Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which one?

    A. -4 TEAM;
    Alonso+Raph+Jota+Antonio

    B. WC TEAM (3-4-3);
    James+Bernardo+Bowen+Antonio

    C. WC TEAM 2 (3-5-2);
    James+Bernardo+Bowen+Jota

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Top page! Will try help out below 🙂

    2. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Probably C.

      1. Ephurion
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Even considering his injury risk this GW?

        1. BeWater
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          As he's not confirmed out and AFCON is coming I think he's still worth a place on WC.

    3. BullDogTevez
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Without knowing the rest of team. A looks better for the long term.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah. Same picksfor the rest pretty much;
        DDG
        TAA Cancelo
        Salah ESR
        Ronaldo King

        Similar bench with slight upgrade to Dalot to WC options

    4. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A as I think it may be better to hold the wildcard for now

    5. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C just based on the picks

    6. zinaks
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      a

    7. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  2. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one

    A) Gallagher (EVE H)
    B) King (Bre A)
    C) Rudiger (LEE H) - Already got James

    Which of the following

    1) go no keeper
    2) -12pts bring in keeper up to 4.6m

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A1

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A1

    3. BullDogTevez
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A1

  3. Dammit_182
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pep on foden:

    ‘ Phil Foden - still has niggle but every time he plays he will get better and better.
    He will say how he feels. Knowing Phil he'll want to be there for us so we'll see, game-by-game.’

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Total lottery

      1. Dammit_182
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Oh definitely. But I’ll keep him for the mid week draw too.

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Think he will start

  4. Footieboot
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do I hit the WC button with the below and 1 FT?

    Sanchez - Foster
    TAA Alonso Emerson (out) Cancelo Livra
    Salah Jota (doubt) Foden (doubt) Raph Gilmour
    Wilson King Antonio

    WC Draft is

    DDG Foster
    TAA Alonso James Cancelo Dalot
    Salah Bernardo Bowen Gilmour Brownhill
    Ronaldo Antonio King

    1. Dammit_182
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not a bad week to WC. Gil our & brow hill is asking for trouble. I would drop Alonso to someone cheaper and upgrade brownhill to say gray at Everton or someone better.

      Good balance of squad depth and Ronaldo then

    2. Avery
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Save WC for DGW

  5. dshv
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale
    Taa James Cancelo
    Salah Foden Jota ESR Gallagher
    Antonio Ronaldo

    Foster - reguilon - livra - davis

    Awful situation… what to do now esr foden jota reguilon ?

    Give me an advice

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      how many FTs and how much ITB?

    2. Killitzer
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Welcome to my world, though I have Vardy too. Every week something crops up to haunt me.
      A lot of maybes there except Reguilon and Davis who are 100% not playing. Maybe Reg--> Dalot and play Livra.

  6. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Benrahma to Bowen worth -4 or too sideways?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Leave it one week

  7. TSN
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    please help. i'm 60 points ahead in mini league. which one would you choose

    A.son reguilon toney -> dalot CR7 gallagher (-8)
    B.son reguilon toney jimenez -> dalot CR7 mount king (-12)

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A but with someone else than Gallagher

      1. TSN
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        any recommendation for

      2. TSN
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        for under 6.1 mid

        1. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Fornals?

        2. vova
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          tough one, don't actually like many options under 6.1 (unless you just need a bench fodder for 2 points). Gallagher seems like the best one but I wouldn't get him for a hit

  8. Pukki Blinders
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On WC… would you go with Bachmann for 4.2 or get a 3.9 fodder?

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      fodder

    2. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      3.9 fodder. I went with the Brentford guy. I heard he might be coming back to the club in January.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fodder

    4. BaltimoreCity
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bachman .3 for insurance with Covid cancelling games is worth it

    5. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I just got two playing gk’s. Matches can be called off

  9. Pointless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Was there anything about Ben Johnson in the West Ham presser please? Not sure whether to sell. And presumably no bad news on Bowen?! I’m about to get him in. Thanks.

