Captain Sensible
30 March 2023 340 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
Share:

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers brace themselves for the biggest Double Gameweek of the season with the armband decision far from a formality.

Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) and Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m) are cast in the roles of leading men, but face strong competition from a trio of Brighton & Hove Albion assets, with options from Leicester City, Liverpool and Chelsea representing the differential selection.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

The biggest Double Gameweek of the season has thrown out a wide range of armband options but Marcus Rashford fights off stiff competition to top the charts, backed by just under four-tenths of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

The main captain poll rivalry comes from Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma (£5.5m), who currently sits in second place with the support of 16.24% of our users.

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) occupies third place with 7.2% of the vote, closely followed by Erling Haaland (£12.0m) and James Maddison (£8.2m) further back.

A reminder that those FPL managers polled are voting as if the players in the question are going to be fit, which may not be the case with Haaland.

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

MARCUS RASHFORD/BRUNO FERNANDES

Manchester United assets are firmly on the menu ahead of Double Gameweek 29 with Erik ten Hag’s side facing Newcastle United and Brentford.

Marcus Rashford has been revitalised since the Dutch manager’s arrival and is in scintillating form, ranking joint-top for both goals (10) and FPL points (94) since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17.

Above: Marcus Rashford ranks joint-top for both goals (10) and FPL points (94) since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17

A cursory glance at Rashford’s underlying numbers highlights his importance to ten Hag’s attack, ranking best in the division for shots in the box (17) over the last six matches.

The England international’s seven big chances, nine shots on target and non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 3.12) tally all place in the division’s top four over that same period.

Furthermore, no player has registered more double-digit returns (four) than the Manchester United attacker, underlining Rashford’s high ceiling.

However, Rashford returned to Manchester United after sustaining a knock while on international duty with England, but the star attacker has since featured in training pictures for the Red Devils.

Meanwhile, Bruno Fernandes has demonstrated a return to his attacking best with the midfield maestro habitually delivering big in Double Gameweeks – scoring a combined 31 points in Manchester United’s last two.

The Portugal international boasts strong creative underlying numbers in the last half-dozen matches, supplying the division’s most chances (21). Furthermore, his tally of five big chances created is bettered by only Solly March (six) over that period.

Above: Bruno Fernandes has created the most chances (21) in the division over the last six matches – and supplied five big chances

While Fernandes places third-best in the division for expected assists (xA, 1.81) over that same timeframe, the playmaker can shoot – the Portuguese has registered 29 shots, 10 shots on target and three goals post-World Cup.

Under Erik ten Hag’s stewardship Manchester United have quickly re-established themselves as a top-tier attacking side, ranking sixth-best for expected goals (xG, 41.57) this season.

Firstly, the Red Devils travel to Newcastle United with Eddie Howe’s charges in poor form defensively, failing to register a clean sheet in their last six Premier League matches.

However, it won’t be a stroll in St. James Park for Manchester United’s high-flying attackers, with the Magpies’ backline placing second-best in the division for expected goals conceded (xGC, 11.65) across all home games this season.

Erik ten Hag welcomes Thomas Frank’s Brentford side for the second fixture of Double Gameweek 29, with Manchester United keen to capitalise on the Bees’ recent defensive woes.

While Brentford have failed to record a clean sheet in five of their last six Premier League matches, Frank’s side rank fifth-best for expected goals conceded (xGC, 16.92) in away matches this season.

Zonal weakness could be the key to swatting the Bees, with Brentford placing in the bottom two for crosses conceded from their right flank (293) and chances conceded centrally (132) across all games this season.

KAORU MITOMA/ALEXIS MAC ALLISTER/SOLLY MARCH



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

340 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. One for All
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Start:

    A) Saka
    B) Toney

    Thanks

    1. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Toney with the double, close call though

    2. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Saka

  2. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Solanke or ings to buy?

    1. One for All
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Solanke

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Ings

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Ings

    4. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Ings

  3. BusbySwede
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Please help to decide

    Kepa
    Gabriel, Trippier, Estupinan
    Saka, Odegaard, Maddison, Rashford, Mitoma
    Kane, Watkins

    Raya, Toney, Mings, Mee

    2 FT, no BB. 4.8 itb
    1st thought;
    Odegaard -> March
    Mee/Gabriel ->Shaw/Chilwell

    What do you think about those transfers, and who would you choose between Shaw/Chilwell?
    Getting some second thoughts on doing Odegaard -> Bruno instead..

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Ode/Mee to March/Shaw

  4. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is there anyone here still with Haaland? Would you sell or keep? Not keen on swap out and in again GW30 😛

    1. One for All
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Keeping

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        And BB?

        1. One for All
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Used in gw 23

    2. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      If I still had him I would keep, unless we get more concerning news about fitness

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        My plan exactly, but BB as well

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Keeping

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        And BB?

    4. The Senate
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Have him, waiting for presser, I expect it to be ‘assessing’ in which case I would just bench him and cancel BB, expecting him back next week

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Cancel BB? Interesting, I am trying to use BB this week getting rid it out of the way ...

