Spot the Differential
15 April 2022 563 comments
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Double Gameweek 33 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Leicester City and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

EMERSON ROYAL

Low-owned FPL pick Emerson Royal can thrive as a wing-back under Conte
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW33-37 fixtures: BHA | bre | LEI | liv + ARS | BUR

Despite an inconsistent start to life at Spurs following his summer move from Barcelona, Emerson Royal (£4.5m) now has the opportunity to finish the campaign strongly.

As a result of Matt Doherty’s (£4.9m) season-ending injury, the Brazilian stands a decent chance of retaining the right wing-back spot in Antonio Conte’s 3-4-2-1 formation, given the lack of natural competition in that position. Dejan Kulusevski (£6.4m) had previously been mentioned as an option by the Italian but it would seem unlikely that he would redeploy a now first-choice member of his front three.

Royal initially showed plenty of promise upon signing for the Lilywhites, but has been found wanting since Conte arrived in north London and implemented a new system with attacking wing-backs. However, despite several sub-par performances, his attacking numbers have largely remained good, as he ranks seventh among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI) from Gameweek 11 onwards.

As for Spurs, favourable fixtures surround a tricky double-header in Gameweek 36 and there’s a top-four spot to play for, so rotation should be kept to a minimum. Given their forthcoming opponents, there is also potential for points at the other end of the pitch: since Conte took charge, only the top two have kept more clean sheets. Spurs are also the third-best side for fewest ‘big chances’ conceded in that time.

Royal’s Fantasy prospects will surely be handed a boost in light of Doherty’s injury, and with an FPL ownership of just 1.1%, is a tempting budget pick at the back.

JAMES JUSTIN

 1
  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW33-37 fixtures: new + eve | AVL | tot | EVE + NOR | wat + che

After a difficult season, mainly due to injury, James Justin (£4.9m) has now completed 90 minutes in each of Leicester’s last three Premier League outings.

In that time, the 24-year-old has racked up four shots in the box – only Luke Ayling (£4.3m) and Marcos Alonso (£5.5m) have managed more among defenders – while his nine penalty box touches is another top three total.

The young English full-back – who can operate on either flank – provided an exciting glimpse of his potential upon his return in Gameweek 30. Performing an almost hybrid-like role which saw him spend most of the match in the final-third, Justin would often underlap and make darting runs into the penalty area.

At Old Trafford the following week he was impressive again, while in Gameweek 32, he was able to provide support and endeavour in attack, only lacking a little quality with his final ball.

The Foxes’ ‘double’ ranks them high up the Season Ticker, although they have two away games and both Newcastle and Everton have been much better and more defensively sound on home soil. Rotation risk is also a concern due to their continued involvement in Europe, but it does seem Ricardo Pereira (£5.2m) is being favoured in the Europa Conference League of late, with Justin featuring domestically.

Consecutive league starts in Gameweek 33 is far from certain, however, but Justin’s attacking upside suggests he might just be worth the risk.

BRUNO GUIMARAES

The best FPL midfielders for a Gameweek 33 Free Hit 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW33-37 fixtures: LEI + CRY | nor | LIV | mci | ARS

Bruno Guimaraes (£4.9m) has taken no time at all to settle on Tyneside, and might just be worth a look if you’re in the market for a budget midfielder.

With Ryan Fraser (£5.3m) and Joe Willock’s (£5.6m) involvement perhaps in doubt, Guimaraes is about the best of the rest from the Magpies, and it’s the latter’s role he has taken up of late.

While regularly dropping deep, he’s also allowed plenty of freedom to carry to ball and get forward as a ‘number eight’, as evidenced by his seven shots in the box in just 407 minutes of action. In fact, his minutes-per-chance average (37) is better than any Newcastle regular this season.

The 24-year-old put in an excellent all-round display against Wolves in Gameweek 32 to pick up the man of the match award. He also went close to an assist and a goal, was heavily involved in the first-half Chris Wood (£6.7m) strike that was ruled out for offside and was well-positioned for a free shot in the build-up to Wood’s penalty award.

Guimaraes’ price reflects his points potential, and expectations should of course be realistic, but the Brazilian is one of the more appealing sub-£5.0m options in Double Gameweek 33 and will be facing two sides in important cup action three days before they head to Tyneside.

