Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. timPgoodwin
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Got 2 FT's and 0.1m ITB - Any advice?

    Steer - Ramsdale
    Livvy - TAA - White - Alonso - Cancelo
    Salah - Cornet - Gallagher - Raphina - Jota
    Hwang - Vardy - Antonio

    1. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hwang/Raph to King/Mount or Bsilva??

    2. Redranger
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hwang > Dennis/King
      Raph > Bowen

  2. Visionaries
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A - take a -12
    B play FH and hope Son, Jota are back playing

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      very limited info in the -12 transfers but Jota seems to be minor since there is a possibility he can train today and Son could miss 2GWs

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm keeping FH for a bigger blanket GW, it'll be a -8 or -12, Can make up the lost points over next few weeks and playing the DGW and BGW well

    3. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      -12 seems excessive under any circumstances and I would save FH til a double gameweek scenario

  3. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Repost, struggling big time

    Thinking -8, possibly -12

    Sanchez, Raphinha, Kane to De Gea, Bernardo, King

    Possibly Duffy to Cancelo as well with Jota being a doubt

    Sanchez
    TAA Rudiger James Livra
    Salah Jota Raphinha Maddison
    Kane Watkins

    Foster Hwang Duffy Bissouma

    -12 might set me up a bit better longer term?

    Not sure if de gea is a better pick than Ederson or a cheaper option such as Ramsdale or Guaita? Any thoughts appreciated thanks

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would take the -8 here

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    2. Dezzler
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why take Raphinha out. He isn't a problem for you. He will play and, against Alonso, is as likely to score points as anyone.

      Personally wouldn't take the keeper out, it's one game scoring 0, that could happen for any keeper and he still has the game to play further down the line.

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Brighton fixtures aren't great short term either which is why I wanted to get rid

  4. Mufc202020
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please could you Start 1 - 1st Sub - 2nd Sub

    A) King
    B) ESR
    C) Gallagher

    1. Steiger
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ABC in that order

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This

    2. Mufc202020
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks both

    3. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ACB

      Arsenal are hopeful ESR is available.. so might start as a sub.

    4. cb68
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      CAB

  5. phuang
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Brought in CR7 and Josh King for a -4 as earlier transfer. With news that Jota is 50/50 and Brighton fixture’s is postponed, I literally have no playing GK for this GW (backup GK is Steele)

    What choices do you reckon?

    A: Jota out Bernardo in for a -8
    B: Jota out Bowen in for a -8
    C: Jota and Steele out Bernardo and Bachmann in for a -12
    D: Jota and Steele out Bowen and Bachmann in for a -12

  6. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi.... I good to go here please? 0ft and 0itb

    Mbeumo in for jota if he doesn't feature

    Ramsdale
    Taa james alonso cancelo (livra)
    Salah jota bilva (mbeumo normann)
    Ronaldo antonio king

    Thanks

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

  7. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What a GW!

    I'll start Mbeumo and just have Brownhill, Jota and Reguillon on the bench. But I'm pretty sure my XI will all start.

    Keep taking them hits boyz

  8. fricky_
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which hit is better?

    A) Duffy & Sanchez > Dalot & DDG
    B) Duffy & Sanchez > Coufal & Guaita
    Cheers.

    1. 2's Kompany 3's M…
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely A

  9. wildnothing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is this squad correctly set?

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo
    Jota Salah (c) Gündogan Bernardo
    King

    Foster Wilson Benteke Livra

    I'm especially confused about Benteke.

  10. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Might be fielding 9 this week if ESR/Jota don't play, Sanchez obviously not playing.. What shall I do here? Already taken a -4 before this news so any moves would be for a -8.

    Sanchez
    TAA - Rudiger - Cancelo - James
    Salah - Jota - Bernardo
    Antonio - Dennis - Broja

    Steele - ESR - Son - Lamptey

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would do Sanchez to DDG for a hit

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        & Take a -8 hit overall?

    2. thes7s
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would take Son out, Leicester game unlikely to go through in midweek and he will drop in price massively in the next 7 days

  11. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guys I'm on holiday haven't had time to do my research please help:
    1) Will Spurs double be soon?
    2) Will Bilva start I thought he wasn't seen in training?
    3) Bowen or Rashford/Sancho?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2. Yes he was rested for UCL, should definitely start
      3. Bowen

      1. fricky_
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This

      2. Home Late From Age
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This, plus: 1. Not this year. Probably GW22-23

  12. bruuuno
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any changes needed for my WC?

    Guaita Bachmann
    TAA Cancelo James Dalot Williams
    Bernardo Mount Salah Bowen Odegaard
    Ronaldo Antonio Locadia

    0.1 ITB

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good

  13. Lukakuna
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is the Leicester game going ahead or is it still a chance it will be off?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Who knows? Insufficient data.

