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Projecting Value – Forwards

6 August 2012 2527 comments
Paul Paul
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This evening we roll out the final part of our series of Projections articles for the season ahead. Having already assessed the Keepers, Defenders and the Midfielders, it’s finally time to start searching for value up front.

With the aid of our freshly Projections, we’ve analysed the average points expected per player over the course of the upcoming campaign and, applying this to the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player price list, have listed the top ten in terms of expected value per Fantasy pound for the season ahead…

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  1. ManTree(v2!) or just JAY!
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Hi all
    Could you please RMT and comment?

    Mignolet, federici
    Lescott, fabio, cole, Cuellar, McCartney
    Noble, lampard, bale, larsson, maloney
    Torres, aguero, graham/petric?

    £2m in bank for Torres to Rooney 

    Thank you

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    1. Sidd5
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Dont you think lampard will play deep.....

      like the defence though, who are you planning to bring in for cole.

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    2. Sidd5
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      graham/petric i am caught in between 2 as welll .

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      1. Fray Bentos
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        personally i've gone petric and got dyer for swans

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    3. COMH
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Very similar to my team so I like it alot.

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    4. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Didn't I RMT this squad eight times yesterday? 😉

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      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        9 time 😉

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    5. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Nice. Close to what I have at the moment, except i have Hughes/Barnett where you have Cuellar/mcCartney

      If Dempsey stays at Ful I'm tempted to go Graham/Demps instead of Lamps/Petric

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  2. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    So Lescott is a starter or him joining the team late and that 3 5 2 possible makes him a rotation risk ?

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    1. Jönny
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      If anything a 3-5-2 makes him more nailed on, no?

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      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Well I thought Zaba could play on the right of that 3 5 2? I haven't watched a lot of football lately what was there lineup with 3 5 2 ?

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        1. Jönny
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          You can't really read much into pre-season lineups... But on the 3-5-2 point, surely a system which includes 3 centre backs can't be viewed as a negative thing for a centre back??

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        2. Scroobius Mac
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          3-5-2 would be 3 CBs - Kompany, Lescott + New signing (or Savic I guess). Zabalabaleta or Richards could play to the right of that 3 but more likely to play on the right of the 5.

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    2. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Read on skysports sometime ago, that Lescott and Silva might not be fit for the start of the season due to hangover from Euros... I also believed that Lescott will not be nailed on in 3-5-2 but many people here convinced me that he will surely start in a 3-5-2 if fit...

      Also Aguero seems to be featuring in the friendly against Germany 3 days before the season starts and so might not be a starter in the first match for City...

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      1. tosey
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        i was worried about lescott after reading about silva but then noticed lescott played in a friendly the other night

        if he starts in the charity shield hes in my team, if he doesnt he isnt, simple

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  3. Kuqi Monster
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    one for ivanovic owners to keep an eye on...

    http://www1.skysports.com/football/news/11661/7969886/Chelsea-step-up-Cesar-chase

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      if this happens cole is really the only safe option to go with in chelsea defence - unless you go with a player you plan to tranfer out after the double, but this is always a really bad idea as you never know what is going to happen

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      1. tosey
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        also unless terry gets a ban in the next 12 days, could happen

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        1. Fray Bentos
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          thats not really in question though, no way will he win an appeal

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          1. tosey
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 5 months ago

            if terry is out then cahill is nailed on isnt he?

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            1. Fray Bentos
              • 16 Years
              13 years, 5 months ago

              in the short term, undoubtedly

              personally I’d rather have my defence set and not have to worry about transferring out players who may not play

              for example I will go with cole and stick with him, benching him in the blank week and spend my precious transfers on the big attacking names

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      2. Kuqi Monster
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        agree, playing safe the way to go at the start of the season imo - had cole in my team since the game went live.

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  4. Sidd5
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    A quick look from you guys for any glaring weaknesses around.

    daniels/mignolet

    lescott/cuellar/rangel/mariappa/clyne

    bale/hazard/lampard/noble/el ahmedi

    rooney/aguero/graham

    TA

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      5 big hitters at the expense of the rest of your team - remember you're going to have to rely on all players in your team at some point - injuries, bans etc

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      1. Sidd5
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        yeahh defence seems to be quite a weak link with 5 big hitters and lescott in defence........

