Spot the Differential
18 March 2022 813 comments
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Blank Gameweek 30 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: lei | che | WHU | wat | TOT

Christian Eriksen (£5.5m) has been instrumental in Brentford’s recent wins over Norwich City and Burnley.

The Dane joined the Bees on a six-month deal after his release by Inter Milan and made his first appearance as a substitute last month.

He has since played the full 90 minutes in successive victories, producing the assist for Ivan Toney’s (£6.6m) opener in the 2-0 win over the Clarets last weekend, before he later provided the pass that led to the forward being fouled for his injury-time spot kick.

Brentford’s improved form has coincided with Thomas Frank’s decision to move from a 3-5-2 to a more attacking 4-3-3 formation, with the creativity of Eriksen in a deeper midfield role key, where he can set the rhythm of his team’s attacks. Already an important part of their approach, the playmaker has amassed 80 opposition-half touches in his last two matches, at least 11 more than any team-mate.

Eriksen has produced three shots and created a modest three chances in his 218 minutes of pitch-time so far, but his dead-ball prowess is a key factor behind his appeal this week, given opponents Leicester City’s tendency to concede from set-plays, which has been apparent all year. The scheduling of the match also favours the visitors: the Foxes were in France on Thursday evening before facing the Bees on Sunday, so Frank’s side may fancy their chances at the King Power.

Brentford’s performances of late suggests they are building some momentum, and as Eriksen settles into his new surroundings, he could be a smart budget differential for our Fantasy teams.

JONNY CASTRO OTTO

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: LEE | AVL | new | MCI (tbc) | bur

Following last weekend’s win at Goodison Park, Wolverhampton Wanderers have now produced successive victories and clean sheets, which has coincided with the return of Jonny Castro Otto (£4.5m) from injury.

And one of the biggest positives from those displays have been the performances of the Spaniard, who ranks joint-third and fifth among defenders for chances created and final-third touches in that time.

Additionally, only Leander Dendoncker (£4.7m) and Raul Jimenez (£7.6m) took up a more advanced role last time out.

Due to injuries to Nelson Semedo (£4.8m) and Ki-Jana Hoever (£3.9m), Bruno Lage doesn’t currently have an experienced alternative to Jonny at right wing-back, with Chiquinho (£5.5m) stepping in during the closing stages of the Watford win, which would seemingly ensure his place in the starting XI for Blank Gameweek 30 at least.

Now, Wolves face Leeds United on Friday and are looking to make it three wins on the spin. There are appealing fixtures to follow, too, with matches against Aston Villa, Newcastle United and Burnley in the next five.

Heading into Blank Gameweek 30, it looks like Jonny will be one of the first names on Lage’s team sheet, and could be a nice differential pick for FPL managers on the lookout for a budget defender.

YOURI TIELEMANS

Tielemans a FPL differential for Gameweek 21 and beyond 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BRE | mun | CRY | new + eve | AVL

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League since his move to Leicester City.

Across his 19 league starts in 2021/22, he has produced six goals and two assists, averaging 4.7 points per match.

Notably, he has also posted team-leading totals for chances created and expected assists (xA), while his all-round ability lends itself to bonus points, with only eight midfielders bettering his tally of 13 across the season.

The injury situation at Leicester certainly isn’t ideal, but in the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.3m), it may give Tielemans’ prospects a further boost, as it’s highly likely he will be on penalty-taking duties this weekend.

Despite suffering back-to-back defeats against Arsenal and Rennes, Brendan Rodgers’ side had previously won four in a row, and now have an appealing run which includes home matches against Brentford and Crystal Palace, before a confirmed Double Gameweek 33 which involves trips to Newcastle United and Everton. They also have two outstanding fixtures that still need to be accommodated somewhere during the run-in.

Tielemans has been a crucial player for a while now, and having been handed a breather at the Emirates last weekend, should be raring to go in Blank Gameweek 30.

813 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    How long do people expect Trent out for? Missing the Watford game for sure? Read some reports saying likely out of City as well. Surely gotta sell if that long.

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      too much value tied up for me to sell

      1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I bought at 7.5. Worth 8.5, would sell for 8 now, so feel the same.
        But if he was out for 4 weeks, I am thinking he drops .3 over that time, maybe .4 and would be worth selling.
        If out only til after international break, am thinking he drops only .2 max.

