Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 20 and beyond

Gameweek 20 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Everton and Manchester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ODSONNE EDOUARD

ARS/CRY
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NOR | WHU | bha | LIV | nor

Summer signing Odsonne Edouard (£6.3m) has had a mixed start to his Crystal Palace career, producing three goals and two assists across his 15 Premier League appearances.

However, with two games against rock-bottom Norwich City in the next five, plus an away trip to Watford that still needs to be rearranged, perhaps as early as Gameweek 21 or 22, he certainly has the potential to kick-on.

The 23-year-old has had to be patient at times this season, and hasn’t always played in his natural centre-forward position, but with Christian Benteke (£6.3m) absent on Boxing Day, plus Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) suspended for Gameweek 20, his chances of a start through the middle on Tuesday certainly looks promising. It’s also worth noting that Zaha, plus Jordan Ayew (£5.8m), will in all likelihood depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) soon, which in turn should create further opportunities for him to play.

Edouard is currently averaging a fairly modest 2.24 shots per 90 minutes at Palace, but there is assist potential, too, as he often arrives in between the lines, looking to combine with those around him, especially box-to-box midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m) and Palace’s wide players.

With a crucial run of games coming up, Edouard can make a real impact, with a home tie against Norwich handing him the perfect opportunity to get his confidence up.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NEW | BHA | nor | AVL | new

After almost four months on the sidelines, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was set to return for Everton’s game against Burnley on Boxing Day, only for it to be called off due to a Covid outbreak in the Toffees’ camp.

As a result, a move for the England international ahead of Gameweek 20 certainly carries some risk, with his level of fitness also in question, but due to the calibre of player, we think it’s worth offering an early heads up that he is back on the FPL radar.

The England international started the 2021/22 campaign in excellent form, scoring in each of the opening three Gameweeks, before suffering an unfortunate toe injury. During that time, he recorded 7.7 points per match, whilst producing 11 shots in the box and an expected goals (xG) total of 3.13, which remains a team-leading figure for Rafa Benitez’s side.

Now, with the striker set to be involved in the next league game against Newcastle United, he could be an effective differential for those willing to move early, knowing that Everton also have a kind run of fixtures to follow, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Norwich City and Aston Villa before the end of January.

Benitez urged caution when discussing Calvert-Lewin’s return recently, but given his side’s current problems, they may have little choice but to throw him in from the start in Gameweek 20.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

FPL Gameweek 17 round-up: Tuesday review, injury news and the things we learned
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £11.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bre | ars | CHE | sou | BRE

It feels strange to include a player like Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in this section of our coverage, but having only recently recovered from Covid, the Belgian comes into Gameweek 20 sitting in just 4.1% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Since his return to Manchester City’s starting XI earlier this month, De Bruyne has netted three goals in his three starts, including a whopping 16-point haul against Leeds United in Gameweek 17. During that time, amongst all midfielders, he has posted league-leading totals for shots, efforts on target and created chances, highlighting his potential to both score and assist.

Rotation, just like it is for all City assets, is of course a concern, especially given his premium price tag. However, having been withdrawn on 70 minutes against Leicester City – Bernardo Silva (£7.6m) and Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), meanwhile, both featured for the full 90 – he will now be pushing for another start against newly-promoted Brentford on Wednesday.

Key to his appeal is that fixture, too, after the Bees’ were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Brighton and Hove Albion on Boxing Day. As a result, they have now shipped 15 goals across their last eight Premier League matches, which suggests Pep Guardiola’s attacking players will be handed plenty of opportunities to get amongst the goals.

De Bruyne has had a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injury and Covid, but is now getting back up to speed, and could be an effective differential pick in Gameweek 20 and beyond.

2,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Zenith UK
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Welp. Rashford punt weren't the one.

    1. BIG TONES
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Mate he was shocking!

      1. Zenith UK
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        I know man, I swerved Moura for him too.

        1. BIG TONES
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          Bugger. Onwards and upwards

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Doubled Ronaldo's score at least.

