Captain Sensible
13 October 2022 199 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are again chiefly looking to Erling Haaland (£12.2m) for the Gameweek 11 captaincy but with Manchester City away at Liverpool this weekend, the decision over who to hand the armband to perhaps isn’t as clear-cut as it usually is.

As per usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Friday’s 18:30 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland (£12.2m) is the clear winner of the captain poll, with just under 58% of total votes from users at the time of writing.

Harry Kane (£11.4m) is currently in second place, backed by a mite under 13% of our users.

No other player has garnered more than 4% of votes at this stage: Ivan Toney (£7.3m) occupies third place, followed closely by Son Heung-min (£11.7m) and Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.8m).

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/KEVIN DE BRUYNE

Erling Haaland continued his excellent run of form, notching his 15th Premier League goal as Manchester City steamrolled Southampton 4-0 in Gameweek 10. 

The Norwegian became the first player to reach 100 points in Fantasy Premier League in 2022/23, averaging just 7.3 minutes per FPL point this term. 

Haaland is simply unstoppable, and having struck the inside of the post early in the first half, powered home a neat side-foot finish beyond the helpless Gavin Bazunu (£4.5m) to make it 4-0. 

Nothing is certain except death, taxes and an Erling Haaland goal  – and the Norwegian’s underlying numbers mark him out as the best in the division. 

The 22-year-old has produced division-leading goal threat numbers over the last six matches, placing top for shots inside the box (25), big chances (10), and shots on target (15).  

The expected goal data reaffirms Haaland’s dominance over the period, placing top for expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI), with 5.85 and 7.01 respectively. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Erling Haaland tops the division for shots (27), shots inside the box (25) and big chances (10) over the last six matches

Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m) registered his 10th attacking return of the Premier League season against Southampton, supplying the assists for Phil Foden’s (£8.2m) delightful wedge finish. 

The Belgian created two big chances against the Saints and continues to set the gold standard for creativity in the division – with unerring consistency.

Over the last six matches, playmaker De Bruyne places top for big chances created (six), total assists (six), and expected assists (xA), with 2.30. 

While Manchester City visiting Liverpool would historically rank as the toughest fixture on paper, the high-flying Citizens’ attack is the polar opposite of Liverpool’s defence with confidence at an all-time low. 

Analysing at a team level, Manchester City place top over the last six matches for big chances (25) and expected goals (xG), with 14.67. 

Meanwhile, the Reds have conceded three goals in consecutive Premier League matches, against Brighton and Arsenal, and placed bottom for expected goals conceded (xGC) against the Gunners in Gameweek 10, with an eye-watering 3.09. 

Injuries to Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m) and Joel Matip (£5.9m) further compound defensive woes for Liverpool who rank eight-worst over the last six matches for expected goals conceded (xGC), with 9.02. 

HARRY KANE/SON HEUNG-MIN



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

199 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Salah & Mitro/Toney to Trossard & Kane worth a -4?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes if Mitro not fit

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Depends if you trust Mitro to be healthy. If not, go for it.

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Salah could be a great captain in 12.

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Lol and ppl still think liv vs westham
        Is easy

  2. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed

    Start one:

    A: Guaita
    B: Ward

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B but neither one is attractive option.

      I don't think Palace keep a CS away at Leicester. Then again, defensively, Leicester is Leicester.

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Same same really, Guaita

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What would be the preferred Spurs and Pool picks now? Son and Firmino?

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kane and Salah/none.

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

    3. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Why Kane over Son? Just because penalties?

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Because hasn't blanked since GW1

    4. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Son is definitely edging his way back into my thoughts. Some of the Frankfurt defending was pretty sloppy & they gave him way too much space, but he looked really sharp

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I will defo need to ship KDB next week and Son ain't looking bad, I would like to avoid any hockey like Trossard in and out

  4. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Really uninspired this week, anything jump out? Wouldnt mind a Brighton attacker but Welbeck the only easy move
    0.4itb
    Pope
    Trippier Cancelo Dalot
    Sterling Zaha Maddison Foden Pereira
    Haaland Mitro

    Iverson James Tarks Watkins

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I would propably do Mitro --> Toney but that's me thinking Mitro isn't healthy. If you think he is, then just roll.

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, I could do Watkins to Toney if Mitro fit

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’d save

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, not a bad shout, I make silly moves when im unsure haha

        1. Letsgo!
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Start watkins, chelsea gonna concede

          1. JT11fc
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Interesting, Chelseas recent opposition havnt exactly tested them I guess

            1. GreennRed
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Watkins has only tested Gerrard's patience lately. Works hard, decent player, finishing is poor and confidence is low.

