Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 20 and beyond

Gameweek 20 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Everton and Manchester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ODSONNE EDOUARD

ARS/CRY
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NOR | WHU | bha | LIV | nor

Summer signing Odsonne Edouard (£6.3m) has had a mixed start to his Crystal Palace career, producing three goals and two assists across his 15 Premier League appearances.

However, with two games against rock-bottom Norwich City in the next five, plus an away trip to Watford that still needs to be rearranged, perhaps as early as Gameweek 21 or 22, he certainly has the potential to kick-on.

The 23-year-old has had to be patient at times this season, and hasn’t always played in his natural centre-forward position, but with Christian Benteke (£6.3m) absent on Boxing Day, plus Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) suspended for Gameweek 20, his chances of a start through the middle on Tuesday certainly looks promising. It’s also worth noting that Zaha, plus Jordan Ayew (£5.8m), will in all likelihood depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) soon, which in turn should create further opportunities for him to play.

Edouard is currently averaging a fairly modest 2.24 shots per 90 minutes at Palace, but there is assist potential, too, as he often arrives in between the lines, looking to combine with those around him, especially box-to-box midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m) and Palace’s wide players.

With a crucial run of games coming up, Edouard can make a real impact, with a home tie against Norwich handing him the perfect opportunity to get his confidence up.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NEW | BHA | nor | AVL | new

After almost four months on the sidelines, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was set to return for Everton’s game against Burnley on Boxing Day, only for it to be called off due to a Covid outbreak in the Toffees’ camp.

As a result, a move for the England international ahead of Gameweek 20 certainly carries some risk, with his level of fitness also in question, but due to the calibre of player, we think it’s worth offering an early heads up that he is back on the FPL radar.

The England international started the 2021/22 campaign in excellent form, scoring in each of the opening three Gameweeks, before suffering an unfortunate toe injury. During that time, he recorded 7.7 points per match, whilst producing 11 shots in the box and an expected goals (xG) total of 3.13, which remains a team-leading figure for Rafa Benitez’s side.

Now, with the striker set to be involved in the next league game against Newcastle United, he could be an effective differential for those willing to move early, knowing that Everton also have a kind run of fixtures to follow, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Norwich City and Aston Villa before the end of January.

Benitez urged caution when discussing Calvert-Lewin’s return recently, but given his side’s current problems, they may have little choice but to throw him in from the start in Gameweek 20.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

FPL Gameweek 17 round-up: Tuesday review, injury news and the things we learned
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £11.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bre | ars | CHE | sou | BRE

It feels strange to include a player like Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in this section of our coverage, but having only recently recovered from Covid, the Belgian comes into Gameweek 20 sitting in just 4.1% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Since his return to Manchester City’s starting XI earlier this month, De Bruyne has netted three goals in his three starts, including a whopping 16-point haul against Leeds United in Gameweek 17. During that time, amongst all midfielders, he has posted league-leading totals for shots, efforts on target and created chances, highlighting his potential to both score and assist.

Rotation, just like it is for all City assets, is of course a concern, especially given his premium price tag. However, having been withdrawn on 70 minutes against Leicester City – Bernardo Silva (£7.6m) and Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), meanwhile, both featured for the full 90 – he will now be pushing for another start against newly-promoted Brentford on Wednesday.

Key to his appeal is that fixture, too, after the Bees’ were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Brighton and Hove Albion on Boxing Day. As a result, they have now shipped 15 goals across their last eight Premier League matches, which suggests Pep Guardiola’s attacking players will be handed plenty of opportunities to get amongst the goals.

De Bruyne has had a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injury and Covid, but is now getting back up to speed, and could be an effective differential pick in Gameweek 20 and beyond.

2,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. putana
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    holding onto jesus for one more week and hoping he gets a return

    1. Davros
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Might need to wait til Easter

  2. Muscout
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone else’s transfer not going through work out as a bit of a blessing?
    Exact 0 difference for me but now I still have Salah instead of getting rid for Ron

    1. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe for you but for the majority it certainly wasn't.

