Spot the Differential
27 December 2021 2463 comments
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Gameweek 20 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Everton and Manchester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ODSONNE EDOUARD

ARS/CRY
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NOR | WHU | bha | LIV | nor

Summer signing Odsonne Edouard (£6.3m) has had a mixed start to his Crystal Palace career, producing three goals and two assists across his 15 Premier League appearances.

However, with two games against rock-bottom Norwich City in the next five, plus an away trip to Watford that still needs to be rearranged, perhaps as early as Gameweek 21 or 22, he certainly has the potential to kick-on.

The 23-year-old has had to be patient at times this season, and hasn’t always played in his natural centre-forward position, but with Christian Benteke (£6.3m) absent on Boxing Day, plus Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) suspended for Gameweek 20, his chances of a start through the middle on Tuesday certainly looks promising. It’s also worth noting that Zaha, plus Jordan Ayew (£5.8m), will in all likelihood depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) soon, which in turn should create further opportunities for him to play.

Edouard is currently averaging a fairly modest 2.24 shots per 90 minutes at Palace, but there is assist potential, too, as he often arrives in between the lines, looking to combine with those around him, especially box-to-box midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m) and Palace’s wide players.

With a crucial run of games coming up, Edouard can make a real impact, with a home tie against Norwich handing him the perfect opportunity to get his confidence up.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NEW | BHA | nor | AVL | new

After almost four months on the sidelines, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was set to return for Everton’s game against Burnley on Boxing Day, only for it to be called off due to a Covid outbreak in the Toffees’ camp.

As a result, a move for the England international ahead of Gameweek 20 certainly carries some risk, with his level of fitness also in question, but due to the calibre of player, we think it’s worth offering an early heads up that he is back on the FPL radar.

The England international started the 2021/22 campaign in excellent form, scoring in each of the opening three Gameweeks, before suffering an unfortunate toe injury. During that time, he recorded 7.7 points per match, whilst producing 11 shots in the box and an expected goals (xG) total of 3.13, which remains a team-leading figure for Rafa Benitez’s side.

Now, with the striker set to be involved in the next league game against Newcastle United, he could be an effective differential for those willing to move early, knowing that Everton also have a kind run of fixtures to follow, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Norwich City and Aston Villa before the end of January.

Benitez urged caution when discussing Calvert-Lewin’s return recently, but given his side’s current problems, they may have little choice but to throw him in from the start in Gameweek 20.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

FPL Gameweek 17 round-up: Tuesday review, injury news and the things we learned
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £11.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bre | ars | CHE | sou | BRE

It feels strange to include a player like Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in this section of our coverage, but having only recently recovered from Covid, the Belgian comes into Gameweek 20 sitting in just 4.1% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Since his return to Manchester City’s starting XI earlier this month, De Bruyne has netted three goals in his three starts, including a whopping 16-point haul against Leeds United in Gameweek 17. During that time, amongst all midfielders, he has posted league-leading totals for shots, efforts on target and created chances, highlighting his potential to both score and assist.

Rotation, just like it is for all City assets, is of course a concern, especially given his premium price tag. However, having been withdrawn on 70 minutes against Leicester City – Bernardo Silva (£7.6m) and Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), meanwhile, both featured for the full 90 – he will now be pushing for another start against newly-promoted Brentford on Wednesday.

Key to his appeal is that fixture, too, after the Bees’ were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Brighton and Hove Albion on Boxing Day. As a result, they have now shipped 15 goals across their last eight Premier League matches, which suggests Pep Guardiola’s attacking players will be handed plenty of opportunities to get amongst the goals.

De Bruyne has had a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injury and Covid, but is now getting back up to speed, and could be an effective differential pick in Gameweek 20 and beyond.

  1. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do Ramsdale to De Gea today cause I will be priced out if DDG rises in price, or leave it for tomorrow to take some time to think about it

    1. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wait, and I'd keep Ramsdale

    2. boroie
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why do you want to do this?

      Not worth it for 1 week in my opinion. 1 goal from Burnley and it was a waste of a transfer.

      1. sully29
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ramsdale has more than one blank ahead of him.

