Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.

697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Richarlison or Nketiah? Likely to FH in 37 if that changes things.

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Rich and Nke is a big gap of funds. How will you use it if you went Nke?

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Probably wouldn't this week as would be for a hit. Plan is Mount & Joao Pedro to Saka & R/N. So would just roll the extra to 38 and decide then.

        Schmeichel, Foster
        TAA, Cancelo, Laporte, Alonso, Cash
        Salah, KDB, Mount, Kulu, KDH
        Watkins, Pukki, Joao Pedro

    2. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      If money is no issue Richarlson

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Nketiah for me. I can't look past Everton's atrocious away form.

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    4. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Richarlison.

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  2. Pomodoro
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    What are people doing with Jacob Ramsay? Worth taking a hit to swap to Gordon?

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Not unless it’s a Bench boost or you have no sub to come in for him

    2. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I'm on a -12 BB already. Not sure if I particularly want another -4 on top!

      1. How I met your Mata
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Hmm well Gordon will likely get 4 points at least an if ramsey is out for both you break even at the worst more upside than downside I feel

      2. Philosopher's Stones
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Ramsey will probably still start one game of the DGW. Don't take the extra hit.

        1. How I met your Mata
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 11 months ago

          I agree if you feel ramsey plays any part of the double I wouldn’t take the hit

        2. Eastman
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 11 months ago

          -4 swap for me. On a bb

    3. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Not on a BB but I'm taking him out as part of a -8 for Mahrez

  3. How I met your Mata
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Maddison or Jesus?

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I have Maddison in my team. Depends if you have City attacking cover already elsewhere? If so I'd say Maddison. Richarlison, and Watkins are good alternatives up front

    2. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Jesus

  4. Philosopher's Stones
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Who else doesn't own Salah and is a bit nervous going into this DGW?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Non-owner, non-nervous

    2. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I don't own him. It's never fun but need to try something different to win an ML.

      1. The Mentaculus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        I actually think its both fun - having a more differential team - and justifiable since he's clearly still not quite at his best & other premiums (Son, KDB, even Mané imo) look like better options to me currently

    3. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      If you're chasing then I think going without Salah as a differential is a great strategy. If you're consolidating a lead then probably stick with Salah. KDB, Son, Jota, Diaz, Foden all good alternatives. Captain one of them too and you have huge differential upside.

    4. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      If you have KDB I wouldn’t be nervous you’ll be sweet

      1. BeWater
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        He's my captain.

  5. J to the T
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Ronaldo Havertz White -> Richarlison KdB (c) and Alonso worth a -8?

  6. El Presidente
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Why on earth is Richarlison flagged???

    1. Ruth_NZ
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Having his medical in Newcastle.

  7. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    2 FT 0.1 ITB. Will use BB. What should I do here?

    Pope* Dub
    TAA James Alonso Cash Schar*
    Salah Saka Kulu Havertz Ramsey
    Kane Pukki Broja*

    A. Kane + Havertz + Ramsey > KDB + Richa + Gordon for -4
    B. Kane + Havertz + Ramsey + Broja > KDB + Richa + Gordon + Nketiah for -8
    C. Havertz + Ramsey + Broja > Foden + Gordon + Nketiah for -4
    D. Havertz + Ramsey + Broja + Schar > Foden + Gordon + Nketiah + Collins for -8
    E. Broja + Ramsey > Nketiah + Gordon

    Sorry, so unsure right now. Help would be great!

  8. Buck The Trent
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Which one?

    A KDH + 4
    B Gordon

    1. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

    2. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

    3. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Sry A if +4

    4. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Gordon

    5. upforgrabs
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

    6. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

  9. BeWater
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Would you play Gordon over Robbo? Starting to feel like that rest v Villa is happening.

    1. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Robbo will play one of DGW games and could hit double digits in it. Weigh that up against whether you think Gordon will return any attacking points over the 2 away fixtures they have (Everton slightly dodge on the road). I have Robbo still and BB as I think there is potential there for him to still return a double digit score

      1. BeWater
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        I free hit him out in 34.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Even if Klopp guaranteed he'd only start 1, I'd still play Robbo over Gordon

      1. tokara
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        This

    3. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Cheers for the advice guys.

    4. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      No. Robbo for sure

  10. upforgrabs
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    On a FH:

    A) Robbo + Maddison + Nketiah
    or
    B) Matip + Son + Gordon

    1. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B.

    2. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

  11. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    BB36, FH37. Best move?

    A. Sterling >> KDB
    B. Sterling >> Son
    C. Sterling+Mount >> Son+Foden (-4)

    Foster
    TAA, Robbo, Cancelo, Laporte
    Salah, Sterling, Saka, Mount
    Dennis, Nketiah
    (Schmeichel, Davies, Pukki, KDH)

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      None

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Well I’m definitely doing one, even if it ends up a mistake! Can’t stand Sterling in my team

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 10 Years
          1 year, 11 months ago

          You will regret it but gl

        2. tokara
          • 9 Years
          1 year, 11 months ago

          Bb then

  12. jimmyharte
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Did Tubby Tuchel mention Chaloboah had his press conference. Think its time to part ways, thinking Laporte or Mina.

