Spot the Differential
18 March 2022 813 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Blank Gameweek 30 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: lei | che | WHU | wat | TOT

Christian Eriksen (£5.5m) has been instrumental in Brentford’s recent wins over Norwich City and Burnley.

The Dane joined the Bees on a six-month deal after his release by Inter Milan and made his first appearance as a substitute last month.

He has since played the full 90 minutes in successive victories, producing the assist for Ivan Toney’s (£6.6m) opener in the 2-0 win over the Clarets last weekend, before he later provided the pass that led to the forward being fouled for his injury-time spot kick.

Brentford’s improved form has coincided with Thomas Frank’s decision to move from a 3-5-2 to a more attacking 4-3-3 formation, with the creativity of Eriksen in a deeper midfield role key, where he can set the rhythm of his team’s attacks. Already an important part of their approach, the playmaker has amassed 80 opposition-half touches in his last two matches, at least 11 more than any team-mate.

Eriksen has produced three shots and created a modest three chances in his 218 minutes of pitch-time so far, but his dead-ball prowess is a key factor behind his appeal this week, given opponents Leicester City’s tendency to concede from set-plays, which has been apparent all year. The scheduling of the match also favours the visitors: the Foxes were in France on Thursday evening before facing the Bees on Sunday, so Frank’s side may fancy their chances at the King Power.

Brentford’s performances of late suggests they are building some momentum, and as Eriksen settles into his new surroundings, he could be a smart budget differential for our Fantasy teams.

JONNY CASTRO OTTO

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: LEE | AVL | new | MCI (tbc) | bur

Following last weekend’s win at Goodison Park, Wolverhampton Wanderers have now produced successive victories and clean sheets, which has coincided with the return of Jonny Castro Otto (£4.5m) from injury.

And one of the biggest positives from those displays have been the performances of the Spaniard, who ranks joint-third and fifth among defenders for chances created and final-third touches in that time.

Additionally, only Leander Dendoncker (£4.7m) and Raul Jimenez (£7.6m) took up a more advanced role last time out.

Due to injuries to Nelson Semedo (£4.8m) and Ki-Jana Hoever (£3.9m), Bruno Lage doesn’t currently have an experienced alternative to Jonny at right wing-back, with Chiquinho (£5.5m) stepping in during the closing stages of the Watford win, which would seemingly ensure his place in the starting XI for Blank Gameweek 30 at least.

Now, Wolves face Leeds United on Friday and are looking to make it three wins on the spin. There are appealing fixtures to follow, too, with matches against Aston Villa, Newcastle United and Burnley in the next five.

Heading into Blank Gameweek 30, it looks like Jonny will be one of the first names on Lage’s team sheet, and could be a nice differential pick for FPL managers on the lookout for a budget defender.

YOURI TIELEMANS

Tielemans a FPL differential for Gameweek 21 and beyond 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BRE | mun | CRY | new + eve | AVL

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League since his move to Leicester City.

Across his 19 league starts in 2021/22, he has produced six goals and two assists, averaging 4.7 points per match.

Notably, he has also posted team-leading totals for chances created and expected assists (xA), while his all-round ability lends itself to bonus points, with only eight midfielders bettering his tally of 13 across the season.

The injury situation at Leicester certainly isn’t ideal, but in the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.3m), it may give Tielemans’ prospects a further boost, as it’s highly likely he will be on penalty-taking duties this weekend.

Despite suffering back-to-back defeats against Arsenal and Rennes, Brendan Rodgers’ side had previously won four in a row, and now have an appealing run which includes home matches against Brentford and Crystal Palace, before a confirmed Double Gameweek 33 which involves trips to Newcastle United and Everton. They also have two outstanding fixtures that still need to be accommodated somewhere during the run-in.

Tielemans has been a crucial player for a while now, and having been handed a breather at the Emirates last weekend, should be raring to go in Blank Gameweek 30.

813 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Would you bench

    Lacazette
    Maddison or
    Martinelli?

    Thanks

    1. Dan D
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Marti

    2. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Maddison

    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      tough. Marti just

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers guys.

        Good luck for this game week.

  2. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Okay ultimately my FH choices come down to these, which one is a better choice?

    1. Saka, Laca & Tierney
    2. Coutinho, Toney & Cash

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1

  3. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Son average points at home:
    This season: 6.77
    Under Conte: 6.75
    Since DK joined: 5.3 (small sample of only 3 games)

    Average points away:
    This season: 4.1
    Under Conte: 4.1
    Since DK joined: 5.2

    Two home games next, we know Son loves that. I think anybody jumping off him is going to regret it. Remarkably consistent at home, heatmaps look the same since Kulusevski joined and mins per xgi actually down since dk joined 156.7 v 159.5.

    Think lots of people watched him v united where he was crap and have now wrongly given up on one of the best and most consistent sources of points.

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Surely nobody is jumping off him -this- week right?

      If they are they should perhaps check which side West Ham concede most of their chances, and check how often Ben Johnson has played 120 mins.

      1. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I’ve seen Son + x for Kane + y (-4) get suggested a lot online from people who should know better.

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Form is temporary...

  4. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ait Nouri or Jonny this week?

    Tom & FFS are leaning towards Jonny, however Leeds have conceded more chances down the other flank.

    1. Red Red Robins
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Jonny, 2 other right backs injured

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I'm pretty convinced RAN plays, and so are the Wolves forum lot. Pace will be needed against Dan James.

        1. Red Red Robins
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Jonny at right back, Semedo and Hoever are injured so Jonny only right back there
          RAN has Marcal to compete with, still think RAN starts but id go Jonny as no one else there in that position

    2. Fantasy furball
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ait Nouri didn’t start last week, you reckon he’ll start this week?

