Interview
13 January 2023 286 comments
J0E J0E
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Predicting Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City teamsheet each week is turning into a game within a game for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers.

It has been particularly tough this season, with former favourites João Cancelo (£7.2m) and Phil Foden (£8.2m) seemingly out-of-favour and dropped for many key matches.

This is where members of the FPL community such as Alex Michel are proving vital to Fantasy managers, as they can add further, important clarity to the decision-making of the ex-Barcelona boss.

Alex has slowly amassed thousands of followers on Twitter with his weekly predictions, starting odds and analysis of Man City. This includes being a key part of former Meet the Manager guest Emma‘s team of weekly prediction experts.

Given Alex is a recent graduate in his early 20s from Maryland, USA, it is especially impressive how much knowledge he has built up on Pep’s tactics, in comparison to more mainstream media pundits on this side of the Atlantic.

During his chat with Joe, Alex explains how analysing Pep’s body language during press conferences is paying off and helping him to predict the most likely players to take to the turf for each Premier League match.  

Their discussion takes in issues such as how different players play distinct and varying roles for Pep both in and out of possession. For example, City’s teenage defender Rico Lewis (£3.9m) is one of the very few players Guardiola trusts to bolster the defensive midfield areas when Rodri (£5.6m) needs help.

Also on the agenda are the reasons behind Cancelo’s fall from grace and why a shift in tactics could be the cause. Elsewhere, Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m)’s rise to prominence is also taken into account.

Can the Algerian winger be trusted to bring in FPL returns and will managers ever again be able to rely on Foden starting?

Alex’s insight into Guardiola’s plans is especially important this week, as managers prepare for a Double Gameweek that features ties against Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur.

Alex reveals his transfer and captaincy plans ahead of City’s two matches. Which triple-up is he going for and will he use the Triple Captain chip on 21-goal hero Erling Haaland (£12.2m) this time around?

Joe’s thoughts

Many years ago, when the ‘Meet the Manager’ series started, I was keen to interview the small band of consistent FPL managers, who each year manage to achieve a high rank. As the FPL community grew and progressed, I realised this group was too small.

Instead, I began to also look at who the key, emerging commenters are in the community who are spending their free time thinking of teamsheets and analysing information to help their fellow managers.

Alex firmly fits that bill, having become one of the key voices, alongside our very own Pep predictor Luke, to help us decipher the likely Man City line-ups each week.



J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

286 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which option:

    A. Salah and Mitro
    B. Kane and Bruno -4

    Thanks

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      BBBBBB

    4. GK
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

  2. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Salah to KDB?

    And best Cancelo replacement?

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Good to see someone else so cheery this morning. Ha to you too.

      I like the move. Unsure on best replacement for Cancelo however

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Ty ty

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yes for free.

      I'm afraid it depends on other DFs in your team. Btw, I don't see an obvious choice except Shaw for coming DGW.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Yep, 2FT

        Shaw, Trippier, White, Bueno

        Nobody really stands out…

    3. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Got to be Botman?

  3. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Be a bunch of darlings on this windy Friday and RMWCT.

    It would mean the world to me. Constructive criticism welcomed.

    DDG Ward
    Trippier Shaw Botman White R.Lewis
    KDB Saka Ode Rashford Rodrigo
    Haaland Kane Greenwood

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Only thing I would change is the fifteen players you’ve selected

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Madness, Greenwood for the first name in this Wildcard

    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Looks good

      Prefer Rodrigo over miggy?

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I do. Better stats, I like the fixtures.
        Newcastle are closing things up now to secure that spot.

        1. Robe Wan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Fair enough

        2. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I'd go Rodrigo too but iI'd need w transfers. Greenwood > Ferguson if budget allows?

          1. Sheffield Wednesday
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            *Keyboard fail w = 2

    3. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Can't fault it really. Still prefer Martinelli over Saka for funds. Rodrigo a nice punt.

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thank you Mr OC.

        Saka and Ode simply for differential purposes and the ARS double. Still tempted to move Saka on elsewhere but for who….no idea.

        I’m fixed on the 352/442 formation now.

    4. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Like it. Only thing may be the 3rd striker spot, the Brighton lad has looked good and had some game time.

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        That is a magnificent shout. I had completely forgotten about Fergie. He’s in.

