Scout Notes
23 December 2025 194 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Monday night didn’t quite provide a Christmas cracker, as Harry Wilson (£5.8m) blanked, was booked and came off with an injury during Fulham’s 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest.

Still, a few interesting Fantasy Premier League (FPL) events took place, as Raul Jimenez (£6.3m) scored from the spot in first-half stoppage time.

WILSON INJURY UPDATE

Following three goals, four assists and 42 points in his previous four matches, 1.6 million FPL managers bought Wilson before Gameweek 17’s deadline.

However, he’s been overachieving in terms of expected goals (xG), and his season’s only big chance came in mid-September.

Sure enough, after being unable to reach Kevin‘s (£5.8m) drilled cross after 10 seconds, Wilson was restricted to one long-range shot and a mere 0.03 expected goal involvement (xGI).

FPL notes: Wilson update, did Andersen or Anderson get 'DefCon'? 1

Above: Harry Wilson’s touch heatmap v Nottingham Forest

A clean sheet point was undone by being booked for challenging Neco Williams (£4.7m). And, making things worse, being injured in that incident led to his 84th-minute withdrawal.

Marco Silva is currently optimistic about Wilson making Gameweek 18’s trip to West Ham United, though.

“Looks he’s going to be okay. I think it was a big knock there, was not something that he twisted but now it’s of course painful. But let’s see, tomorrow we have a session, we are going to assess the players from tonight & see how he’s going to recover.” – Marco Silva on Harry Wilson

SPOT-ON JIMENEZ

Meanwhile, one week after disappointing some Free Hit users in an anonymous display at Burnley, Jimenez accumulated five shots here. This included a penalty and one other big chance.

The spot kick was heavily stuttered – a bit cheeky – coming as a result of Douglas Luiz (£4.9m) bringing down Kevin.

By converting, Jimenez now joins Manchester City legend Yaya Toure in having a 100% success rate from 11 penalties. Nobody else has such a percentage from so many kicks.

THE ANDERSEN/ANDERSON ‘DEFCON’ BONANZA

FPL notes: Wilson update, did Andersen or Anderson get 'DefCon'? 3

Near-namesakes Joachim Andersen (£4.6m) and Elliot Anderson (£5.4m) faced off in a defensive contribution (DefCon) derby.

After Gameweek 16, Fulham’s centre-back was the joint-second best defender for securing DefCon points (20). Additionally, the latter was the leading midfielder (18), and ahead of all others for completed actions (207).

So were Andersen or Anderson successful tonight?

Both of them! Combined with a clean sheet, this gave Andersen seven points – heroic, considering he dislocated a finger and kept playing. But a late yellow card slightly dampened the celebrations of FPL owners. Until that moment, the Dane could have secured bonuses and a double-digit haul.

FPL notes: Wilson update, did Andersen or Anderson get 'DefCon'?

Above: The most DefCon actions, after Gameweek 17’s completion

As for Anderson – keep up – he’s reached the threshold in 10 of his last 14 appearances. Those needing a downgrade to buy someone like Hugo Ekitike (£8.8m) could do a lot worse than purchasing such consistency.

A NEW £4.0m GOALKEEPER?

Finally, a small note is that Forest’s usual first-choice stopper, Matz Sels (£4.7m), recovered from the injury that kept him out of Gameweek 16.

Yet he only made the bench, as John Victor (£4.0m) kept his place.

It’s not a given yet that Victor keeps his place, with Sels’ lack of training part of the explanation:

“John has done really well in the two games, to be fair. Matz has only had four days of training. He had a bad finger he was playing through and a groin (problem), so we have had to be careful with that. But John has earned the right for this one, that’s for sure, with two very strong performances.” – Sean Dyche, speaking ahead of kick-off


price change predictions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

194 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    2 days, 3 hours ago

    Raya
    VVD Senesi O’Reilly
    Wilson Cunha Foden Minteh
    Thiago Ekitike Haaland

    Dubravka VanHecke Stach Gudmundsson

    2FT, 4.0itb

    Stach >> ?? (will play over Minteh)

    1. Gordon
    2. Rice

    Thanks

    1. BR510
        2 days, 2 hours ago

        2

    2. BR510
        2 days, 3 hours ago

        Best combo for the relatively long term?
        1. Bowen and Garner
        2. Obi and Rogers
        i.e. 343 or 352

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          2 days, 1 hour ago

          2

      • Punned It
          2 days, 3 hours ago

          Ok, so I still don't understand this one fully, and it seems a bit more relevant with the volatile price changes this season: Say I ditch Haaland on my FH, and he rises in price in the meantime. When I get him back, has his price risen, but my team value not? Don't I still get the gains if I sell him, and if not, how is that solved? Or is it the price rises for the FH team that everyone always asks about that's confusing me?