    3. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Were you the guy asking for punts and I said moura then that it was to risky

      Sorry if so bro!

      1. Zenith UK
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Might be, according to someone who went through my comments only one person replied but I know I spoke about it in multiple places. I didn't want Kane (already had Son) but figured bringing Moura in left me with plenty in the bank to change and he's looked so much better (especially against us (West Ham) in the Carabao Cup) to switch back to Jota for Leicester

  2. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    "I think it was 13 for West Ham, we'll be dangerously close to that" Howe.

    Everton away on Thursday, Saints away on Sunday.

    Avoid all 3 teams!

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      What does he mean with West Ham?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Think he meant how many absentees they needed for a game to be off.

        Covid + injuries.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Allan has been a thorn in my paw for weeks on end, can't even give me 1pt

  3. Royal5
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    What are Bernardo owners doing? He's the Omircon in my team atm

    1. valurth
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Sold for Son

      1. Royal5
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Makes sense. Already own him though.

    2. BIG TONES
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Out for Son for me

    3. Boberella
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Out for Jota for me, but maybe not before brentford

    4. HonestBlatter
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      HOLD

      1. Royal5
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Will he even start though? City has scored and assisted like 20/10 since his last involvement.

        1. Well you know, Triffic
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          Think he'll be rested v Brentford to be ready for the weekend

    5. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Holding

    6. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I'm selling for Son but it's been planned for a while, if you're struggling for 11 or have a weak/ non-existent bench I wouldn't sell

      1. Royal5
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        This is my case tbh. Zero bench. Might have to sell one of Martinelli/Laca

    7. mr. inconspicuous
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Keeping this week and will then look forward shift for Maddison

    8. Will Kane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Was all set to sell this week for Salah... but now I'm wondering about the wisdom of this and thinking about Watkins to Kane instead...

    9. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Our for anyone - KDB, Saka, Son, Salah, Jota. He's rubbish.

  4. Tcheco
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A. Watkins to Antonio
    B. Watkins to DCL
    C. Martinelli to Gray

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      A. I believe Everton game is a major risk to be off

  5. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Jota Son Bilva Foden Bowen
    Ronaldo

    Foster King Livramento Davis

    1FT, 0.3itb

    1. Ramsdale >> DDG (no Salah)
    2. Save FT (and go without Salah)
    3. Bilva Ronaldo >> Salah ASM
    4. Ronaldo >> Kane

    Cheers

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      1

    2. Going Home
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      The same ASM who limped off earlier and might not have a fixture for a couple of GWs due to covid/injuries? Deffo not that one for me

  6. Steve McCroskey
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC team?

    DDG / Bachmann

    TAA / Cancelo / Reguilon / Lamptey / Livramento

    Salah / Son / Jota / Maddison / Bowen

    Antonio / King / Broja

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Looking similar to my draft, like the Maddison pick. Not sure I'm going with Salah.

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I like it. Id be tempted to go without Salah also

    3. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Very good imho.

  7. BIG TONES
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Newcastle will try get their fixtures called off now they don't have Wilson and Saint Max

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      The fact that the 3rd and 4th choice goalkeepers were on the bench tonight suggests they were struggling before the game tonight.

  8. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Pick 1 to bench please out of

    A ...alonso (double Chelsea defence)

    B....bilva (likely rested)

    C....broja v spurs

    Thanks

    1. BIG TONES
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Easy Broja.

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      C

    3. Will Kane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Broja I think. I'm trying to bring in an extra player so I can put Broja first sub but reckon I'll end up with him anyway

  9. GoonerByron
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Should I get rid of a bench midfielder or
    Livra for -4 or just play Livra? 1.7 ITB

    De Gea
    Cancelo - TAA - James - Reguilon - Livra
    Son - Bowen
    Ronaldo - Kane - Dennis

    Foster - Martinelli - ESR - Luiz

  10. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Which keeper to go for then? A)Lloris B)DDG Ideally want Lloris but if I’m to pick a spurs defensive asset and not go for the double up it would be Regullion…but going for DDG makes no sense really. Who would you go for?