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Wait for news closer to deadline, all up in the air for now. Everyone has huge value tied to him.

      1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        You mean this week's deadline? Only 2 hours to go! I don't like risking having to login 5 mins beforehand and finding the site crashing!

        1. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          id just keep for this week, wait over IB in case its an injury so he doesnt play in friendlies, and back for watford

          1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Ah, one of 'those' injuries... always how funny how they come up when international games are around

  2. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is a Crazy Idea maddison (c) over Kane (c)?

    1. Drexl Spivey
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not if you're chasing.

    2. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yes crazy

    3. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I wouldn't

    4. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I’m doing it

    5. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      El loco.

  3. lewis274
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    worth a -4 to go from livramento -> ? to get 11 players

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not worth

  4. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sanchez**
    TAA** Doherty White
    Salah** Coutinho Saka Raphinha Kulu
    Kane (C) Jimi

    Foster Broja Cancelo Williams

    1 FT & 1.5 ITB

    Would you.....

    A Broja -> Toney
    B Sanchez -> Sa
    C Other FT
    D Roll FT and play 8

    FH in GW33. Thanks for the feedback!

  5. oi no professionals
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Fofana worth a go on a free hit or still risky?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Risky

  6. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    1FT 0ITB

    Ramsdale
    Doherty Kilman
    Saka Raph Kulu Ramsey
    Kane (C) Jimenez

    Foster - TAA Robbo Cancelo Salah Broja

    Roll?

    1. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      ya id roll fr sure

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Roll

  7. ZimZalabim
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    realistically is it even worth making a move for a Leicester mid ?

    Might be more valuable to just save the FT and play with 8 this week

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yes it's worth imo

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        is this team not enough for this week ?

        Ramsdale
        Saiss Doherty
        Coutinho Saka Kulu
        Kane (C) Jimi

        Diaz to leicester mid would be the move id make if I use a FT or save it for 31-33 before I WC

        1. Mozumbus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Team is good definitely. I'd still like to get Leicester mid but will not ship out Diaz.

          1. ZimZalabim
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            cheers mate

            No other mid to sell tho, salah or diaz and def not selling salah. So I guess Ill end up saving then.

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Save. I really dont facy Leicester in the league long term, they’ll rotate a lot being in europe still, league position is of no value now.

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        thats the worry

    3. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      This is what im debating right now. If I save I can get James/Rudi + Havertz with 1 hit next GW...

      But Bowen to Barnes is tempting for free

    4. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      They're a good long term investment with the game this week and incoming doubles, depends who you are selling and if spending a FT this week impacts your transfer plans for 31+

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        my plan was Diaz to Barnes or Maddison
        then next week Jimi to weghorst and getting Havertz or James/Rudi in

        I get that Leicester have decent fixtures coming up but like Weak Become Heros says above they have nothing to play for in the league as such.

        Really dont know if its better to save and not take a hit next week or get barnes in now and take the hit next week.

    5. Espanyolie
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I think so, not bad fixtures onwards and most games in hand

  8. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Hi guys

    Gonna have to log off for a bit & might miss deadline, is this G2G or any changes?

    Sa
    Pereira - Tierney - Jonny
    Maddison - Son - Kulu - Saka
    Jimi - Laca - Kane (c)

    Raya - Coutinho - Cash - Amartey

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      g2g mate, good luck!

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks mate

  9. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What to do here?

    Got 9 for GW30. Just save the FT and use one on Jimi to Weg or DCL next week?

    Or worth bringing in a defender? 0.2 short of Broja to Toney.

    A) Robbo/Rudi to Wolves/Leicester defender
    B) Save

    1FT 0.9ITB
    Ramsdale
    White Doherty
    Saka Kulu Raph Ramsey
    Kane Jimi

    (Dubravka Salah TAA Robbo Rudiger Broja)

    Ta!

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

  10. Mozumbus
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which one worth a hit for this GW and beyond:
    A. TAA to Reguilon
    B. Jota to Saka

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B. Don't sell Trent yet

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  11. TheBigDogg
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Afternoon!