          1. hibster
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            free hits aren't really transfers, your team reverts to exactly the same one, with same purchase price for players etc

          2. The Mentaculus
            • 4 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            You get the price & TV rise, as if you'd never sold him. Any price changes on players bought for the FH have no impact on your team the following week

            1. Punned It
                2 days, 1 hour ago

                That was my assumption as well. Cheers!

          3. Philosopher's Stones
            • 5 Years
            2 days, 3 hours ago

            Already done my transfers of Bruno + Guiu -> Bowen + Wilson and 1FT still itb in case of some rain. Gonna bask in the sun in the meantime.

            1. Jet5605
              • 11 Years
              2 days, 2 hours ago

              Like the Bowen move. Not sure about Wilson long term but guess he has one good fixture left.

              1. Philosopher's Stones
                • 5 Years
                2 days, 1 hour ago

                Was the best under 6 mid helping me afford Bowen

          4. DagheMunegu
            • 5 Years
            2 days, 3 hours ago

            0ft 0itb

            Raya
            VVD O'Reilly Rodon
            Saka Foden Rice Minteh Cunha
            Haaland Ekitike

            Dub Gudmunsson Van Hecke Guiu

            Good to go or bench Minteh for Gud ?

            1. Jet5605
              • 11 Years
              2 days, 2 hours ago

              Think I'd punt on Gud and hope for a 0-0. Minteh no chance of DC and very high chance of 2 points.

          5. Sir Michael Taker
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 3 hours ago

            Interesting to see if Scout are still affiliated with expert Gianni after the porngate shambles https://x.com/FplTiggy/status/2001814581174575464

            1. The FPL Units
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              I watched that stream, seemed odd at the time!

          6. Jet5605
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Good to roll one FT here? Plan is to do Semenyo & BrunoG > Cunha & Potts next week releasing funds to upgrade Andersen & Senesi.

            Raya
            Timber - Chalobah - Senesi
            Foden - Semenyo - Rice - BrunoG
            Haaland - Ekitike - Woltemade

            Dubravka - Szob - Andersen - Gudmund

            1. Kingy109
              • 4 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              You are going to sell Bruno G before he plays Burnley? Is just Semenyo to Cunha possible instead?

              1. Jet5605
                • 11 Years
                2 days, 1 hour ago

                I'm 0.5 short for that. Other option is to forget Cunha and get Rogers after he plays Arsenal. I don't see any other downgrade options and think Wolte likely to rack up points than Bruno G against the likes of BUR.

          7. The Big Fella
            • 9 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            I am 50-50 about the best move. I had KDH and Wilson in midfield. Should I:
            A) Wilson to Wirtz (could be Cunha but I don’t think they’ll do well with all the missing players) for two games and then to Rogers for the start of his run OR
            B) don’t overthink it and just do KDH to Rogers now

            1. Kingy109
              • 4 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              How many free transfers do you have? The more you have the more A is an option. Otherwise you should be trying to save them if you can hence B

              1. The Big Fella
                • 9 Years
                2 days, 44 mins ago

                1 so it would be 1 this week and then could do KDH to somebody similarly priced and then Wirtz to Rogers in that order

          8. pundit of punts
            • 12 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            GW 18 ready

            Areola
            NOR - Andersen - Van den Berg
            Saka - Palmer - Foden - Semenyo
            Haaland - Ekitike - Woltemade

            Dubravka - King - Gudmundsson - Reinildo

            Good luck all 🙂

            1. The Knights Template
              • 12 Years
              2 days, 2 hours ago

              Score check estimate?

              1. g40steve
                • 7 Years
                2 days, 2 hours ago

                98

              2. mookie
                • 12 Years
                2 days, 2 hours ago

                FPL Review thinks 56,9 with Haaland(c). 57 with Ekitike(c).