  14. TSN
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please help

    Ramsdale (Sanchez)
    Reguilon Cancelo TAA White Livra
    BSilva Salah Raph Saka Son
    Toney Jimenez Archer

    A. Toney Reguilon Son -> CR7 Dalot Fornal (-8)
    B. Toney Jimenez Son -> CR7 King Bowen (-8)

    Thanks.

  15. FredUpAlready
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pretty set with my WC team.

    De Gea 3.9
    TAA Cancelo James Dalot White
    Salah Jota Bilva Bowen Brownhill
    Ronaldo King Benteke

    1. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Jota injured?

      1. FredUpAlready
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I have value tied up with him so holding and having a good bench for that reason

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same as I would go with if I WC but Gundo over Jota and Guaita in goal

      1. FredUpAlready
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Sounds good, I have enough in the bank to upgrade Bilva to Foden when he's fully fit. Foden is my 1st choice from City when fit

    3. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      V nice but Gilmour for Brownhill and save 0.1 I think

  16. DMP
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play, Jota, ESR, Gallagher or Rudi?

    Currently on this! Toughts pls?

    Sanchez*
    Cancelo TAA Alonso
    Salah Bowen Jota* ESR*
    CR7 Antonio Dennis

    Steele Gallagher Rudi Livra

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep it like this and Gallagher would play if jota or ESR not

  17. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who first Sub ?
    A- Livramento ARS (A)
    B- Allan CRY (A)

    1. DMP
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B.

      Help above, pls.

    2. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers

  18. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Reckon this is worth a -4 given the Jota doubt and my current weak bench?

    Raphina & Davis -> Gray & King (-4)

    Ramsdale
    Trent, Cancelo, James, Alonso
    Salah, Jota, Bowen, Raphina
    CR7, Antonio

    Foster, Livramento, Brownhill, Davis
    Bank 0.3m, 1FT

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      For sure

  19. Shultan
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone taking a -8 or -12 hit?

    Contemplating -8

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely considering a -8, but currently on a -4

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Same. Next decision is play Raph or Bowen-4.

    2. TSN
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      i need at least -8 and considering -12

    3. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No. Mabe 9 or 10 starters and 2 FT for midweek games.

  20. boombaba
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Will Dennis be going to AFCON?

    1. griffzinho
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hard to know. In provisional 40 man squad, but hasn't played for them in an age.. but current form?? So it's a big maybe

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Highly likely

  21. griffzinho
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    ESR or Gallagher??? Totally torn.. need opinions!

    1. DMP
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Currently on ESR, with Gallager 1st on bench. Look above and help pls.

    2. Matjes_taet
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would go for the safer option and start Gallagher.

      1. griffzinho
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks.. I'm thinking the same. Feel Southampton at home, with their injuries and suspensions might not prompt Arteta to risk him. Maybe bench and come on if needed. Plus always nice to have someone in lawst game of gameweek 🙂

  22. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Demarai Gray the best pick under 5.9 as a mid?

    1. griffzinho
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      After next two gameweeks I think so, but not before then.

    2. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would say so, yes.

  23. chelseabrad
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Raph to Bowen for -4? Already have Antonio

    1. TSN
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      no

      1. chelseabrad
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Why not?

    2. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn’t

      1. chelseabrad
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Why not?

  24. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2 moves made already. WC intact.

    Sanchez*
    Trent Cancelo James
    Salah Jota Raphinha Mbuemo
    Ronaldo Antonio King

    Steele* Gilmour Omobamidele Reguilon*

    A) Ride it out and save WC to set me up before Afcon and more info on DGW
    B) Sanchez -> Guaita -4
    C) WC to
    Guaita Gunnarsson
    Trent Cancelo James Dalot Tierney
    Salah Gundo Bowen Bernarndo Gilmour
    Ronaldo Benteke King

    1. Dezzler
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Personally wouldn't take the keeper out, it's one game scoring 0, that could happen for any keeper and he still has the game to play further down the line.

  25. fricky_
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Dalot & DDG or Coufal & Guaita?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      First

    2. FredUpAlready
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dalot and DDG by a mile

  26. Willesden Mariner
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Gundo or Mount in for Jota?

    1. akhilrajau
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think mount

  27. suddenorgan
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sanchez -> DDG for free? Have Jota but White can come in for him

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      For free? Absolutely.

    2. Kodap
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would you make this move for a -8, if you've already taken a -4 hit lol

      1. fricky_
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Probably not

      2. suddenorgan
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        is he more likely to score 4?

        1. suddenorgan
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          *more than 4, or less than 4?

  28. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Dalot worth a punt?

    1. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I was considering it, crazy cheap for a Utd def, especially given their fixtures

  29. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of either ESR/Jota playing this week?

    Debating a -8 hit to do Sanchez > DDG but would like at least one of the ESR/Jota combo to be playing to field 11.

  30. akhilrajau
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench ? Have king

    A. Dennis
    B. White

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B 100%

      1. akhilrajau
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thank u