Spot the Differential

Budget FPL defender Davies offers cheaper route into Spurs backline

Gameweek 15 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

BEN DAVIES

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: NOR | bha | lei | LIV | CRY

Budget defender Ben Davies (£4.4m) could be set for a new lease of life at Tottenham Hotspur under Antonio Conte.

The 28-year-old started the season as back-up at Spurs, which limited him to just one league start up until the Italian’s arrival in Gameweek 11. However, the Welshman has since completed 90 minutes in each of Conte’s three league matches in charge, which has coincided with his side keeping two clean sheets.

During that time, Davies’s role on the left of Spurs’ three-man defence has seen him regularly burst forward and contribute in the final third, linking excellently with wing-back Sergio Reguilon (£5.2m). That was evident against Brentford on Thursday, when he forced the own goal that put his team ahead, before later sending another header at goal that was saved by Alvaro Fernandez (£4.5m). His defensive work was notable, too, with two interceptions, four recoveries and a couple of successful clearances.

Up next for Tottenham is Norwich City, who rank bottom for non-penalty expected goals (non-pen xG) and who have found the net just eight times across their 14 outings this term, while appealing fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a) and Watford (a) follow prior to the January break.

Davies has had an up and down career at Tottenham to date, but there is hope Conte can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into Spurs’ backline.

MARCUS RASHFORD

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: CRY | nor | bre | BHA | new

Following the inclusion of Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Marcus Rashford (£9.4m).

The England international has had a frustrating campaign so far, mainly due to injury, but has scored two goals and provided an assist in his six Premier League appearances since returning from shoulder surgery, despite featuring for over 60 minutes just three times.

Against Arsenal in midweek, he appeared a little isolated but did deliver at a crucial moment, when he produced the cross for Cristiano Ronaldo’s (£12.3m) strike, while prior to that, his pressing ability was key to his team’s performance at Stamford Bridge.

Now, with Ralf Rangnick installed, he will surely be handed further opportunities to kick on, with his manager’s comments about wanting to control games and play on the front foot hugely encouraging for Manchester United’s attacking assets.

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver, with games against Crystal Palace (h), Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (h), Newcastle United (a) and Burnley (h) before the end of the year. In fact, the next time they face one of the ‘traditional’ big six is in March, against rivals Manchester City.

Rashford has all the attributes to thrive in a Rangnick system, and could be a nice pickup for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential.

TAKEHIRO TOMIYASU

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 2
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: eve | SOU | WHU | lee | nor

With six clean sheets, an assist and three bonus points in his 11 Premier League appearances since joining Arsenal, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.6m) could be a solid under the radar pick in December.

Unlike Nuno Tavares (£4.3m) and Kieran Tierney (£4.7m) on the opposite flank, the Japan international has established himself as first-choice under Mikel Arteta, and was arguably the best player on the pitch during their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Thursday, when he almost won a penalty after Harry Maguire (£5.4m) pulled him down.

The 23-year-old’s creativity is on the up, too. Having started the season slowly in an attacking sense, he has recently started to contribute more in the final third. In fact, over the last four Gameweeks, Tomiyasu has posted team-leading totals for successful crosses and chances created, while his 0.68 expected assists (xA) total ranks eighth amongst all defenders.

However, the real appeal lies in the Gunners’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against Southampton, West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the end of the year, plus away trips to Everton, Leeds United and Norwich City, further shut-outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.6m, Tomiyasu is a cheap route into Arsenal’s defence, and could be a nice set-and-forget option given his security of starts and increased attacking potential.

1,277 Comments Post a Comment
  1. tommo1989
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start Alonso or ESR?

    1. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I would start ESR i think. Tough choice tho

    2. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hmmmm. Probably ESR, just.

    3. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso

  2. Skogen89
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    play two, bench two: Mbeumo / livramento / Dennis / Antonio

    Currently on Mbeumo and Dennis to play...

