Spot the Differential
2 January 2026 652 comments
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Our Gameweek 20 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


MARTIN ODEGAARD

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.8m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bou | LIV | nfo | MUN | lee

After scoring and providing an assist over the last two Gameweeks, Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) looks like a great option for the Gunners’ trip to the Vitality Stadium.

The playmaker should certainly be full of confidence coming up against strugglers Bournemouth, having won possession to brilliantly set up Martin Zubimendi (£5.2m) against Aston Villa on Tuesday.

“He needed some consistency and some games. Obviously, he had two times the shoulder injury, then he had a big knee injury, and that takes a little bit of time.

“Now you can see that it’s flowing, that his energy level is back to where it is. He’s taking risks, he’s affecting the game in a great way and I think he was really, really good today again.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Odegaard in Gameweek 19

Odegaard impressively ranks first among all players for chances created over the last six Gameweeks, with 20.

He is also joint-ninth in his position for goal attempts during the same timeframe (13).

Those underlying stats suggest Odegaard can continue his recent production against Bournemouth, as he comes up against a side that has failed to win since Gameweek 9, conceding 11 goals in their last four matches.

Andoni Iraola’s defence has admittedly performed better at home, but given Arsenal’s attacking output, Odegaard looks like an interesting differential prospect, particularly with Bournemouth conceding so many key passes from the left half-space.

Above: Bournemouth’s chances created conceded heatmap in 2025/26


FERDI KADIOGLU

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: BUR | mci | BOU | ful | EVE

For those Fantasy managers who aren’t afraid to roll the dice, Ferdi Kadioglu (£4.4m) could be a player to back this week as Brighton and Hove Albion entertain Burnley.

The £4.4m full-back provided his first assist of the 2025/26 campaign against West Ham United on Tuesday.

Furthermore, Kadioglu ranks joint-third among all FPL defenders for chances created and joint-10th for shots over the past four Gameweeks.

Set-pieces could prove crucial on Saturday, as Burnley, who have allowed nine goals in their last five matches, have conceded 76 goal attempts from dead-ball situations this season – only Aston Villa are worse off in that respect.

So as Brighton’s main corner-taker, Kadioglu could be set to profit from that weakness.

And with Brighton’s upcoming schedule pretty decent (they sit fifth on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty in Gameweeks 20-28), and considering Kadioglu has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, he could be a nice differential pickup with just 0.3% ownership.

Defensively, Fabian Hurzeler’s troops have kept four clean sheets in their last 10 matches, offering further optimism ahead of Gameweek 20.


MATEUS FERNANDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: wol | NFO | tot | SUN | che

West Ham have endured a difficult season thus far, picking up just 14 points from 19 matches.

However, the 2-2 draw against Brighton on Tuesday may provide the perfect springboard as they prepare for a favourable upcoming schedule.

In their next six matches, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face Wolverhampton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest and Burnley, all of whom are currently ranked 17th or below in the table.

“What I want is to perform, compete and make this point [against Brighton] really valuable. If we achieve a good win there [at Molineux], a good performance, this is what we’re going to prepare.” – Nuno Espirito Santo

Budget midfielder Mateus Fernandes, who costs just £5.5m, has been a key creator for West Ham this season.

He’s created 14 chances since the start of November, the most of any Hammers player.

Furthermore, Fernandes has produced defensive contribution (DefCon) points in five of his last eight starts.

West Ham visit Wolves on Saturday.

Rob Edwards’ side have failed to keep a clean sheet so far this season and have looked particularly vulnerable at Molineux, conceding nine goals across their new manager’s four home games in charge.

Fernandes could act as a decent enabler, then, given West Ham’s favourable upcoming schedule.


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  1. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 hours, 18 mins ago

    Any news on Keane? Likely to start?

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 hours, 14 mins ago

      Moyes was tight lipped, so no clues there as far as I’ve seen.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 hours, 43 mins ago

      Less likely I suppose

    3. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 hours, 2 mins ago

      Thanks guys

  2. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    6 hours, 17 mins ago

    Have 1 ft
    1) O reilley to Gabriel
    2) Save, play mukiele

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 hours, 13 mins ago

      If you are confident of playing Gabriel against Liverpool as well, then he is the answer.

    2. Alcapaul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      6 hours, 5 mins ago

      1

    3. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      5 hours, 59 mins ago

      1

  3. asquishypotato
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 hours, 15 mins ago

    Play 2 of these 3;

    Frimpong
    Dorgu
    Thiaw

    Current thinking is the first and last but it’s close.