    1. Athletico Underachieving
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Same predicament and actually thinking Sanchez. Naff fixture this week but him and Ramsdale rotate well afterwards

    2. Going Home
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Going without a keeper. Ramsdale too good value and can’t afford to upgrade foster at the moment

  11. dshv
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Ramsdale or foster to DDG (rotate, hate this)

    Esr to bowen/gray/moura (have son,reguilon)

    Ronaldo and esr .. to king and salah

    Which one have 2ft?

  12. Will Kane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    I think my plan for this week is to bring Salah(c) in for Bernardo. Leaves me 10 players with a fixture, albeit with some big doubts over a few starting. With 0.2m in the bank I don't see a keeper (5m or less) worth taking a hit for, unless I'm missing anyone?

    No keeper
    TAA James Cancelo Dias
    Salah(c) Son Jota Bowen
    Broja King

    Anything else worth a -4?

    1. Will Kane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Keepers are Ram and Foster

      Bench Tomiyasu Watkins Saka

      1. Oooo Matron
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        I'm in the exact same boat - can't work out whether Foster is worth a - 4 out. Doesn't really seems worth the small upside that a Bachmann or Sanchez would bring.

        Salah in isn't ideal, but he sets up an easy move to KDB or Sterling.

        1. Will Kane
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          I agree. I'm 0.1m short of De Gea which *might* have been worth it. Actually reconsidering the Salah move and debating whether Watkins to Kane is a better move....

  13. Ginola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    What’s your opinion on the moves below? Have Ramsdale and don’t think Sterling will play after 2x 90 mins.

    A. Foster, Sterling, Lacazette > De Gea, Salah (C), Broja
    B. Foster, Sterling, Lacazette > De Gea, Son, Antonio

    1. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Tricky one. B for the long term, but Salah could become Sterling or KDB. Tbh I'd keep Sterling and face this week's likely benching

  14. Oooo Matron
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A or B or something else?

    A) Bernardo & Lacazette (-4) to Salah (C) & King
    B) Bernardo, Lacazette & Foster (-8) to Salah (C), Broja & Sanchez

    Current team:

    No Keeper
    Trent Cancelo James Alonso
    Foden Bernardo Gallagher Son Jota
    Dennis

    Subs Foster, Ramsdale, Lacazette, Watkins, Tierney

  15. Going Home
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Groupthink on here convinced me that I’m better off keeping Ramsdale and not having a keeper this week (Foster on bench and only £0.3itb).

    What do you think of ESR to Gallagher with the FT ahead of a possible FH/WC for DVW21 (as/when we get into)?

    1. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I agree. If Foster gets the #1 shirt back after this injury then he's not worth selling for a week.

      I'd probably move ESR on, but I actually think Saka or Martinelli are best at that price. Maybe just sit on it.

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        I agree im going without a keep too. Id agree Martinelli is the move but as he has no game week next I think Gallagher is a great shout against Norwich

      2. Going Home
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        No arsenal fixture this GW. If I FH/WC over next two weeks then this is a free transfer. So target Norwich, right?

  16. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A) Lloris + Foster
    B) Ramsdale + Sanchez

    Currently have Ramsdale and Foster. Not keen on De Gea with United’s defence

    1. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      B

  17. HonestBlatter
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Only way to get Salah (C) back is to swap with Son with FT...any better ideas?

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Nah, Just captain Son. Not worth to waste 2 FT just to get Salah back and then sell him again. Especially with all that postponement drama.

  18. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    No Mo (off to IKEA to buy a big sofa), who to captain:

    1. TAA (lei)
    2. Jota (lei)
    3. Son (sou)
    4. Ronaldo (BUR)

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Not 4

    2. ResultatFar
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      2. Leicester was shocking at the back

    3. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Probably 2

    4. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Won't be popular but 4, I am looking to captain again.