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Play Dennis and Antonio

  3. Weilong7
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    any advice?

    ramsdale
    taa rudiger dias cancelo
    salah jota gallagher raphinha
    vardy jimenez

    foster williams brownhill davis

    1FT 1.6 ITB

    1) williams to reguilon/alonso and go 5 at the back (bench jimenez). or maybe Dias out?
    2) jimenez to someone else? was thinking to switch to antonio soon
    3) any other suggestion?

    1. FITZ-G
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I like Jimenez and Raph to Anto and Bowen after Chelsea.

  4. FITZ-G
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Hello all,

    Start Hwang (Liverpool Home) or D.Luiz (Leicester Home) ??

    Cheers in advance

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Both likely to blank.
      If in doubt, striker over CDM every time.

    2. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hwang

  5. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Cap pick

    A. Form
    B. Fixture

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on both, obviously.
      Usually go fixture but Salah’s form is astronomical.
      Kane has the fixture but zero form. Salah all day for me.
      I have both.

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yea Salah is safer. So boring though

    2. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C. Salah

    3. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

    4. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A (see Salah vs City)

    5. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hook

    6. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  6. SuperG
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    This Ronaldo ‘is-he-isn’t-he’ injury is giving me the hump. Anyone have any inside knowledge?

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What’s the news ?

      1. SuperG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yellow flagged. And now Neil (who in fairness is overly cautious) hasn’t selected him in his team news

      2. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        It's cramp. He'll be fine

    2. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      News is, commentators fancied he might have a knock (McCoist specifically), then he ran about 90 yards full-steam in a counter, then ran down tunnel when subbed. Would be weird to run all that when injured, I thought.

      Nonetheless, whether there is a knock or not, I was already concerned about recovery. Thursday-Sunday is tough, he might be rested anyway. Then again, might not. He's staying in my XI

  7. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who would you lose to free up funds to get do Kane to Ronaldo (or other United) next week?

    A. Gallagher > 4.5 (allows Davis to King)
    B. Livra > Johnson

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A probably

  8. Tricky90
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez
    TAA-James-Cancelo-White
    Salah-Jota-Bilva-ESR
    Kane-Wilson

    Steele-Livramento-King-Sissoko

    Play Livra or White do best chance of clean sheet?
    Kane to Ronnie after this game week

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hmm close I'd probably go Livra

  9. Saintjack01
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you play dennis or Bowen?

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Really close. Probably Dennis (just)

  10. Catastrophe
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench etc. good chaps?

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Reguilon, Dier
    Salah, Jota, Raphinha
    Kane, Toney

    (Steer, ESR, Dennis, Gallagher)

    Cheers

  11. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    please complete WC team

    3.9 X
    taa rudi X X X
    bowen esr salah jota bernardo
    ronaldo denis X

    which & whom ?

    a) rams - laporte/walker davies lamptey - benteke
    b) ddg - laporte/walker white dufy - benteke
    c) ddg/rams - cancelo white/davies lamptey - under 5.0 fwd. (can upgrade rudi to james)

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cancelo, King, regi, lamptey, ramsdale.

      1. Nightf0x
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        cant already -0.4 wihout regi

  12. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What changes should I make to my WC team? Thinking of putting To

    Dea Gea
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon
    Salah Jota Esr Bernardo
    Kane Dennis

    Bench: Gunnerson White Davis Brownhill

    1. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tweak it to allow King over Dennis. (On pens and no AFCON).

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        When is AFCON?

    2. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Looking good. Bench is week, but you know that. I would go Luiz over Brownhill and you should be able to find a better alternative to White. Ronaldo next week. Just noticed DDG too, could be a good shout for their upcoming fixtures but looks risky at the moment.

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Luiz better than brownhill even though he'll be getting a DWG down the line

        1. Catastrophe
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I would say so. Who would you want want drop for 2x Brownhill!?

    3. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Most players involved in AFCON are leaving in just over 3 weeks time. (After matches on 26th Dec).

  13. Super Silva Haze
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Guys can I get a fee ideas for this team pls.. She is a absolute mess.