      2. Can’t beat em so&hell…
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Arsenal’s next two are City and Spurs.

    3. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m in the same boat. What’s tipping me over is I have White and cannot afford 0.1 change. I’m going tonight

    4. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I just pulled the trigger.

      Risky, but YOLO

    5. BIG TONES
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm probably just guna go no keeper and keep ramsdale. He should tick over with save points at the least moving forward

  2. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    DDG (Bach)
    Alonso Cancelo Livra Amartey TAA
    Silva Foden Son Jota (ESR)
    Broja (Laca, Watkins)

    1FT, 2.5ITB

    A) Get Salah back
    B) Laca/Watkins to Antonio/Maupay/King
    C) Sell Amartey
    D) ESR to Bowen/Gray/Maddison/Gallagher
    E) Other

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      How would you get Salah back?

    2. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Laca to Antonio

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        It seems the obvious choice. Even tho I did Antonio to Laca last GW... so I'd have gone King just for a change

  3. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed…

    And who would you bench here (just one)

    A) Bernardo (bre)
    B) Dennis (WHU)
    C) Antonio (wat)

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      LOL I made the same post last page

      1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ha. Happy with the Dennis answer?

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I was going to bench Antonio, but considering Bernardo. Dennis is rested and has good stats so will probably keep faith with him.

    2. boroie
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

      Are you FHing or how have you ended up with such a luxurious choice of benching 1 of these 3?

      1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Nope. Just got lucky I guess.

        Unless there’s someone else to bench?

        DDG
        James/ Trent/ Cancelo/ Dalot
        Bilva/ Son/ Jota/ Gallagher
        Kane/ Antonio

        Bench - Dennis

        1. boroie
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Nice team… I think I’d bench Dennis over Bernardo though

      2. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Steele†
        TAA James Rüdiger Cancelo
        Gallagher Salah(c) Jota Bowen Bernardo
        Dennis
        [Ramsdale* Antonio Coady* Watkins*]
        £0.7M 1ft

    3. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  4. JBG
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So apparently MU didn't really train before this match and most of the players that played had covid. Not sure I want MU assets in my team immediately (sadly I brought in CR for this GW).

    1. Firmino
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Where did u get this info?

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Harry Maguire: “The training ground has been shut, half the lads plying today are recovering from the virus. So, of course, it is not going to help us. We don't want to use it as an excuse, but, of course, it has a big impact on the game.” [MUTV]

        1. Scots Gooner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          'We don't want to use it as an excuse, but...'

        2. The Mighty Hippo
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          What's his excuse for the rest of the season?

          1. JBG
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Haha yeah... I want Lindelol ahead of him, but oh well.

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      They looked like they have never trained.

  5. soup natsi
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Eric Dier or Davinson Sanchez?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dier

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Interested in this answer

    3. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I don't like such picks tbh.

      1. soup natsi
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, much needed input this

        1. Shark Team
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Defs who don't provide attacking returns are not useful. Sacrifice smth else in your squad and go Reguilon

          1. soup natsi
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I don't get why some people are so keen to teach others how to play their game? I guess it's my fault for asking for the hivemind's opinion in the first place.

  6. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 2.6m ITB

    Guaita?
    Cancelo James TAA Livra
    Foden Bernardo Jota Son
    King

    Foster* - Laca* White* ESR* Watkins*

    Could get Salah back in, but should probably prioritise selling an Arsenal player and get a keeper who has not vanished off the face of the Earth. Antonio + DDG/Lloris in for Laca + Guaita?

    1. FredrikH
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Guaita could be playing. I'd do a Laca -> Antonio and spare the hit.

      1. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, seems unnecessary to take the hit unless he's 100% confirmed out, but it's getting a bit silly having no keeper for 4 weeks.

  7. fijuhmon
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale *

    TAA, Reece, Cancelo, Livra

    Salah, Silva, Foden, Jota

    King, Lacacette *

    Foster *, White *, Raphinha *, Watkins *

    So down to 9 starters at the moment. 1ft, 0.4 itb. A bit lost what to do next.

    A) Laca to Antonio

    B) Laca and White to Antonio and Reguilon for a -4 (makes my defense too expensive?)