    5. Boberella
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      1 or 3.
      Not 4

    6. DycheDycheBaby
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Jota is very tempting. Leicester so bad at set pieces and Jota loves a header.

  19. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    James or Rudi to Regi?

    James has binary scores & Rudi is differential?

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Rudi

    2. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Regi - Chelsea assets time to be shifted.

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Rudi or James out this week?

    3. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Surely not before BHA

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Struggling to keep clean sheet against worst teams?

  20. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    The margins in FPL are someitmes so small. If I have waited couple of minutes before transferring Watkins in last GW, I would have read that the game is postponed and then would get Lacazette instead. 14 pts swing. Happens.

  21. matiakez
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    I'm only just catching up but how does Varane end on 2 BPs??

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      He was at fault for the goal?

    2. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      He was Maguires legs for 90mins

  22. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Any help would be hugely welcomed. 1FT & 1.3 available. Willing to take a hit to sort this out a bit.
    .....
    James Cancelo Livramento TAA Dalot
    Bissouma KDB Jota
    Kane .....
    Ramsdale, ESR, Laca & Ramsey -no game. Foster & Wilson - injured
    Would appreciate any idea's. Cheers

  23. RogDog_jimmy
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Is this crazy?

    Gundo + Alonso + Ronaldo > Salah + Johnson + Jesus (-8)
    Gambling on City starters…

    Ramsdale*
    TAA, James, Cancelo
    Salah(c), Foden, Jota, Gallagher
    Antonio, Jesus, Watkins

    Foster, Johnson, Gabriel*, Martinelli*

    Leaves 0.5 itb if I want to upgrade Ramsdale too.

    1. Oooo Matron
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah. Don't like any of it.

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Too risky not worth it
      Destroying your team for salah doesn’t make sense
      Although if he hauls he’ll destroy our rank but still

    3. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Have I missed something? Why are people getting Salah back? Because I would say it's pretty crazy to be honest.

    4. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Cool - thanks from the reality check!

      I’m bored mainly. FPL isn’t fun right now. Want to get fun players and enjoy it again.

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Fair enough. And I agree that FPL isn't much of a fun lately...

  24. Netters2018
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone know why ben davies was dropped for tanganga yesterday?

    1. Jarnathan
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I'd like to know this too - I think he's a better option than Dalot if he's going to keep playing.

    2. Azurri
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Its probably just rotation. They play tomorrow.

  25. winchester
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Evening lads, have 1ft and 4.9m itb. any moves in mind? GTG&roll? Plan is to bring back salah after afcon. cheers.

    *
    taa - james - cancelo - reguilon
    bernardo - jota - bowen - son
    antonio - dennis

    (ramsdale - foster - livra - watkins - saka)

    OUT
    a) ramsdale
    b) foster

    IN
    1) ddg
    2) sanchez
    3) any other?

    1. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      B2

  26. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Is any manager capable of getting this United team consistent

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      No. The central midfield is the most important area in football and United have been shocking in that department for several years. Arsenal's decline can be directly correlated with their weak central midfield over the years. We've also seen how shocking Chelsea look without Kante / Kovacic.

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Rangnick has been around only for a couple of weeks. Be patient

  27. mr. inconspicuous
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Any danger of Salah rising tonight? Currently on 86%

  28. Grande Tubarão
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Wow, Utd fans turning on Rangnick already

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Unfortunately we have a large portion of supporters (for want of a better term) that will turn on anything at the drop of a hat. Not really what I would call support.

      1. Grande Tubarão
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, seems way too early for me

  29. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone captaining Kane next week?

  30. AC Yew
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    How's my WC looking?

    Sanchez DDG
    Lowton Dier TAA Cancelo Laporte
    Salah Jota Son Ramsey Bowen
    Broja Antonio King