563 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    With a BB (36) and WC (34) 1FH left, I can't see a better time to use it this week, or am I missing something? ( know it is still poor.

    The full schedule will be set on Sunday evening if MCI beat LIV on Saturday: MCI+WHU Double in 36, WOL Double in 37 (and WHU Blank)

    If LIV beat MCI we'll have to wait for an announcement next week to se if MCI+WOL Double in 36 or 37

    I don't think there is a situation where Man City can DGW 37 is there?

    Team atm FWIW (not important as WC'ding next week.

    Ramsdale* (Sa)
    TAA, VVD, Cancelo, James (Doherty)
    Salah, Kulu, Saka * Raphinha (to DGW) (Ramsey)
    Kane, Broja, Weghorst

    I suppose a FH would get rid of the two crap strikers up front? Although Broja might come good?

    1. Pointless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I’ve got BB, WC and 2xFH. Plan to BB this week so I can WC in 34 and not be hindered by my bench. Will then FH 35+37 or 36+38. Hoping for much needed rank OR boost!

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, I cant possibly play a BB though lol. Yes if Man City were to DGW 37 that would be gold

    2. Tango74
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      But the SGW have better fixtures than DGW.so why get rid of them

      U prob kept spurs and city players taa and Salah and the arsenal double

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        But Wehorst and Broja are awful DGW, er, James may not Play, VVD is a CS or a 2 pointer.

        It is a little teemptin (but still a crap FH I agree)

        1. Tango74
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 7 months ago

          I have same chips as u . It’s a toughie I have lacca instead of weg.
          Probs get wood

          Not keen on raph to Maddison. As probs get mount next week

  2. Pointless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    What chances Amartey starts one of the doubles? (My bench boost decision hangs on it!)

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      High

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Fofana and evans have come back from long injuries and have a tight schedule. He could starts anything between 0-2 but I’d consider it very unlucky if he doesn’t play at all

      1. Pointless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Out of 100 contestants 48 people said yes

    4. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I would be careful Fofana, Evans, Soyuncu they're all available.

  3. jg7u
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    First time in a long time I don't know what to do. 2 FT, 1.3 ITB, only FH available(not using it this gw).
    Dubravka
    TAA-Robbo-Doherty*
    Barnes- Salah-Son
    Weghorst-Broja-Lacazette*
    (Sa, Kulu, Digne*, Saiss*)

    Any ideas? Would like Manu player for captaincy but would have to sacrifice Salah/Son? Also feel like Cancelo and Chelsea players are high on the shopping list.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      In the same boat and no clue.

      Kind of feel the double GW players are a trap this week.

    2. JY84
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      My strikers r similar to u n I oso hv Salah Son n Kulu as my midfielders too... E only difference is dat I hv Saka while u hv Barnes.... Planning to replace Laca tis week with either Woods or Toney since i dun think Laca will be a good long term prospect plus the fact that I alr hv Saka too!

      Just curious though.... R u planning to get Kane into ur team in e long term or planning to live with just Son n Kulu? Tis is one headache i hv esp since I can only afford Kane by sacrificing either Salah or Son!

  4. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    On FH

    A) Ronaldo, Taylor, Dubravka
    B) ASM, TAA, Schmeichel

    Have Bruno

    1. luk46
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      easy B

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      A

  5. M2.0
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Bench one:

    a) Robertson vs MUN (h)
    b) Rudiger vs ARS (h)
    c) Cancelo vs BHA (h)
    d) Weghorst vs WHU (a), SOU (h)
    e) Toney vs WAR (a)

    1. luk46
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      b

    4. Merteswagger
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      B

  6. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Who would you start?
    A) Ryan Fraser (double but injury concern)
    B) Andy Robertson (have Trent)

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      b

  7. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Evening all!I have Fraser who is a doubt and no other sub.What would you do?

    A)Barnes(bench Kulu)
    B)Silva(bench Kulu)
    C)Schar(bench Kulu)
    D)save(start Kulu)

    1. Apwilkin
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I am in a similar boat. I did Doherty to schar, and am debating on Fraser/raph to someone.

