Spot the Differential

Armstrong a FPL differential for Gameweek 6 and beyond

Gameweek 6 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Southampton, West Ham United and Everton who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ADAM ARMSTRONG

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: WOL | che | LEE | BUR | wat

Adam Armstrong (£6.0m) has made a promising start at Southampton after joining for a reported £15m in August.

The 24-year-old took the Championship by storm last season and was second in the scoring charts with 28 goals in 40 appearances. He also registered 189 shots, more than any other player in the English leagues.

Now at Saints, he will need time to adapt to top-flight football, but has already scored against Everton and supplied an assist at Newcastle United. He also thought he’d won his side a penalty at Manchester City last weekend, only for it to be overturned by the referee at his pitch-side monitor. Blanks have arrived in three of his five fixtures, then, but it is worth noting the opposition that he is faced during that time, which has also included games against Manchester United and West Ham United.

Despite those tricky fixtures, his underlying numbers remain solid. Amongst all forwards, he ranks second for shots (16) – only trailing Michail Antonio (£7.9m) – with 11 of those attempts arriving inside the box. His 1.46 expected goals (xG) total, however, is trumped by 11 others.

Following last weekend’s 2-0 loss at home to Brentford, it’s hard to know which Wolverhampton Wanderers will turn up in Gameweek 6. The Molineux outfit’s defensive numbers have generally been good this season, but they have managed just one clean sheet during that time. A move for Armstrong also feels like more of a long-term play, given his fixtures from Gameweeks 8 to 12: Leeds United (h), Burnley (h), Watford (a), Aston Villa (h) and Norwich City (a).

At Man City last weekend, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side were superb, and with fixtures now easing, Armstrong could emerge as the best budget forward to own in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

KURT ZOUMA

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: lee | BRE | eve | TOT | avl

West Ham United’s new signing Kurt Zouma (£5.4m) has impressed in his two appearances for the club, and quickly established himself as a key part of David Moyes’ backline.

After watching from the bench at Southampton in Gameweek 4, the 26-year-old featured from the start at Dinamo Zagreb last Thursday before facing up to Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.7m) on Sunday. Despite the Hammers conceding twice in that latter game, his performance was excellent, as he made 12 clearances as well as two crucial interventions to stop Man Utd adding to their tally.

While Zouma’s forthcoming fixtures – at least on paper – don’t scream ‘buy me’, it’s worth noting that none of his opponents are exactly firing on all cylinders going forward, while defensively, West Ham aren’t easily broken down, with the effective Declan Rice (£5.0m) and Tomas Soucek (£5.9m) screening the back four.

There is also potential for Zouma to deliver attacking returns. 

Despite limited minutes in 2020/21, he scored five Premier League goals at Chelsea, while his headed attempts per 90 minutes total was only trumped by Harry Maguire (£5.4m). That suggests that he could get some joy from set-pieces this weekend, against a Leeds United side who could be four centre-halves down and have already conceded twice from dead-ball situations this season, plus 15 times in 2020/21 – the most in the division.

Zouma could take advantage of those weaknesses, then, and be a nice differential punt with just 1.1% ownership.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: NOR | mun | WHU | WAT | wol

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.5m) has hit the ground running so far this season, with a goal, three assists and 27 FPL points to his name already.

The Frenchman was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role in 2020/21, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by Rafa Benitez. That has been especially apparent when Everton use a 4-3-3 formation, which enables Doucoure to roam and have more influence in the final third.

He has also impressed defensively, as he leads the way amongst all midfielders for ball recoveries (45) and ranks in the top 10 for aerial duels won.

There will understandably be reservations about investing in the Toffees’ assets after their heavy loss at Villa Park in Gameweek 5, but I do think that it was a more even contest than the scoreline maybe suggested, while it’s also worth noting that the defeat was their first of the campaign.

Encouragingly for Everton’s forward players, this weekend’s opponents – Norwich City – have made plenty of defensive mistakes since returning to the Premier League. Across their five opening matches, they have conceded 14 goals, and while they have had a tough start against Liverpool, Man City, Leicester City and Arsenal – they struggled against Watford last weekend, giving up six big chances in the process.

With Benitez’s gameplan based around getting lots of crosses in the box via the impressive Andros Townsend (£5.4m), Demarai Gray (£5.8m) and Lucas Digne (£5.4m), Doucoure could thrive this weekend, and given that three of his next four fixtures at home, could be an effective midfield differential.

