Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Kane essential?
    Or is Toney enough cover.

    Looking to do:

    James, Andrea and Mitrovic to Botman, Zaha and Toney.. for -4.

    Good moves?

    1. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I just went for Toney, I'll just move to Nketiah as and when he gets banned.

  2. RogueBlood
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A or B guys,

    A) Salah & Mitro > Kane & Gakpo/Mitoma/ Someone else maybe a suggestion?

    B) De Bruyne & Mitro > Kane & Mahrez/ Foden?

  3. Pedersen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Will city get another dgw this season from some cup or is this their only one? Thinking whether tc would be worth it this gw

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes.

      Look for "TC Opportunities" in hot topics.

      1. Pedersen
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah. I noticed one of my mates playing TC, and i have honestly not even considered it before just now that i saw it. Normally i wouldn't for those fixtures, but might actually be due to only known dgw

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          But Haaland may not play 180 minutes in any future DGW due to fixture congestion.

  4. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Would I be mad to save a FT here? Considered hits to get Kane and/or Cancelo out. But also worried about Kane getting a yellow in the NLD and Pep Roulette, so making me consider sticking with what I've got.

    Kepa
    Shaw Trippier Cancelo
    KDB Rashford Kulu Martinelli
    Haaland Darwin Mitro

    Ward Pereira Bueno Patterson

    1FT 1.2ITB

    1. Heiro
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Darwin to Toney for free?

      1. Under my Cucurella
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Potentially... if Darwin starts could backfire though

  5. banskt
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is there a way to get an idea about the percentage of managers using TC chip this week?

  6. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone going without Kane?
    I think Toney could be a just a good an option. Better fixtures coming up too.

    1. H.E. Pennypacker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Harry is fixture proof to me.

  7. SM001
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    KDB to Salah for -4 worth it?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      kDB has a DGW

    2. acidicleo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      no

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

  8. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Last decisions:

    a) Mount to Mahrez for a hit?
    b) Haaland (TC)?

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No.

  9. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Play Walker or White?
    B) Patterson -> Shaw for free?

    Thank you!

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  10. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Considering Son (C) thoughts?

    1. Ange Ball
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Go for it I was now cap Rashford time to go against the pack

  11. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Few quick fire questions
    A) Ward or Kepa to start?
    B) Would you do Mitrovic to Toney (-4)?

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kepa, no

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A) Kepa.
      B) Maybe. Maybe not for a hit.

    3. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kepa and meh

  12. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Take a -4 to swap Dalot out, or play one of Botman or white?

    1. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Play Botman

  13. Gorky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    TC Haaland. I'm coming round to the idea.

    2 games. Very likely to play both.
    Spurs poor defensively.
    Manchester derby usually goals.
    Later on cup games and champions league could see him rested during a dgw.
    Fresh cos of world cup rest.

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Plays Villa & Ars in 23?

      1. Gorky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        On paper looks slightly easier fixtures but Champions League the week after so Pep roulette gonna be high in those weeks. Pretty safe for strongest teams this gw.
        Tbf it's a flip of a coin between the two gws

  14. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Brighton striker Ferguson? worth a go? Any reason not to?

  15. MaestroMostar
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Have 4.6 for DEF, who to get:
    A)Lewis
    B)Lisandro
    C)Wan-Bissaka
    Or someone else?

  16. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) Son and Gakpo (will cost -8 overall transfers)

    B) Salah and Zaha (will cost -4 overall transfers)

    Going without Kane.. instead bringing Toney in. Thoughts please….

  17. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Anything worth a hit? 2.1 itb
    A.martinelli to eriksen
    B. Tete to Doherty/perisic
    C. Kepa to ddg/ederson

  18. George James
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Kulusevski causing me an issue.

    Keep and bring in Toney

    Or

    Downgrade to Mitoma and bring in Kane for -4???

  19. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rashford cap makes so much sense most cap Haaland out of fear

    1. H.E. Pennypacker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      yes! I have Capt on Rashford, also I don't like making players Capt when it's v Spurs..

    2. Berkshire Hafaway-Line
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Fear existed many millions of years before logic

    3. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I can honestly say I'm dead scared of going any other way tbh. His ownership will be around 190% and its just not worth it. Plus don't want to watch City games with potential heart attack clouding my mindset

  20. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Think if your not triple cap Haaland this week then might well put on someone else

    1. artvandelay316
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He could do better in a single match against Bournemouth.

  21. ShackledAce
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    For -4

    a) Ederson + Eriksen
    b) DDG + Mahrez

  22. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Cucu and Trossard -> Shaw and Mahrez -8?

  23. MaestroMostar
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one:
    A)Castagne
    B)Bueno
    C)Martinelli

    Right now I'm on Bueno, but still questioning my decision...

  24. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Went against crowds instead bringing in Kane KDB got in Son and Mahrez instead doing Haaland now done Rashford.

  25. artvandelay316
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Scared of Captaining Rashford purely because Rivals in ML don't have him and will captain Haaland. But seems like Rashford isnin better form and has better fixtures. So difficult to decide!

    1. H.E. Pennypacker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I´ve gone with Rashford, but also tempted to Capt Harry.. Good luck!

  26. Big Mac 24
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw Chalobah
    Rash (C) KDB Mahrez Martinelli
    Mitro Kane Haaland

    Ward Andreas Estupian Neco

    Balls to the wall, let’s go!!