Pro Pundits
15 May 2025 254 comments
Lateriser 12 Lateriser 12
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In his latest article, two-time Indian Fantasy Premier League (FPL) champion Lateriser has some late-season thoughts regarding attacking defenders, Manchester City and Mohamed Salah (£13.7m).

Lateriser final four Gameweeks

It’s almost the end of the season, making it a good idea to take down a few pointers for 2025/26, before being able to fully switch off for the summer. For example, a few players that I’m almost telling myself not to forget about.

WAN TO WATCH

One of them is Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£4.4m). Recent numbers tell a good story, but what’s impressing me the most is his precise decision-making. One of this season’s brightest West Ham United sparks, Wan-Bissaka is finding some right-sided chemistry with Jarrod Bowen (£7.7m).

Ever since Graham Potter’s appointment ahead of Gameweek 21, the 27-year-old has created the highest number of big chances (six) amongst all defenders, while only ranking 11th for both chances created (15) and expected assists (xA, 1.38).

Perhaps that’s related to an adaptation period under Potter. The manager tends to play three-at-the-back in away games, boosting Wan-Bissaka’s potential when on the road. Underlying numbers reflect this.

Last six at homeLast six away
Expected assists (xA)0.210.93
Expected goals (xG)0.080.17
Penalty area touches712
Chances created39
Big chances created14

A Potter team generally takes some time to settle down, so I expect them to become better defensively next season. The Hammers already rank a respectable 10th for expected goals conceded (xGC) since his arrival. Hopefully, they’ll stick around the same area or improve once he gets a full pre-season and buys players that suit his philosophy, with time to implement things.  

HUNGRY WOLVES

Another team that I want to keep an eye on is Wolverhampton Wanderers. It looks like Matheus Cunha (£7.1m) could be departing and perhaps they’ll end up falling massively in quality, but we’ve seen enough of them without him to suggest Vítor Pereira’s lot will cope absolutely fine.

Between Gameweeks 28 and 32, Wolves were second-best for scoring goals and only five clubs had a higher open-play xG. I believe they’ll have some high-quality replacements so, unless the squad is massively disassembled, these are definitely worth keeping an eye on.

STICK WITH MUNOZ

Crystal Palace and Arsenal set to blank in Gameweek 34

Meanwhile, since Gameweek 19, Crystal Palace sit second for xG and fourth for xGC. I’ve always thought that Oliver Glasner is a quality coach, which is why I went big for them at the start of the season – including Daniel Munoz (£5.2m).

Unfortunately, the Colombian wing-back didn’t do much early on but he’s now on four goals and six assists, ending 2024/25 as one of FPL’s best picks. This justifies my early fetish for him.

Given Palace’s form and Munoz’s unbelievable engine, he should be a shoo-in next season, as he’s accumulated the highest xG amongst defenders (4.87). Only Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.2m) has higher expected goal involvement (xGI, 8.29). The sole defender with more attacking contributions is the 11 of Rayan Ait-Nouri (£5.1m), and it’s just Trent with more overall returns.

REACT TO THE MAN CITY RESET

Another topic we were recently asked about on the podcast was Erling Haaland (£14.9m) and Man City. A deep dive into Haaland is something we’ll save for the summer but, to summarise, not many of us expected their season to be like this.

One big factor for next time is that Rodri (£6.2m) will be fit and available. One of Europe’s most important players, this should give Pep Guardiola a lot of tactical flexibility. Pep always comes into a new campaign with a new approach, meaning you sort of have to wipe the slate clean.

No doubt this reset will allow them to challenge for the title again, but my inkling is that reacting early to Man City and their new formation using initial transfers could be important. Exciting new attacking talent is already being linked to them. I’d certainly not bank on there being a similar struggle to this time so, in my opinion, undermining them will only be to our detriment.

SALAH RACES AHEAD

­Is this the best Salah we’ve seen in FPL?