    1. jimmyharte
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      At*

  13. Union_Jacks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Is it worth doing White > Tavares for a -4?

    On a BB, only have 4.5m to spend and will FH37

  14. akhilrajau
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Who is best fo bb team (already have alonso and cancelo)
    A. Laporte
    B. James

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      C) Dias

    2. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Dias / Mina?
      James could hit a massive ceiling but he could also return only 1 point across both games. It's a tough call to bring him in. If you have already then roll, but potentially better options out there in terms of garaunteed 2 starts across DGW

      1. akhilrajau
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Yea i m thinking move out havertz and white to get in saka and 6.0 def. So Laporte ia the perfect one. Little concerned on the play time so i am checking any other option

  15. JBG
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Tuchel saying he might start Lukaku makes Havertz a easy sell right?

    Tuchel hints at a possible starting berth Lukaku. "Right now he is an important part of the squad. We signed a big player, we still have a big player. He didn't come on [GW35] because we had three subs and had to use one for Jorginho. He trained very well and maybe starts." #CFC

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Said anything about Chalobah ?

    2. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Good for Alonso

    3. Pomodoro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I took a -4 and swapped him out for Foden.

  16. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    A) Cancelo, Mahrez, Jesus -4
    B) Laporte, Mount, Kane
    C) Dias, Son, Richarlison -4
    D) Cancelo, KDB, Nketiah -4

  17. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Best 4.8 and under defender to get in?

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Ake

    2. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Tavares

  18. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Sell 1 for Foden?

    A. Barnes
    B. Kulusevski

  19. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Any worthwhile improvements available to this bench boost side?

    Foster
    Trent Robbo Cancelo Alonso
    Salah Son Saka Coutinho
    Watkins Nketiah

    Bench: Schmeichel Cash Pukki KDH

    1. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I'm doing Coutinho to Maddison myself but FH37 so can get him back.

  20. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    help choose (1FT) :

    A weghorst to richarlison

    B foster/pope to pickpford

    C martinali to foden/jota (i have saka too)

    D any two of them for -4

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      A & maybe C

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      cheers

  21. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Pope* Dub
    TAA James Alonso Cash Schar*
    Salah Saka Kulu Havertz Gordon
    Kane Pukki Broja*

    1 FT 0.2 ITB. What should I do here? Plan on playing BB

  22. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    BBGW36 Havertz, raph, Werner & Broja to Gordon, salah, Nketiah & greenwood (as can only afford 4.6m) for -8?Thanks

    1. Jässi
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Would do this yes

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Thanks just annoyed can only afford Sam greenwood of Leeds!!

  23. Jässi
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    5.5 ITB and need to get a City defender in, so only options I guess are Ake and Zinchenko. What do you think who plays more minutes over GWs 36 and 38 (will FH on 37)?

    A) Zinchenko
    B) Ake

  24. tinear
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Would you ship two of Maddison/Mount/Kulu for Foden and Son? If yes, which two? No Kane

    1. toystory2wasok
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      kulu, maddi

  25. DandyDon
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    no Leicester presser?

  26. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    would you play gordon over either robertson or james (both likely to have 1 game)?

  27. GE
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    What would you do here with 2FT? 🙂
    On BB, no other chips left.

    (2FT, 0.2 itb)

    Schmeichel/Foster
    TAA/Robbie/Cancelo/Laporte/Alonso
    Salah/KDB/Kulu/Mount/Gordon
    Nkietah/Dennis/Pukki

    1. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Robbie/Robbo expected to get a rest for one game, presumably against Villa, so can you do something with that place in your team and the cash you'd generate? I dunno, something like upgrading Gordon or turning Pukki into Richarlison. If I'm really honest, I think the 'cool' thing would be the burn a FT because you are pretty much as good to go as you can get

  28. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    If you have Toney and for just
    DGW 36 what to do ?
    Already have Richa

    A- Sell For Nketiah for a hit
    B- Sell for Pukki for a hit
    C - Keep him

    1. Whats the Mata?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      c

    2. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Keep 100%

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      C. You can play him, he has a great fixture. Doubt either A/B outscore him by 4

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Cheers thank you

    5. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I'm doing C so . . .

  29. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    How to improve this BB team, 0.9 ITB, 1FT, cheers!

    Schmeichel,Foster
    TAA,Matip,James,Cancelo,Amartey
    Salah,Son,Mount,Coutinho,KDH
    Nketiah,Pukki,Dennis

    1. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I like it. It's obvious but personally I'd either upgrade Amartey to, say, Sessegnon, or replace James with someone more likely to get game time, like Laporte or Dias. But you could also be maverick and save that FT

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Cheers

        1. Harvey_27
          • 2 Years
          1 year, 11 months ago

          Oo, one more thought: Amartey to Mykolenko or Mina or Coleman?

          1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            1 year, 11 months ago

            I prefer Coleman out of those and you?

  30. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Who takes the last spot on a FH?

    Kasper
    Taa Cancelo Laporte
    Salah KDB Son Saka Gordon
    Nkeitah

    A. Robbo
    B. Richarlison

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Robbo gonna get a rest, but Richarlison carrying a slight niggle...cos you've got TAA I'm going for B