  10. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which player should replace Son? Already have Gundogan

    1. RamboRN
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bsilva, bowen, mount are the obvious choices. Pick your poison.

      1. Saka White Rice
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I thought Bilva wasn't in training?

    2. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fancy a city mid double with Bilva?

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bernardo, Bowen, Mount

  11. BullDogTevez
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Jota to Rasford -4? Yay or nay.

    Managed to successfully navigate all Jotas returns and blanks this season. Seems like a good week to jump ship, coupled with Firmino back and congested fixtures.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nah, seems like it's minor if it is possible for him to return to training today

  12. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Boring but important question, what would your bench order?

    A. Livramento
    B. Brownhill
    C. Gilmour

    0FT 0.7ITB
    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Jota Bernardo
    Antonio King Ronaldo
    (Foster, Livramento, Gilmour and Brownhill)

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      looks good

    2. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      That order is fine. I'm deciding between Gilmour and Brownhill but you have both 🙂

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        For sub order or to bring in?

        1. BeWater
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Last spot on WC. Only have 4.4.

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Tough one, I think Gilmour just edges it for me. He is on some set pieces and could play advance. Brownhill does have the better touches in the box per 90 and will have a DGW at some point but is on 4YCs

          2. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Also Norwich could have a couple of players with COVID but we don't know who they are yet

  13. putana
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    what to do

    A) play gallagher

    B) gallagher -> bowen

    C) sanchez -> de gea

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      is this for a hit?

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes
      Maybe - depends if you have Antonio. Gallagher is a nailed starter and McCarthur is due back soon
      Prob yes - Good long term move

  14. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which?

    A) regi son -4 to dalot rash/mount/bowen (gw17 jota-bowen gw18 locadia-antonio)
    B) jota son locadia -8 to ronaldo bowen 4.5 mid.
    C) jota son regi -8 to rash/mount bowen dalot

  15. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    benchw*nkery tomorrow
    sanchez,dier,son,toney
    in
    bachmann,livramento,silva,wilson

    heehee

  16. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So might only have 9 players playing this week, I've already taken a -4, classic case of pulling the trigger too soon on my moves.. Do I take another -4 and bring in a keeper for this week and take a risk that one of Jota/ESR plays, then I'm fielding maybe 11, 10 at best..

    Or, do I use my FH chip this week? 1.8m In the kitty.

    Sanchez
    TAA - Rudiger - Cancelo - James
    Salah - Jota - Bernardo
    Antonio - Dennis - Broja

    Steele - ESR - Son - Lamptey

    1. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      yeah go for it ,sp*nk your free hit,87 points this week ,easy to sort out on tuesday what tripe you left behind ...

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Are you serious? Or being sarcastic hahah

        1. Jordan.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          lol save it mate..

    2. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fail to see the problem here. ESR sounds like he's going to be fit so you are just a goalie down and not worth a -4. And definitely not worth wasting a FH on! How many players would you really replace anyway?

      Leave as is imo.

  17. TSN
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    best 6.0 mid?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fornals

    2. FredUpAlready
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gray/Fornals

    3. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fornals or Lanzini

  18. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 0.3m ITB

    Guaita
    TAA James Cancelo White
    Salah Son* Jota* ESR*
    Vardy King

    Foster - Livra Brownhill Toney*

    Son > Bernardo and hope for the best? Or remove one of the other doubts for -4?

  19. Blens
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    WC team incoming guys...please let me know what you think...know there are some shortfalls (including front two Watford but 0ITB) in it but any advice?

    Sanchez (Carson)
    Cancelo TAA James Dalot (Lewis)
    Salah Bowen Jota Gundo Fred
    Ronaldo Dennis King
    What do you think before I press the button

    1. Blens
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I was actually tempted to bring in Origi and replace Jota as I'd have 3 Liverpool players ...anyway thoughts guys?

