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23 May 2023 335 comments
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In Gameweek 38, Tottenham Hotspur visit relegation-threatened Leeds United, while Crystal Palace host Nottingham Forest, who have conceded a whopping 43 goals away from The City Ground this season.

As a result, there is lots of interest in their assets, but which of their Fantasy Premier League (FPL) players have the best chance of hauling?

Here, we identify the weaknesses Spurs and Crystal Palace could try to exploit.

LEEDS: RIGHT FLANK

In the relegation battle, Leeds are relying on Everton and Leicester City to slip up on Sunday, but also HAVE to win against Tottenham Hotspur.

That could benefit Spurs assets, who are excellent playing on the break – they are ranked joint-third for shots from counter-attacks this season.

Crucially, the Lilywhites are still in the hunt for European qualification, albeit the UEFA Europa Conference League. To qualify, they’ll need to win at Elland Road and hope Aston Villa drop points at home to Brighton and Hove Albion.

Sam Allardyce has been unable to fix Leeds’ defensive issues since his appointment, conceding seven goals against Manchester City (two), Newcastle United (two) and West Ham United (three).

In that time, they sit bottom for minutes per expected goal conceded (xGC). It’s not a huge surprise given the fixtures, plus the squad he inherited, but still, it suggests Spurs can cause problems on Sunday.

The shots Leeds have conceded from open-play so far under Allardyce have mainly been from their right, which is captured below.

Above: Open-play goal attempts conceded by Leeds United under Sam Allardyce (Gameweek 35 onwards)

Against West Ham United on Sunday, right-back Luke Ayling (£4.5m) tried to provide an attacking outlet on the overlap, but left his flank exposed when they were countered on.

That could create opportunities for Son Heung-min (£11.5m), who has two goals and one assist in five appearances under Ryan Mason. He was a real livewire in the first half against Brentford on Saturday, but like most of his team-mates, was much quieter after the break.

Still, no Spurs player has registered more shots in the box (nine) or big chances (six) than Son since Mason’s appointment in Gameweek 33, including Harry Kane (£11.5m), who has seven and four respectively.

If Ayling and Leeds have similar defensive issues to the ones witnessed at West Ham on Sunday, Son can take advantage.

Above: Son Heung-min ranks joint-third among all FPL players for big chances from Gameweek 33 onwards (Mason’s first match in charge)

NOTT’M FOREST: LEFT FLANK



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  1. SpaceCadet
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Amy update on Rashfords availability for tomorrows game?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Back in training so gotta imagine he's nailed to start

    2. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      If he was training fine until illness on Friday, you would think should be absolutely fine for Thursday - hope so as ML rival has Trippier first sub to my Toti

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheerz

    3. jack88
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Should start

  2. popey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Have exact funds for Mitoma for Eze, but also triple city in my squad (Ederson, KdB, Haaland). Assuming Eze goes up before Sunday morning;

    a) make move before priced out and take hit if needed with City leaks
    b) wait and find other transfer

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I'd wait. KDB and Haaland, if confirmed out, are easy downgrades which will give you enough spare for the Mitoma to Eze move.

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Give us some context - is it OR you're after or just ML position? Note: I just remember removing KDB on the last day of the season. He scored 18 points and my rank almost doubled.

      1. popey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        around 20k rank so only focussing on cash ML, 12 point lead plus whatever falls out from my KDB/Ferguson vs Shaw/Alverez

        1. Old Man
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          I wouldn't take a premature hit yet, unless you get a gut feeling that is the way you really want to go. Have a close look at your nearest oppo - how do you think they'll appoach bridging that 12 point gap? That might give you a push towards one action of the other .... are they savvy and follow FPL sites, or are they just having a lucky year?

  3. Wheato182
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Little concerned for Mahrez's mins over the next 2 games, can see he's started for city in every FA cup game this season 🙁

    1. TKC07
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      xHangOver stats are better for Mahrez to get more mins compared to Grealish.. based on the rumors..

    2. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      He doesn't even have to start to score though. I'd take goal off the bench without hesitation.

  4. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Rashford and Grealish cameos are a must. It would kill so many auto-subs and vice captains it's insane.