  3. OptimusBlack
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Which FH is better ?
    A- 4-4-2
    DDG
    Tsimi Reguilón TAA Guéhi
    Salah © Gallagher Foden Bowen
    Lukaku Ronaldo
    B- 4-5-1
    DDG
    Reguilón TAA Cancelo James
    Son Gallagher Foden Jota Salah
    (Dennis or Antonio )

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Any Help :/

    2. ZimZalabim
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      B with Antonio

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Thxxx

  4. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Jota Son Bilva Foden Bowen
    Ronaldo

    Foster King Livramento Davis

    Would you start King over anyone?

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Ronaldo

  5. jimbo90
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    DDG (Foster)
    TAA Cancelo James Dalot (Tierney*)
    Jota Foden Bernardo Sissoko (Martinelli*)
    Ronaldo Laca* (Watkins*)

    1FT

    A) Laca > Antonio
    B) Martinelli > Gallagher

    1. jimbo90
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      C) Both for -4

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      A

  6. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Correction*

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Jota Son Bilva Foden Bowen
    Ronaldo

    Foster King Livramento Davis

    Would you start King over anyone?

  7. Dušan Citizen
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Do you think Son could start from the bench tomorrow?

    Kane has to play, but Moura, Alli, Gil, Bergwijn can cover Son and then he can come off the bench if needed.

    1. Ginola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      He got his rest on Sunday. Pretty sure he’ll pay.

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        15 mins is not a big rest tho

        1. Rog.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          Missed carabao cup, well came on from the bench

    2. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah I think he plays

    3. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Probably starts. Was subbed on 70. Will be subbed early again if tired.

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Nope

    5. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Kane came off before Son yesterday, in fact replaced by Bergwijn, so Kane has cover himself in Son.

  8. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Will Bernardo stert vs Berntford?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I dernt kner to ber hernest

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Kidding, hard to ever know but don't see why he wouldn't to be honest

    2. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Pray Father Pep

  9. BlzE_94
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Captain Son vs Southampton or Ronaldo vs Burnley

    1. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Son for me

    2. Ginola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Easy decision based on tonight’s game. Son.

    3. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      You saw it this evening

    4. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Ronaldo

  10. Rog.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Considering Moura vs Bowen

    Moura: Decent fixtures, spurs growing in confidence, 3 fixtures to be rearranged but lower xG, possible rotation with Ali? Knee jerky?

    Bowen: Nailed first choice, Norwich fixture to be rearranged, good short term fixtures, much higher xG but underperforming a little, possible rest this week? West Ham faltering a little?

    Alternative is play Liv this week and reassess next week.

    Bowen the logical pick, Moura the exciting pick?

    1. Dušan Citizen
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I am afraid Bowen could get a rest tomorrow

      1. Rog.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah I’m thinking the same

    2. Ginkapo FPL
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      There is no way Bowen is a logical pick

      1. Rog.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        You don’t think? How come? Who else at that bracket, already have Raph on the bench this week.

  11. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    2.1 ITB, 0 FT, do I take a hit for given probability of rotation? If so, who do I bring in and who to bench? Tough one!

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo Dias James Alonso
    Son(c) Foden Jota(vc) Bowen
    King

    Lacazette Watkins ESR

  12. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    2 FTs, £0.0 ITB…

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo James Dier
    Salah(C) Foden(VC) Jota Bernardo
    Antonio Dennis

    Foster*; Livramento ESR* Lacazette*

    I’m thinking that ESR, Lacazette and Bernardo need to go but no idea who to bring in…

    Inspiration please…

  13. El Presidente
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    What's the situation with Wilson? I really like him as a punt

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Wait and see. Could be gone for a long time

    2. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      *liked

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Expect he's a sell as injured.