Last but not least, let’s talk about how Mohamed Salah usually flies out of the traps. Here are his numbers after the first 10 Gameweeks:

  • 2024/25 – 93 points (1st overall) – 7 goals, 5 assists
  • 2023/24 – 83 points (1st overall) – 8 goals, 4 assists
  • 2022/23 – 45 points (17th overall) – 2 goals, 4 assists
  • 2021/22 – 112 points (1st overall) – 10 goals, 7 assists

Salah tends to have a gung-ho start and quickly becomes the top FPL scorer. With fewer defensive duties under Arne Slot, he is thriving and there are no signs of that slowing down, even at the age if 32.

“You can see the numbers. Now I don’t have to defend much. The tactics are quite different. I said ‘as long as you rest me defensively I will provide offensively’, so I am glad that I did.” – Mohamed Salah


Anyway, that’s all from me this week. I just thought it would be wise to jot down some conclusions that could be useful during pre-season.

If you want content that is relevant to Gameweek 37, I’ve been chatting to fellow Pro Pundits Pras and Zophar.

FPL team previews – Liverpool: Best players, predicted XI + more

254 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Bleh
    • 8 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    GTG? 22pts behind ML rival who owns Watkins - had to go for something a bit different as we have similar teams.

    Areola
    Gvardiol, Munoz, N.Williams
    Salah, Palmer, Mbeumo, Bowen, Rogers
    Isak, Wissa

    (Raya, Marmoush, Livramento, Saliba)

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Does he have Marmoush?

      1. Bleh
        • 8 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        He does indeed.

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      So what's different to ML rival? +22 pts can be made over 2 gws

    3. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      What's his team - looks very template? I assume palmer the difference

  2. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    What to do here ? 1 ft 0.3 itb 7.4k

    Raya
    Wan-Bissaka Gvardiol Munoz
    Salah Mbeumo Eze KDB Rogers
    Isak Wissa

    Martinez Mateta Kiwior Burn

    1. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Isak to Martinez

      1. DagheMunegu
        • 5 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        What ?

        1. FourLokoLeipzig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 months, 24 days ago

          Ha, sorry, meant Watkins

  3. FourLokoLeipzig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Really struggling to decide…

    a) 2 x City defence (BOU)
    b) 1 x City, 1 x Arsenal (NEW)

    What do you think? All in on City’s improving defence or spread the risk?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      All in, all in!

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        Thanks. Though I have to check… genuine advice or but idle jousting?!

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Go with the double City.

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        Thanks

    3. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      I'm actually contemplating Saliba out for Dias and double city Def.

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        Thanks, think that seals it!

    4. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      a

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        Thanks

  4. Wet Bandits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    1FT thoughts on

    Saliba - Dias for 37
    Murphy - Trossard for 38?

    Not hits...
    GW37;
    Martinez
    Munoz, Gvardiol, Dias
    Saka, KDB, Eze, Mbuemo
    Wissa, Isak, Watkins

    Raya, Konsa, Sarr, Bradley

    Thoughts?

    1. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Epic fail

      Sarr - Trossard for GW38

    2. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      would rather something like Isak > Watkins

      1. Wet Bandits
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        Have Watkins

    3. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      I like Saliba - Dias for 37. I own dbl City def. Working well.

      You could also play Konsa. Villa def are tight for the last few.

      I'm looking at Murphy/Sarr to Bowen. I'd stick with your MF.

  5. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    BB??

    Sels Milenkovic Saliba/Munoz Sarr/Murphy/Marmoush

    1. Wet Bandits
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Looks like this is the week

  6. AF90
    • 13 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Would you sell KDB to Palmer? I have 3FT's.

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Nah

    2. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Nah, another route would be better, KDB is a keep, well, for me he is anyway.

      1. AF90
        • 13 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        3FT, 1.9M itb.

        Pickford
        Gvardiol, Ait Nouri, Livramento
        Salah, KDB, Mbeumo, Bowen
        Isak, Cunha, Wood

        Kepa, Robinson, Murphy, Murillo.

