Spot the Differential
18 March 2022 813 comments
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Blank Gameweek 30 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: lei | che | WHU | wat | TOT

Christian Eriksen (£5.5m) has been instrumental in Brentford’s recent wins over Norwich City and Burnley.

The Dane joined the Bees on a six-month deal after his release by Inter Milan and made his first appearance as a substitute last month.

He has since played the full 90 minutes in successive victories, producing the assist for Ivan Toney’s (£6.6m) opener in the 2-0 win over the Clarets last weekend, before he later provided the pass that led to the forward being fouled for his injury-time spot kick.

Brentford’s improved form has coincided with Thomas Frank’s decision to move from a 3-5-2 to a more attacking 4-3-3 formation, with the creativity of Eriksen in a deeper midfield role key, where he can set the rhythm of his team’s attacks. Already an important part of their approach, the playmaker has amassed 80 opposition-half touches in his last two matches, at least 11 more than any team-mate.

Eriksen has produced three shots and created a modest three chances in his 218 minutes of pitch-time so far, but his dead-ball prowess is a key factor behind his appeal this week, given opponents Leicester City’s tendency to concede from set-plays, which has been apparent all year. The scheduling of the match also favours the visitors: the Foxes were in France on Thursday evening before facing the Bees on Sunday, so Frank’s side may fancy their chances at the King Power.

Brentford’s performances of late suggests they are building some momentum, and as Eriksen settles into his new surroundings, he could be a smart budget differential for our Fantasy teams.

JONNY CASTRO OTTO

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: LEE | AVL | new | MCI (tbc) | bur

Following last weekend’s win at Goodison Park, Wolverhampton Wanderers have now produced successive victories and clean sheets, which has coincided with the return of Jonny Castro Otto (£4.5m) from injury.

And one of the biggest positives from those displays have been the performances of the Spaniard, who ranks joint-third and fifth among defenders for chances created and final-third touches in that time.

Additionally, only Leander Dendoncker (£4.7m) and Raul Jimenez (£7.6m) took up a more advanced role last time out.

Due to injuries to Nelson Semedo (£4.8m) and Ki-Jana Hoever (£3.9m), Bruno Lage doesn’t currently have an experienced alternative to Jonny at right wing-back, with Chiquinho (£5.5m) stepping in during the closing stages of the Watford win, which would seemingly ensure his place in the starting XI for Blank Gameweek 30 at least.

Now, Wolves face Leeds United on Friday and are looking to make it three wins on the spin. There are appealing fixtures to follow, too, with matches against Aston Villa, Newcastle United and Burnley in the next five.

Heading into Blank Gameweek 30, it looks like Jonny will be one of the first names on Lage’s team sheet, and could be a nice differential pick for FPL managers on the lookout for a budget defender.

YOURI TIELEMANS

Tielemans a FPL differential for Gameweek 21 and beyond 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BRE | mun | CRY | new + eve | AVL

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League since his move to Leicester City.

Across his 19 league starts in 2021/22, he has produced six goals and two assists, averaging 4.7 points per match.

Notably, he has also posted team-leading totals for chances created and expected assists (xA), while his all-round ability lends itself to bonus points, with only eight midfielders bettering his tally of 13 across the season.

The injury situation at Leicester certainly isn’t ideal, but in the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.3m), it may give Tielemans’ prospects a further boost, as it’s highly likely he will be on penalty-taking duties this weekend.

Despite suffering back-to-back defeats against Arsenal and Rennes, Brendan Rodgers’ side had previously won four in a row, and now have an appealing run which includes home matches against Brentford and Crystal Palace, before a confirmed Double Gameweek 33 which involves trips to Newcastle United and Everton. They also have two outstanding fixtures that still need to be accommodated somewhere during the run-in.

Tielemans has been a crucial player for a while now, and having been handed a breather at the Emirates last weekend, should be raring to go in Blank Gameweek 30.

813 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Jonny worth a punt?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Did you read the article?

      1. klopp4kop
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Isnt he nailed with semedo and ki jana out injured?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Due to injuries to Nelson Semedo (£4.8m) and Ki-Jana Hoever (£3.9m), Bruno Lage doesn’t currently have an experienced alternative to Jonny at right wing-back, with Chiquinho (£5.5m) stepping in during the closing stages of the Watford win, which would seemingly ensure his place in the starting XI for Blank Gameweek 30 at least.

          1. Atimis
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Jonny been always a preferred option and this Ch fella is a new one so not 100 sure it is right statement

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              3 years, 8 months ago

              The ensure part is regarding Jonny.

          2. klopp4kop
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Sorry but did jonny get injured or something? Coz he played the full 90 against everton.

          3. Wild Card this!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Makes you wonder…indeed

  2. SKENG
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any thoughts on this team? 1 FT, 1.2m ITB, no chips left.

    Ramsdale (Dubravka)
    Doherty Coady (Digne TAA Silva)
    Son Kulusevski Saka Raphinha (Salah)
    Lacazette Jimenez (Broja)

    A) Save FT
    B) Digne > Amartey/Leicester def
    C) smth else??

