Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Am I the only one in here?

      1. MJF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes.

        1. fish&chips
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Evening bojack. All set for the GW?

      2. fish&chips
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Please someone come and chat

        1. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Hi

          1. fish&chips
            • 15 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            What's up Holmes? Ready to go?

            1. Holmes
              • 12 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Its WC week, so wont be ready till last minute plus these press conference are only creating more doubts 😀

              You are ready? Any hits?

              1. fish&chips
                • 15 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Nice! Not sure if it's a good week or not to WC with so much going on! Haha. No hits but made my 2 transfers early and stuck with son and Jota. Did mbeumo and toney to bowen and King thinking I might get priced out. In hindsight I should have waited and got rid of son instead of mbeumo. Now I'll probably just play Jimenez and maybe livra if Jota doesn't play and save the hit

    2. Brad1807
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hey mate , Please help with team 1.2 itb and 2 ft
      With Sanchez and Forster put and regulion would it be worth using the free hit to make some changes to team ? Don't really want to spend 5.0 on a keeper wish to keep funds for other areas ?

      Any help would be great.

      Sanchez , foster

      Arnold, regulion , rudiger , semado , livermanto

      Mbuemo,Gallagher,B silva,salah,jota

      Antonio , Dennis, vardy

      1. fish&chips
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Definitely don't FH. The core of the team is OK and you've got 2 frees.

        Reg out for James and maybe sanchez to guaita? Or if you like Sanchez long term just go with no keeper this week

        1. Brad1807
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          No jota now don't know what to do. I don't want to use up big money on keepers. If y know what I mean

    3. demob
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      BACHMANN IN GOAL LET'S GOOOOOOO

      Siuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu

  2. Captain Kakaroto (I blame R…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else can't see Salah in the player stats section on the members area?
    @mods

  3. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Not in the atm. Could anyone provide updates on Jota, ESR and Vardy please? Thanks.

    1. Harvey_27
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Jota hasn't trained since last game, might do today, FPL has him 50% likely to play, ESR still to be assessed ahead of tomorrow and FPL still has him 75%, haven't seen anything on Vardy yet from Rogers and he's down as fit on FPL

  4. MJF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Not sure which Arsenal player that is in the above photo - is it Odegaard? Either way, he looks like he's miles away. Making a token gesture to chase back but he's actually thinking "I wonder what me mam's cooked for me tea".

    1. demob
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It's Odie. from garfield innit

  5. Cok3y5murf
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Have Reguilon, Kane, Cornet, Toney, Jota, and McArthur with 1 FT.

    how to delete team?

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Free hit

      1. Cok3y5murf
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Except Jota, all these players are issues next week too

    2. RamboRN
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Free hit

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Write to the FA in hope they’ll cancel the season on your behalf

    4. demob
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Minus 20 time baby.

    5. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Take a -8

  6. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any other games risk of cancellation than spurs?

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Norwich awaiting test results for 4 players

      1. Darthshearer
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Four players wont call a postponement will it? Aren't the rules as long as you can name 13 players under FIFA rules the game goes ahead?

  7. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ron or Mo for the armband?

    1. dshv
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking the same but Mo…

  8. RedJive79
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?

    Ramsdale
    TAA / Alonso / James / Cancelo
    Bowen / Salah / Jota / Bilva
    Vardy / Dennis

    Foster / Gallagher / Livra / Toney

    1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yup. Nice team.

  9. Kryptonite666
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Jota ? Did Klopp mention anything - I see he is flagged now

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Check tweets

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hasn't trained all week, might train today

      https://twitter.com/FFScout/status/1469287328170582018?s=20

  10. TopBinFc
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Any help all, team in a bad way, havent taken a hit this season but feel I have to owning Son, Dier, Duffy, Sanchez, Toney and Jota.

      Is Son & Dier/Duffy to Bilva & Cancelo for -4 a no brainer?

      Cheers.

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good moves

    • Kane Train
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Which one?

      A) D.Gray
      B) John McGinn

    • john25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hey guys, any chance for Spurs to have DGW in GW17? Thinking to keep Son or not.

      Cheers

      1. dshv
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I think not..

      2. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        more chance of blanking than DGW

    • dshv
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      DSHV 4 Years16 mins ago
      Ramsdale
      Taa James Cancelo
      Salah Foden Jota ESR Gallagher
      Antonio Ronaldo

      Foster - reguilon - livra - davis

      Awful situation… what to do now esr foden jota reguilon ?

      Give me an advice

    • fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Any news on foden?

      1. TopBinFc
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Pep Guardiola on Phil Foden and Nathan Ake: "We will assess this afternoon, we have training in a few hours."

          1. fish&chips
            • 15 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Oh god, same as Jota then

        • Holmes
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Pep Guardiola on Phil Foden and Nathan Ake: "We will assess this afternoon, we have training in a few hours."

          Nothing helpful

        • BeWater
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          “When you have an injury in your ankle, you will recover incredibly well. But when you play every three days, you will have niggles. But he is getting better. He will dictate and say how he feels after games.”