    On a FH which option please:

    a) Kulu instead of Maddison and then Doherty to Pereira
    b) Or stick with Maddison and Doherty

    Already have Son and Kane.

    Cheers.

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I would be very surprised if West Ham didn't score this weekend. A Tottenham defender should be low priority in my opinion

      1. TheBigDogg
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks guys.

  12. WVA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best assets from each team that plays this week?

    Coutinho
    Barnes
    Raphina
    Martinelli
    Sa
    Kane
    Toney

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Arsenal saka
      Wolves Jimi?!

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Martinelli looking far more dangerous than Saka
        I like Jimi too

        1. No Kane No Gain
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Yes but i think saka is nailed and smith rowe has a chance of playing ahead of martinelli this week.

          1. ZimZalabim
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Id agree on that point martinelli likely to be benched this weekend imo with him being the one that played 90 on wednesday

  13. nadman89
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    do you guys think michail antonio and dawson start after 120 mins on thrusday? have a dilemma

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      They have to, thin squad.

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Wondering this but who else have they got really?

    3. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Moyes said "the minutes are good for the legs"

  14. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Worth a hit for TAA for GW30? Fielding 9 players with TAA out.
    a) Amartey
    b) Thomas
    c) Tiernay
    d) Gabriel

    Ignore value tied up at this stage of the season.

  15. BeWater
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Think I'm going to take a punt on Eriksen.

  16. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Captain who this week?

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

    2. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kane. Don't want to be watching that game without Kane (c).

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

    4. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Harold.

  17. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best Digne replacement?

    A. Tierney
    B. Pereira
    C. Cash

    Sa
    Saiss Digne Doherty
    Son Saka Martinelli Raphinha
    Kane Hwang

    Dubravka Salah TAA Broja KWP

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Roll. You’ll have more info next week

  18. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    11 players, good to go lads? Doubt all will start tho

    Ramsdale
    Saiss Kilman Doherty
    Saka Raph Mendy Kulu
    Jimenez Laca Kane (C)

    Cheers

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Nice

  19. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best defender under 5.6 for GW 30, 31 and 32?

    Already got triple ups on Arsenal and Spurs so no defenders from them

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Maybe Wolves for them three games

      1. Fpl_Ludwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yh, but sorry
        I forgot to say i have triple Wolves aswell

  20. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A. Broja>Toney for free (field 11)
    B. Save FT (field 10)

    Feel Toney will be a transfer out soon after and don't have WC.

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A
      Toney benefitting from Eriksson

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I am using my FT this GW to get a player who would help me make a meaningful transfer in 31. If you already have enough Arsenal and Spurs this week; I don't see any transfer which is long term.

    3. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks

  21. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Mads or barnes
    Saka or martinelli
    Fornals or lanzini

    1. I am 42
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      b
      s
      f

    2. Fuddled FC
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mads
      Saka
      Fornals

      All close though

    3. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mad, Saka, Lan

  22. I am 42
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    barnes or saka?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Saka

  23. Crazy RedDevil
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Should I transfer salah to Maddison for a hit? I've 9 players atm

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

  24. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Broja or Adams to Weg next week?

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Why would you buy Weg? One of the games is against City.

  25. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any news on Geldhart?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Nothing new but I am using my FT to get him.

  26. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    How red is it going to be? No hits.

    Ramsdale
    Davies
    Son (c), Kulu, Maddison, Saka
    Jiminez, Lacazette

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      All depends on Son. Him captain can prove to be a huge positive differential

    2. Espanyolie
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not that red. If Kane keeps quiet and Son does something I even see a green coming

  27. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who is the best Leicester defender to bring in?

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      More uncertainty with the CB's at mo. Ricardo P. probs best choice, although his minutes are being managed...

    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pereira surely?

  28. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which option best:

    A. Willock to Maddy
    B. Adams to Toney
    C. Both for -4
    D. save FT

    Thanks.

  29. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Jonny or Kilman?

    1. Fuddled FC
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      This week Jonny

  30. The Mighty Whites
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Coady, White
    Saka, Raphinha, Kulusevski, Douglas Luiz
    Kane, Antonio, Toney

    Stick with this or do a -4 to get 11, Livramento to Doherty?