Captain Sensible
30 March 2023 340 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers brace themselves for the biggest Double Gameweek of the season with the armband decision far from a formality.

Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) and Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m) are cast in the roles of leading men, but face strong competition from a trio of Brighton & Hove Albion assets, with options from Leicester City, Liverpool and Chelsea representing the differential selection.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

The biggest Double Gameweek of the season has thrown out a wide range of armband options but Marcus Rashford fights off stiff competition to top the charts, backed by just under four-tenths of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

The main captain poll rivalry comes from Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma (£5.5m), who currently sits in second place with the support of 16.24% of our users.

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) occupies third place with 7.2% of the vote, closely followed by Erling Haaland (£12.0m) and James Maddison (£8.2m) further back.

A reminder that those FPL managers polled are voting as if the players in the question are going to be fit, which may not be the case with Haaland.

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

MARCUS RASHFORD/BRUNO FERNANDES

Manchester United assets are firmly on the menu ahead of Double Gameweek 29 with Erik ten Hag’s side facing Newcastle United and Brentford.

Marcus Rashford has been revitalised since the Dutch manager’s arrival and is in scintillating form, ranking joint-top for both goals (10) and FPL points (94) since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17.

Above: Marcus Rashford ranks joint-top for both goals (10) and FPL points (94) since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17

A cursory glance at Rashford’s underlying numbers highlights his importance to ten Hag’s attack, ranking best in the division for shots in the box (17) over the last six matches.

The England international’s seven big chances, nine shots on target and non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 3.12) tally all place in the division’s top four over that same period.

Furthermore, no player has registered more double-digit returns (four) than the Manchester United attacker, underlining Rashford’s high ceiling.

However, Rashford returned to Manchester United after sustaining a knock while on international duty with England, but the star attacker has since featured in training pictures for the Red Devils.

Meanwhile, Bruno Fernandes has demonstrated a return to his attacking best with the midfield maestro habitually delivering big in Double Gameweeks – scoring a combined 31 points in Manchester United’s last two.

The Portugal international boasts strong creative underlying numbers in the last half-dozen matches, supplying the division’s most chances (21). Furthermore, his tally of five big chances created is bettered by only Solly March (six) over that period.

Above: Bruno Fernandes has created the most chances (21) in the division over the last six matches – and supplied five big chances

While Fernandes places third-best in the division for expected assists (xA, 1.81) over that same timeframe, the playmaker can shoot – the Portuguese has registered 29 shots, 10 shots on target and three goals post-World Cup.

Under Erik ten Hag’s stewardship Manchester United have quickly re-established themselves as a top-tier attacking side, ranking sixth-best for expected goals (xG, 41.57) this season.

Firstly, the Red Devils travel to Newcastle United with Eddie Howe’s charges in poor form defensively, failing to register a clean sheet in their last six Premier League matches.

However, it won’t be a stroll in St. James Park for Manchester United’s high-flying attackers, with the Magpies’ backline placing second-best in the division for expected goals conceded (xGC, 11.65) across all home games this season.

Erik ten Hag welcomes Thomas Frank’s Brentford side for the second fixture of Double Gameweek 29, with Manchester United keen to capitalise on the Bees’ recent defensive woes.

While Brentford have failed to record a clean sheet in five of their last six Premier League matches, Frank’s side rank fifth-best for expected goals conceded (xGC, 16.92) in away matches this season.

Zonal weakness could be the key to swatting the Bees, with Brentford placing in the bottom two for crosses conceded from their right flank (293) and chances conceded centrally (132) across all games this season.

KAORU MITOMA/ALEXIS MAC ALLISTER/SOLLY MARCH



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

340 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Snake Juice
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Keep your Arsenal attackers.

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I want to but the alternative is getting Mitoma who has two games.

    2. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Keeping Saka, dealing Ode for Bruno or Mac/March, remaining doubles swing it for me

    3. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      So keep Ode over Bri mid, why?

  2. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    2 FTs and 6.9itb

    Kepa Raya
    Trippier Zinchenko Botman Estupinan Mee
    Saka Odegaard Mitoma March Rashford
    Kane Toney Watkins

    Current plans are:
    Mee > Shaw
    Ode > Maddison or Bruno

    Worth taking any hits or other transfer suggestions?

  3. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    No chance Rashford had any injury. He just badly needed a rest. He will be back with a bang. Also has a point to prove as he’s about to sign a new contract.

  4. mental paul
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Looking at final midfield spot...

    Needs to have a decent double in 29 and also play in 32. Max cost 6.3m

    Thinking one of...

    A) buendia
    B) billing/ouattara
    C) Rodrigo/Harrison
    D) Gibbs-White
    E) Benrahma

    Who should it be?

    1. cruzex
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      E

    2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      E

      1. mental paul
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Interesting Benrahma gets both votes but has worst PPG and is less nailed than the others. I haven't got a clue which one I'll pick

    3. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      All risky but I like Rodrigo

  5. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Bus Team for now...no BB

    Kepa (Ward)
    Trippier, Mee, Chilwell
    Mac Allister, Mitoma, Rashford (C), Saka, Martinelli
    Toney, Havertz (v)
    Subs - Kane, White, Tark

    A - Keep FT
    B - White to Estupinan (bench Martinelli)
    C - Havertz to Isak
    D - Kane to Isak (bench Martinelli)

    1. mental paul
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

  6. RogueBlood
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    1FT 5.3ITB willing to take a hit if needed to strengthen, I`ll be bench boosting this week currently thinking, Martinelli > Bowen.

