Big Numbers
11 January 2023 1483 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
Share:

With three more Gameweeks’ worth of Premier League player and team data available to assess after the Boxing Day restart, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Double Gameweek 20.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.




33 goals conceded by Gavin Bazunu (£4.5m) this season, a whopping 11.3 more than what Opta deem he should have shipped (21.7) based on the quality of shots he has faced. Southampton, despite being bottom of the league, actually have the eighth-best expected goals conceded (xGC) average in the division in 2022/23.

337 baseline bonus points registered by David Raya (£4.6m) in 2022/23, the most of any goalkeeper. It’s not just saves that are boosting his bonus points potential (he has 21 save points this season, the highest in the league) but he also leads the way for recoveries, which covers things like crosses claimed and loose balls pounced on. Having relatively easy, score-boosting stops to make can be important for an FPL goalkeeper, and Raya has that perfect blend in west London: the Bees are 20th for shots on target allowed but joint-eighth for big chances conceded.

7 shots in the box attempted by Fabian Schar (£5.0m) since the restart, the most by any FPL defender and more even than the likes of Marcus Rashford (£7.0m) and Anthony Martial (£6.6m) have managed – albeit without scoring. Over the course of 2022/23, the Switzerland international is the leading Fantasy defender for both goal attempts (23) and big chances (four). Ironically, his only goal came from 25 yards out.

6 big chances created by Kieran Trippier (£6.0m) since play resumed in Gameweek 17. That’s a tally that only one other defender, Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m), has managed to beat in the whole of 2022/23, let alone the last three Gameweeks.

FPL Gameweek 10: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus and statistics

98% of Premier League matches started by an available Joao Cancelo (£7.2m) between August 2021 and November 2022, with his only benching during that time coming in Gameweek 25 of last season when many other City regulars made way. Cancelo has played just 67 minutes since the post-World Cup restart.

14 penalty area touches in three Gameweeks recorded by Matt Doherty (£4.6m), the most by any FPL defender since Premier League football resumed in December. Only the aforementioned Schar beats him for shots in the box (six) in that time. It’s a Double Gameweek up next for Doherty and Spurs, although whether Antonio Conte’s semi-frequent rotation at wing-back deprives the Irishman of the chance to start two games is another question. A minutes-per-shot-in-the-box average of 61.1 is the best of any Fantasy defender this season (min. five appearances), to show what he can do when he is given the chance. Similarly…

239.4 minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI) is Ivan Perisic‘s (£5.5m) defender-best average in 2022/23 (min. five apps). The problem, again, has been game-time guarantees: of the combined 29 appearances made by Doherty and Perisic this season, 11 of them have been as substitutes and only five have lasted 90 minutes.


VIDEO LATEST

  1. The Wheeler Dealer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    is triple newc defence insane? got trippier and botman already and cancelo > shar looks better than anything else rn, got shaw already and 2 other utd mid/attackers, and dont fancy any other city pep roulette bollocks.

    1. Taegugk Warrior
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I think yes. You plan to play them together this week…?

    2. Green Arrow
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Yes, you'll be in trouble if Newcastle blank in GW25

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Not necessarily- they could get an alternative game depending on FA cup results

  2. Jagster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Whose price is rising/falling tonight?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Kane Mbeumo could rise
      Foden Aubameyang could fall

    2. gart888
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Mateta up.

  3. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Play Cancelo or Martinelli?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Martinelli

    2. luk46
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Martinelli

    3. Green Arrow
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Marti

  4. luk46
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Who are you picking?

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw x
    Salah Martinelli Rashford y
    Haaland Kane Darwin
    Ward Andreas Bueno Patterson

    Botman or Aké?
    Odegaard or Mahrez?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I would go Botman and Ode.
      Apart from KDB and Halland, Man City are a minefield.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Agree with Bot Od

    3. luk46
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Thanks guys, Im thinking the same!
      Cancelo + Saka + Mitro > Botman + Odegaard + Kane it is

  5. Sloane426
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Bringing both Lewis + Schar in over the next 2 weeks. Who would you bring in first to play this GW?

  6. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Hahaha cannot imagine if mahrez is bench

  7. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Is Eriksen a viable option for DGW?

    1. I Must Break You
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I don't see why not

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Thanks

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Yes

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Cheers

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Yes, but it is unlikely he will haul.

  8. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Best option

    A Salah Mitrovic to Mahrez Kane -4
    B Cancelo Almiron to Botman Mahrez-4
    C Salah Mitrovic Cancelo to KDB Kane Lewis -8

    Kepa
    Trippier Cancelo Shaw
    Salah Saka Rashford Almiron
    Haaland Darwin Mitrovic

    Ward Shaw Andreas Patterson

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A or B for me

      But all combos come with Pep roulette risk

    2. Subzero (-4)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A by far.

      However if mahrez not playing will upset you then don’t bother.

