Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. liboo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    I have salah and nunez guys
    Wat to do

    A. Mahrez & tony
    B kdb & tony
    C. Keep salah & tony

    Advise plz guyss ????

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      B or C

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      b

  2. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Would you play Stones (and hope he gets the 2nd game) or Botman and double up with Newcastle defence. I have both Kane and Mitrovic so clean sheets would mean they have blanked.

    1. Atwood
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      I'd play Botman in that situation

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Ssn said stones is out v United

  3. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Is 6 DGWers enough? I have 2FTs to get some but thinking of just doing Mitrovic > Toney and rolling another.

    Kepa
    Walker - Shaw - Trippier
    De Bruyne - Almiron - Rashford - Martinelli
    Mitrovic - Kane - Haaland

    Ward - Andreas - Bueno - Dunk

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Stick to that plan

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Sounds like a plan

    3. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Do Kepa to DDG. Chelsea are awful

      1. Atwood
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Could do that as well. Palace at home isn't that bad though...but I guess it is Chelsea.

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          It is but Chelsea could lose to the Dog and Duck right now. Plus United have good fixtures after the double

    4. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Teams very well set, stick to the plan

    5. xandu
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Do you believe Walker will play? Tony is close to suspension

      1. Atwood
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        I actually think he has a good chance, and might be put up against Rashford. Who knows with Pep though.

  4. Sadge
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    would you go cucurella to shaw for -4 ?

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      For a dgw say yeah

    2. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Yes as Can only see 1/2 points for Cucc this GW.

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      yes

  5. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Thoughts?
    A-4 cancelo an Nunez to Kane an botman

    B Same but also salah to kdb -8?

    C if do B can get akanji/ake instead of botman

    Cheers all

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      A

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Thanks

    2. Atwood
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      A

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Cheers

  6. Aye
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Play ?
    Gabriel (spurs A)
    Bueno (WHAM H)

  7. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Saka flag?

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      he is fine

  8. Taribo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    RMWCT?

    DDG
    Shaw Trippier Lewis
    KDB Rashford (c) Odergard Almiron
    Haaland Kane Toney

    Ward Botman White Mitoma

    0.4ITB for KDB to Salah

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      g2g

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Good to go

  9. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    % of chances for Pool DGW now?

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Slimmer by the minute, slimmest if no update at 6pm.

  10. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Which option:

    A. Salah and Mitro
    B. Kane and Bruno -4

    Thanks!

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      B

  11. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Bottomed and no idea what to do..

    A, B or C?

    2FT's/0.7ITB

    A) James to Schar
    B) James to Akanji
    C) salah and greenwood to Kane and mitoma

    Ward, Kepa
    Gabriel, Trippier, Bueno, Shaw, James*
    Martinelli, Salah, KdB, Almiron, Rashford
    Mitro, Haaland, Greenwood

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      b

  12. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    1) Castagne + Andreas > Pinnock + Mahrez (bench Mitro)
    2) Mitro > Toney (bank second FT)

    both for free

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Why is everyone getting rid of Mitro? In form player and team?

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Don't love the fixtures mainly

        1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          They don't play Chelsea every week, unfortunately

      2. Wobbles
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Yep, I don't get it either. Fixtures are fine imo, TOT and CHE aren't exactly setting the world on fire and he is fixture proof anyway. Have a feeling he might also ruin a lot of people's weekend, especially those who've doubled up on NEW defence.

  13. putana
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    how likely is it that brighton double in 21?

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      50%

  14. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    is foden to anyone worth a hit?

    A bruno
    B mahrez
    C odegard
    D no

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      A probably

    2. Sadge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      same dilemma here.Thinking foden to kulu/mahrez but I think I will just save. I believe even with limited minutes foden still can get assist/score.

      1. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        probably

    3. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Really tough…….he could start both games you know

  15. leo_messi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Ake or Akanji???

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      J man

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Akanji

  16. GE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Any worth a hit?

    A) Kepa -> Ederson (-4)
    B) Mitro -> Martial (-4)

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      A probably is considering they have two doubles coming up

    2. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Neither, I don't think either of those would accumulate enough points to justify the hit.

  17. Lionac
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    A) Ake, Salah, Toney
    B) Bueno, Mahrez, Kane

    Have KDB and Haaland

  18. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    A) Darwin and Cancelo to Kane and Ake - 4
    B) Also do Salah to KDB extra hit
    C) Neither

  19. Ze_Austin
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Mitro to Toney (then Nketiah in GW23) now highly tempts me

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      But when will Toney get his ban?