            2. Ausman
              • 2 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              39

          9. tbos83
            • 5 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Cunha or Wirtz?

            1. Gizzachance
              • 11 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              Cunha

              1. My heart goes Salalalalah
                • 9 Years
                2 days, 1 hour ago

                Will Cunha and MUN be good for FPL with no Bruno?

                1. Gizzachance
                  • 11 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  Who knows, good fixtures though, maybe on pens?

                  Wirtz goid fixtures, more expensive, hardly a return

                  Unsure on Cunha with players out, wait a week

                  1. The Big Fella
                    • 9 Years
                    2 days, 43 mins ago

                    Cunha and Wirtz same price

          10. Gizzachance
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Play
            A minteh
            B Stach
            C Andersen
            D Thiaw

          11. mookie
            • 12 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Green arrow all over the board except the FFS Dead Zone league. What have you been cooking here at nights?

          12. Gazzpfc
            • 9 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Views please

            1 Saka to Rice and Wilson to Cunha
            2 Semenyo to Cunha means keeping Saka and Wilson

            ???

            1. Pep's Money Laundry
              • 10 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              3. Save FT's and keep Saka, Wilson & Semenyo

          13. Jet5605
            • 11 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Quick captain poll

            A - Haaland (nfo)
            B - Ekitike (WOL)

          14. mr_jones
            • 6 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            are we still going for rogers, even if the next two fixtures are though?

            1. mookie
              • 12 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              Not part of any "we" in any form or shape, but no, I'm most certainly not.

            2. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              He blanks twice and people start selling him. I am not getting him.

              1. mr_jones
                • 6 Years
                2 days, 1 hour ago

                i wouldnt also think about him, if i didnt need a bruno replacement..

          15. Redalert
            • 15 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Morning All. 4 FT. Any changes? Thanks
            Sánchez,
            Timber,Chalobah, O'Reilly,
            Rice, Rogers,Foden,Cunha
            Haaland(v), Ekitike (c),Calvert-Lewin

            Dúbravka,Semenyo, Gudmundsson,Alderete

          16. Joyce1998
            • 9 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            A- Cunha
            Or
            B- Gordon

            1. Chinese_person
              • 14 Years
              2 days, 1 hour ago

              A.

              Gordon's minutes aren't great with Barnes/Elanga lurking and he might even get the odd benching during the busy period. Cunha should be nailed.

          17. g40steve
            • 7 Years
            2 days, 2 hours ago

            Morning,

            A, Play Petrovic or Dubravka - change keeper?

            B, Are defenders correct, should Guehi be playing?

            C Got FT worth getting another mid or defender?

            Petrovic
            Timber O’Reilly Chalobah
            Foden HWilson Semenyo Rice
            C Haaland Ekitike DCL

            Dubravka Guehi Senesi #Fernandes

            3.1

            1. BR510
                2 days, 2 hours ago

                Dub

                Maybe Guehi over Chalobah

                Team looks good roll

                1. Redalert
                  • 15 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  Thank you.

                2. g40steve
                  • 7 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  Tnx

            2. BR510
                2 days, 2 hours ago

                1. KDH to Rogers now
                2. Hold KDH and reassess when new option emerges
                3. KDH to Wirtz for 2 weeks and then Rogers after that (extra FT)

                1. Chinese_person
                  • 14 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  Probably 3 if you don't mind the transfer.

                2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  2 days, 55 mins ago

                  I like 3 mate!!

              • Drizzle
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                2 days, 2 hours ago

                Any info at all yet on KDH? Been ages and no update.

                1. mr_jones
                  • 6 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  i sold him, because i want to BB. probably hes back and scores a brace against burnley

                2. FPL Virgin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  See below. 1pm today.

                  1. Drizzle
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 days, 1 hour ago

                    Cheers!

              • FPL Virgin
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 days, 2 hours ago

                Just filling in while Neale has a lie in after the scout Christmas party.

                Today, we've got 12 Premier League managers speaking to the media ahead of their Christmas games.