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 hours, 52 mins ago

      Frimpong & Thiaw

  4. Berkshire Hafaway-Line
    • 5 Years
    6 hours, 14 mins ago

    More darts updates please

    1. boombaba
      • 13 Years
      6 hours, 10 mins ago

      Flash scores works

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      6 hours, 8 mins ago

      I was recording it to show some of the better behaved prisoners but can’t now I know the result. Will have to go with plan B and put the Taylor Swift music DVD on!

      1. Captain Mal
        • 1 Year
        5 hours, 48 mins ago

        If that's the privilege that the compliant prisoners enjoy, I can't help but wonder what's on the menu for the troublemakers.

    3. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      5 hours, 55 mins ago

      Gan on the Flying Scotsman, time to Jump Around, Jump, Jump Around...

  5. Norco
    • 11 Years
    6 hours, 10 mins ago

    My team is in absolute tatters.

    Considering WC already, thoughts on this WC Team?

    Verbruggen / Dubravka
    Tarko Gabriel Timber Collins Alderete
    Saka Cunha BrunoG Rogers Cherki
    Haaland Bowen DCL

    Exact money for this team leaving no money ITB.

    Thoughts?

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 hours, 55 mins ago

      Doesn’t need a wildcard at all - most of the team is in the picks for scout this week?

      1. teddy.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        5 hours, 50 mins ago

        That's the WC team.

        Foden instead of Cunha?

        1. asquishypotato
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          5 hours, 30 mins ago

          My apologies, completely misread!
          I suppose the sentiment kind of still stands since we don’t know what the original looks like. Going forward that could be great providing you save for the Chelsea run

      2. Norco
        • 11 Years
        5 hours, 47 mins ago

        This is the WC team. My current team is full of flags or risks (Rice, Keane, NO'R, Grealish, no Arsenal defence)

    2. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      5 hours, 49 mins ago

      Maybe Collins > Cash.

    3. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      4 hours, 58 mins ago

      Bench headaches every week

  6. Alcapaul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    6 hours, 5 mins ago

    Would you buy Anderson still or just go Le Fee and save the 0.4?

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 hours, 54 mins ago

      At that point you could consider garner as well, it’s basically a dead spot bar when you need them.

    2. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 hours, 50 mins ago

      I think Anderson is still a good pick

      1. Alcapaul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 hours, 48 mins ago

        Yea I think Anderson would be the one I'm less eager to sell in a few weeks

  7. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    6 hours, 5 mins ago

    Who would you start?

    A Wirtz (injury doubt, not in predicted line up)
    B La Fee (tot)
    C Mukiele (tot)

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 hours, 53 mins ago

      A for me (biased)
      If he plays there’s a chance of attacking returns, if he’s injured or rested he won’t play at all.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 hours, 44 mins ago

      C

  8. LeytonOrient
    • 11 Years
    6 hours, 3 mins ago

    Any updates on KDH? He’s sitting on my bench gathering dust.

    Is Calafiori + KDH > Gabriel + Miley for -4 too jerky?

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 hours, 52 mins ago

      If you don’t need to make the move then no rush.

  9. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    6 hours, 3 mins ago

    1FT 0.1m ITB

    Raya
    O'Reilly Chalobah Alderete (Andersen Senesi)
    Saka Foden Cunha Semenyo Bruno G
    Haaland Ekitike (Guiu)

    A) Semenyo to Rogers
    B) Semenyo + Senesi to 6.1m mid + Gabriel (-4)
    C) Roll, do B next GW for free

    1. teddy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 hours, 48 mins ago

      C)

      Or upgrade Cunha

      1. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        5 hours, 45 mins ago

        Probably leave Cunha for the next two, then maybe move on to Rogers in 22 if I opt to roll this week

  10. leo_messi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 hours, 3 mins ago

    Cherki and Watkins or Foden and Thiago??

    1. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 hours, 51 mins ago

      First on form currently

  11. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    6 hours, 1 min ago

    alison (dub)
    cala oriley mukiele clyne (richards)
    gordon foden saka (rice king)
    tiago eki haland

    3fts, itb 0.6, which ?

    a) alison cala oriley king tiago -8 to john gabriel alderete rogers dcl
    b) cala oriley to gabriel obrien
    c) alison cala oriley king -4 to pickford gabriel alderete garner

  12. F4L
    • 11 Years
    6 hours, 1 min ago

    you reckon newcastle's defence becomes good again with Pope back and maybe Botman and a few others soon?

    1. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      5 hours, 57 mins ago

      Decent fixtures too - Lewis Hall definitely on my radar.