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        1. Fray Bentos
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          plus your 2 cheap mids, wouldnt expect too much from them

          but could pay off - alot are going with a similar strategy, but this is taking it to a more extreme level

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          1. Sidd5
            • 13 Years
            13 years, 5 months ago

            Am i really being going overboard extreme with front 5 and at back..

            I can start trimming it down in from gw1, gw2 as i dont think hazard and lamp will continue holding a place in midifield...

            can downgrade much easily looking at who starts well

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  5. baulchy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    RMT team please if you have any thoughts

    Friedel / Fed
    Ivanivich / Hangeland / Cuellar / Demel / Clyne
    Bale / Pineaar / Larsson / Lampard / Maloney
    Torres / Agureo / Graham

    +2 mil for Torress to Rooney GW2

    cheers

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  6. pompeyfan
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    It seems most on here are favouring a balanced squad, anyone else going for an unbalanced one? I am going big at the back and up top with a weaker midfield.

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    1. Kuqi Monster
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      at the start of the season, a balanced squad is the best option imo, everyone is trying to perfect their GW1 team when we all know a key aspect of this game is about jumping on the cheap stars quickly and the big hitters that hit form early - a balanced squad allows you to do this easier without taking hits.

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      1. pompeyfan
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        I see that as a more conservative approach. I like to take gambles in this game, if I can get it right from the start then it gives a great chance of getting a high rank

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        1. Sidd5
          • 13 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          I am going with pretty imbalanced team, though it scares me looking at the backline i am going to start gameweek1

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    2. Test Eagles
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      It does seem that there are a lot of mid-priced midfield options that are completely viable until the squads of Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea and the Manchesters settle. I dont think it's such a bad idea Pompey.

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  7. tosey
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    little warning for anyone after swansea players, laudrup is after 2 more 'offensive players'

    im probably going to go with lampard then switch to sinclair/michu depending on the signings and how they play at QPR

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      does dyer still look like he is first choice?

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      1. tosey
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        guess it depends who they sign, theyve been linked with albert adomah (a right winger for bristol city) who would begin the season as a backup winger

        if they sign someone better then who knows, laudrup may even plan to rotate alot

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        1. In Like Flynn.
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          O Good! 🙁 Norwich again.

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      2. LewanGOALski
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        wouldn't say that. Routladge was a starter in pre-season games

        Dyer is not nailed on

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    2. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      I can't decide between Petric(good pre season form,but could be another Boselli!)/Graham(boring but safe option..?)

      If Dempsey stays at Ful I'm tempted to just opt for him + Graham. Maybe Swans def for 5m is better?

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      1. tosey
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        im currently going with petric solely because i can easily bench him gwk2 whereas graham i couldnt

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        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          Any chance Petric gets limited game time with Rodders/Demps(OOP)/Ruiz?

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          1. tosey
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 5 months ago

            unsure but i will have cash (by downgrading my 2 chelsea players) to upgrade him for the start of gwk4 if needed

            may just go pog and mclean instead of petric/maloney

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      2. LewanGOALski
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        got exactly the same problem!
        I am giving up Pogrebnyak after DGW1 and I have 1.0 saved for Graham or Petric - still don't know for which one... :/

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        1. Fray Bentos
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          i really wouldnt waste a transfer on that move. doubt pog will explode in the double so just go with graham or petric and save your transfers for the big names

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    3. The Finnisher
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Id hazard a guess and say one will almost certainly be a striker.

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      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Would have to be a negative impact on Graham if so Jack.

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    4. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Probably means he's resigned to losing two or three of last year's first team.

      I hate late signings.

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      1. Bubbles
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        I can see a few signings after the GW1 deadline ruining our team plans.

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        1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          eye

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          1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 5 months ago

            *aye...

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    5. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Sinclair is by far the obvious choice. Especially with pens. Michu by no means a bad alternative though.

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  8. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    if J.Allen stays at SWA will it affect ANYHOW on Michu's position?

    are there chances that they'll start with De Guzman, Britton, Allen, Dyer, Sinclair, Graham leaving Michu on the bench ?

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  9. matej - cruising casually
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    What do you think of this team? Rate from 0 to 10.

    Mignolet - Henderson

    Terry - R Taylor - Hangeland - Cuellar - Fabio

    Siggy - Larsson - Pienaar - Ireland - Noble

    Aguero - Bent - Torres (switch to Rooney)

    Suggestions are welcome. Thank you.