    Sanchez
    Reguilon Trent Shaw
    Salah Havertz Jota Gallagher Esr
    Kane Jimenez

    Foster Livramento Manquillo Davis

    2fts

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Havertz & Shaw -> Bernardo/Gundo & James. Does that work? You'd be in good shape.

      1. Super Silva Haze
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        That's actually a good shout mate. Cheers.

    2. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just dump shaw and jimenez to reuglion + 1

      1. Jebiga
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        *alonso, not reuglion

      2. Super Silva Haze
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Nice one cheers.

    3. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Can you afford Jimmy to King and Havertz to Son?

      If not, just get Bilva for Havertz and get Antonio next week.

      1. Super Silva Haze
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I was thinking this but I don't wanna triple up on spuds lol

  14. Mufc202020
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed 🙁

    I just don’t know if I should do Vardy to Ronny for free or roll the transfer. Will Vardy even start…

    What would you do?

    1. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Will Ronny even start - Twitter rumours around possible knee strain...

    2. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Vardy will have had 3 full days rest since the last game. I think he'll start.

      1. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        That might not be enough for him. As Rogers himself alluded to

      2. Cok3y5murf
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        3 full days is the bare minimum. You make it sound like it's good

        1. Cok3y5murf
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Oh, you said 3 days, but it's actually 4 days. 4 days is fine but not ideal for his age as Rodgers said

    3. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He only had 2 days rest between last 2 games and played 90 mins in the second.

      Pretty sure he starts.

  15. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start ASM or Rudiger?

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      ASM

  16. aapoman
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench 2 of:
    A. Alonso
    B. Mbeumo
    C. Gallagher
    D. Antonio
    E. Livramento

    1. Catastrophe
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C and then take your pick of A, B and E. B or E for me.

  17. ZAWAd25
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start King or Livramento?

  18. dshv
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start one, think smart:

    1. Livra
    2. Anotonio
    3. Gallagher

  19. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Keep FT now and before GW16 Son Raph out ??

    Rambo/Foster
    TAA/Cancelo/James/Alonso/Duffy
    Salah/Son/Raph/Gallagher/Mbeumo
    Vardy/Toney/4.4

  20. Gazzpfc
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Livra or Antonio?

  21. Jabba12
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which two to bench?
    a) Armstrong
    b) Livramento
    c) Alonso (have James)
    d) ESR
    e) Toney

  22. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Am I g2g? Captain & bench order ok?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Rudiger
    Salah (c) - Son (c) - Jota - ESR
    Toney - Jesus

    Steele - Antonio - Lamptey - Sissoko

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Two captains? G2g

  23. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Any other fanteam players here?

    Is it time to captain Kane/Son over Salah?? Need to make up some ground. Languising in mid table

    1. Stamford B
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      May as well take risks in that game. No prizes for second. Well there are but you know what I mean.

  24. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Not much choice for 6.0m to remove Gallagher is there.
    Already have ESR.

    Gray a decent punt?

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      no

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Fornals or stretch to Bowen

    3. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What about Cornet at 6.1? Can you stretch to that? I’ve made this move this week.

  25. Babit1967
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can’t wait to get rid of Kane

    1. dshv
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Me too for ronaldo

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Glad I haven't had him

  26. winchester
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    GTG? bench OK?

    ramsdale
    taa - cancelo - james - reguilon - livra
    salah(c) - raphinha - jota - son
    antonio

    (foster - dennis - hwang - gilmour)

    start
    a) antonio
    b) dennis

  27. Chrisaa87
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Gallagher or livra?

    1. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm playing Livra with Gallagher 1st on bench.

  28. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Okay pukki or Livra?

    1. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Pukki

  29. Bury94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I've got 1 player in my entire XI that's at home this week, I'm not sure how to feel about that 😆

    1. Stamford B
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Optimistic for next week

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Same here, just Wilson. Don't see any home wins today though so not worried about it

  30. Stamford B
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    If I was brave I’d captain Cancelo but I’m not.

    1. Cok3y5murf
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      More like foolishness because he's a rotation risk

    2. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Conceded in their last two. Not for me.