        1. The Senate
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          I also have Ward, White and Henry and a wildcard available so happy to leave it until 34

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            That makes sense

      2. agueroooooney
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I'm similar, hard to know what info Pep will give though

    5. It's a Wookie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Am bench boosting, regardless. If he is confirmed out then I will swap for Watkins or Isak. That saves a headache in week 32 as well.

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I am with you there, ta!

    6. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I have him and will hold unless the unlikely event that he has a long term injury.

      Planning to BB but if we get word he's not starting I'll cancel it. Also have Andreas and Ward and will ditch them for a hit if BBing, will keep and save FT if not

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        When else would you BB?

  5. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Ings >>> watkins this dgw?

    Yes or no? And why?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yes, purely for certainty of minutes (West Ham fan), no idea what's going on with our starting XI

  6. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    RMT/GG/What changes would you make?

    1FT, 2.6ITB
    BB Activated
    Kepa², Ward²
    Badiashile², Henry², Burn², White, Kilman
    Salah²(c), Rashford², Maddison², Mitoma², Odegaard
    Toney², Watkins², Kane

    A) Kilman > Chilwell
    B) Kilman > Trippier
    C) Hold
    D) Other?

    GW30, would like Haaland back, depending on Liverpool & Salah's performance in DGW29 will depend on Salah & Toney/Watkins > Martinelli & Haaland leaving some cash in the bank also.

    1. Ksimparomenos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Is ward starting? Did you consider steele?

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        No idea, someone else mentioned it and I considered making a -4 for Ward > Steele but then someone pointed out neither Steele or Kepa play in 32 so I'd be 'keeperless in 32, so they suggested Iverson, but I don't feel as confident on Iverson over Steele given he's only been given the nod for one week so far. Also Steele has an extra fixture so wouldn't really be TOO bothered about having no 'keeper for 32 when really the max points you're expecting from your GK is 6?

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Are you confident Badiashile plays? I ask as I own the lump too and general consensus seems to be he’s likely to be the fall guy (despite the fact the last highlights I saw, Koulibaly looked like the liability)

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I have faith he starts at least one of the two and I guess this would be the last straw for me if he misses both games.

        I never understood why he got dropped in the first place to be honest, especially for Fofana

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          You and me both. Potter is the new Pep just without the high win ratio!

  7. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which could cause more damage for not owning him Chillwell or Shaw?

    1. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Chilwell

  8. Extr3meZy
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Should I do either

    Gabriel to Shaw

    OR

    Saka to Bruno (this means I won’t have any arsenal players)

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Gabriel to Shaw

  9. Tcheco
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    March or Mac?

    1. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Mac

    2. The Senate
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Mac

  10. circusmonkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Auction league question:

    Has Joe Gomez got any chance of getting back in the team (apart from through injuries to current starters)?

    1. amonito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      No. Only if VVD or Konate injured. Even than it's between him and Matip.

      1. Bobby Crush
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        however, if Trent gets injured, he might start at RB.

  11. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Does Sanchez, Henry/Zinchenko & Odegaard > DDG, Chilwell & Bruno (-4) look ok? Gives me this BB;

    DDG Kepa
    Trippier Mee Estupinan Chilwell Henry/Zinchenko
    Bruno Rashford Maddison Mitoma Saka
    Toney Havertz Watkins

    Thanks

  12. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Saka to Salah?

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Good move if chasing

  13. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    BB looks ok?

    Raya
    Trippier Pinnock Mings Chilwell Estupian
    Maddison Mitoma Rashford(C)
    Toney Watkins

    Kepa Haaland Saka Mac

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good

    2. DagheMunegu
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Bench is in fact Raya Pinnock Mings Halland(injured)

  14. reo19uk
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Do we have any suggestion of which other GWs the remaining matches may be rearranged into?

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Probably GW37 for 2 of them with Brighton v Newcastle a bit of an unknown

  15. Teddy10
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which 2 to play:

    A) Badiashile
    B) Batman
    C) Henry

  16. clarkey_2000
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Probably going to do Saka to Fernandes but also tempted to take a -4 to change a defender, any thoughts on Gabriel to Chilwell or Botman to Shaw?

  17. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Mac Allister or Fernandes this week? (and until GW34)

  18. K4pril
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Hi all, pretty much on transfers just thinking about BB ATM.

    Got Estupinian and MacAlister, do we think they play both games?
    If they don't i might hold with BB in 34

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'd recommend drafting up a BB34 team even roughly, there's a big budget to spend on starting 11 and then the BB is likely to be West Ham and Fulham players with poor fixtures, I did up one myself (see post below), not really sure if it looks great, hard to tell

      1. K4pril
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I checked your post
        Your bb 29)
        Iversen 8p

        I am a city fan and considering how important this game is for us I do say Haaland will play. Might play first 60 min might play last 30 but he will play IMHO. He have poor record vs live but awesome record at home so it could be nothing could be 3 goals and 3 assist alike vs UTD.
        Odegaard been somehow poor FPL wise, I think 3 pointer here.
        White might squeez some cheaky assist so I do give him 10p
        Gives 21 points + haaland

        Bb 34
        Steele 8
        Trippier 6
        Andreas 4
        Isak 10
        24 points

        1. agueroooooney
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Seems logical, if Haaland plays then I BB this week, if not then I delay it. If I know he's starting then it's probably actually Kane I have on my bench, not him, doesn't change much though

        2. agueroooooney
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Actually that's 28 points for BB34, plus I've to take a hit for it this week, maybe I should wait after all...