      1. Nightf0x
        • 10 Years
        5 hours, 56 mins ago

        just 2 fixtures then it turns

    2. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      5 hours, 50 mins ago

      Not convincing at all against Burnley, got caught out on too many occasions. Still 3rd best in xGC for the season, but that's not saying much on its own.
      Don't really rate Pope. He is prime Neuer compared to Ramsdale, but the bar couldn't have been set any lower.
      The other thing is, soon is not good, it's the next three fixtures you need them, they are an easy sell after that. Wasting 2 transfers for that feels like a waste considering the abundance of set and forget defenders. If you already have one, that's something different, I'd definitely keep them for now.

      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        5 hours, 46 mins ago

        cheers

        was looking at maybe getting thiaw in. but yeah not entirely convinced in doing so, might be best to look elsewhere

  13. Jullepuu
    • 6 Years
    5 hours, 57 mins ago

    Semenyo to Gordon or Rogers worth a hit?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 hours, 44 mins ago

      Nah

      1. Jullepuu
        • 6 Years
        5 hours, 34 mins ago

        Cheers

  14. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 hours, 57 mins ago

    Play Dorgu (lee) or Virgil (ful)?

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 hours, 47 mins ago

      Virgil

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      5 hours, 44 mins ago

      vvd

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 hours, 40 mins ago

      Thanks folks

  15. rzrcutt
      5 hours, 55 mins ago

      Foden to Gordon or Rogers ?
      Have O Reilly and Haaland already

    • Weasel51
      • 9 Years
      5 hours, 55 mins ago

      VVD > Gabriel worth a hit?

      Debating it especially as he rises tonight.

    • Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      5 hours, 55 mins ago

      alison (dub)
      cala oriley mukiele clyne (richards)
      gordon foden saka (rice king)
      tiago eki haland

      3fts, itb 0.6, which ?

      a) alison cala oriley king tiago -8 to john gabriel alderete rogers dcl
      b) cala oriley to gabriel obrien
      c) alison cala oriley king -4 to pickford gabriel alderete garner
      d) alison oriley saka king -4 to pickford gabriel rogers garner

    • Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      5 hours, 52 mins ago

      Gian Van Veen vs Luke Littler would be an amazing final, mind you, so would vs Anderton

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        5 hours, 51 mins ago

        Anderson has such a cool smooth action...

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          5 hours, 49 mins ago

          Anderson 1-0 up, owning the oche...

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            5 hours, 45 mins ago

            I thought you were keeping it on the down lo?

            Or have the Australian brethren falling in line with the live show?

            1. Jafooli
              • 13 Years
              5 hours, 37 mins ago

              Got the green light for live updates from the Knight of the Realm...

          2. Jafooli
            • 13 Years
            5 hours, 37 mins ago

            1-1 great contest this one...can see it being up to 10+ sets...

            1. Jafooli
              • 13 Years
              5 hours, 33 mins ago

              GVV aveaged 113 in that second set, yikes...

      2. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        5 hours, 43 mins ago

        Barely any point watching the darts once Humphries went out as he was the only one capable of beating Littler

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          5 hours, 35 mins ago

          Either of these two could, if Littler is a little off and they play their prime game...

          1. MJ6987
            • 15 Years
            5 hours, 24 mins ago

            Maaaayyyyybeeeee

    • Udogie-style
      • 2 Years
      5 hours, 52 mins ago

      Which option is best?
      A) O'Reilly to Gabriel and Wirtz to Cherki
      B) Guehi to Gabriel and Foden to Cherki

      Cheers

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 hours, 46 mins ago

        A

        By a long chalk, I'd say

        1. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          5 hours, 44 mins ago

          This

        2. Udogie-style
          • 2 Years
          4 hours, 58 mins ago

          Cheers!

    • SomeoneKnows
      • 9 Years
      5 hours, 52 mins ago

      Is it worth taking a -4 hit and doing: Cunha + Guiu > Bowen + Gray ?

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 48 mins ago

        No

    • IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      5 hours, 48 mins ago

      Sell Chalobah on WC I guess. Who to get instead?
      Thinking Cash for attacking potential. Or someone else?
      Budget 6M. No Arsenal or City

      Gabriel Tarkowski Nunes XXX Alderete

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 47 mins ago

        Thiaw?

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          5 hours, 45 mins ago

          Don't want him, not sold on any Newcastle players

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 hours, 47 mins ago

        You'll want him back by Gw22

        Trigger happy?