    C) Laca and Silva to Broja and Son for a -4 (madness to sell a player with fixture?)

    Or something else?

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B and C both good options - perhaps lean towards C

  8. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    62 from FH thought I was doing alright, ml opponent FH 101 🙁

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      44 for my free hit. Lol

  9. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Everton vs newcastle going ahead ya?
    Punting on dcl

    1. BIG TONES
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No one really knows, but Newcastle were already short and Wilson / st max are both out now

  10. JBG
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Butland first choice now? Haven't seen any news on Guaita.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Reference couple of pages back that he may have COVID

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ah, cheers.

    2. Radzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Big question, I have Ramsdale/Guaita. I didn't see any hope of Guaita playing next game so think Guaita->DDG now.

      1. Bram
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ramsdale and DDG rotate very nicely for a while - I have a wc to burn tonight and think I'll be doing it. Don't usually like 2 proper keepers rotating but in these Covid times feels worth it.

  11. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Well Salah will be an easy transfer back in for Ronaldo after that abject performance. Absolute rubbish. Hardly touched the ball

    1. ilikewud
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It’s not a transfer in - it’s two transfers in.

  12. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Wc Draft but i think it really sucks..

    Sanches, DDG
    Regulion, taa, tierney, cancelo, livramento
    Salah, Martinelli, Jota, Moura, Maddison
    Ronaldo, Dennis, Broja

    0,3 itb

    1. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Livramento has peaked, get some one else there - maybe Lowton.
      Martinelli doesn't play and won't have a double in 21. Maybe go Son for him, downgrading Ronaldo to DCL/Antonio.

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I get the hesitancy with rotation but City have scored 30 goals in their last 9 - 17 in their last 3.
      I would be trying to get some of that action in a WC.

      And there’s very little to make me think Ronaldo is worth the money.

      Dennis is leaving in 2 weeks? (and Salah) - I don’t think he’s worth banking a transfer - could easily sit on the bench while away i suppose.

      For me it’s Ronaldo > Watkins/Antonio
      Use that money to move Martinelli > Foden (assuming that math works). Or Moura > Son.

      1. Tshelby
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers! Thanks for the feedback going to use it!

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          To add to Rogdog, think it’s wise to go with one of Antonio or Bowen on wildcard.
          Moura doesn’t cover Son/Kane would much prefer them to Ronaldo.
          Martinelli 2 blanks in 5 plus city I’d pass on them. Easy price to buy back when he’s available.
          If you’re not going city midfield I’d consider Laporte

    3. Bram
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on wc and although he's now staying a bit longer I've sold Salah as I don't want and AFCON issues - gives you money to play with.

      I have CR7 for some expected DGW but as soon as Salah is back from AFCON CR7 is really just holding the cash to buy back.

      City coverage is tricky - I'm struggling to fit in too if trying for expected dgw options but it's a gamble. I'd lose Salah and Dennis though on wc (AFCON) - forget Moura for a Kane or Son with the cash (I went Son) and go from there.

      I'm also on DDG & Ramsdale - hope this helps.

  13. Skout
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How long do we think Wilson is out for?

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      How would anyone know?

      He was running his calf. Assuming it’s a real injury it would be weeks not days.

    2. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Could be anything from 3 weeks to 3 months

    3. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I 'popped' a calf muscle once - was out for 6 weeks.

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Sell as soon as you can.

    4. ilikewud
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Weeks to Months. No one around and went down immediately. Limped off and was not putting pressure on the leg.

  14. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Watkins > Antonio for -4 or just play livramento?

    1. bozankrkic
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play Livra.

  15. Coys96
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What do we make of this FH?

    Butland
    Reguilon - Cancelo - Tsimikas - James
    Salah (c) - Jota - Son - Sterling - Foden
    King

    Gunn - Eduoard - Cucho - Johnson

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why not KDB over Sterling?

      1. Coys96
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Sterling higher ceiling, also don't have the funds. But at least KdB is slightly more nailed.

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lots i wouldn’t do but attacking similar fixtures.
      Think Grealish should play/start so I like him over Sterling.

    3. CC22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’d want TAA over Jota I think. Even with the Tsimikas option.