      2. K4pril
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Mine bb is way different tho,
        I hve 14 DGW players now, Kane being only single gameweek player in 29.
        Kepa raya
        Trippier botman aguerd Shaw estupinian
        Rash maddi fernandez mac march
        Watkins kane toney

        Gw34
        I have 12 DGW players
        Raya Ederson
        Shaw aguerd estupinian botman tripp
        City mid fernand Rash mac march
        Watkins Kane Haaland.

        1. agueroooooney
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          I think BB29 is the clear winner for you then to be honest. I only count 10 DGWers for 34 by the way.

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Why wouldn’t they play? Long flight from INTL duty? I think they play

      1. K4pril
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Yep,
        There is even topic about it on here.
        Mac Alister played yesterday and have 13hrs flight to London + travel to Brighton so today he deffo do t train, tomorrow dunno. Will he play without training?coz he played 2 days ago I think but still it's Ben Australia, 12+h to London and then Brighton, I don't know if he trained today or will tmrow.
        Estupinian is better

  19. agueroooooney
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is there a clear winner here? Haaland injury putting me off.

    A) BB29: Iversen (cry-AVL) - Haaland (LIV) - Odegaard (LEE) - White (LEE) (-4)

    B) BB34: Steele (WOL-MUN) - Trippier (SOU) - Andreas (MCI-liv) and one OF Ings (cry-mci)/Toney (NFO) or Isak (SOU)

    1. Wobbles
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      In a very similar predicament, am considering BB anyway, even if Haaland is ruled out. I'm set on Haaland TC in GW34 and still have WC so don't want to lose value doing the hokey kokey with Haaland.

  20. SKENG
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    1 FT, 6.3M ITB. Need to keep 4.5M ITB for Havertz > Haaland GW30.

    DDG Raya
    Trippier Botman Chilwell Estupinan Henry
    Rashford Mac Allister March Maddison Saka
    Isak Havertz Kane

    Using BB this week. How would you use the FT?

    A) Saka > Bruno
    B) Henry > Shaw
    C) Save FT
    D) smth else??

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Difficult one. Like both A & B.
      Also not against holding the Free Transfer, could be useful next week

    2. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B or C for me

  21. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Mac A Or estu as third Brighton asset?
    Other two are March and Mitoma
    If I buy estu, I'll buy Bruno, would you do kane to isak to fund Odegaard to Bruno?

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Don’t think I would go with triple Brighton Midfield

  22. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    MacA

  23. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    A. Play Free Hit (team has -4)
    B. Hold, use WC & FH I’m FW34

    Kepa Steele
    Trippier Henry Gabriel Castagne Chilwell
    Salah Odegaard Bruno Rashford Mitoma
    Kane Nacho Havertz

    1. JollyGoodYellows
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I don't think that needs a FH, so B

  24. Extr3meZy
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Opinons on Jack Harrison as a transfer?

    Anyone have any knowledge of he will be playing both games cause I heard in the press conference that he will rotate players around, although Gnoto is definitely out against Arsenal and Harrison has scored in the last two games and played the near full 90 mins in both.

    Also Should I do either

    Gabriel to Shaw

    OR

    Saka to Bruno (this means I won’t have any arsenal players)

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Think he's a decent differential pick, bit of a lottery ticket though, could be better to go with the more popular choices, depends on how much of a risk you want to take

  25. Samsonite
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    If you already had March, who would pick as your second Bri mid?

    1. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Mitoma

      1. JollyGoodYellows
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        This

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Tough call in the boat, leaning towards Mac

  26. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Ode to Bruno or Maddison?

  27. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Current lineup, 2FT and 5.4 ITB:

    Kepa
    Mee - Estup - Trip - Botman
    Mitoma - Maddison - Rashford
    Toney - Watkins - Kane

    Raya - Saka - Martinelli - Gabriel

    Going to BB this week, so transfers are likely:

    Mee/Gabriel to Shaw
    Martinelli to March/McCallister?

    Thoughts?

  28. Slitherene
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Boost-able?

    Kepa | Iversen
    Trippier Chilwell Shaw
    Salah Rashford Maddison Mac Allister
    Kane Toney Watkins
    ¦ Pinnock Odegaard Mings

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Obviously. What would you be waiting for if not this week?

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Of course

  29. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Guys
    Saka Martinelli Zinch to Bruno Maddison Shaw -8 and bb?

    Will FH 32

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      No

      1. DagheMunegu
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Why ?

  30. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on these moves and BB (if Haaland out)? 2FTs & 1.4m itb.

    GW29: Haaland+Henry >> Isak+Chilwell

    GW30; Toney >> Haaland

    Kepa
    Tripps, Schär, Estu
    Maddy, Saka, Rash, Mac A, Mitoma
    Kane, Toney
    (Raya, Haaland*, Henry, Zinc)

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Okay do it