    2. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you are going WC go Gunnarsson as your 3.9 keeper. Carson is taking up a valuable City spot. I would probably downgrade Fred to a 4.4/4.5 and upgrade Lewis.

      1. Blens
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good shout - thanks mate

      2. Blens
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Gunnarsson
        Fred > Allan
        Lewis > Lamptey

  20. The Mastermind
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please help - having a nightmare of a gameweek…

    Ramsdale - Foster
    James - TAA - Cancelo - Regulion - Livra
    Jota - Salah - ESR - Raph - Brownhill
    Kane - Dennis - Toney

    Should I do -
    A - Kane > Ronaldo (FT)
    B - Kane, Raph > Ronaldo, Bilva (-4)
    C - Kane, Jota > Ronaldo, Mount (-4)
    D - Kane, Jota, Regulion > Ronaldo, Bilva, Dalot (-8)
    E - Something else

    I have enough for any combination of those players - please help! Cheers

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Reguilon and Kane to Dalot and Ronaldo

  21. MysticMac17
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I have already used 1 FT on Toney to King but I have another FT now and 1.0 ITB. Debating whether I should use it or roll the transfer. If Jota and Foden don’t play I have Pukki to come on but can sell Raphinha for Bowen and have him instead? Although having 2FTs could be useful with all these COVID cases. Thoughts?

    Ederson
    Cancelo TAA James Alonso Rudiger
    Salah Foden* Mbuemo
    Antonio King

    Subs: Jota*, Pukki, Raphinha

  22. Matjes_taet
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Harry M. just signed for Matjes FC.

    Pens down.

  23. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi regi (lampty)
    Jota esr son salah bsilva
    Denis (watkins locadia)

    Which. ?

    A) regi son -4 to dalot rash/mount/bowen (gw17 jota-bowen gw18 locadia-antonio)
    B) jota son locadia -8 to ronaldo bowen 4.5 mid.
    C) jota son regi -8 to rash/mount bowen dalot

  24. Ephurion
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is there any sub 8 mil forward other than Antonio you would take a -4 to play over Livramento and keep in your team?

    1. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      just play Livra I think

    2. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      King, Dennis.

    3. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thx guys

  25. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who would you rather have?

    a) Zaha (-4)

    b) Broja

    1. AC Pilkington
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      for this week

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B will probsbly start

  26. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Based on Klopp’s comments:

    Bench Jota and play Raphina or White

    1. Shultan
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      What are klopps comments?

    2. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      start Jota IMO, he either starts or doesn't feature IMO. play White I guess

      1. vova
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        if you don't want to start Jota that is

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play Jota

  27. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Toney Son to King Bowen and GTG ? No hits?

    Rambo
    TAA/Cancelo/James/Alonso
    Salah(c)/Son*/Gallagher/Mbeumo
    Vardy/Toney*

    Foster/Raph/4.4/Duffy

    1. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good. If you avoid hits you’ll have a good start this gw. On my case, see below, Its a bit different.

  28. FPLtfs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale
    James, TAA, Cancelo, Dalot
    Salah (c), Jota*, Foden*
    Antonio, Wilson, King
    Sanchez, ESR*, Allan*, Williams*

    Already did Jimenez, Reguillon, and Steele -> King, Dalot and Ramsdale (-8).

    Still, mye team has a lot of flags! Not sure I can field 11 this GW. Who should go for Bowen?
    A) ESR
    B) Jota
    C) Foden
    D) Allan

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      D!

  29. Shultan
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone considering -12 to fix squad?
    Tony, Jota, raph & reguilon >
    King, bowen, silva, dalot

    All above long term keep with fixtures

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      FPL Raptor

  30. Los Gooners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale / Foster
    TAA / Cancelo / Rudi / James / Williams
    Salah / Jota / Gallagher / Bowen / Brownhill
    CR7 / King / Jesus

    Jesus to Antonio for -4?