        What would you do? Isak to Watkins & Robinson to Cucurella/Konsa I'm thinking. KDB to Palmer or even Saka too.

        1. Wet Bandits
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 months, 24 days ago

          Are you chasing or protecting... I'd do Salah out if chasing

        2. FourLokoLeipzig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 months, 24 days ago

          Isak to Watkins for sure. Depending on how many FTs you want going into the last week, I’d look at upgrading RAN too - wouldn’t fancy starting him in either of Wolves’ remaining games

    3. Pilgrim62
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      No, I don't trust Palmer

  7. Wet Bandits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Chasing 25pts - our teams are pretty similar.

    Eze & Isak - Palmer & Vardy (-4) for the win...?

    1. Pilgrim62
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      You will need Isak for GW38

      1. Manani
        • 14 Years
        6 months, 24 days ago

        any reason why? Everton is defensively solid

  8. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    who would you rather have this week:

    A. Sarr
    B. Murphy

    1. Pilgrim62
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      B

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      A

  9. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    A) Marmoush, Murphy to Watkins, Bowen -4
    Or
    B) Isak, Sarr to Watkins, Saka -4?
    C) Just Marmoush or Isak to Watkins for free?

    Models suggest B is best. Currently 8k rank so looking more to protect rank than chase it

  10. Yes Ndidi
    • 6 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Probably GTG, but seeing all the Watkins love is bringing out a bit of FOMO tonight.

    Raya
    Gvardiol Myko RAN
    Palmer KdB Murphy Mbeumo
    Isak Cunha Haaland

    Verbruggen Minteh Schar Milenkovic

    For Villa cover:-
    1. Murphy > Rogers (can't get there from Minty)
    2. Isak > Watkins
    3. Ignore & roll

    And who to captain please? Currently on Haaland from last week, which went well. Palmer?

    TY

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      1 for me

  11. Skout
    • 6 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Isak and Mateta to Wissa and Watkins?

    Has to be Isak over Marmoush to give me enough for Saka next week
    2FT, 4.7itb

    Raya
    Gvardiol Munoz Konsa
    Salah Mbeumo Rogers Sarr
    Isak Marmoush Mateta

    Areola Savinho Bradley Kiwior

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Would rather keep Isak anyway tbh

  12. Pilgrim62
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Play Marmoush or Odegard

  13. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Play Raya or Areola?

    1. Captain Robert Hatch
      • 14 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      Odds say Raya

  14. Captain Robert Hatch
    • 14 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Rico Lewis anyone?

  15. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Embargoed Ange quotes adding fuel to the Watkins fire

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/c62nelr6zzmo

  16. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    A. Isak > Watkins
    B. Marmoush > Watkins (-4)

    C. play Isak +Marmoush

  17. Fred the Red
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Start one from each:

    1) Sarr
    2) Wood

    A) Saliba
    B) Munoz

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      1b

    2. Captain Robert Hatch
      • 14 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      2B for me

  18. Meta12345
    • 1 Year
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Captain Salah or Saka? Help plz

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 months, 24 days ago

      neither

      someone like Mbeumo, Watkins or Rogers is better IMO

  19. FantasyFooty01
    • 8 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Martinez
    Munoz Saliba Gvardiol
    Sarr Rogers Salah KDB
    Marmoush Isak Mateta

    Bench: Raya Livarmento Dorgu Rashford
    3 ft 0.1 ITB

    Want to use all 3 free transfers. Any suggestions? Thinking of getting Watkins in and triple captaining

  20. kelev
    • 3 Years
    6 months, 24 days ago

    Martinez,
    Gvard, Munoz, Cucurella
    Bowen, Mo.S, Palmer, Mbeumo
    Watk, Larsen, Isak

    Bench
    Sa, Minteh, Kerkez, Wan-Bissaka

    Three free transfers available and
    Bench Boost available:
    when to boost?? GW 37, or GW 38?

    ...Chasing from 2nd, 30 points...

    Thanks for any suggestions. Help : )