          Guardiola quote.

        • fish&chips
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Not worth a hit then. I'll risk having to play livra and save the '4

      2. BeWater
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thomas Tuchel:
        "Reecey will start the match [vs Leeds] as a wing-back. If something happens to Jorgi tomorrow though, we need a solution. We used to the match in Zenit to try Saul in a new position and Reecey in the middle of the pitch"

        Wish we got stuff like this every week.

        1. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Love you Tuchel.

          If only Pep and Klopp were this open.

          1. @persecuted_by_mods
              4 years, 1 month ago

              On the other hand he's giving someone a nickname that is longer than their name

              1. Piggs Boson
                • 14 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                I'm just after cold hard info. He can call him Mr. Meerschweinchen for all I care.

                1. @persecuted_by_mods
                    4 years, 1 month ago

                    Ha true

            • demob
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              It's pretty adorbs he calls him Reecey

              1. Milk, 1 Šuker
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                I know right!

          2. jai1212
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Jota to B. Silva for -4? Or Emerson to Dalot?

            Otherwise play Livramento

            1. BeWater
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              I wouldn't remove Jota. Newcastle at home is 6 days away. He could be fine by then. Bernardo has Wolves at home who aren't bad.

          3. Patron
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            What does an outside chance mean? Dyche used that for Cornet, I googled it and it says like “small chance” so its actually not good news?

            1. Holmes
              • 12 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Yeah, you can say 25%

              1. Patron
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Thank you!

            2. JohnnyCroat
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Outside chance, always long odds.

              1. Patron
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Hvala 🙂

            3. Qaiss
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              I think Cornet gets benched or misses out against West Ham but then will be back midweek for Watford.

              1. Patron
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Yeah, I guess it was positive like, not being too serious…

            4. demob
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Outside chance = "No"

              1. Patron
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Cheers

          4. Yordan Letchkov
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            GK situation:

            Sanchez / Foster

            Foster to Bachmann worth a -4 given the fact that he will also be prioritized in GW 18 (Sanchez - mun; Bachmann - CRY)?

            Probably not and just accept no GK points this week?

          5. RamboRN
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            On WC

            DDG 4.0
            TAA James Cancelo Dalot Livra
            Salah Jota Bsilva Bowen ***
            Ronaldo Dennis ***

            A. Antonio + Allan
            B. Mount + Boja

            1. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              B

          6. mr messi
            • 15 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Bowen or Mount?

            1. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Bowen long term.

            2. BeWater
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              I'd go Bowen. Thing that worries me about Mount is he could be benched for one of the next 3. Then they have avl, BHA, LIV, mci, TOT followed by two blanks.

          7. EmreCan Hustle
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Never have I been so interested in a Burnley presser. Any updates on Cornet?

            1. FPL Pillars
              • 9 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              He’s got an outside chance says the gaffer

              1. EmreCan Hustle
                • 13 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Cheers.

          8. davies
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Best bench options?

            A) Steele Broja

            B) Sanchez Davis

          9. No_Mo_Salah?
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Bowen or B Silva for Raphina?

            1. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              If you don't have any other City mid, then Bilva

          10. Ludde
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Worth bringing Raphinha out for Bowen for the second -4 this GW? I have Smith Rowe and Jota in the starting 11. Livramento and Davis is the rest of the bench

            1. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Everyone will have a weak bench this week. I wouldn't take the second hit.

          11. Nightf0x
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Rams
            Taa can rudi regi (lampty)
            Jota esr son salah bsilva
            Denis (watkins locadia)

            Which?.

            A) regi son -4 to dalot rash/mount/bowen (gw17 jota-bowen gw18 locadia-antonio)
            B) jota son locadia -8 to ronaldo bowen 4.5 mid.
            C) jota son regi -8 to rash/mount bowen dalot

          12. Disco Stu
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Son and ESR > Bowan and Bilva for a -8 or just do one and play Livra? If Livra, do which move?

            1. Milk, 1 Šuker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              ESR likely to play some part

            2. EmreCan Hustle
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Just Bilva.

            3. Warby84
              • 10 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Smith-Rowe should be back so son to Silva looks like a good move

          13. FredUpAlready
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            On WC

            a) James and Gray/Benteke
            b) 4.9m Defender and Antonio

            Team is

            De Gea Foster
            TAA Cancelo James Dalot White
            Salah Jota Bilva Bowen Gray
            Ronaldo King Locadia

          14. JONALDINHO
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Owning Foden and Jota is very annoying

            1. dshv
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Same

          15. Atimis
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Play Mbeumo and bench Raph?

            1. BeWater
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Yes. Watford are bad defensively. Could be a case of stoppable force meets movable object. Interesting to see who wins.

          16. Mufc202020
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Cup GW this week!!

            If I spend points now does it go aganist my score in the cup?

            1. FredUpAlready
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Yes it does

              1. Mufc202020
                • 6 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Thanks