    Current team

    Kepa, Raya
    Gabriel, Mings, Mee, Trippier, Estu
    Rashford, Maddison, Mitoma, Saka, Martinelli
    Kane, Toney, Watkins

    1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Stick for me

    2. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      It's a yes from me, the 2 home games have tempted me. I need to have a differential captain as I'm chasing. Good luck if you choose him.

    3. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      FWIW, my team is same as yours except I've got chilwell instead of gabriel and I'm BB as well. I have just the one TF and I'm thinking exactly the same Martinelli to Bowen. If I do I will captain Bowen (not a lot of love on here for that).
      Just a few points to consider.

      1. Trossard and Jesus could both eat into martinelli game time, although he is well rested during IB.
      2. Both of Bowens games are at home.
      3. Bowen has potentially 2 more games than martinelli over the next few weeks and good fixtures.
      4. Are you defending a position or chasing.
      5. Martinelli form is better but we all know Bowens potential for high scores.

      I'm 90% in favour of making the transfer but like you not sure.

      Who will you captain by the way ?

      1. RogueBlood
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks for the detailed response, I'm currently top of all my ML's and would like to keep it that way haha. The armband is currently on Rashford but I keep flicking through players.

        As for Martinelli his minutes will be limited especially now Jesus is back I see both him and Trossard making a lot of bench and off brnch performances

  7. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Who scores highest this GW?

    - Salah
    - Fernandes
    - March

    1. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Salah

    2. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Bruno

    3. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      March

    4. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Mo

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      March, even do the gameweek starts in April 😉

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        😀

    6. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Bruno

  8. thom830g
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    What to do? 1FT and 5.1 ITB. BB active.

    A) martinelli -> Barnes / bowen
    B) martinelli + Kane -> Bruno + Isak (-4)
    C) Gabriel -> Shaw
    D) Gabriel -> Estupinan

    Team is:
    Raya - Kepa
    Trippier - Gabriel - mee - schär - chilwell
    Rash - Saka - martinelli - mitoma - March
    Kane - watkins - Toney

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A but would go Maddison personally

    2. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      You free hitting 32?

      1. thom830g
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yup

        1. FPL Alaska
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Then C

  9. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    1 FT 6.3m ITB

    Raya Kepa
    Trippier Schar Mee Estupian White
    Saka Odegaard Rashford Almiron* Mitoma
    Kane Toney Watkins

    Odegaard & Almiron -->> Maddison & Bruno (-4)

    Tempted by a Maddison (C) too

    Thoughts?

  10. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Can’t decide
    1) Just Zin to Shaw
    2) 1 and Saka to Bruno -4
    3) 1 and Mart to Bruno -4 but no funds for Halland
    4) Bri mid instead of Bruno

    Kepa/Raya
    Chilwell/Trippier/Estupinan/Botman/Zinchenko
    Saka/Maddison/Rashford/Martinelli/March
    Kane/Toney/Watkins

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      1 and 4. I am in a similar place. Ideally woudl do Zin + Mart > Shaw + Bruno, but I wouldn't have enough funds then to bring back Haaland in 30. I am leaning towards Shaw and Maddison in, but since you already have Maddison, I would probably bring in another Brighton mid.

  11. RogDog_jimmy
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Saka > Bruno (-4) is calling me.
    I must resist.

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Would you do it for Free?

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Probably?
        I'll be doing Gnonto > Solanke...could do both for -4.

        OR just do the Saka > Bruno for free.

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      nah keep saka

  12. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is Rashford fit to play?

    1. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Looking likely
      No one knows at the stage though
      Have to wait for pressers

  13. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Any love for Bowen as captain?

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      No

  14. Jaok
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    BB team 2ft
    Kepa Raya
    Tripper Botman Pinnock Estupian Zinchenco*
    March Mitoma Rash Saka* Ødegaard*
    Kane* Watkins Toney

    A: Øde + Zinch to Fernandes + Shaw
    B: Øde + Zinch + Saka to Fernandes + Shaw + Maddison -4

    Worth taking out Saka for Maddison?

  15. :
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    I would love to captain Rashford this GW but as I've got 2 x Brentford & 2 x Newcastle at the back, I'll be hoping he bombs and I'll just end up capping someone like Mitoma or Maddison instead. It's just one of those FF idiosyncrasies that also prevents me from contemplating bringing in the likes of Bruno & Shaw this week.

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I’d see captaining Rashford as insurance in your situation!

  16. No Professionals
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Would you get Bowen or Mac Allister instead of Fernandes if it meant being able to get Haaland for Toney in gw30?

    Otherwise I will need to take a hit or lose Kane.