              1. JT11fc
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Been hard to watch him as my punt, not sure who Id bench

  5. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I’m in a bit of a pickle now. Would you save FT here? 0.7m
    Pope
    James Cancelo Trippier
    KDB Maddi Zaha Andreas
    Mitro Haaland Toney

    Iversen Neco Gordon Fofana

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      It's likely Gordon will play at least but yeah, not great.

      I think you are ok to save unless James is out for 11 and 12 - then he's got to go. Maybe to Spurs or CP defender?

      1. trick9
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Gordon is suspended, he won't play.

      2. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Hasn't Gordon got a gameweek ban?

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Nope.

      James isn't playing and Mitro is a huge question mark.

      Fofana --> Dier.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Ah. I didn’t know James was defo out. This is a real pain in the backside

        1. Laporte of the Gods
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Is he? Thought it was wait and see after 48 hours

        2. trick9
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Even if it's a minor tweak, he won't be risked in the weekend. Early reports speculated he's out for 10 days but that's still unconfirmed. I would be pretty confident (95%) in saying that he won't be risked this weekend, even if it's something minor.

    3. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Save FT. More need for GW12 with City out and probable rotation.

    4. GoonerByron
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely wouldn't save here.. Could easily end up with 9 or 10 players.

      I'd do James or Fofana out..

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I wish, just for once, I could make a luxury transfer.

    5. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I once saw a McDonalds burger pickle slapped against a wall, where it remained for a week. Someone had flung it there in a rage. It looked like it was bleeding but that was just some tomato sauce that had unwillingly joined it on its brief journey to the wall. Personally, I love the pickle.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Testify.

      2. NorCal Villan
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Despite having no competitive sports, the University of North Carolina- School of the Arts has the Fighting Pickle as its mascot

        The more you know

  6. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    James to dier for free this week or save ft and play neco(but not starting for nottingham it seems)?

    1. Laporte of the Gods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      What are your other options - could you play 3-4-3 or event 3-5-2?

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Nope, cause my other players are coufal martial neco on the bench.
        I can play 3-5-2 but it will still be neco taking over rjames if i dont sell him for dier

        1. Laporte of the Gods
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Then I would make a transfer - dunk?

  7. Viper
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Wildcarding in Gw 13. Which looks the better bet?

    A. Keep KDB. Take 2 punts with 2Fts in Gw12

    B. KDB -> Son

    C. KDB & Jesus -> Trossard & Kane (-4). FPL review recommends this one but I'm not sure

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I wanted to lose KDB this week but can be burnt badly here so maybe keep for Pool after all? I'm not too sold on Trossard, rather feel being pushed than convinced.

  8. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What say thee about the below moves?

    A. James > Webster
    B. Andreas > Trossard

    Cheers

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't do it. Andreas is fine. I would rather just move James.

  9. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which is the best defender to own for GWs 11&12 ? (Excluding Cancelo, James, Trippier & Saliba)

    Currently contemplating between Andersen and Dunk but are the other options?

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I've been thinking about punt on Justin

    2. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Guehi.

  10. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Kepa an option?

    Guita and Ward are my current keepers... agreed, not great.

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      For now.

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      decent option for the price

    3. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      If you don't have any other fires to put out and have a transfer to burn then Guaita to Kepa could be a good move. Would rather save the transfer and go into gw12 with 2FT in hand

      1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I'd love no other fires to put out but I have Diaz, TAA, James, Mitro 🙂
        Just scheduling in a mini WC

    4. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      There are more important transfers for basically 99% of players to deal with to use one of your transfers on this move.

  11. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    thoughts appreciated, oft 1.4 itb, diaz to trossard done, anything for a hit?
    james to dier, patterson to palce def etc?

    pope
    tripp cancelo james*
    bowen madds zaha tross
    haaland kane solanke

    ward andreas patterson* neco?
    cheers

  12. ragsyboys
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    KDB starts this weekend ?

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely.

    2. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      As bad as Liverpool have been, Pep will still put out his best XI this weekend.

  13. Tshelby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    WC time or just switch Martinelli or saliba? Don’t really see the obvious move this week

    1FT - 0.6 ITB

    Pope, Ward
    Trippier, Saliba, James, Cancelo
    Salah, Maddison, Martinelli, Andreas, Lavia
    Toney, Haaland, Jesus

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Saliba for Dier prehaps?

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      and your 5th defender is .....?