        1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          .3 more than Greenwood but probably worth it

          1. TheTinman
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            You might catch a rise or two on him. Who knows. Low risk punt! Because Welbeck certainly won't maintain fitness

    5. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      LIke it. Not sure about Lewis however since it is never certain he will start and wastes a 3rd City spot.

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        The 3rd City spot is never guaranteed starters unless you go for Ederson.
        And I will never have Ederson.

        1. aapoman
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          But how often will you be starting Lewis with confidence that he will actually start and not just come on for a 1 pointer? If you don't want Ederson I'd personally rather just get a defender from any other team that is actually nailed.

          1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            I think you may be surprised with Lewis and how often his plays.

            He may just be our best RB.

            1. aapoman
              • 12 Years
              2 years, 10 months ago

              Will you be starting him this week then?

  4. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Position of the 2nd Chance rank on the FPL page got me good. Purposely havent looked at my rank since before the World Cup, but I accidentally caught a glimpse yesterday. Was pleasantly surprised to see myself about 500k.

    Thought I'd check this morning after the end of the gameweek and I was confused to see myself at 2 million (still a big improvement since before the WC mind you). Then it hit me.

  5. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Gamble on Salah to Mahrez? I already own KDB.

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Sure. I think he will only play one game however

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      You've said it yourself.

      Gamble.

      It's your call and not much point to ask advice as it comes down to risk appetite.

  6. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is GW21 going to be the big double game week that was predicted by the experts on Twitter ?

    Surely if it is to be a double gameweek it has to be announced before GW20 deadline ?

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Doesn’t look like it

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Waiting for it too.

    3. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Starting to look a damp squib

    4. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Remember one being announced 1 minute after the deadline a few seasons ago

    5. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      The "experts" on Twitter often go with the prediction that gets the most "likes", funnily enough.

  7. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Moving out injured James and Darwin means I’m stuck with Cancelo…..any arguments for starting him over Mitrovic?

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      He could play one game, certainly not both.

      I’d play Mitro. Or take him out for a DGW def so the hit hurts less.

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Don't think Mitro has ever had a good game on his return to SJP

  8. Coupes
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What’s the news on Toney?

  9. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Nice little one month vacation in London for Felix

  10. Tibbs
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    2FT, money no issue

    1) Kepa> Ederson
    2)Cucu/ Walker> Shaw
    3) Both

    Which one of Cucu/Walker makes way for Shaw as want rid of both in reality

    1. GK
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      2, Cucu out

    2. Jässi
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      3 do both and Cucu out

    3. GK
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Correction - 3, Cucu out

    4. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      3 cucu. But walker gotta go soo tok

  11. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Do u tbibk gabriel will outscore ake?

    1. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Over what period

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Gw 20

    2. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      At least you know he plays every week

  12. EltonCPT1
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is anyone worth a - 4?
    Thinking of transferring Mount / MITRO out for a - 4 but not sure to who....already did Cucu -> Shaw last night.

    Kepa Sanchez

    SHAW TRIP STONES

    RASH ALMIRON KDB MARTIN MOUNT

    MITR HAALAND GREENWOOD

    BANK 3.7m
    TIA

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Wilson maybe?

      1. EltonCPT1
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks, could be a possibility but I would prefer a DGW player but who knows maybe Wilson score a goal or two.

  13. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A rash decision to captain rash? Doing well in ML's, in top 300k overall, no need to do this and stick with haaland cap?

  14. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Morning all

    Has there been any news on Toney’s availability for this weekend? Seriously tempted to do Mitro > Toney but wary of whether he features.

    Thanks in advance

    1. ameisin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      BRE press conference later today.

    2. Trotter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Me also but also wary of his ban and no GW25

  15. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts?

    Cancelo, James, Darwin > Stones/City def, Shaw, Kane (-4)

    1. GK
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yes, but Stones is a doubt

      1. Jones Kusi
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Which City defender would you recommend?

        1. GK
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Akanji, but it’s a difficult call!

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not sure City defense is worth it, so maybe just two moves?

    3. The Mantis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Id just do James and Darwin to kane and Shaw if affordable

      1. Jones Kusi
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not possible unfortunate

        1. The Mantis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          How about kane and dalot? Or another def perhaps from newcastle

  16. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    List of players not pictured in training:

    1. Martial
    2. Stones
    3. Darwin

    Please add if you have more candidates!

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      4. Me

  17. Bobby Crush
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    About formations, now that we move into the final half of the season. Often goals become more plentiful.

