Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.

697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    A. Holgate
    B. Tavares
    or
    C. Chambers

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

    2. putana
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      i was looking at holgate but apparently there is doubt if he starts both

    3. The Movement
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

  2. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    At around 390k worst season ever, thinking of going out with a bang!
    Thinking of these moves for -12 & BB

    Ramsdale-> Schmeichel (more & easier games for latter)
    Robbo -> Laporte (will score around similar points?)
    Ramsey-> Son (major upgrade)
    Kane-> Richarlison (not a major downgrade, hoping kulu + son match Kane)
    Broja-> Nketiah (solid upgrade)

    Thoughts?

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Go for it!

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Might as well go for it.

    3. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I took a -12 and I'm at 23k so why not, look at each move singularly and it makes more sense imo

      1. The Red Devil
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Cheers mate

    4. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Each of those moves could yield a nice profit so hit the button!

  3. SuperDan
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Pukki or Dennis?

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Pukki, form just swings it I reckon

  4. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Who to start this week?

    a) Ayling (ars, CHE)

    b) Tarkowski (AVL)

    1. C_G
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      b) in case Leicester concede 4+ in one of the games

  5. C_G
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    want to use my BB but have no clue what to do, please help. sorry to ask again!

    Have 2 FTs, o ITB

    Kasper Carson

    TAA Robbo Amartey Schar Alonso

    Salah Mount Maddison Saka Ramsey

    Kane Weg Toney

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Carson obviously needs to go. As does Schär, as does Ramsey, if injured. Downgrade Toney to fund other moves?

    2. The Movement
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Carson to Foster
      Toney to Nketiah

      1. The Movement
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Ramsey to Gordon
        Schar to who ever is best with what’s left. That is if you want to take - points after the initial 2FT

    3. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Not set for BB really, even with 2 FTs...may be worth working towards a GW 38 BB giving you more t/fers to get a decent bench?

  6. meshgearfox
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Rich & Kulu OR Nketiah & Mount?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      First

    2. The Movement
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      1

  7. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    why are people transferring out all their Chelsea?

    1. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Fear of rotation!

  8. ADucksBehind
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Havertz to Madison for free?

    1. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes

  9. Patson Dabaka
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Both my rivals own Laporte. I'm about 30 points ahead of one of them but its really tight against the other one (4 points!) Should I go for...

    A) Laporte
    or
    B) Dias?

    1. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Dias

      1. Patson Dabaka
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Thats what I'm thinking too 😀

  10. KUNingas
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Which will score most?

    A) Kulusevski (liv, ARS)
    B) Matip (avl, TOT)
    C) Nketiah (LEE, tot)

    1. citizenkane
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B higher floor C higher ceiling

    2. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      C

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      C if I had to bet.

    4. KUNingas
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Thanks!

  11. shapply
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    think I won't change anything in that FH team

    Foster (Bachmann)
    Cancelo, Alonso, Tavares (Tsimikas, Kelly)
    Saka, Mahrez, Son, Salah, KDB
    Pukki, Richarlison (Kamara)

  12. dansmusen
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    On BB. Would this be ok for a whopping -12. White/Ramsey/Kane/Broja to Cancelo/Saka/Nketiah/Richarlison.

    1. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      As -12s go it's a good one. 4 good quality players coming in and only really kane going out who could hurt you

  13. G Banger
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Exact cash to put the following FH together:

    Pickford
    Alonso TAA Cancelo
    Saka Son Salah Gordon KDB
    Nketiah Richarlson

    Any major omissions?

    1. Patson Dabaka
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Looks banging! Who you captaining?

      1. G Banger
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Thanks, between KDB and Salah atm, how about you?

        1. Patson Dabaka
          • 8 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          Salah but if I had beautiful Kevin, I'd pick him no doubt!

          1. G Banger
            • 5 Years
            1 year, 10 months ago

            Think I need a bit of a differential, so hovering on KDB atm, also thinking of Rich + TAA => Jesus + Van Dijk, thoughts?

            1. Patson Dabaka
              • 8 Years
              1 year, 10 months ago

              TAA had a rest last gameweek. I'd be terrified not having him tbh mate

              1. G Banger
                • 5 Years
                1 year, 10 months ago

                Nice cheers

    2. camarozz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Isn't Richarlson flagged now tho?

      1. G Banger
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        So I've read, may switch Rich + TAA => Jesus + Van Dijk... thoughts?