                09:00 - Liverpool/Slot
                09:00 - Brighton/Hurzeler
                09:30 - Newcastle/Howe
                10:30 - Nottingham Forest/Dyche
                13:00 - Burnley/Parker
                13:00 - Bournemouth/Iraola
                13:00 - Wolves/Edwards
                13:30 - Everton/Moyes
                13:30 - West Ham/Nuno
                14:00 - Brentford/Andrews
                14:00 - Tottenham/Frank
                14:45 - Leeds/Farke

                1. mookie
                  • 12 Years
                  2 days, 1 hour ago

                  Cheers!

                  12 times - "The players have 2 days off, we'll see when they come back"

                  1. The Big Fella
                    • 9 Years
                    2 days, 42 mins ago

                    😆 so this

              • BR510
                  2 days, 2 hours ago

                  Would you prefer to own Bowen or Rogers I.e 343 or 352

                  1. FPL Virgin
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    2 days, 1 hour ago

                    Rogers. I prefer the team challenging for the title.

                    1. BR510
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        True that. Cheers

                  2. FCSB
                    • 9 Years
                    2 days, 2 hours ago

                    For the next few weeks:

                    1. Gordon
                    2. Rice

                    ??

                    1. The FPL Units
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 15 Years
                      2 days, 1 hour ago

                      Gordon, Rice is a long term keep.

                      1. FCSB
                        • 9 Years
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        So both haha

                    2. Chinese_person
                      • 14 Years
                      2 days, 1 hour ago

                      Rice

                  3. Atimis
                    • 9 Years
                    2 days, 2 hours ago

                    Upgrade one of HWilson or Thiago next week? 2.1ITB

                    Dub
                    Timber/VVD/OReilly
                    Saka/Foden/Cunha/HWilson
                    Haaland/Ekitike/Thiago

                    Verb/Rodon/Potts/Hartman

                    1. BR510
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        Wilson to Rice maybe. Or Thiago to Obi and Potts to Rice and maybe then Wilson to rogers

                        1. Atimis
                          • 9 Years
                          2 days, 1 hour ago

                          Gordon, Rice and Rogers on my list of HWilson replacements, mostly tempted by Gordon. Hopping Thiago will come good at least for next 2...

                    2. EL tridente
                      • 8 Years
                      2 days, 2 hours ago

                      Thiago to Bowen or Keep?

                      1. Chinese_person
                        • 14 Years
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        do it

                    3. GW18 fixtures and clean sheet odds
                      G-Whizz
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • Has Moderation Rights
                      • 8 Years
                      2 days, 1 hour ago

                      GW18 fixture odds can be found here:
                      https://prnt.sc/H-uEfsX9lqE4
                      (Provided by williamhill.com)

                      GW17 clean sheet results:
                      MCI: 48% ✅
                      ARS: 47% ✅
                      BOU: 43% ❌
                      BHA: 41% ✅
                      BRE: 35% ✅
                      FUL: 34% ✅
                      CRY: 31% ❌
                      LEE: 31% ❌
                      AST: 29% ❌
                      LIV: 29% ❌
                      NFO: 26% ❌
                      CHE: 25% ❌
                      NEW: 24% ❌
                      WOL: 24% ❌
                      EVE: 20% ❌
                      MNU: 20% ❌
                      TOT: 20% ❌
                      SUN: 17% ✅
                      BUR: 14% ❌
                      WHU: 10% ❌

                      Highest weekly clean sheet % odds success rate this season: 52.9% (up from 50% on the previous GW)

                      GW18 clean sheet odds:
                      LIV: 51%
                      ARS: 44%
                      EVE: 40%
                      MCI: 38%
                      CHE: 34%
                      CRY: 34%
                      SUN: 32%
                      LEE: 30%
                      BRE: 29%
                      FUL: 27%
                      WHU: 26%
                      BUR: 24%
                      MNU: 24%
                      TOT: 24%
                      BOU: 23%
                      NEW: 22%
                      AST: 18%
                      NFO: 15%
                      BHA: 13%
                      WOL: 10%
                      (Provided by fantasyfootballpundit.com)