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      the switch to roney transfer is my no1 pet hate

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      1. matej - cruising casually
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Ignore the switch then. Other thought on the team?

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        1. Fray Bentos
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          seems a little light in midfield and defence

          what if one of bale/ hazard/ silva hits top form, how will you get them in your team?

          some nice choices in there though

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          1. matej - cruising casually
            • 13 Years
            13 years, 5 months ago

            Guess that could pose a problem. I'd probably downgrade attack (trade Bent for some midfielder).

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  10. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Pogbrenyak 😯

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  11. In Tommy We Trust
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Tierney nailed on at Norwich?

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  12. Toast
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    I'm really stuck with my 3 man defence for the first 10 fixtures. Can anyone help me out? It comes down to three choices:

    A. Lescott and 2 rotating pairs of Hughes (FUL) & Williams (SWA) with Cuellar (SUN) & Boyce (WIG)

    B. Lescott Clichy and rotating trio of 4.0 Tierney/Gunter/McCarthy

    C. Lescott Kaboul and Hughes and bech fodder

    Thanks!

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    1. LewanGOALski
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      in B. none - Lescott, neither Clichy are not nailed on for MCI, so you may stay with Tierney, Gunter and McCarthy 😉

      I'd go with A, but keep an eye on Lescott's situation in MCI squad

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  13. baulchy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    RMT team please if you have any thoughts

    Friedel / Fed
    Ivanivich / Hangeland / Cuellar / Demel / Clyne
    Bale / Pineaar / Larsson / Lampard / Maloney
    Torres / Agureo / Graham

    +2 mil for Torress to Rooney GW2

    cheers guys

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  14. aaw15
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    So is ramires likely to start both games in the dgw?
    Thnx

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    1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      how do we know>?

      i'd say unlikely considering Chelski have 15 MF players

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  15. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Mata and Romeu back at training with Chelsea.

    That's lucky, I thought they were going to be short of midfielders for a while there.

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    1. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      😛

      I am hoping for a glowing report from Mata. Either that or i'll be punting with Hazard

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      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Community Shield should put things into perspective.

        I've withdrawn from their defence after Saturday.

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        1. Kings of Lyon ★
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          I pulled out on doubling them. Ive got Cole and he's going for Vert in GW2/3

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      2. JELLYFISH
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        I would Hazard a guess that Lamps is the most nailed on of the three, but at the end of the day what does my opinion Mata.....

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  16. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Greeeeetings... said in a scouse accent like Joey from bread*

    So no news yet on Carroll? Looks like I may need to redo my team again.. Knew I should have waited...

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      wow showing your age there 😉

      staying as far as i know, doesnt look like anyone is willing to cough up the dough. doubt he will feature much in rogers plan A - possibly a plan B man?

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      1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        yeah that's what I am now thinking... damn it that pony tailed plonker was going to be my ace up my sleeve at the irons..

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        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 5 months ago

          Did you manage to sell your Porsche Cayenne?

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          1. Test Eagles
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 5 months ago

            Andy Carroll bought it

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  17. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    pls RMT (1-10)
    3.5 mil in the bank

    Friedel

    Ivanovic, Lescott, Jones

    Guthrie, Larsson, Noble, Bale

    Petric, Aguero, Torres

    Sub: Cerny, Sinclair, McCartney, Barnett
    GW2 Rooney over Torres, GW3, Ba over Petric

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    1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      your MF is worse thaqn mine and that takes some doing....

      6/10 no actually 4/10 you have Torres

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  18. Arselona
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Hurry and add Carzola already....

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    1. Scroobius Mac
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      You probably have to announce his signing first.

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      1. Arselona
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Yeh.... Meanwhile, he's already joined the squad in Germany.

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    2. The Finnisher
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      They cant.

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  19. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    http://www.chelseafc.com/page/LatestNews/0,,10268~2873418,00.html

    Mata is back in training and ready for t city game

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    1. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      mata or hazard? mata or hazard?

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    2. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Mata will be keen to make an impact and secure his position in Di Matteo's plans ahead of this weekend's Community Shield.

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      1. Fray Bentos
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        at least this will tell more...