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          5 hours, 43 mins ago

          Yeah, maybe, the new manager is what's worrying me a little bit

          1. Atimis
            • 9 Years
            5 hours, 42 mins ago

            True that, could try with Cash, at least he’s not expensive

      3. F4L
        • 11 Years
        5 hours, 45 mins ago

        collins?

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          5 hours, 40 mins ago

          Hadn't considered him at all but seem to have done well recently.. Will consider! Cheers.

      4. Boberella
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 43 mins ago

        I’ve gone Cash for the next few

    • Atimis
      • 9 Years
      5 hours, 48 mins ago

      Thoughts on keeping VVD over OReilly?

      Could play Dorgu next 2GWs and have VVD for Burnley in GW22. Others would be Timber and Gabriel.

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 hours, 46 mins ago

        Wouldn’t be against it at all

        1. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          5 hours, 45 mins ago

          Was set on selling VVD but maybe the above makes more sense…

          1. FPL Blow-In
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            5 hours, 43 mins ago

            I would have sold VVD by now but not sure if O’Reilly starts and at least VVD is nailed.

            1. Atimis
              • 9 Years
              5 hours, 42 mins ago

              And OReilly been shiet recently anyway

    • hariv
      • 2 Years
      5 hours, 47 mins ago

      Leno - Ramsdale
      O'Reilly* - Calafiori* - Rodon* - Chalobah - Guehi
      Gravenberch - Stach - Foden - Semenyo - Rice*
      Woltemade - Ekitike - Haaland
      0.9 ITB, 1 FT

      Any suggestions or will I have to make a WC?

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 47 mins ago

        Heavy WC territory

      2. Boberella
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 46 mins ago

        Absolute WC

      3. F4L
        • 11 Years
        5 hours, 45 mins ago

        yeah think maybe WC time

      4. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        5 hours, 44 mins ago

        WC

      5. I have no Wirtz
          5 hours, 27 mins ago

          WC

      6. kysersosa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 hours, 47 mins ago

        What to do with 1FT, have 2.5 ITB. Looking for a set and forget for 10-12 GW. Gabriel most logical, but Watkins an option?!

        Henderson, Dubravka
        Timber, Sensei*, O’Reilly, Dalot, Andersen
        Wilson, Semenyo*, Cherki, Saka, Stach
        Haaland, Ekitike, Thiago

        A) Sensei to Gabriel
        B) Sensei to Tark
        C) Semenyo to Rogers
        D) Thiago to Watkins

        All are transfers I’m looking at for long term.

        1. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          5 hours, 46 mins ago

          If long term, I would take a hit and sell Senesi and Semenyo

        2. F4L
          • 11 Years
          5 hours, 44 mins ago

          a

      7. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 hours, 43 mins ago

        That Kadioglu shout is interesting

      8. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 hours, 41 mins ago

        Bottomed, any thoughts please?

        Roll? 0 ITB, 1FT
        Semenyo to Rogers?
        Thiago to DCL?
        Got no clue this week

        Verbruggen
        Timber O'Reilly Dalot
        Saka Foden Garner Semenyo
        Thiago Haaland Ekitike

        1. JT11fc
          • 7 Years
          5 hours, 40 mins ago

          Semenyo to Rogers prob best long term, DCL good this week but not sure if optimal longer term

      9. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        5 hours, 41 mins ago

        Which combo here?
        1. Bowen Cherki Keane - strong 12 players

        2. Mane Foden Tarks - Mukiele/Mane as back up

      10. Yordan Letchkov
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 39 mins ago

        Need help here. 2FT, 0itb.

        Raya Dubravka
        VVD O’Reilly Keane Andersen Rodon
        Saka Foden Gordon Rogers Stach
        Haaland Ekitiké Thiago

        Foden and O’Reilly to Cherki and Gab?

      11. abaalan
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 36 mins ago

        A. Thiago + minteh + Keane > Barnes (4.2) + Rogers + Gabriel. -4
        B. Thiago + minteh + VVD > DCL + Rogers + Gabriel. -4

        Either worth it?

        1. The 12th Man
          • 12 Years
          5 hours, 31 mins ago

          B maybe

      12. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        5 hours, 33 mins ago

        Right , I’m not WCing but I am taking a -4.

        Which option?
        A) O’Rielly,Senesi > Gabriel,Mukiele
        B) O’Reilly, Semenyo > Gabriel,Cherki
        C) O’Reilly, H.Wilson > Gabriel,Garner

        Thanks

        1. FPL Blow-In
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 hours, 32 mins ago

          B

        2. I have no Wirtz
            4 hours, 48 mins ago

            B