    4. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Muscle injury by the looks of things. Wouldn’t back him for the next few.

    5. Karhumies
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      ASM is getting the FPL points when they are both fit.

  14. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Oh damn new page. RP, sorry: Thoughts on my WC right now?
    Not specifically planning to BB in GW22 (maybe FH)

    DDG
    Dalot Reguilon Trent Cancelo Laporte
    Son Moura Jota Bowen
    Ronaldo

    Pickford | King, Maddison, Broja | 0.1 ITB

    My main concern for me is tripling-up on outfield Spurs players, given the potential for postponements. Perhaps the upside is worth it. If I hear about a postponement before a game, they are all downgrade-able if necessary (e.g. Moura to Gray or Arsenal).

    Other concern is Ronaldo. Do you think I should reconsider his inclusion? Would like to double on outfield United players due to fixtures, but not if they are shite I suppose

    1. School of Poch
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Still think Ronaldo can come good, agree about the triple up with Spurs - but not sure who else I'd have in place of Moura. other 2 should stay definitely. Not sure about Laporte think Cancelo is enough - overall I like it.

    2. Ginkapo FPL
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      United are shite

      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        1/8 of budget on a player you cant captain

    3. Karhumies
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Man City is not expected to get a DGW in 21/22, so dropping one of their defenders for a DGW player is an option.

      DDG + Pickford seems expensive. Sanchez is 0.3 cheaper than Pickford.

  15. School of Poch
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A: Mbuemo > Gallagher
    B: Hwang > Broja
    C: White > Reguilon
    D: Mbuemo Hwang > Bowen Broja (-4)
    E: Laca Mbuemo > Antonio Maddison (-4)
    F: Laca White > Antonio Reguilon (-4)

    DDG
    TAA James Cancelo Liv
    Son Jota Bilva Mbuemo
    Ron

    Bachmann Laca White Hwang McArthur

    1FT 0.8

  16. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Going round in circles. What would you do here please? Thanks

    (Ramsdale foster)
    Taa James alonso cancelo (livra)
    Jota Foden bilva bowen (esr)
    Ronaldo king (laca)

    A.....just get a keeper

    B....Ronaldo esr and ramsdale to salah broja and ddg - 8

    C....Laca bilva and ramsdale to son broja and ddg - 8.....aim to bb in 22

    1. FredrikH
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Anything but a looks irrational to me.

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      A

  17. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Last Man Standing GW19 (892 teams)

    Safety score = 29
    Top score = 82
    LMS average = 46.2 (-2.37) = 43.83

    101 teams to be removed, 791 teams through to GW20.
    9% or minimum 72 out next GW.
    Congrats to all the survivors. 🙂

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Been a while since I've made it past halfway, cheers TM.

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        🎉

  18. HarryS
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Which 2 to play?

    A) Regulion
    B) Bowen
    C) Maddison

    1. School of Poch
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      AB

    2. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      C for sure

  19. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one:
    Antonio (wat)
    Bernardo (bre)
    Dennis (WHU)

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Dennis

    2. School of Poch
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      B or D

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Dennis

  20. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Bernardo & Lacazette to…

    A - Bowen & Cavani
    B - Lucas Moura & Cavani
    C - Son & Broja

    1. School of Poch
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      C

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      C

    3. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      C no brainer

  21. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Non Salah owners who are you planning to captain Captain ?

    I am on Son

    1. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Son or Jota

    2. Ginola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Cancelo or Son.

    3. FredrikH
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Between Son and Jota.

    4. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Foden

    5. Saka Rice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Not Ronaldo?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        No

        1. Saka Rice
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          Really?

  22. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    No reason not to do Ramsdale to DDG right?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      GW21 might be one.

      1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Arsenal have got City though…?

        1. Firmino
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          United might not play

          1. Saka Rice
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 3 months ago

            Why not?