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        cheers

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I think D, then start Fraser next week and sell following that, at least that’s what I’m looking at. Kulu a nice option to start this week

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        cheers.Leaning towards C to have a sub in case that Fraser is out in both games and save some money.

    3. Utopsis
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Surely there's someone else you can bench other than Kulu?

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        No i don't.Tierney,Raphinha,Doherty my other playes.

        1. Utopsis
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 7 months ago

          I mean in your starting XI. I'd say D though, as you'll likely be wanting Chelsea players next week so the extra transfer will help.

          1. Old Wulfrunian
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 7 months ago

            cheers

  8. Apwilkin
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    What do we think of raph to Sancho (C) for -4?
    Don’t have much left to play for this season. Could be a fun punt.

    1. Merteswagger
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Very punty but if you cant target Norwich at home what else can you do

    2. Pointless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I’m doing the same move coupled with DCL to Wood. Double the fun?!

  9. Merteswagger
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    On FH anything obvious worth tearing apart;

    Dubravka* (3.9)

    Schar*/Soyuncu*/Cancelo (Taylor*/Tsim)

    Saka*/Salah/Son/Maddison*/Bruno*

    Kane/Broja* (4.5)

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure about Soy there.

  10. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    I'm trailing pretty big (70 points) and my rival has Maddison. Should I get him in to being hurt even further, or save my trannie and pray for reduced minutes and few points? My alternative is playing Weghorst ...

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      To -avoid- being hurt

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Find another way to attack him.

  11. luk46
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    last decisions on FH!

    A - Trent + Maddison + Adams
    B - Burn + Martinelli + Salah

    Schmeichel
    Schär Cancelo xxx
    Son Saka Fernandes xxx
    Kane Wood xxx

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Tough. Probably B

      1. luk46
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        ye, double Arsenal attack seems a bit much... Adams disappointed me, but two games and good underlying stats

    2. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Don't like Martinelli + Saka. Don't like Adams either

  12. Malkmus
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    A’noon all. Any thoughts on this FH team? Kdb has become Salah, assuming Kevin is out.

    Schmeichel
    Robbo - Cancelo- Schar
    Son - Maddison- Salah - ESR - JWP
    ASM - Kane

    Subs - Livramento, Veltman, Gelhardt

    Ta

    1. Caravagio
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      No man u?

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Don’t trust Utd / Bruno and I’m a Man Utd fan. The pool game will be horrendous so really just a sgw really

    2. luk46
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      not a fan of both ESR and JWP, maybe Fernandes on FH although theyre awful

    3. Merteswagger
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure ESR starts either game. Might be rotation after the Brighton shambles but could otherwise get you 30 mins across two game

    4. Costa Nostra
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Ditch Salah for Fernandes and upgrade esr and jwp

      1. Malkmus
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks. But what if Salah hauls v Utd and Bruno does nothing v Norwich? Seems more likely than Utd big win v Norwich

    5. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Good team and wise avoiding Man U.

    6. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Would probably swap out ESR though.

  13. Caravagio
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Crazy to be considering getting Pogba?
    I can't get cr7/sancho/Fernandes realistically.
    So it's telles or Pogba?

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Yes. Yes it's crazy

    2. Merteswagger
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Yes. Get Telles

      1. Caravagio
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Oh OK then

    3. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Madness

  14. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Would u go double Newcastle defence(Dubravka/Schar)

    Or double Arsenal (Ramdale/White)

    Either not ideal but I'm not free hitting..

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Neither I think...

    2. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Ideally neither but prefer Newcastle

  15. I Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, Doherty
    Salah, Son, Saka, Kulusevski
    Lacazette, Weghorst, Broja

    Foster; Digne, Coady, Raphinha.

    1 FT 1.9 ITB

    A) Doherty -> Schar
    B) Doherty + Lacazette -> Schar + Wood -4
    C) Doherty + Lacazette + Raphinha -> Schar + Ronaldo + Gordon -4

  16. Grounderz
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Anybody reckon Amartey going to play the two DGW games?