296 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DycheDycheBaby
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    So I guess Bamford to Antonio is a no-brainer now. However, no need to pull the trigger tonight if you bought Bamford at 7.9.

  2. Twisted Melon
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Bamford out for a hit? Or hold until fit

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Poetic - If no decent bench to cover - yes

  3. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Bamford to Antonio the easiest transfer of all time

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Oh happy days, ooohhh happy daaayyysss

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      What to do if I already got Antonio?

      1. Big boy Bowen
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Double up

      2. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Although Ings is not flavour of the week, he still has some good fixtures plus only blanked once.

        Or you could get ASM, also only blanked once.

  4. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Good luck all, saving FT this GW

    Sanchez
    TAA James Livramento
    Salah Benrahma Sarr Doucoure
    Ronaldo(c) Lukaku Antonio

    Steele Sissoko Tsimikas Ayling 1FT 0.1 ITB

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good!!

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I like it!

  5. Maeki2
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    If lamptey back does he takes Duffy spot?

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Lamptey is a RWB and Duffy is a CB. 🙂

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Goodness no.

    3. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      So who does he replace?

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        The RB if anyone

    4. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Not Laptey, but Dan Burn might.

      Veltman, Duffy, Dunk and Burn to play 3 CB spots..

  6. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Best mid under 7.0? Have Sarr and Raph already.

    Thinking Benrahma or Bowen?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Benrahma now
      Gallagher later

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Gallagher

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I like Gallagher but i am biased

    4. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Benrahma easy

  7. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Have West Ham had their presser yet? Just want to ensure Antonio hasn't done anything to himself before doing Richarlison to him. Just in case there was a reason for his omission from last night's squad... 🙂

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Rumours incoming!

    2. Zimo
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      He had a sex change operation recently so still recovering

    3. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Wait for the moves tomorrow. Their prices are not gonna change today..

    4. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Pearce said after the game that he's fit but they just chose not to use him.

  8. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Your help is needed please

    Which 2 would you get rid of this week

    Ayling
    Dier
    Bachmann (already have Raya)

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      1st two

    2. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Ayling
      Would wait for other 2 for a week.

  9. Phlajo
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Jimenez to Antonio probably not worth a -4, right?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I wouldn't

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I would

    3. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I would.

    4. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I would aswell

  10. Tripleh123
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Best captain choices other than Salah? Currently leaning toward Antonio atm

    a) Antonio
    b) Jota
    c) Lukaku

    1. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A from those

  11. EL tridente
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Armstrong or ASM?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Armstrong longer term

  12. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Team GTG?

    Foster (Sanchez)
    TAA, Shaw, Livra/Semedo (White)
    Salah, Jota, Greenwood, Benrahma, Raphinha*
    Antonio, Ronaldo.

    If Raphinha does start,

    A) Livra
    B) Semedo

    If he doesn't
    1. Hold
    2. Raphinha to Gallagher

    Will WC GW8 to fix defence/7.7 mids

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A.
      1.

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks!

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A1

      White a good bench option

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers

  13. DycheDycheBaby
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Double Leeds on wildcard went well then!!
    So getting rid of Bamford. But is Raph-->Sarr worth a -4?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I am waiting if there is any more news until Saturday morning on Raph question.

  14. Oggle22
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Digne Coufal
    Salah Bruno Jota Raphina
    Bamford Jiminez

    Foster Brownhill Amartey Obafemi

    Easy transfer Bamford to Antonio?
    Also reckon -4 to lose Raphina?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Maybe, for Sarr

  15. Manani
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    save FT??

    Sanchez
    TAA Digne Coufal
    Salah Jota Raphinna Sarr Benrahm
    Antonio Lukaku

    (Livermenta White 4.5mfwd)

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

  16. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Who to play and who to be 1st sub?

    A. White
    B. Semedo
    C. Livramento

    Thanks

    1. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I would play C and dub order A, B

      1. TKC07
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        *sub

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      B and C i am torn with but White is on my bench ATM, but then again Arsenal have kept 2 CS, and Spurs are blanking. I am overthinking this one too.