    3. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      RAN is better if he plays but it’s a fairly big if - if you are confident then go with it

  5. Dan D
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Regulion + Coutinio or Kulu + Terney ?

    1. Pilgrim62
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Second imo

      1. Dan D
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Only for this week

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1st pair for this week only.

      1. Dan D
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        yes -this week only

  6. Pilgrim62
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    My current FT team:

    Sa
    Coady Tierney Cash
    Son Maddy Barnes Saka Kulu
    Kane (c) Laca

    Maybe Saka to Coutinio?

    Any advice?

    1. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      U need coutinho

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Good team but i would take one of barnes or maddison out for Cout or Eriksen

  7. NotsoSpursy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Toney or Jimenez long term ?

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Toney

    2. Pilgrim62
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Toney

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Probably Toney but he has still been overperforming of late.

    4. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks

  8. winchester
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    hey guys! what move should be done? 1ft and 2.4m itb.

    ramsdale
    white doherty
    saka raph ramsey
    jimenez kane

    (dubravka taa rudiger targett mount salah broja)

    a) mount -> kulu or maddison/barnes ?
    b) broja ->?
    c) targett -> coady
    d) save.

  9. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Son + laca -> gabby + kane (-4)?
    Or keep son?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Keep

  10. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Worth doing Son + Laca >> Martenelli + Kane (-4)?
    - Kane the best captain in gw30 and gw32
    - Allows easy switch to ronaldo (c) in dgw33
    - Good chance I might make the same move in gw32

    1. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      creates an extra 1.7m

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      no way

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Nope.

    4. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I do prefer the latter but those are luxury moves. Could you gain just as many points by bringing in another player for a blanket? Etc.

  11. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    GTG here?

    Ramsdale
    Saiss Doherty
    Saka Martinelli Raphinha Kulusevski Ramsey
    Kane(c) Jimenez

    Sanchez and the scousers

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Locked.

    2. Red Red Robins
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      GTG!

  12. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH thoughts ???

    Sa
    Coady Pereira Doherty
    Son Saka Coutinho Maddison
    Kane Lacazette Jimenez

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Very good.

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Like it

    3. Dan D
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      perreira min - sure ?

  13. The Mighty Whites
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A - Play 10 (including Raph)
    B - -4 to get 11 - Liv to Doherty
    ?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  14. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Kilman or Amartey?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kilman

  15. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sorry, bottomed.

    Do we know roughly when we will get confirmation on the doubles in 36/37?

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      before/around GW33 apparently

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thank you.

  16. ManUtdFan977
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    De gea salah broja to ramsdale Barnes Kane -8 yes or no gives me 10 players

  17. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Got 9 for GW30. Just save the FT and use one on Jimi to Weg or DCL next week?

    Or worth bringing in a defender? 0.2 short of Broja to Toney.

    A) Robbo/Rudi to Wolves/Leicester defender
    B) Save

    1FT 0.9ITB
    Ramsdale
    White Doherty
    Saka Kulu Raph Ramsey
    Kane Jimi

    (Dubravka Salah TAA Robbo Rudiger Broja)

    Ta!

  18. tommo1989
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    TAA & Broja to Doherty & Lacazette for -4 to field 11?

  19. buttsy9
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is it vital to sell Trent? I'll be 0.5 short of getting him back in.

    Have 10 players this GW without transfers.

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Why sell him? He doesnt play this weekend and a whole international break to recover.

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      We don't know how long he'll be out do we?

      I know Klopp said 'weeks' but with internationals coming up, he could be back by Watford?

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Its a wait and see for me and an eaay swap to a defender of choice for 31 if still out

    4. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Vital? No. Viable? Yes.

  20. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Current FH, any changes? Really can't decide between 5 Midfielders or playing 433.

    Sa
    Pereira - Tierney - Jonny
    Maddison - Son - Kulu - Coutinho
    Jimi - Laca - Kane (c)

    Raya - Saka - Cash - Amartey

  21. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Trent to Regulion?

  22. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which option best:

    A. Willock to Maddy
    B. Adams to Toney
    C. Both for -4
    D. save FT

  23. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FFS can't decide...

    Buy

    A Jimmy
    B toney

    Sell

    A pukki
    B Adams

    Thanks

  24. AD2110
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any news on Raphina or is it fake?

    1. Fantasy furball
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Rumors he has covid and rumors he’s on the team bus. Hope only one is true.

  25. jimmy.floyd
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Reguilon or Doherty on FH?

  26. akhilrajau
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to bench
    A. Cash
    B. Johny
    C. Pereia

  27. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Son to Kane sellers every chance of feeling very siick this weekend

  28. Cheeky Onion
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Rate my FH Team - 2.3m ITB:

    Sa
    Tierney - White - Coady - Cash
    Son - Saka - Tielemans
    Kane - Jimenez - Toney

    Schmeichel - Barnes - Coutinho - Doherty

  29. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sensible FH or suicidal? I'm chasing if it makes any difference.


    Reguilón, Saïss, Coady
    Coutinho, Son, Maddison, Barnes
    Kane, Lacazette, Toney

    Subs: Martínez, Saka, White, Thomas

    1. Zilla
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Why suicidal, looks like every other FH bar Son

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Triple wolves defence, thought most were expecting Leeds to score. Thanks for the feedback.

  30. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Trent and Broja > Coady and Lacazette(-4) ?

    TAA selling price is 8.3m and so I don't lose much, and can get him in when he's fit, even if that's for Watford