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        "The FA's legal representatives and those of Toney's are in the process of going through each betting offence he is alleged to have made.

        This is a painstaking process and Toney has the right to respond to each of them individually.

        It could therefore take some time for the FA to get to a verdict, which may not come until February or beyond, despite Toney needing to respond to the latest charges by January 4."

        https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11748/12773110/ivan-toney-brentford-lining-up-potential-striker-options-for-january-transfer-window-in-case-striker-hit-with-ban

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      I'd really like to have Toney this week. Do it!

    3. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Didn't consider nketiah move myself.. Looks better move more now

    4. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Me too, in fact that's the route I'm taking with the Toney guaranteed starter news.

    5. Chris_H
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Will Jesus not be back by 23? Not sure if Nketiah is safe in a month?

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Perfect time to get Mitro back (vs Forest) if Jesus is around by then

  20. Krafty Werks
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    My first -8 of the season but I do think it's worth it longer term? Was unsure on moving Mitro > one of Martial or Toney but with the Toney guaranteed starter news and with his amazing next 3 fixtures, I believe he'll repay the -4 pretty quick, if not straight away vs Bournemouth?

    Nunez, Mitro & Cancelo > Kane, Toney & Botman / Akanji / Ake?

    Just one thing to decide :

    A - Akanji or Ake? (double / double make it worth the gamble?)
    B - Botman?

    1. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Same dilemma. I think I'll go Botman, to make sure I've got funds later to upgrade a midfielder to Odegaard.

  21. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    I got 2 free transfers and not sure what to do

    Mitro to C Wilson?

    1. KUNingas
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Toney

    2. DaftPunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Do you have Toney?

      I think Wilson will start this weekend, but GW21 onwards could be a rotation risk with Isak returning to fitness.

  22. Paddyburns
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Solanke -> Toney -4?

    1. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      not ideal - would Solanke be in your starting 11? Probably worth it in isolation though.

      1. Paddyburns
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        My starting is
        Kepa
        Shaw - Tripps - Botman
        Rash - Salah - Martinelli - Mount
        kane - Haaland - Solanke

        Ward - Andreas - Ream - Patterson

        Could do Ream to ake/akanji -4, but not sure?

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Yes.

  23. SoulShakinTex
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Play Cucu or play Bueno or take a hit for what < 5,2 def? Have Shaw already.

    And: Is it pure madness to play Bailey over Martinelli this week?

    Cheers, and good luck.

  24. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    A) Ederson, Schar & Mitrovic (Ward)
    B) Ederson, Doherty & Mitrovic (Kepa)
    C) Ederson, Botman & Mitrovic (Kepa)
    D) Ederson, Gabriel & Toney (Kepa)
    E) Kepa, Schar & Toney (Ward),
    F) Ederson, Schar & Toney (Ward) (-4)

    Cheers

    1. SoulShakinTex
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      D for me

      1. Catastrophe
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Cheers

  25. Jonesy5
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    So confused on what to do here with 2FT and 0.9itb
    Kepa (Ward)
    Trippier, Walker, Shaw (Bueno, White)
    KDB, Marti, Almiron, Rash (Andreas)
    Haal, Kane, Darwin

    Thinking Walker and Kepa -> Ederson and Doherty/Botman ?? Any help appreciated

  26. Mirror Man
      3 years, 28 days ago

      - Ederson is 20th for overall saves (27 saves from 1530 mins)
      - Mendy is 21st for overall saves (25 saves from 765 mins)

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Because Ederson players for the statically best defence in the league.

        1. Mirror Man
            3 years, 28 days ago

            That doesn't get enough clean sheets and he rarely makes saves. Useless fpl pick.

      2. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        All good to go?

        Bench order right?

        DDG
        Trip Shaw Lewis Botman
        KDB Ode Rashford Rodrigo
        Haaland Kane

        Ward Saka White Fergie

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          Start Saka for Lewis/Botman

        2. TheBiffas
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          Wildcard needed!!

      3. mdm
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Which option (2FTs):

        A. Salah -> KDB
        B. Mitro -> Martial/Toney
        C. Both for free

        Thanks

        1. SoulShakinTex
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          Both, with Toney

      4. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Should we worry about Saka flag? Or t as me chance to switch to Ødegaard?

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          * or take the chance to …..

        2. Rainer
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          Nah, no need.

      5. I Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Screw it, TC activated.