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    3. Fray Bentos
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Is picking mata hazardous?

      whats the mata with picking hazard?

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      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        The new Shakespeare 🙂

        I say neither !!!

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      2. Seamy
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        +1 I like

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      3. Heartbreak
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        There has to be a team name in there somewhere......

        HazardousMata

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  20. Arselona
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Could I get some feedback on Hazard and Carzola please?

    Their impact in their respective teams and how nailed on they'd be to start.

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  21. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Good 'ol plain vanilla RMT.........

    Federici Juuski
    Lescott Ivanovic Clark McCartney Cuellar
    Hazard Bale Larsson Noble Kaca/4.5
    Torres Aguero Graham

    £2m

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    1. JELLYFISH
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      People will say its generic, but I like it. Only player I'm unsure about is Larrson. I've seen him on a lot of RMT's on here and am struggling to see the appeal myself.

      You may also want to consider Ahmadi as another 4.5 mid option

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      1. Test Eagles
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        This ^

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      2. Back on the horse
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers Jelly.

        Is Ahmadi more of a DM though? More nailed on though, I suppose.

        Yeah, Larsson isn't concrete but he is on pens and set pieces and had a good Euros. Pienaar is the other option I am considering.

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  22. The Finnisher
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Is anyone planning a hit in GW2?
    I want Rooney and a Swansea midfielder, but GW1 Lampard and Tevez lool like wayy better options. 4+ points better even !

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    1. Kings of Lyon ★
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Depending on performances ill probably take a hit to jump on price rises.

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      1. JELLYFISH
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Thats normally my strategy too KoL. Early season hits to beat price rises has proved to be a succesful strategy for me in seasons gone by

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    2. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      I wouldnt plan a hit as there will probably be other transfers you will want to make in order to capitalise on the latest form. We are basically in the dark until the season kicks off, then there is a load of information to process in the first few GWs which we need to reflect in our teams.

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    3. Fratboy
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah maybe, it's looking pretty likely I'll do A.Cole and Torres to Vidic and Rooney. With Mata/Hazard/Ramires/Marin/Lampard going for Bale/Sigurdsson in GW3.

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  23. baulchy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    thoughts and tips on my team

    Friedel / Fed
    Ivanivich / Hangeland / Cuellar / Demel / Clyne
    Bale / Pineaar / Larsson / Lampard / Maloney
    Torres / Agureo / Graham

    +2 mil for Torress to Rooney GW2

    cheers guys

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  24. Willis.
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    New posy.

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  25. KujaliaFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Is the Santiago Cazorla to Arsenal deal done?

    Does this affect Arteta or Diaby's chance of starting?

    Would it make Diaby less of a goal threat?

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  26. billnats
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    thoughts and feedback appreciated:
    Krul (Fedirici)
    Lescott, Cole, Hangeland (Clyne & Mariappa)
    Hazard, Bale, Yaya, Gunthrie (Moloney)
    Aguero, Torres, Petric

    No, I do not have 2mil spare to swap Torres to Rooney? Should I and how do I sacrifice for it? Probably could get a mil from Krul but who else?

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    1. Sidd5
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      Its better you start with Ron aguero you never know ronney price rises and u might not be able to get him in... You might save some money on bego/mignno combo...... Yaya might play deep in midfield role get somebody cheaper who can get you similar poinrs sinclair/dyer/michu.....

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      1. billnats
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        6.5 mid? Walters, Larson, McClean, Piennar? or Allen who is 5.5?

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  27. Vijay
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on my team please:
    Federici \ de Gea
    Fabio \ Kompany \ Clyne \ Tompkins \ Shawcross
    Yaya Tore \ Kagawa \ Allen \ Parker \ Ramires
    Petric \ Torres* \ Aguero

    *2mn in the bank to swap for Rooney after GW1

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    1. Sidd5
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 5 months ago

      komp>lescott
      fabio>cuellar

      good overalll balance can invest money saved on komp elsewhere.......

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      1. Vijay
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks; I'll have another look at Cuellar and see what I can do with that spare cash.

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  28. aaw15
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    1)bale and Hughes
    2) siggy and hangeland

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  29. Ginkapo FPL
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2012/08/07/scout-scribbles-huth-worry-for-stoke

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  30. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 5 months ago

    How's chances for Ramires to play DGW for Chelsea ?

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