    3. citizenkane
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      If I was FHing would look almost identical

  14. JJO
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    A) Foster + Ake + Dennis + Kane + 4
    B) Pickford + Dias + Jesus + Richa
    ( Would probably save FH for gw 38 if i choose B)?

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

  15. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Am I good to go guys?

    Schmeichal
    TAA - Robbo - Cancelo - James
    Salah - Son - Kulu - Saka - Cout
    Nketiah

    DDG - Weg - Mateta - Telles

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes

    2. G Banger
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Looks good, but lacks Man City attack for me

  16. fish&chips
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Havertz to mahrez for a -4? Will FH37 if it makes a difference

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Probably the move I will be doing.

      1. fish&chips
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        It's tough... I'm on the fence for holding havertz or bringing in mahrez. Don't think any other mid is worth risking a -4 for but mahrez could easily hit a 20 pointer if he plays both

        1. DavvaMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          I's Mahrez or Foden for me. If I went Foden I would have a better bench, if I went Mahrez only one bench starter.

          1. FPL_ UP_Down
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 year, 10 months ago

            I’m on a same debate now
            Already have Foden taking a punt going 2nd City Mid Havertz to Mahrez for -4

            ** Tuchel hinted at a return to the starting XI for our no.9 Romelu Lukaku
            ‘He trained very well, maybe he starts tomorrow, we'll see.’

            Havertz Massive Sell!

            1. DavvaMC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 year, 10 months ago

              Lukaku could replace Werner though?

              1. FPL_ UP_Down
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                1 year, 10 months ago

                I hope you’re right.

                I already own James Maddison And Foden bit of headache they might only play one game.
                High risk high rewards

  17. The Movement
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Who gets more minutes this gameweek please guys?

    A) Laporte
    B) Dias

    1. Eightball
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      My guess would be Dias. Laporte looked like he was struggling at the end of the Madrid game.

  18. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    White and Barnes too much of a risk on BB?

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A risk for sure, but probably not worth -4s to move 'em on...hold and hope most likely?

  19. LucasPodolski
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Mount & Pukki or Mahrdz and Nketiah?

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      The latter two

  20. umerlfc
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Best defender upto 4.6m?

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Tavares

  21. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    I'd like to play JWP(bre), but who for?

    Foster
    TAA Laporte Roberts Clyne
    Salah(c) Son Maddison
    Pukki Kane Dennis

    Forster JWP White Ramsey

    0.0m itb, 0ft, FH and BB left

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Clyne

  22. BantasyFootball
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Ramsey + Kane > Son + Richarlison?

    1. BantasyFootball
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      (-4 hit)

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Who comes on for Ramsey?

  23. meshgearfox
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Mings best defender 5.1 or under for GW36 and 37? Someone else?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      36 and 37 maybe one of the Palace guys - Guhei probably

  24. rdpx
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Who do I really need to get rid of this week?

    Andersen
    Mateta
    Willock (definitely out)
    Weghorst
    Werner

    1 FT but taking BB hitz

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      If not FH for 37 I'd keep the Palace guys - other three can go for a -8

      1. rdpx
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Yes I'm thinking FH next week

  25. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Best defender for 4.4 or less for GW36 only? Tavares not an option as I've 3 Ars already

    1. antis0cial
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Holgate maybe? Not sure how nailed he is

  26. Firminooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Pukki or Dennis to Richarlison?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I'd keep Pukki of the two

    2. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Keep both

    3. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      On BB. Would mean -4.

  27. G Banger
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Last decision (I think):

    a) TAA + Richarlson
    b) Van Dijk + Jesus

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

  28. Bavarian
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    All set for the BB week....

    Schmeichel-Foster
    TAA-Matip-Cancelo-Laporte-Alonso
    Salah (C)-Son-Mount-Saka-Gordon
    Jesus-Dennis-Pukki

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Looks good

      1. Bavarian
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Cheers mate

  29. ct mariner
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    On FH - final choice:

    1. Matip and Greenwood (bench) - have TAA
    2. Holgate (bench) and Nketiah

    1. citizenkane
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Matip higher floor, Nketiah higher ceiling

  30. cescpistols111
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    BB36 G2G? 0FT, 0.0 ITB. Punting on Toney & Mateta in the SGW.

    FH37 to load up on AVL assets.

    Ramsdale Foster
    Robertson Cancelo Rudiger Fofana Johnson
    Salah Foden Mount Maddison Gordon
    Kane Toney Mateta