      A is the more maverick but way more fun.

  9. Subzero (-4)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    -4 taken. Salah and greenwood - Kane and mahrez.

    Good to go?

    Kepa
    Trippier Botman SHAW
    KDB MAHREZ RASHFORD Almiron
    KANE HAALAND MARTIAL

    Odegaard white Patterson

    Anything else worth hitting?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      No gtg- I would personally play Ødegaard over Almiron but close call

      1. Subzero (-4)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Only debate I’m having as well. Figured Odegaard hurts less if he hauls then almiron. Proper rank killer

  10. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    For the next 2 gws only, who should I go for?
    A) Shaw (MCI, cry, ars)
    B) Ake/Akanji (mun, TOT, WOL)

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Shaw

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Shaw

  11. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Cancelo
    Almiron Martinelli Rashford Salah
    Mitrovic Darwin Haaland

    Ward Andreas Bueno White

    1FT, 2.3itb

    1. Salah >> KDB [then Salah back for GW21]
    2. Salah + Mitrovic >> KDB + Martial (-4)
    3. Salah + Mitrovic >> Mahrez / Foden + Kane (-4)
    4. Something else?

    Thanks

    1. FCSB
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      5. Salah + Andreas >> KDB + Eriksen (-4)

  12. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    One for my nocturnal peers who are still online, (nocturnal in the UK anyway)

    Current team;

    Ederson
    Trippier - Botman - Shaw
    Martinelli - Salah - Almiron - Rashford
    Haaland - Darwin - Martial

    Kepa - Odegaard - White - James

    Got 2FT, 0ITB.

    Am I better of doing;

    1) Salah > KDB and roll 1FT
    2) Darwin > Kane, Salah > Mahrez

    Trying to weigh up if Kane is essential and if I even want Liverpool assets for their potential DGW.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      1-,cannot bring myself to lose Darwin and miss big haul that undoubtedly will come soon

      1. DALEDOBACK
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        1 also

    2. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Salah to KDB

  13. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Dont know who to relace Cancelo!! got all defenders I want

    Kepa Ward

    Trippier Shaw Botman Gabriel Cancelo

    KDB Matinelli Rashford Almiron Andreas

    Haland Kane Nkeitah

    0.4 itb

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Who are you benching? Other than Andreas bit of a nightmare!

    2. CROWLEY NOT CRAWLEY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Bueno - use the money in another game week. If not, Ben Mee might be worth a punt at 4.6.

      1. OPTA FPL
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        I even dont know how to use with those lots of money if I get Bueno

        1. Subzero (-4)
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          I reckon team of the season we I’ll be under the 100m starting budget. Don’t need to get blinded by spending it all. Just go with the best picks.

  14. DALEDOBACK
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Got to this with a -4, GTG?

    DDG
    Schar LEWIS Trippier
    KDB Almiron Odegaard RASHFORD
    KANE HAALAND Darwin

    Ward, Bueno, Saliba, Andreas

    1. Subzero (-4)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Looks solid. 🙂

  15. Norco
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Yay or Nay on this -4?

    Mitrovic + Mount + James > Kane + Mitoma + Botman

    1. Norco
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Gives me:

      EDERSON
      Trippier SHAW Botman
      KDB RASHFORD Martinelli Mitoma
      KANE HAALAND Darwin

      Subs: Andreas Gabriel Patterson

    2. Subzero (-4)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Hard without context of full team but seems a no brainier.

      Mitro - Kane (upgrade)
      James - Botman (upgrade)
      Mount - Mitoma (worst case similar expected points)

      1. Norco
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Thanks, sorry added the team above at the same time. Appreciate the time to respond.

        1. Subzero (-4)
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          No worries mate, it will freshen the team up

    3. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Yeah all good moves

      1. Norco
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Thanks. Cheers for the response.

  16. Ne0
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    What's the best move here?
    A) Cancelo -> Stones
    B) Kulu -> Odegaard
    C) Cancelo, Kulu -> Stone, Odegaard (-4)
    D) Kulu, Nunez -> Almiron, Kane (-4)

    I have 1FT and 1.3m ITB. Team is:
    Kepa (Ward)
    Cancelo, Shaw, Trippier (White, Bueno)
    KDB, Kulu, Rashford, Martinelli (Andreas)
    Haaland, Nunez, Mitro

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Is Kulu out? Thought he was good to go? If I were to do anything, I’d go Mitro to Martial

      1. Ne0
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Kulu has been spotted in training. But I don't know if he'd be brought straight back to the lineup against Arsenal. That is my worry. I didn't even consider the Mitro to Martial move. That's interesting. Thanks for the advice!