  16. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So ppl think Moura might be rested nxt game? Spurs trying to make top 4 so why rest ur in form player against a team you should get 3pts frm if u play your strongest team?

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dont get why need to rest him lol

      1. camarozz
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Me either.

  17. Oooo Matron
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts for exact money & - 8:

    BSilva, Lacazette & Foster to Salah (C), Broja & Sanchez

    Current team:
    No Keeper
    Trent Cancelo James Alonso
    Jota Gallagher Foden Son
    Dennis

    Subs:Foster, Ramsdale, Lacazette, Watkins, Tierney

  18. AdamJ91
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT; 2.7ITB

    Dubravka, Foster
    James, Regulion, TAA, Cancelo, Livramento
    Son, Foden, B.Silva, Jota, Brownhill
    King, Pukki, Ronaldo

    Pukki > Antonio?

  19. The Ilfordian
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Planning Gunnarson, Hwang and Lacazette to DDG, Edouard and Antonio for this for -8 (0.5itb)

    DDG. Guaita
    Cancelo Dias Alonso Reg (Manq)
    Jota Son Silva (Marti Luiz)
    Ron Antonio Eduardo

    Wish I had Salah or KDB but otherwise, how does that look?

  20. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rudi & James owners who goes first?

    Rudi more nailed & reliable points James higher ceiling but also binary scores

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Rudiger easily for me. James is playing basically every week these days.

      1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Rudi too tho

    2. boroie
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Rudiger goes first for me

    3. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers

  21. gart888
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Gunn
    Cancelo James Rudiger TAA
    Son(C) Jota Foden Bernardo
    Antonio Dennis

    Ramsdale Livramento (Martinelli) (Watkins)
    1 FT 2.4 ITB

    a) Livramento to Tsimikas
    b) Rudiger to Tsimikas
    c) Roll transfer

    1. boroie
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

      1. gart888
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, I'm inclined to agree. It's a really nice luxury to have after taking -4 the last two GW, but Tsimikas just seems incredible value while Robbo is out, and even then, at 3.7 he's an insane enabler.

        1. boroie
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Robbo is out for 2 games… Leicester(a) and Chelsea(a)… neither of which I would be confident of a clean sheet… then you’re stuck with a player that will never play that you can’t get rid of… which I wouldn’t advise in a season so highly affected by Covid

  22. boroie
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start 1…

    A - Dier
    B - Broja

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dier. Like Spurs to keep a CS over Broja scoring.

  23. boroie
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Bilva & Lacazette to Son & Broja sensible?

  24. C_G
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    get rid of Bilva or Foden?

    Want to bring in Maddison.

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Both

    2. boroie
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bilva this GW, then Foden the next

  25. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Should i get gray or odergard?

    1. FredrikH
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gray all the way

    2. boroie
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gray… but I’d be wary of Howe’s comments this evening… every chance Everton v Newcastle could end up being off

  26. Powers106
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Toney to Edouard for 2nd/3rd on the bench unless v Norwich?

    I currently have Toney, Dennis, Antonio

    Thanks!

  27. DALEDOBACK
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any one else done Salah to (S)on then Son to (S)alah?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking about it. Will probably end up keeping Son though.

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Who would you move Salah to the following week? Back to Son?

      1. DALEDOBACK
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        After Chelsea game possibly!

        1. Bram
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Salah gone for me until after AFCON now.

  28. We Go Again
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lacazette to Ronaldo? How did he look today?

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      God no

    2. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Realy shete

    3. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He looked rubbish in all honesty.

    4. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Piss poor. United setup changed from previous games and didn't work

  29. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any idea what the smart move here is guys? Got bare 11 if they all start. I’m thinking Lacazette out, but for who?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Alonso - Cancelo - Dalot
    Salah - Jota - Foden - Gallagher
    King - Antonio

    Lacazette - Saka - Marcal

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Laca to Broja for funds

  30. gonzalocampos
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is De Tea rising tonight?

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yup

    2. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Incredibly enough yes

    3. Pasqualinho
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Love typos. Looks like a rise is brewing but he might hold off another day. But probably not worth waiting if you want him in.