    Switch to three at the back and get a third striker?
    Thinking, Darwin, Nkietah, etc. Other ideas?

    1. Jässi
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Nketiah great for his price as long as Jesus is not fit.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Been on 3 at the back all season. Tbh its a pretty crap season for defenders overall, surprised to see people deliberately setting up with 4

      1. Bobby Crush
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks! I am also going 3-4-3 now.

  18. GK
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale Ward
    Botman Shaw Trippier Saliba James
    Martinelli Andreas Rashford KDB Almiron
    Mitro Haaland Kane

    Are these sensible FTs?
    Ramsdale > Ederson
    James > Mee

    1. Jässi
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

    2. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Great transfers imo. Sets yourself up for a 2nd arsenal attacker too

      1. GK
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        My thoughts precisely, thanks!

  19. Jässi
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Why so many people are already going to TC Haaland in a possibly two tight matches?

    There will still be DGW23 for City with Aston Villa at home and Arsenal away. If Haaland will have his minutes managed, surely it will happen in the Forest game on GW23 before their UCL match against Leipzig?

    Another possibility is Rashford on GW22 when they should face both Crystal Palace and Leeds/Brentford at home.

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      He scored 23 points against united earlier. And spurs are awful. Think I'll go for it.

      1. FPL Maldini
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah but Unted are a different beast now tbf

  20. mdm
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which option (2FTs):

    A. Salah -> KDB
    B. Mitro -> Martial
    C. Both for free

    Thanks

    1. Jässi
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      C

    2. GK
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Do you own Rashford?

      1. mdm
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Yes

        1. GK
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I’m 50/50 on Martial, but probably worth it considering the double

          1. GK
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Thus, C

  21. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    How's she looking? 4.4 in the bank.... Don't think anything is worth a hit is it?

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Mee
    KDB Martinelli Rashford Almiron
    Kane Haaland (c) Mitrovic

    Ward Andreas White *Patterson

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Kepa to Ederson could be worth a hit, rest look good imo

      1. trinzoo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Lol, Ederson won't keep a cleanie.

  22. tim
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Will people w Darwin start him?

    Could play Mitoma instead, which was always an option.

  23. Roysgotnoboys
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else not sure about selling Salah for KDB? Feel like Salah could still Haul against Brighton and KDB isn’t exactly in form …

  24. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I need play 2 from this 3
    1) Mitro
    2)Martinelli
    3) Buendia.
    Who do you prefer?

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mitro and Martinelli

  25. Ruinenlust
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Kepa -> DDG

    B) Andreas -> Casemiro

    C) Save FT

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Casemiro, no way. DM’s don’t work in FPL.

      1. ☈☾
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Have you been watching him play?

        He's as good as Andreas

        1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I have, when they play better opposition and away from home - like City and Palace he will be back playing deep.

          Not worth it for the .3/.4 more

      2. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Since GW10 Casemiro has scored 45 points, returned in 4 out of 10 games and had two double digits performances. His price is 4,9 m. In the same timeframe KdB has scored 43, returned also in 4 out 10 and had one double digits performance. His price is 12,5m. I'm not going to insist that underlaying unmers for Casemiro are better but he could be sensible punt for DGW.

  26. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Start 2

    A) Mitrovic
    B) Mitoma
    C) Andreas

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      AB

  27. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is Varane a nailed pick for the DGW?

  28. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Thinking i might just avoid the rotation in the City defence and bring in Botman for Cancelo. Lovely 4 fixtures. I stand by my comment, no Man City defender is safe particularly with Laporte now fit and Dias set to return. With Akanji Stones Ake Dias Laporte, you’re dreaming if you think you’ll get regular starts

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Agreed tbh. Ederson or nothing and even he is especially uninspiring due to price, lack of saves/bonus

  29. PScholes18
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Are these the correct moves? A bit torn...

    Kepa
    Trippier - Robertson - Cancelo
    KdB - Martinelli - Almiron - Rashford
    Haaland - Darwin - Mitro

    Ward, Bueno, Cresswell, Andreas
    0.6 ITB.

    Thinking Robbo and Darwin to Kane and a defender for 4.7 or less.
    Probably one from Newcastle, but are there any good options with DGW?

    Or would you recommend something completely different?

  30. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Feeling a little happy as most peoples wildcard teams look like my team without wildcard.

    Hoping there's a better time to wildcard for me.