Scoutcast: FPL Blank Gameweek 30 preview and Double Gameweek reaction

Haven't done the maths, but I am assuming the expected points for both is the same, but just there is greater variability with player 2.

If so, I would look at EO of both players. If they both had the same (or very similar) EO, I would go player 2. If one player had significantly greater EO then I would choose them.

I’d love my defender to have 90% of scoring 1 goal.

I’d like my cheaper strikers/mids ti have 90% of scoring 1

My captain can be b)

Depends on the bonus points data. How likely is a player with 1 goal to gain bonus points? I suppose 2+ is very likely to get max bonus.

Lets do the time warp agaaaiinnnn!

A

B higher ceiling

This is purely a question of variance, and hence it is a question of where you are in your season. If you are trailing and need to make up ground, you should choose the higher variance option. If you are ahead and need to make sure you gain a minimum amount of points / to protect, you aim for lower variance.

If there are less total matches left, higher variance is also more likely to deviate a lot from its expected value, whilst over the course of a season, A and B are probably pretty similiar.

One factor is if the team is low scoring or high scoring, or keep a lot of clean sheets, though. As it may be relevant to bonus. If one goal is seldom enough for 3 bonus, I'd edge towards B.

he is ?

Good news

Looks fine.

My drafts put in cash instead of tierney + spurs wing back (Doherty or regi) and wolves defender (coast/saiss) with same keeper. Not much difference.

Kane/son/barns are the 3 keepers in attack.

After that take your pick. I’m thinking of taking a risk and not getting an arsenal or Villa attacker in favour of Raphinia, Ericsson & Neves. Kane & To et up top.

Could be saka & Coutinhio punish but on a FH like this I’m prepared to take a little bit of a gamble.

Yea, playing city is not easy. That said if you have pope I would play him.

I've got no GW31 DGWers and may go without them (see below)

Yep, reckon so. Although I still have Pope and Weghorst, but not expecting much

Everton - agreed, Burnley have DGW, NOR, DGW so you can justify Pope/Weghorst in my opinion.

I may go Toney -> Weghorst and just keep him over GW 33

Yes I'm losing 0.3m on Salah with the moves above and can only afford to get him back for free if I go for Ramsey or Arsenal mid over Coutinho this GW.

Had no idea he'd gone up to 13.3... guess I stopped paying attention to price changes during the worst of Covid & just haven't got back to it

How many starters you have? I think I would never use my FH just to get one player in, even if he is the best captain choice.

I'm thinking:

GW30 Salah to Ramsey and DCL to Kane (-4)
GW31 Son to Salah and Kilman to James (-4)

Would end up with TAA Robbo James Cancelo defence.

I would be content with just a 5 pointer.

arsenal in good form, i'll settle for 1 goal tbh

Do you think he will start?

Let's hope so !

Solid.

Really good.
Although, I think I’d punt on Toney or Eriksen, given Leicester’s defensive frailties on set pieces.

Yes

yes, both are meh

Yes, use transfers this GW to remove BGWers

Definitely.

probably

I'm considering Ramsey to Barnes his week. I think this move has more chance of points.

Tough one. Has to be one of the attackers (Tierney been a fail for me last few weeks)

B for me (just)

A

Martinelli

B

B, Ode is more an assister of the assister

cheers mates

B

B

Call me mad but I reckon Odegaard could be the one to own in last 9 gameweeks. He keeps creating chances and is taking enough shots to score every now and then. I expect the other two to be rotated more often.

B or save

B

B

Must say, I’m pretty thankful I still have both FH’s and don’t have to use one in GW30.

That's why I got two FHs left. One for GW33 and one for GW36 with a BB for another DGW (possibly GW37).

Yeah, but I don't see that happening

Quarterfinals, with an international break after. Not much incentive for the big teams to rotate heavily. This is *their* squeaky bum time

But yeah, surprises are always possible

I have Cancelo in my team. There is possibility to save ft this week and field only 9 players with triple Spurs attack. Taking a hit if needed is always a possibility and we have free transfers to use imo.

Antonio to Toney, or Dennis to Toney + a bonus 2 points if Antonio plays

Dennis to Toney

I’d take a hit to field 9, but you can’t afford anyone decent really. Willock to Eriksen for free?

Tough one. Willock to Eriksen maybe, or perhaps Willock > Kulusevski and downgrade Broja?

5 different strikers ?

I'm happy enough to have Schmeichel

I agree. Barnes, Maddison and Tielemans will score, but I can see all of them rotated. When they get dgw, we can perhaps expect one start. I think I am going to avoid and let others fall into dgw fever trap.

tough

dalot to wolves?
not sure i would take a hit for ramsay

just hope you pick the right captain, particularly if chasing

otherwise, it is giving up one of the more expensive assets, as you are out of cash

Doubt it GW37 clashes with FA Cup final, so I'm not expecting any more DGW announcements until after the semi-finals in GW33.

Either could return big of course, but I'd say if it's one versus the other then Coutinho edges it.

Barnes. Has better (and more) fixtures after this gw.

A

Barnes?

save

buhuhuhu...

I like Willock's chances vs Everton, tbf

Hwang is your best bet if he is passed fit

Not worth the hit imo

I don't think so. Certainly not for a hit and especially not if you've got 10.

Maybe Gelhart if you wanted forward line fodder but would be silly for a hit (although, as an owner, kinda hoping his goal sees him play a bigger part this week)

Its not like i can do anything about this. wouldnt make a difference even if he gets a red card

Because Salah doesn't hold the record for only player to have three goal involvements when coming on as a substitute.

Oh wait, no, he does.

If arsenal are winning 2-1. Do you take salah off 60 min?! Don’t think so

90 minutes and a brace + assist

Ramsey is the new name for Ramsdale btw.