    1. DALEDOBACK
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Bad luck if he doesn't start at least one.

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Should play 1 and benched for another my less

  17. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Might do a Smith at hole 12, Sancho(c) and no Maddison

  18. The Frenchie
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Worth a FH?

    Original team:

    Pope (2)
    Cancelo - James - Robertson
    Salah - Kulusevski - Barnes (2) - Maddison (2) - Mount
    Kane - Lacazette (2)

    FH team:

    Schmeichel (2)
    Cancelo - Schar (2) - Telles (2)
    Fernandes (2) - Son - Barnes (2) - Maddison (2)
    Ronaldo (2) - Kane - Wood (2)

    1. DALEDOBACK
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I like both teams. Probably doesn't help you much!

      1. The Frenchie
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Haha me too, this is why I’m so hesitant..

        Actually I don’t need the FH on DGW36 & 37. So it’s now or in 34…

        My plan was to bring TAA & Havertz next week so with already 3 Chelsea players does it make sens to FH?

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I'm still contemplating playing my FH, if I were to do so I would include Liverpool players. For that reason I would go for your original team

      1. The Frenchie
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        I can adapt my FH team, Salah?

        1. Pep's Money Laundry
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 7 months ago

          Try to get Salah and maybe Trent and see what you come up with

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Yes i still worry about Leicester rotation though

      1. The Frenchie
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Bring Arsenal players then?

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 7 months ago

          Yes, they have to win

    4. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      No

  19. DALEDOBACK
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    DDG foster
    Laporte Royal TAA Schar Dalot
    Saka Salah JWP Guimares Son
    Kane Broja Toney

    Can get to this for a -4. Worth a BB?

    1. The Frenchie
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Dépend if you can use it better on DGW36?

      1. DALEDOBACK
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        I have two FHs left so I can maybe navigate 36 with the FH?

  20. subhojit123
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Hi guys...looking for a Leicester defensive option. Schmeichel is the most nailed one. But apart from him, in defense any suggestions on the best asset...? I am leaning towards Castagne but not sure if he is gonna start both..what do u guys think?

  21. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    I do quite like a triple Newcastle this week.

    A tired Leicester then a tired Palace

  22. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    From GW 34 Who to get / Keep in ur team ??
    A- Laca
    B- Toney

  23. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Can't afford maddison

    A Barnes
    B tielemans

    Thanks

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Barnes if I had too. I know he got subbed early midweek but tielemans has not played much better himself. Rodger’s will rotate in the next 3 games before playing Roma.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers.

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I honestly prefer B at the moment. I just prefer Martinelli (with Laca being out) to Leicester this week

  24. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    So is anyone captaining Kane/Son anymore?

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      No

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Kane for me

  25. southernpacific
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Bench Laca even though he’s got a dgw?!’ Would mean starting schar

    1. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldn't

  26. Fit_to_drop
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Pick one of these 3 moves...

    OR 200k or so.

    1. Sa & Havertz >> Dubravka & Maddison (No sub)
    2. Doherty & Havertz >> Schar & Maddison (Laca 1st sub)
    3. Doherty, Laca & Havertz >> Schar, & Bruno & Rodriguez (1st Sub) for a -4.

    Current Team:
    Foster
    VVD KWP Laporte
    Son Havertz Saka Salah
    Kane Lacazette Broja

    Sá Ramsey Ait Nouri Doherty

    1. Allison Wonderland
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      2

  27. I Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Laca owners keeping and hoping this week? Would need a hit to get rid.

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Sold -8

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 7 months ago

        For Whom ?

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Think about Laca > Toney and for a hit too

    3. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Think im probably selling for Wood for free.

    4. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      Is he defo out nothing confirmed

  28. How I met your Mata
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Start one

    A James
    B Davies
    C Amartry

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 7 months ago

      A

  29. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    Might just bench boost this lot and get it over and done with.

    Pope
    Cancelo - Rudiger - Schar
    Son - Kulusevski - Salah - Saka - Dewsbury-Hall
    Kane - Broja
    + Foster - White - Robinson - Mateta

    Yay or nay?

  30. El Presidente
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 7 months ago

    With Fred and McTominay out there's a chance of Bruno playing deeper for sure alongside Pogba. It makes him less appealing and makes Salah more appealing.