        1. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          Next three aren’t great fixtures for Mitro. Worth considering. It’s what I’m honking if I take a hit (see below).

          1. Francescoli
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 27 days ago

            *thinking

          2. Ne0
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 27 days ago

            Yeah makes sense. Mitro to Martial just might be my move this gw.

    2. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Similar boat. Leaning towards saving the transfer. Probably A is the best of those right now, and B in a future GW

      1. Ne0
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Yeah, that is what I'm most leaning towards. But per the answer above, Mitro to Martial is also a good option. I might do that.

  17. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Save FT?

    Iversen
    CANCELO Trippier Botman
    KDB RASH(v) KULU* Trossard*
    HAALAND Darwin Nketiah

    Ward | Patterson**, Perraud, Andreas | 1.6 ITB

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I’d be tempted to move Trossard this week. Who can you get to?

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        8.4m, so anyone from Saka down. Not the best time to buy Arsenal though. I'd have go them in GW17 if I weren't planning to avoid these two lesser GWs.

        Could go Antony but not so keen on him or anyone. Thinking the 2FTs might be more valuable. If in doubt, do nothing. Who would you go for?

    2. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I’d be tempted by Mahrez and downgrading Cancelo to Shaw

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Good shout thanks

    3. Ruinenlust
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Easy red arrow

  18. Francescoli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Anything worth a hit here? 0.6itb

    Kepa
    Shaw Cancelo Trippier
    KDB Rashford Saka Almiron
    Haaland Mitrovic Darwin

    Ward; Andreas Bruno White

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Not in my opinion

    2. Ne0
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      For a hit, I wouldn't make any move. The team looks good.

  19. PogChamp
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Is Andreas, White and Mount worth a BB?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Nope

  20. CROWLEY NOT CRAWLEY
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    What combo do you want up front for next 5 GW? I have the cash to do either move (Darwin or Mitro out).

    A. Kane and Darwin
    B. Kane and Mitrovic

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A

  21. DycheDycheBaby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Mitrovic to Mbuemo worth a -4?

    1. Samsonite
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I don’t think so

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      No

  22. Ragabolly
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Risers: None

    Fallers: Mateta (5.1)

    1. Samsonite
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Beautiful, TY

  23. Samsonite
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Get rid of Castagne, Mitro or Save? 1ft 3mil itb

    EDERSON
    SHAW Trippier Castagne
    KDB RASHFORD Almiron Martinelli
    KANE HAALAND Mitro

    Ward | Andreas, White, Bueno

    Thoughts? TIA!

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Save, two trades next gw and you’re laughing!

  24. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    A) Salah>Mahrez, Mitrovic>Kane
    B) Almiron>Mahrez, James>Botman

    1. Johan Queef
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Tricky one. I kind of prefer B as you're getting rid of an injured player, and not Salah.

      I've been toying with various moves all week but am now leaning towards keeping Salah (and so no KDB) and going Almiron to Mahrez myself.

      1. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        B should actually read Andreas>Mahrez……I suppose that would only make it more attractive!

  25. Sterling Malory
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Can I roll my FT here?

    Kepa
    Shaw Cancelo Trippier
    Salah Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Kane Haaland (c) Mitro
    Ward Andreas Bueno Patterson

  26. Serresiete
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Play cancelo or white ???

  27. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Already on a -4. Would you take another hit to sort out James or g2g? 2.1m itb

    Kepa
    Trippier shaw white
    Mahrez saka rashford almiron
    Haaland Kane Darwin

    Ward James andreas patterson

    1. Zebras
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Not urgent so might as well save the hit and reassess for next gw

  28. SKENG
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Anyone know when is the latest Liverpool DGW21 could be announced? Could it be after the deadline on Friday?

  29. Andy_Social
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Just woke up. How does City getting knocked out of the Tinpot Trophy affect the upcoming DGW scenario?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I like to wake up to Goldfrapp’s ‘Oo la la la la’!

  30. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Kepa
    Trippier, Castagne, Shaw
    KDB, Rashford, Martinelli, Almiron
    Haaland, Darwin, Kane

    (Ward, Andreas, Saliba, Bueno) + 0.8 itb

    Would you change anything for a hit?

    Only viable move I can think of is Castagne > Stones (-4) but on the other hand he is playing NFO this week so could keep and pull the trigger next week for free.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      No hits.

    2. Samsonite
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I think you’re g2g