Spot the Differential
7 May 2021 0 comments
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Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

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  1. TopCorner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Have to play one of ???

    Holding / Rudiger / Fofana

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    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Rudiger

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  2. MattysFantasyFooty
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Most nailed Everton defender outside Digne?

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    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Castagne

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      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Facepalm

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      2. MattysFantasyFooty
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Everton

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    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Pickford

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      1. MattysFantasyFooty
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Not a defender

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    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Godfrey.

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  3. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    el ghazi or Ward Prowse?

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    1. Better Call Raul
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      El Ghazi

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  4. as33
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Rasford is better captain option then Salah?

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  5. Westfield Irons ⭐️
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Shall i take a punt on Kane > Cavani ?
    Then do Vardy > Kane next week?
    Will roll transfer so have 2 in SGW36

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  6. Better Call Raul
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Who scores more this GW?

    Holding + 4
    Vardy
    Digne

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    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Vardy

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  7. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do these Struijk & Son > TAA & Zaha for -8

    Martinez
    Azpi / Phillips / Shaw / Maguire
    Bruno / Salah / Son
    Vardy / Watkins / Iheanacho

    Bench: Steer, Lingard , Raph, Struijk

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  8. Torres76
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Sell Bamford for

    1. DCL
    2. Watkins
    3. Cavani

    Thanks

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    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      2

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  9. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Play Konsa or get Holgate in? Or safe the FT?

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  10. FreddyP3
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Play Wood (ful) or ESR (wba+che)?

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  11. EffPeeEll
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    I'm still lumbered with Alonso and Chilwell- already on -4 this GW

    which of this pair would you start for most minutes guys?

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    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Chilwell

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      1. EffPeeEll
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks.

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  12. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Which is better pair for the next 2 weeks?

    A) JWP & Lingard

    B) Maddison & Harrison

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  13. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    BB activated. G2G?

    Forster
    Shaw Rudiger Maguire
    Jota Bruno Son Salah JWP
    Nacho Kane
    Leno Wood Veltman Dallas

    Question also is.. Who to cap given I'm on the hunt?

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  14. dwain100
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Vardy or Watkins. Have Nacho as well

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    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      That's my front 3.Vardy due.

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    2. not_astarte
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Why on earth would you want Vardy

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  15. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Lots of praise for Mitchell from Roy but does he play both games..

    Open Controls
    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Sounded to me like he was saying unlikely

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    2. Salan
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Dunno. Have him and may gamble and play him.

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  16. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Mendy*
    TAA*, Castagne*, Shaw**, Rudiger*
    Greenwood**, Salah*, jota*, bruno**
    DCL*, nacho*

    Forster*, lingard, veltman, vydra

    3.9m in the bank. Anything worth a hit? Will FH in 36

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  17. GOATMEAT
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Coleman worth of -4 😀

    Open Controls
    1. MIGHTY JOE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Dont think so

      Open Controls
  18. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Which move?
    (A) Son and Holding to Rashford and Nat Phillips
    (B) Kane and Holding to DCL and Robertson

    Open Controls
  19. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Expected Son and Kane top10k EO this week? I think a lot will dump them.

    Open Controls
    1. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      50%

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    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Lots will bench for one last shot of double game week pleasure .

      Open Controls
  20. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Captain Salad or Bruno!?

    Open Controls
    1. MIGHTY JOE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      That is the question

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    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      We all choose Bruno, but Salah might be the right answer...if United game will be played

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  21. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Last place in my FH defence:

    Guiata
    TAA, Maguire, xxx

    a.) Digne
    b.) Castagne
    c.) Roberton
    d.) Christienson
    e.) AWB

    ???

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    1. Babit1967
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      A

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  22. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Holgate to Digne (-4) if on BB and considering GW35 & 36?

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  23. AF90
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    On a bench boost....
    A) Son -> Rashford
    B) Mitchell-> Lindelof
    C) Mee -> Any Man Utd defender

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  24. ★Kuntheman★
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Working with this:

    Martinez
    TAA Robertson Dias
    Salah Fernandes(c) Mount Greenwood Zaha
    Cavani Iheanacho

    Mendy-Bamford-Dallas-Struijk

    Should I use bench boost for Mendy? Tons of Leeds vs TOT though for better or for worse.

    Open Controls
  25. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Who would get more pts this GW
    A- Ward -4
    B- Dunk

    Open Controls
  26. Torres76
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Best Man United 3rd man for

    1. Bruno + Greenwood + Cavani

    2. Bruno + Greenwood + McGuire

    3. Bruno + Greenwood + AWB

    Thanks

    Open Controls
    1. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Shaw

      Open Controls
      1. Torres76
        • 16 Years
        4 years, 9 months ago

        Could be rested for Telles?

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        1. Cilly Bonnolly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 9 months ago

          Telles is woeful. He’ll probably play one but I don’t think anyone’s getting all three games anyway. Not even Henderson.

          Open Controls
    2. MIGHTY JOE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      2

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    3. Shteve
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      2

      Open Controls
  27. Cilly Bonnolly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Play Saiss, Veltman or Dias?

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  28. Salan
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Rank 60k, it's time to go little bit wild. Now plan to gamble on Rashford (C), Greenwood and Shaw, without Bruno.

    Good Luck.

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    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 9 months ago

      Be careful out there.

      Open Controls
  29. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    FH in 36. 2FTs.

    Alonso+Rudiger to Maguire+Keane?

    Will give me triple United, Liverpool and 3 other DGW players.

    Thanks.

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  30. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 9 months ago

    Who would would get pts This Gw
    A- Areola
    B- Gauita -4

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