Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play Jota or Watkins?

    Jota right? And if he's injured then Watkins will come on

    1. Tinfoil Deathstar
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah I think so. I've got a similar dilemma with Raphinha and currently leaning towards just starting Jota. Might be different if you have a bench player with a better fixture than Chelsea/Liverpool, etc.

  2. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    We won't get anymore update on ESR will we??

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Arteta was pretty clear

      1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        As clear as mud, yeah

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Have you discovered a form of transparent mud?

          1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Just seen updated comments. So I'll play him

  3. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Wjat Pep said about Jesus ?

    1. Los Gooners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      yah anyone hear anything on this?

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Didnt even mention him afaik. No news is good news..?

    3. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      City's official site said he was rested in Europe and involved in their recovery session after

  4. TSN
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    please help

    A.son reguilon toney -> dalot CR7 gallagher (-8)
    B.son reguilon toney jimenez -> dalot CR7 mount king (-12)

  5. FredUpAlready
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On WC and have £11 itb for the last 2 players.

    a) Brownhill and Benteke
    b) Gray/Gallagher and Locadia

    De Gea Foster
    TAA Cancelo James Dalot White
    Salah Jota Bilva Bowen ×××
    Ronaldo King ×××

    1. Rassi
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

      Why Foster btw?

      1. FredUpAlready
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He's the cheapest and would start when fit

  6. Futureform
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Dalot - do we really believe he will get a run in the side now?

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Breaking FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      too early to say, but he will probably start this weekend

    3. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Didnt AWB get hurt at end of last game?
      Id say yes

    4. Futureform
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks everyone. Very helpful.

  7. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Raph > Bilva (-4)? Y/N

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

    2. Dee Lixon
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Tempted to sell raph for Bowen, not sure it’s worth the hit

  8. yanky
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    heres my WC team, thoughts?

    DDG (3.9)
    TAA Cancelo James Dalot (Coufal)
    Salah Gundo Bowen (Gray Brownhill)
    Ronaldo Antonio King

    1. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I like it. I have Gundo myself. Also went with DDG and Dalot. Not sure on Dalot but WC is a good chance to get in on him in case he ends up being decent.

      1. yanky
        • 16 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        thank you!! will need A plan for jota when hes healthy but in times like these we take it week by week haha

        1. BeWater
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Can't cover every base. But the good thing is no one can 🙂

  9. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    New WC idea.
    Can't sell Jota, too much value. But I am selling Antonio tho which I bought in for 7.5.
    Thoughts?

    De gea
    James Taa Cancelo Dalot
    Salah Bowen Bernardo
    Benteke CR7 King

    Gunnarsson Livra Brownhill Jota*

    1. FredUpAlready
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pretty similar to mine. I'm yet to figure out the last two spots with £11 itb.

      De Gea Foster
      TAA Cancelo James Dalot White
      Salah Jota Bilva Bowen xxx
      Ronaldo King xxx

    2. Tinfoil Deathstar
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good to me. You've got Bowen so at least you've got some West Ham attacking coverage there.

  10. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a -4 below? 2.6m itb

    Ramsdale

    TAA Alonso James Cancelo

    Salah Bilva ESR Mbeumo

    Ronaldo Antonio

    Subs: Guaita, Livra Brownhill Locadia

    1. TSN
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ESR to mount?

      1. CrouchDown
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers mate. Definitely considering it.

        Do you think it's worth -4?

    2. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would be Mbuemo> Bowen in that case, not sure about that this week though

      1. CrouchDown
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah agreed.

        Not sure whether to wait until next week or not?

        1. fricky_
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Yea that's a hard one. Watford doesn't exactly have the best defense, and Mbuemo actually got a return last GW so who knows?

    3. Breaking FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      nothing there worth a hit

  11. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team is
    Steele Sanchez
    Cancelo Taa rudiger alonso livra
    Salah esr gallagher gray Raphinha
    Ronaldo Antonio Dennis

    Got 2 Fts.

    I also have my WC so this will just be temporary to get Me through Christmas. Will play my WC post boxing Day.

    A) Raphinha + Steele to DDG + Bowen
    B) Raphinha + Steele to Bachmann + Bilva
    C) Raphinha + Sanchez to Ramsdale/Fabianski + Mount

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      from those i would choose B, because Bilva is currently the best player in PL

  12. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which option sounds best?

    A: Start Jota

    B: Start Gallagher

    C: Sell Jota for Bernardo (-4)

    1. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Start Jota and hope he doesn't cameo. I wouldn't do C.

    2. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A. If Jota doesn't start he won't feature I think but his injury doesn't seem too bad so even if he misses out he should be back soon enough I think

  13. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Have Sanchez and foster.