                      GW18 clean sheet % from market odds:
                      LIV: 45%
                      ARS: 42%
                      EVE: 38%
                      MCI: 34%
                      CRY: 33%
                      SUN: 32%
                      CHE: 31%
                      LEE: 30%
                      BRE: 25%
                      FUL: 25%
                      BUR: 24%
                      WHU: 24%
                      MNU: 23%
                      TOT: 23%
                      BOU: 20%
                      NEW: 20%
                      AST: 17%
                      NFO: 14%
                      BHA: 12%
                      WOL: 7%
                      (Provided by pinnacle.com)

                      Market odds highest weekly clean sheet % success rate this season: 57.8% (up from 55.5% on the previous GW)

                      Clean sheet totals:
                      Arsenal: 9*
                      Chelsea: 8
                      Man City: 8*
                      Crystal Palace: 7
                      Aston Villa: 5
                      Everton: 6
                      Newcastle: 6
                      Sunderland: 6*
                      Bournemouth: 5
                      Liverpool: 5
                      Spurs: 5
                      Brighton: 4*
                      Fulham: 4*
                      Nottingham Forest: 3
                      Brentford: 3*
                      Burnley: 2
                      Leeds: 2
                      Man Utd: 1
                      West Ham: 1

                      * team kept a clean sheet in GW17

                      Have a really great Christmas and I hope Santa's in the mood for dishing out those green arrows 🙂

                      G

                      1. g40steve
                        • 7 Years
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        Cheers, best article 😉

                        1. G-Whizz
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • Has Moderation Rights
                          • 8 Years
                          2 days, 52 mins ago

                          LMAO 😆

                      2. mookie
                        • 12 Years
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        Cheers G! Happy Holidays to you too!

                        1. G-Whizz
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • Has Moderation Rights
                          • 8 Years
                          2 days, 42 mins ago

                          Thanks Mookie! Have a good'un!!! 🙂

                      3. nanxun
                        • 4 Years
                        1 day, 23 hours ago

                        Thx, G-Whizz.

                        Bringing in Keane, but for whom?
                        A) Richards, who'd start only start GW19 (home FUL) and GW21 (away AVL)
                        B) Andersen, who'd only start GW21 (away CHE)

                        Looking only at fixtures, no-brainer = keep Richards and do Andersen > Keane.

                        On the other hand, will CRY be totally gassed due to extra mid-week fixture?
                        Tue 12/23 (8 pm tonight; 2 day rest since GW18) at ARS
                        Sun 12/28 (4:30 pm; 4 days) home TOT
                        Thu 1/1 (5:30 pm; 3 days) home FUL
                        Sun 1/4 (3:00 pm; 2 days) away NEW
                        Wed 1/7 (7:30 pm; 2 days) away AVL

                        Andersen has:
                        Sat 12/27 (3:00 pm; 4 days since GW18) away WHU
                        Thu 1/1 (5:30 pm; 4 days) at CRY
                        Sun 1/4 (3:00 pm; 2 days) away LIV
                        Wed 1/7 (7:30 pm; 2 days) home CHE

                        Any thoughts?

                        I'm leaning towards keeping Andersen.

                        TIA

                        1. G-Whizz
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • Has Moderation Rights
                          • 8 Years
                          1 day, 18 hours ago

                          I'm leaning with you, but have you tried posting this on the boards?

                          You probably get a better answer than mine 😆

                          1. nanxun
                            • 4 Years
                            1 day, 17 hours ago

                            Thx for the confirmation bias! 😉

                            I'll post to the regular boards and see if anyone else chimes in.

                    4. AppleDunk
                      • 12 Years
                      2 days, 1 hour ago

                      A. Ekitike
                      B. Bowen
                      C. Thiago

                      Which forward to drop?

                    5. BR510
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        1. Bowen and Miley
                        2. Obi and Rogers/Gordon

                      • Tinmen
                        • 12 Years
                        2 days, 1 hour ago

                        Folks. How is Kudus as an option?

                        Only have 6.7 to spend and looking a differential.
                        Mount perhaps? Though I don’t think it would be worth the stick

                        1. BR510
                            2 days, 44 mins ago

                            Mount for sure. Or just go to Anderson and upgrade. Mount will score in the next 4

                        2. Ronnies
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 10 Years
                          2 days, 52 mins ago

                          Best option;

                          A) Play Thiago
                          B) Thiagho to Ekitike (-4)

                          Can get Ekitike in GW19 for free.

                          Cheers.