    3. Manani
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      BCA in that order

  17. Mane Mane Mane
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    My team is

    Sa
    TAA*, Liv, Shaw, Veltman, White
    Salah, Benrahma, Fernandes, Raph*
    Antonio

    Steele, Bissouma* Wilson* Bamford*

    As you can see my team is in a bad way, I have 1 FT and am looking to wildcard next week so see this as a free hit basically.
    I will go to a -4 hit, any ideas???

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Maybe just Raph to Sarr

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Bamford to Ings

      Raphina to Gray

    3. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      TAA is confirmed fit.

  18. okan58
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    My Team.

    1 FT:
    Bank: 0.8

    Sanchez
    Shaw - Alonso - Regulion
    Salah (c) - Raphinha - Bruno - Grealish
    Toney - Antonio - Ings
    Subs: Foster, Bissouma, White and Amartey.

    Should i change something?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I probably wouldn't. Maybe Raph to Sarr if you want

      1. okan58
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks.

  19. Pigeon
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on Sanchez to Ederson for a FT GW7? I'm not entirely convinced by the cheap keepers this season and I feel like I want some City defence

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      There are good reasons why people tend to go for cheaper keepers, but plenty of ways to skin a cat so...

  20. Tripleh123
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    For a hit of -4, shld i trf Greenwood to

    a) Sarr
    b) Gallagher
    c) Stick

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Not for a hit

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        This

    2. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      None of the others are better and they play for worse teams. C

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Is c) some sort of tree based pun?

  21. Rassi
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    So Raphinha double digit haul confirmed.

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yup

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yep, the young lad they have who looks a bit like Rooney is going to tear it up

  22. aapoman
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Time to wildcard? Current team with 1ft and 1.2itb.

    Bachmann*
    TAA Shaw Veltman
    Salah Bruno Jota Raphinha* Benrahma
    Jimenez Bamford*

    Foster; Ayling*, Livramento, Scarlett

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Livra can do a job this week and you have a keeper. Bammo to Mick, easy.

  23. EL tridente
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Who should replace Bamford?
    A) ASM
    B) Armstrong

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Read the article

    2. TheBiffas
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      ASM for me

  24. The Kopite
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Is Raph surely out?

    1. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      nope.. Still 50-50..

    2. Rassi
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      No.

      I will keep him even if he is out for 1 gw though. Livramento 1st from the bench is not bad.

    3. The Kopite
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I have NO bench and 1 FT. That's why I'm asking

  25. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sanchez (Gunn)
    White Shaw TAA Webster (Tsimikas)
    Benrahma Salah Raphinha Greenwood (Brownhill)
    Antonio Ronaldo (Bamford)

    1FT, 0.4 itb

    A) Webster/Tsimikas to Livramento and fix the dead bench
    B) Bamford to Ings/Jimenez
    C) Both for a hit
    D) Other

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Bammo could be out for a while if Twitter is to be believed

  26. Gentlemens club
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Worth taking -4 Bamford out to get Antonio?

    Sanchez
    TAA Rudiger Livramento
    Salah Sarr Grey Gallagher Rapinha
    Ronaldo Jimenez

    James/Marcal/Bamford*

    1. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I would.. Raph is also 50-50 chance..

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

    3. Gentlemens club
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks guys!

  27. Pep bites Kun
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Play 2 & pick 1st sub

    A. Ayling* v Whu
    W. White v Tot
    D. Duffy v Cry
    G. Gilmour v Eve

    1. TKC07
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      DW starts and GA bench..

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers TK

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      W & D then G

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers to Fulchester

  28. TheBiffas
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    I'm looking at Gallagher for my third mid slot in a 4-3-3, but his fixtures aren't great and I wouldn't be able to bench him unless it was for a 4.5 mid. Does it make sense to switch to a 3-4-3 for more flexibility?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Switch

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Brighton is a Derby, could be any score.

      Leicester defence isn't super tight.

      Arsenal are on the up then Newcastle.

      3 Home games.

      Could do worse?

  29. afsr
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Already did Traore to Sarr, now thinking what to do with Bamford

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Livra, Duffy
    Salah Sarr Jota Raphinia
    Ronaldo (C) Antonio

    Steele, Allan, Tierney, Bamford
    0FT 0.2 ITB

    A) Play Duffy
    B) Play Tierney
    C) Play Allan
    D) Sell Bamford for -4 (for whom)?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Doof

  30. Bishopool
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Would you swap Bruno for Ronaldo and take -4 pts hit?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I wouldn't