    A. Sanchez > ddg
    B. Foster > Bachman
    C. Not worth the hit

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  14. vova
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys, how does this team look?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Dias
    Salah Jota Raphinha Saka
    Ronaldo Dennis

    Steele Livramento Brownhill Toney

    0.4 ITB
    0 FT

    no need for any hits right?

    Thanks!

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks decent and no hits means you already have an advantage over a ton of managers. GTG mate

      1. vova
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers, was loving it until the Jota news but still in a better position than most due to no hits

  15. The Senate
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which of King/Dennis is really the better option?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      King now same price. I got Dennis when he was 0.5 less and intended for bench duty.

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm leaning to King as he's about 20% less owned

  16. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    My team is looking a bit sorry for itself, already taken a -4 this week so any other moves are for -8, any suggestions?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Rudiger - Cancelo - James
    Salah - Jota - Bernardo
    Antonio - Dennis - Broja

    Steele - ESR - Son - Lamptey

  17. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    107K already sold Jota!

    1. TopBinFc
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Definition of kneejerk

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hits galore this week?

      Thinking -8, possibly -12

      Sanchez, Raphinha, Kane to De Gea, Bernardo, King

      Possibly Duffy to Cancelo as well with Jota being a doubt

      Sanchez
      TAA Rudiger James Livra
      Salah Jota Raphinha Maddison
      Kane Watkins

      Foster Hwang Duffy Bissouma

      -12 might set me up a bit better longer term?

      Not sure if de gea is a better pick than Ederson or a cheaper option such as Ramsdale or Guaita? Any thoughts appreciated thanks

    3. Futureform
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      40 points ahead in my mini league...would you go for this?

      Vardy/Toney/Gallagher/Alonso > Ronaldo/King/Bernardo/Dalot (-8)

      1. Killitzer
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        -8 could work very well but could you do 3 moves for -4?

        1. Futureform
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          It's the exact money issue and using Dalot as an enabler unfortunately.

      2. Breaking FPL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        No way! Not in a million years for a -8

        Toney to King is enough and maybe one of the others if affordable

        1. Futureform
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Ha. I know what you mean. The -8 is about exact money to get Bernardo Silva in. I just don't know how essential he is.

          1. Killitzer
            • 15 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            essential today.. in 2 weeks time who knows. If I buy him then he will no doubt be on the bench!

            1. Futureform
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Ha yep that about sums it up. So difficult to know!

              1. Breaking FPL
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                He isn't essential. He's been overperforming his stats, and won't be able to keep it up indefinitely. He is still a decent option of course, but definitely not essential.

    4. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2 FT 1.2 ITB

      Ramsdale
      TAA Cancelo James Alonso
      Salah Jota Foden ESR Mbeumo
      Antonio

      Foster Jimenez Livramento Toney

      a) Toney to King
      b) Toney and ESR to King and Silva
      c) Toney and Mbeumo to Dennis and Silva

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        B

      2. vova
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        B

    5. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I might have to do Reg and Jota out.

      a) Mount and Laporte?
      b) Mount and ?

      West Ham nor Arsenal defense fill me with confidence, and a bit early to know what happens at Man U.

      1. Killitzer
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I'm thinking Mount- assume you have B Silva too?

        1. Bobby Crush
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I do.

    6. Miro
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Klopp said if Jota could train TODAY, then he's available for selection, right ? So tonight we should know if he's 100% out or not, right?

      1. Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        No

      2. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Need a scout at the training ground

        1. Miro
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          there are always some pics leaked aren't they?

      3. vova
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        we might know tonight yes BUT the deadline is at 6:30 pm tonight

        1. Miro
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Oh yeah, forgot about that.

    7. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Start 1 - 1st Sub - 2nd Sub

      A) King
      B) ESR
      C) Gallagher

      Thanks go go go

    8. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Anyone having a punt on Rashford?

    9. Killitzer
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Afternoon all

      Has it been confirmed that Jota is out yet? Current team has no bench,

      Guaita
      TAA Rudiger Livra
      Salah Bowen Jota ESR Gallagher
      Vardy Ronaldo
      (Steer Reguilon* Duffy* Davies)

      1. Hope Jota plays (and ESR and Vardy)
      2. Jota --> Mount (-4)
      3. Jota--> B Silva (-4)

      cheers for any input!

    10. Captain Haddock
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I accidentally did Alonso --> Dalot for -4 and hence now considerin free hitting 😀

    11. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Any news on Jesus?

      1. Pointless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He’s due on Dec 25th. Though for me he’s been due for weeks!

    12. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why are people selling ESR?? He's surely 50/50 or better to start.

    13. john25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hey guys, would you take a 4 pt hit to transfer out Sanchez? Thinking De Gea.

      Cheers

      1. BeWater
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes I would. Especially as Rangnick said he's first choice earlier.

    14. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Free Hit chip in action..