FT, 0.7itb

          Happy to roll transfer over.......is my team and bench order good to go?

          Cheers

        • FPL Bond @ Twitter
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          All those who did Kane to Vardy to last week.
          Are you guys doing Vardy to Kane this week?

          1. FourLokoLeipzig
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Only if we get confirmation that Vardy doesn’t get a DGW after all

          2. kringe
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            It was my plan but now doubting.
            Kane has Shef U but Vardy may have an extra game.
            Tough choice. Will wait for pressers first

          3. Sz21
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            I wouldn't even think twice about this move if I owned Vardy and not Kane.
            Kane the standout captain pick (Iheanacho possibly second) and seemingly a must own really.

            Leicester have a cup final which may effect the games in their double too.

        • Sz21
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Does this team look GTG for this GW?

          Jota/Shaw benched doesn't seem ideal but have 6 players from that game in my squad.
          Martinez.
          TAA, Rudiger, Dallas.
          Salah, Bruno, Lingard, Greenwood.
          Iheanacho, Kane, Watkins.
          Steer, Jota, Shaw, Burn.
          1ft, 0.3m ITB, No more chips.

          1. Big_Andy_GAWA
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Am benching Jota myself. Could do 0-0 or 1-1, that game. Jota may not even start the game, IMO...

            1. Sz21
              • 14 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              One of the big four will likely miss out from the start yes.

              Could be Salah actually with his fasting schedule- the timing of the game may not suit him apparently.

              1. FPL_Crisis
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                4 years, 9 months ago

                you really think with top4 spot on the line that klopp would bench Salah for united clash.....
                feels like jota could have more of an impact off the bench

        • SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Good to go for this gw? Wc and Bb still available.

          Martinez
          Taa Azpi Dallas
          Salah son maddison lingard gundo
          Kane nacho

          Forster digne coufal Vydra

        • Philosopher's Stones
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Too risky to start both Saka and Holding this week or it could pay off?

        • kobewan
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          who are you benching playing 3-5-2, I

          Dias, TAA, Rudiger, Struijk, Veltman

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            What score do you expect for Brighton vs Leeds?
            1st 3 seems the 3 plenty would play.

            1. kobewan
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              Veltman is one of those I am planning to bench along with Struijk..

              just worried about the Dias and Rudiger(played 90mins) rotation
              Mancity will play will Weds and Sat.

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                4 years, 9 months ago

                Just get the bench order right (i.e. who wins above if a CS?)

                1. kobewan
                  • 5 Years
                  4 years, 9 months ago

                  Thanks! Cheers!

          2. 1984 TC
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Enough with the riddles already, sheesh.

            Yes, bench Veltman and Struijk, out of these lot.

        • PapaWengzz
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Best transfer here? Planning for FH35

          Martinez
          TAA Shaw Strujik
          Son Greenwood Bruno Lingard
          Kane Nacho Bamford
          Bench- Areola Jota Targett Cresswell*
          1FT, 4.0m ITB

          A) Cresswell > Castagne and start instead of Shaw
          B) Bamford > Vardy
          C) Anything else?

          Cheers

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Leicester don't have greatest fixtures in 36-38

          2. kobewan
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Isn't Cresswell close n coming back? West Ham's Fixtures could a good call to keep him

          3. RogDog_jimmy
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            I’d upgrade Struijk to Dallas probably.

            1. TOLV TUMS
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              This

        • Bale11
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          GTG or any transfer suggestions?

          Mendy

          Coufal Rudiger Dallas

          Son Lingard Bruno Salah

          Iheanacho Bamford Kane (C)

          Bench: Jota Shaw N.Phillips

          1. TOLV TUMS
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Looks very good - you're two transfers ahead of where I'd like to be. Only worry is Son (strangely)

            1. Bale11
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              I think sonny could bag a goal but I do get the worry he has not been performing well recently. If there is no DGW for Bruno I may make move on a differential or get Raph back if fit in the coming weeks.

              1. TOLV TUMS
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                4 years, 9 months ago

                I think you're right. I sold him before the BGW and will be hiding behind at least part of the couch.

        • TOLV TUMS
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          So, a question: Whatever did happen to the "spot the differential" articles? I always found em enjoyable and often useful. They were mentioned in the survey that was offered recently, and I said that I felt like I hadn't seen one in some time. I searched the site a minute ago and the most recent result I could find was for GW9.... did I miss something, does anyone have any info on this? Appreciate any comments, thanks

            1. TOLV TUMS
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              Okay, awesome - thanks for sending that! For anyone who's listening, my search for "Spot The Differential" in the search bar didn't return anything before GW9.

              1. Holmes
                • 12 Years
                4 years, 9 months ago

                Yep, because "Spot the differential" is not used in title of the article anymore.

                1. TOLV TUMS
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 years, 9 months ago

                  Oh silly search - you'd think looking beyond words in the title would be within your reach and grasp by this point 😉

                  1. rainy
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 10 Years
                    4 years, 9 months ago

                    I’ve mentioned this to someone who can do something 🙂

          1. RogDog_jimmy
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Not the best three for last week! Heh

            1. TOLV TUMS
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              I did notice that 😉

              Didn't stop me from just picking up Holding based on reading two week's before

          2. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Template reigns supreme. That is why. Arise!

        • Sumant Natkar
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          What exactly should we do after reading this ? Sell or Not ? and if the decision is so subjective, why write this article at all.

          1. TOLV TUMS
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            It's always ultimately subjective, really, and that's the fun. I thought the article did a good job of revealing biases in the face of data (in that the author is susceptible as the rest of us to the "witches curse" phenomenon)

            1. Sumant Natkar
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              I agree it is always subjective, but the article should be written in such a way that we don't have people writing it showing their bias for a specific decision, because then people will always lean towards the decision which has been taken by a pundit, they should help people decide by showing data from both points of view.

              And I have sold Fernandes at my GW 31 WC, and don't regret it at all.

              1. TOLV TUMS
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                4 years, 9 months ago

                Well said - perhaps agree to disagree, perhaps a little to much to really get into on this kind of forum. I would suggest, though, that someone who's actively invested, emotionally as all know (and especially this time of year) to write an entirely data-based article about how they're choosing (and I think that's relevant - it's not really advising you) would be an unfair ask, in the end. I personally very much enjoy the human aspects combined with the data.

                And I sold Bruno too right around the same time. And haven't regretted it either 🙂

              2. Eze Really?
                • 11 Years
                4 years, 9 months ago

                The writer is no different from the reader, apart from he is likely to have more information at hand and is more experienced. Nobody can tell the future, only make educated guesses. I can offer one remark; penalties have dropped off recently and this has a material effect on Bruno's numbers.

        • dshv
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Mendy (button)
          Taa shaw rudiger (coady, mitchell)
          Salah jota bruno son lingard
          Kane iheanacho (davis)

          1ft 0itb

          What change i can do?

          1. RogDog_jimmy
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Do Nothing. Looks good

          2. Moderately content penguin
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            Roll

        • Moderately content penguin
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          How many clean sheets for Liverpool here on in?

          1. Holmes
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            I guess 1 or 2

            1. Moderately content penguin
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              Seems plausible - it would match their season average after all and having checked just now 3 of their 9 clean sheets were against top 6 so it seems fairly fixture neutral on season form.

          2. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            All of them

            1. Moderately content penguin
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 9 months ago

              Bold call 🙂

          3. Weeb Kakashi
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 9 months ago

            3

        • dshv
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Play

          Shaw or coady

        • EL_FENOMENO
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Start one:
          a) Raph
          b) Shaw
          c) Veltman
          d) Vydra