          2. The-Red-1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 3 months ago

            Or might pay twice

  23. JariL
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC draft? 1.0 ITB.

    DDG / Sanchez
    TAA / Cancelo / Reguilon / Emerson / Dalot
    Salah / Son / Jota / Maddison / Bowen
    Maupay / King / Broja

    Could go Livra and Antonio over Dalot and Maupay (0.1 ITB) but I feel sick getting Antonio back after having held him through all those blanks.

    1. JariL
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Even considering DCL since I'd have the depth to cover if he's eased in.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Looks solid. Not convinced with double United defence.

      1. JariL
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Me neither really. I'd love to have a solid 4.0-4.4 def option. Would be great if we knew whether Ben Johnson gets his place back. Might just keep Livra (4.2 sell value).

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          Duffy or if you can stretch to Lamptey might be the ones to consider. For DCL, I would rather wait he gets some mins under his belt. Hasn't played in 3-4 months

          1. JariL
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 3 months ago

            Cheers. Something to consider.

            I feel like you're always replying to my questions. Really appreciate it mate.

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 5 Years
              2 years, 3 months ago

              Haha no worries. We are all here looking for help and suggestions.

  24. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    I'm interested to know what you would do with this team with 0ITB. Can't do a GK transfer without taking a hit. Seems like save FT and play with 10 players

    1FT 0ITB
    Ramsdale* (SP 4.8m)
    Cancelo James Alonso TAA
    Bernardo Gallagher Foden Salah Jota
    Antonio
    (Foster King Livramento Watkins*)

    1. JariL
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Yeah, I wouldn't sell Ramsdale since you got him so early.

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. Not convinced with United's def for CS but I'm sure DDG will rack up some save points. Only move I can think of is Watkins to Broja to get some cash but the bench is fine (at the moment) and saving a FT seems the better move this GW

        1. JariL
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah, I think the extra transfer will be more valuable later on. Might need to ship one of the Chelsea defs after Brighton and Salah after Chelsea.

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 3 months ago

            Yeah eyeing up Son and Reguilon next GW for Alonso/James and Salah. A bit torn though since Chelsea are likely to have a double but defence will be missing Mendy and probably Kante with an injury

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      If no more cancellations not seeing any obvious move so yes save.

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Agreed cheers unless I take a hit but not sure it's worth it

  25. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A - Bilva & Laca -> Bowen/Moura/Gallagher & Cavani (free)
    B - Bilva & Laca -> Son & Broja (free)
    C - Laca -> Cavani (free)
    D - Bilva, ESR & Laca -> 2 of Bowen/Moura/Gallagher & Cavani (-4)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      B

  26. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A. Foden & James to Son & Dier (-4)
    B. Foden & ESR to Son & Ramsey (-4)
    C. Ignore Son and save FT

    1. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Foden should be due

    2. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      James has to go next week surely? Seems a shame to go this week?

  27. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    And who would you bench here (just one)

    A) Bernardo (bre)
    B) Dennis (WHU)
    C) Antonio (wat)

  28. Saka Rice
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Why are people getting rid of Bilva?

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Since KDB came back he’s playing a lot deeper… hence his much decreased output

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Man City last 17 goals, zero Bernardo involvement.

  29. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Best Lacazette alternative?

    1. Gooner97
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Antonio or King, not much

      1. boroie
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Got Antonio, and have Dennis already. Will be switching Dennis to King next week.

        Than you for the reply though. Any others?

        1. soup natsi
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          I considered DCL but apparently one week too early for that.

  30. RogDog_jimmy
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Starting to consider a FH for this gw.
    Partly for fun. Partly to avoid hits and get Salah (c) back.

    Guaita, Butland
    TAA, Cancelo, Reguillon (Mitchell, Amartey)
    Salah (c), Son, Jota, Foden, Grealish
    Iheanacho, Edouard (Broja)

    It’s not toooo much different from where I can get to with a -8 so probably not worth it.

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Not bad