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Rashford will start. 100% if he's back in training from last week and it was an illness keeping him out at the weekend

      Rumours are Grealish hasn't travelled so much less likely

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I don't see why Rashford would only cameo though, I'm expecting him to start. But I'm in full agreement on Grealish! Sounding unlikely however

      1. hussain_786zx
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Likely Rashy gets the full 90’

    3. Zimo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I get Mitoma and Trippier if they don't lol

      1. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Lucky sod. 😀
        Some of us picked them on merit.

  5. hussain_786zx
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    What should I do. A,B, C, D, F or G -- £4.8mil in da bank
    Only 1 FT

    Pope, Kepa
    Stones, Estu, Shaw, Guehi, Castagne
    Mitoma, Mac10, Rashy, Bruno, Mo
    Haaland, Alvarez, Isak

    A) Stones ➡️ TAA, Mac10 ➡️ Eze, Bruno ➡️ Son
    B) Stones ➡️ VVD/Robbo, Mo ➡️ Son, Isak ➡️ Kane
    C) Stones ➡️ TAA, Bruno ➡️ Ødegaard, Isak ➡️ Kane
    D) Stones ➡️ TAA, Mac10 ➡️ Bowen
    E) Estu ➡️ Porro, Mac10 ➡️ Eze, Isak ➡️ Kane
    F) Estu ➡️ Porro, Stones ➡️ TAA, Bruno ➡️ Son
    G) Stones ➡️ TAA, Mo ➡️ Son, Isak/Alvarez ➡️ Firmino

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I don't think a -8 pays off on the last day, especially when you are losing players who are highlight likely to start (Mac A, Bruno, Isak, Estu). Mo is a stand out captain option so losing him madness as well. Probably only leaves D but think i'd take Eze over Bowen - they have a bit of rest since last game and a bit before the ECL final so maybe Bowen plays but still like Eze this week

    2. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Agreed that -8 is mad (unless you just want to have some fun with differentials). Especially given players outgoing.

      Spurs are rubbish and playing a Leeds team fighting for life away, Utd have Fulham at home- think I'd prefer Bruno over Son irrespective of hit

      Stones > TAA and a mid of your choosing is more than enough - so D with Bowen/Eze

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I'd hold MacA over Mitoma myself.

  6. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Really hope mahrez and gundo to start tonight

    1. hussain_786zx
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I think Gundo starts, maybe Mahrez might get benched coz he might play Bernardo

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Sigh my captain mahrez

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I think Mahrez will and Gundogan is a possible starter.

  7. El Presidente
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Pep definitely rotating again, not as heavily as vs CHE but still doing probably 3/4 changes. I knew immediately something was up when odds jumped for City do win from 1.75 to 2.05

  8. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Would you go for Olise, Eze or someone else from Palace?

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Eze

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Stats point to Eze but in a single game either could do well so I suspect if the 0.3m difference is a factor, Olise still a good shout.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers

        Don't think the budget will be an issue this final weekend.

        More a case of resisting spending it on someone more expensive for the sake of using the funds up.

    3. Crystal Alice
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I have both cos I'm based

      1. Crystal Alice
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        biased lol

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Fair play

  9. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Need The Nordic Meat Shield to start tonight.

    Will he though?

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Hopefully not

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Probably not.

      Unless he's being rested on Sunday instead.

  10. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    If Rashford plays tomorrow and Man United do it, do you think he plays on Sunday as well?

    1. boombaba
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes, if over illness he will continue to play.

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Think he will benefit from the minutes yes

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Initially I thought not, but given the break to the FA Cup final and his lack of football so far in the run up to it, I'd say so unless he's still not 100%

  11. boombaba
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    1FT and 3.3ITB

    Currently leaning towards
    1.Isak to Alvarez
    2.MacA/Mitoma to any 9m or under midfielder

    Got rash saka ode and think selling one of the above is best shout.

    Any advice on who to bring in?

    1. Flying Dutchman
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Watkins or Eze

  12. balint84
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Who would you bring in from these players?

    A) Son
    B) Foden/Gündogan
    C) Rashford/Fernandes