    1. LLoris
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. adstomko
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Silva may get rested vs Brentford just before Real Madrid in GW31. Could sell him?!

  3. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Enjoy your game week.

    At least the sun is shining and there's cup games too.

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Indeed, imagine the feeling next weekend when there's next to nothing on

  4. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    LEI mid to bring for a hit:

    A barnes
    B madds
    C not for hit no

    1. LLoris
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      C

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A - if replacing a non-playing player

      1. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        indeed - replacing fraser

  5. 1966 was a great year for E…
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsdale • (Foster)
    Dier • Kilman • (Rudiger • James • TAA)
    Kulusevski • Martinelli • Saka • (Salah • Havertz)
    Kane • Jiminez • (Broja)

    1FT, 0.0 ITB. Will probably FH in GW33.

    I'm thinking TAA to Perreira this week for free to give me 9 players, then probably Perreira to Cancelo the following week.

    TAA could easily miss Watford in GW31, either injured or not risked, has Man City in GW32, and I'll FH in 33, so I won't really need him back til GW34.

    Sound OK?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Will Perriera even start?

      1. 1966 was a great year for E…
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Could get Amartey instead and keep him as a bench warmer, selling Kilman for Cancelo or whoever instead.

        Or just save the transfer?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I won't be selling TAA this GW but I have other fires to put out.
          You need the defender to score at least 4 if not 5 points this GW to be worthwhile if selling next GW.

          1. 1966 was a great year for E…
            • 15 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            I was going to save the transfer before the TAA news, maybe I should just stick with that. If Perreira was definitely starting, I think he would be worth the risk.

  6. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ihenacho... Hmm...

    1. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mmmmmm….I love nachos…

  7. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sa Dubravka
    TAA Robbo Tierney Digne Kilman
    Salah Saka Raphinha Kulusevski Ramsey
    Kane Lacazette Broja

    Digne out for someone or just roll the transfer? Currently 9 playing

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Roll, 9 is plenty and the extra FT could be very useful over the IB

  8. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Guys, Straight choice........Barnes or Martenelli

    1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Just for this GW

    2. King Kun Ta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Barnes

    3. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B man

  9. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pick one from each - can't have two Arsenal though.

    1) Lacazette
    2) Jimenez
    3) Toney
    4) Watkins

    a) Tierney
    b) Cash
    c) Coady
    d) Jonny

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1C or 1B

  10. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH gtg?

    Schmeichel
    Jonny Coady Tierney
    Son Kulu Maddison Barnes Martinelli
    Kane Jimenez

    Ramsdale; Toney, Cash, Cresswell

  11. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Fielding 8 players atm.....

    Would you do (FT).....

    A Broja -> Toney
    B Sanchez -> Sa
    C Other FT
    D Roll FT and play 8

    FH in GW33. Thanks for the feedback!

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B, assuming no other playing Keeper?

      Toney fixtures are rubbish

      1. King Kun Ta
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

  12. harrysponge
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) Dennis to Toney (free), play with 11
    B) Save FT - play with 10

    Thanks!

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

      1. harrysponge
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks Biggsy!

  13. winchester
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    evening lads! contemplating moves below.. have 1ft and 2.4m itb. fh&bb left

    ramsdale
    white doherty
    saka raph ramsey
    jimenez kane(c)

    (dubravka taa rudiger targett mount salah broja)

    a) mount -> kulu or maddison/barnes ?
    b) broja -> toney
    c) targett -> coady
    d) save.

  14. N00B
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Daka is out for the weekend.
    I can bring Iheanacho for a hit for Broja. A) do it
    B) nope

    Ramsdale
    White
    Raphinha Saka Kulusevski Barnes
    Kane Gelhardt

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Nacho not nailed long term so you're probably moving him on again in future - free transfers getting rarer and rarer

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      For free - yes. Hit - no.

  15. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH - please choose one from each to start:

    A) Saka
    B) Toney

    1) Barnes
    2) Maddison

    3) Cash
    4) Coady (Already have SA and Saiss starting)

    1. Taribo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B1C

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers which one is C?

      2. Taribo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        *3

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          thanks

  16. Ady87
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Son/Dennis > Kulu/Kane -4 side aways if I’d hold them both + Doherty for the run in?

  17. AutoFill 2021
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pick two - Maddison/Barnes/Martinelli?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      mad and barnes

  18. xtina
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Worth FT for a playing goalie? Currently fielding 9.

    1) DDG -> Schmeichel
    2) DDG -> Raya
    3) Save FT

    Already have 3 Arsenal - can't get Ramsdale

  19. tabby98
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to replace Broja with?
    A) Toney
    B) Iheanacho

    (Already have Kane & Jimenez)

  20. RWB_1991
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Digne, Bissouma & Antonio to Amartey, Kulusevski & Iheanacho for -8?

  21. MGD
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sorry if it’s been asked:

    A) Is Raphina out?