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      yes, MacAllister

    2. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Assuming you are freehitting GW32, then Macallister

  17. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Current (common) thoughts:

    A) Zinchenko > Shaw
    -- Keeps double ARS midfielders

    B) Zinchenko/Martinelli > Shaw/Bruno
    -- Leaves me 0.2m short of Toney > Haaland next week.

    C) Zinchenko/Saka > Shaw/Bruno
    -- Can easily afford Haaland after this, but Saka is the sacrifice.

    D) Zinchenko/Saka/Martinelli > Shaw/Bruno/Maddison
    -- Leaves exact ITB for Toney > Haaland next week.

    1. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I would do B with Shaw and Maddison

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks - that is another option but I'm unsure on it.

    2. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I am basically in exact same situation. Right now I am leaning towards doing Zinchenko/Martinelli > Shaw/Maddison, but may just risk Shaw/Bruno and take a hit to get Haaland back if needed. Hopefully will get more info on Haaland's injury status tomorrow. If I knew he was out this week for sure, I would probably risk it w/ Shaw/Bruno.

  18. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Think I'm going to side with Mitoma on the captaincy debate

    1. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      He will do well, goodluck

  19. Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Would you BB this - Raya, Zinc, Kane, Tark/Kilman?

    Which one to sell
    a) Tark > Estupinan (-4)
    b) Kilman > Estupinan (-4)
    c) Sell both for Estu and Shaw (-8)
    d) Keep both for BB

    Part of me wants to keep Tark so Kane + Tark can give me around 8 pts combined and Zin and Raya can bring another 12 points.

    Keeping Tark means I don't need him for rest of the season and some money for future upgrades. Getting rid of both means bench headaches and maybe cash spread out in full squad
    No WC available

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      C. Both could pay off this week alone, and will set you up much better moving forward. This is assuming you plan to FH in GW32.

  20. M2.0
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Anything worth a hit here? And is my bench correct? (no bb left)

    ———-——-KEPA——————
    - CHILLY - SCHAR - TRIPS - SHAW -
    RASH - MACAL - BARNES - BRUNO
    ————-TONEY - Haaland

    Raya - Kane - Martinelli - PINNOCK

    1. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I would play Kane over Shaw. Looks god though, you will have some bench points this week

      1. M2.0
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yep, i did get some good bench points in GW27 so i’m not overly bothered. However i don’t think i can justify benching shaw if i just brought him in!

      2. M2.0
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Would you play Kane over Schar?

        1. :
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          If Schar played two games every week to Kane's one, he'd have scored 30 points more than him by now. Sure, Kane could haul at Goodison but playing Schar is the percentage call this GW imo.

          1. No Kane No Gain
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            I don’t see a Newcastle clean sheet this week but I can see a kane goal?!

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Play Kane over Schar. I see 2 X 2 maximum from him this week

  21. Snake Juice
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Kind of hoping that Rash gets ruled out this week so I can do Rash to Salah guilt-free.

  22. Viper
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which two moves would you make for a -4?

    A. Gabriel -> Shaw

    B. Henry -> Chilwell

    C. Saka -> Fernandes.

  23. thom830g
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    BB active. What to do?

    A) Martinelli -> Bruno
    B) Martinelli + Kane -> Bruno + Ings (-4 and possible to get Haaland back next GW // both have DGW in GW 34)
    C) Martinelli + Gabriel -> Bruno + estupinan (-4 and both have DGW in GW 34)

    Team is:
    Raya - Kepa
    Trippier - Gabriel - mee - schär - chilwell
    Rash - Saka - martinelli - mitoma - March
    Kane - watkins - Toney

  24. goneill79
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Someone make a case for bbing with Pickford & Tark amongst the 15

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Impossible

      1. goneill79
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        3 clean sheets in the last 4

        1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Kane great record vs Everton. And, we’ll, just Kane … one goal is all spurs need to mash that boost. Too risky.

          1. goneill79
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Probably right.Thxs

    2. Sun God Nika
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Depends if future Dgw works out better

  25. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is Dalot a hugely underrated differential this gw?

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Not if AWB starts one or both games.

    2. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      No, AWB could play

  26. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    What to do with my bb squad?

    A.....saka to Bruno - 4 . And haaland for free next week

    B.....martinelli to Bruno - 4. And another hit for haaland next week

    I know the risks of losing an arsenal mid. But willing to gamble as Bruno has several extra fixtures. Thanks

  27. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Salah or Madison?
    Currently on Salah but difficult next 3 Vs on paper easier ones for Madison

  28. sentz05
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Was determined to BB this week …
    2FTs but have the following players in my squad:
    Ward
    Halland (0.3 lost if I sell and buy back)
    Rashford
    What do I do?

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Wait for pressers

  29. cutch
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    A) Jensen to Madison (-4)
    B) Jensen to Bruno (-4)
    C) Keep Jensen

    1. goneill79
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Got Jensen too,think there’s gotta be better picks this week

  30. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Odegaard dropping in ptice tonight has got me tempted.to remove for a hit, as I need the cash to get Haaland back next week for Toney.

    Should I:
    A) forget Haaland for now and get Bruno/Bowen for -4
    B) Get March (have Mitoma) for -4
    C) Keep Ode (have Saka), will still just have enough spare change to get Haaland