    B) Thomas or Amartey?

    1. BGW30 Fixture and clean sheet odds
      G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      BGW30 fixture odds can be found here:
      https://prnt.sc/ayMS8CFuBLjZ
      (Provided by Betbrain.com)

      DGW29 clean sheets:
      CHE: 51% ✅
      MCI: 51% ✅
      LIV: 41% ✅ & 33% ✅
      SOU: 41% ❌
      ARS: 39% ✅ & 18% ❌
      BRE: 39% ✅
      LEE: 38% ❌
      EVE: 37% ✅
      WHU: 31% ❌
      MNU: 29% ❌
      WOL: 29% ✅
      BUR: 28% ❌
      AVL: 26% ❌
      TOT: 22% ✅ & 32% ❌
      WAT: 17% ❌
      BHA: 15% ❌ & 27% ❌
      NOR: 15% ❌
      LEI: 14% ❌
      CRY: 13% ✅
      NEW: 13% ❌ & 24% ❌

      BGW30 clean sheet odds:
      TOT: 36%
      WOL: 36%
      LEI: 31%
      ARS: 29%
      AVL: 29%
      LEE: 25%
      BRE: 24%
      WHU: 18%
      BHA: -
      BUR: -
      CHE: -
      CRY: -
      EVE: -
      LIV: -
      MCI: -
      MNU: -
      NEW: -
      NOR: -
      SOU: -
      WAT: -
      (Provided by Betbrain.com)

      Clean sheet totals:
      Liverpool: 17 (+2)
      Manchester City: 17 (+1)
      Chelsea: 13 (+1)
      Arsenal: 12 (+1)
      Tottenham: 11 (+1)
      Wolves: 11 (+1)
      Aston Villa: 9
      Crystal Palace: 8 (+1)
      Brighton: 7
      Burnley: 7
      Manchester Utd: 7
      Southampton: 7
      West Ham: 7
      Brentford: 6 (+1)
      Everton: 5 (+1)
      Leicester City: 5
      Newcastle 4
      Norwich: 4
      Leeds: 3
      Watford: 3

      Apologies for the extremely late edition I always struggle with Friday kick-offs 🙁

      Whatever your moves, whatever you do, good luck everyone and may your arrows be green 🙂

      G

      1. MGD
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks man haha.

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Oooops 😆

          My bad was gonna say he's travelled with the team and ended up with this 😆

    2. donbagino
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      He's ok. He traveled with the team

  22. The Reptile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Fraser to Neves or Barnes

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Barnes.

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Check the fixture list…might help

  23. Hotdogs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I have 10 playing this week, does:

    TAA + Kulsevski + Dennis > Kane (C) + Amartey + 6.7 mid (Maddison / Barnes / Eriksen)

    for a -8 sound too crazy? I have 3 spurs so I can't get Kane without dropping one and freeing up funds with TAA

  24. Hawk Eye
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    To get 11 out this GW do I:
    A. Broja to Iheanacho
    B. Broja to Toney
    C. Livra to Leicester defender
    D. Roll the transfer. 10 players good enough.

  25. circusmonkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    First time I have seen Tielemans mentioned other than my hot topic a few days ago. Confirmation bias kicks in.

  26. Firminooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to bring in for Dennis:
    A)Toney
    B) Watkins
    C) Bamford
    D) Hwang
    E) Jimenez
    F) Daka
    G) Nacho
    F) Antonio

    1. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      jimmy

  27. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH thoughts ?

    Sa
    Coady Pereira Doherty
    Son Saka Coutinho Maddison
    Kane Lacazette Jimenez

    1. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Firm

    2. King Carlos
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pereira a good pick you reckon?

    3. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Solid

  28. estheblessed
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any hits worth taking here? I am using FH in GW33

    *Ramsdale // Butland
    *Coady // Rudiger, VVD, Burn, Wiliams,
    *Son, *Dendonker, *Coutinho, *Saka // Salah
    *Kane // Weghorst, Broja

    * Star denotes who is playing (potentially)

  29. Glasner Ball
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Regarding using a FH is there a minimum most people are considering to already have playing before using a FH? With just 1 FT can get a decent 10 starters (inc Kane/Son/Laca/Jimi) - going to be other game weeks to keep it for?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      10 is absolutely well above the line for considering FH. Even 9 is if you rolled it. Personally I have 8 + Gelhart and never once considered a FH.

    2. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      10 players is more than enough imo. GW 33 has double and blanks, so would be better to use one there. If you have both im sure there will be better use towards the end

      1. Glasner Ball
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers guys, yeah makes sense! going to save it for GW33

  30. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    For this gw and future:

    A) Kulusevski
    B) Barnes

    Have Kane and Doherty, and no Leicester. Will FH in 33.

    1. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      kulu , leicester still have european football so rotation may be an issue also spurs have a nice schedule

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Appreciate it, im leaning towards that myself. Was no doubt in my mind before everyone was all over Barnes.