634x258 Spot the Differential
9 November 2012 2766 comments
Paul Paul
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It’s time once again to roll out this week’s trio of overlooked options ahead of tomorrow morning’s deadline. Two of our three protagonists once lit up the Mestalla with their silky playmaking skills, while our final selection is a little closer to home, having previously plied his trade at Molineux…

David Silva

There’s no doubt the champions have struggled for goals this season. While this time last year City were finding the net with ridiculous ease, their current total of 18 after 10 Gameweeks is already eight less than leaders United. It’s only when you analyse the stats that the importance of David Silva becomes so apparent, though; in the five games Silva has started, City have grabbed 12 goals and scored three times on three occasions, whereas without Silva in their first XI, they have scored six goals in five matches.

With Roberto Mancini absent from this afternoon’s press conference, a somewhat spiky David Platt revealed Silva, along with Joleon Lescott and Maicon, is “available for selection at this moment in time”. Barring any training ground mishap, then, the stage looks set for Silva to return to first-team duties against Spurs this Sunday, having missed the last three with a hamstring injury.

Bearing in mind he produced six goals, 17 assists, 21 bonus points and a total of 184 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points, Silva’s current tally of two assists and 18 points sum up a dramatic lack of impact. Now down to 9.3 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) from a starting price of 10.0 (and 9.0 in the Sky Sports game), Silva holds a mere 4.4% FPL ownership and with clashes against four of the top six in the next six Gameweeks, his return will be vital as Mancini’s side look to replicate the swashbuckling style of play that pipped United to the title last time round.

Pablo Hernandez

The former Valencia man had a somewhat inauspicious start to life at the Liberty Stadium. Hauled off on 45 minutes and 62 minutes respectively in his first two starts, Hernandez was also handed a couple of sub appearances in his first four matches under Michael Laudrup, as Swansea’s sensational start to the season quickly became a distant memory.

Having finally nailed down a regular role on the right of the Swans’ front three at the expense of Nathan Dyer, Hernandez has stepped up in performance as Laudrup’s raft of foreign imports begin to gel as a team. The Spaniard has now notched in two of his last three league fixtures, providing crucial strikes in a 2-1 win over Wigan in addition to a late equaliser against Chelsea. Such displays have helped him to 20 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points since the end of Gameweek 7 – not only does this leave Wayne Routledge’s tally of six points over the equivalent fixtures trailing in his wake on the opposite flank, it also exceeds Michu’s 12, despite the latter moving to the lone forward role.

Despite his undoubted talents, Hernandez was never a prolific scorer in his native country – he managed five goals and six assists on two of his four seasons at the Mestalla – but, under Laudrup’s guidance, he is evolving into a pivotal player at the Liberty. Priced at 6.1 in FPL and 6.5 in the Sky Sports game, he looks an intriguing mid-price midfield option for those seeking an alternative to the far more popular Michu. With an ownership of under 1% in both our featured Fantasy games, Hernandez travels to St Mary’s tomorrow, with a showdown against the weakest defence the top-flight has to offer the perfect opportunity to keep his recent momentum flowing.

Michael Kightly

His summer arrival from Wolves was afforded little fanfare but the wide man has quickly become an integral part of Tony Pulis’ preferred first XI. Starting all 10 of Stoke’s fixtures so far, Kightly has ousted former Fantasy favourite Matthew Etherington onto the Potters’ periphery and has offered us a steady, if somewhat unspectacular, source of points.

While the 5.5 priced midfielder’s FPL total of 39 points may not instantly grab our attentions, it compares highly against similarly priced options – indeed, only Wayne Routledge has scored more points in the sub 6.0 bracket of any midfielder or forward. Kightly’s tally has also equalled that of team mate Jon Walters, though the latter’s 6.4 valuation is far less budget-friendly.

With a couple of goals and five FPL bonus points already to his name, Kightly’s haul has also been boosted by six clean sheet points, with Pulis hauling him off towards the end just before Stoke’s opponents have scored on a couple of occasions. Priced at 4.5 in the Sky Sports game, his bizarre classification as a defender also helps his appeal, given the Potters’ resilience at the back. With a strong run of fixtures to follow, starting with tomorrow’s game at home to QPR, Kightly’s 3% FPL ownership makes him a solid differential candidate for our five-man midfields over the next few Gameweeks.

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  1. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    start hoilett or sterling?

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    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 1 month ago

      Hoilet if you're sure he will start.

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  2. ⭐ ABHISHEK - THE CURIOUS …
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    I can't find a way to put Fellaini in this team.

    Having 2 free transfers thou

    Jassk Begov

    Mcauley Baines Culler Staylor Demel

    Hazard Cazorla Nolan Michu Guthrie

    RVP BA Berba

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  3. Simon March
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Referring to the debate in the Scoutcast about players 'in the hole'. I'm a big believer in 'optimising towards goals' not just for the points themselves but because the bps are heavily biased towards rewarding goalscorers.

    However, I do still think you need to look a bit broader when it comes to MFs - Nolan, Michu and Fellaini will have odd weeks when they score goals and reap the big rewards. But you're basically relying on goals in order to score points from them as they offer little else creatively. (We'll call these Type A)

    I think there's two types of player in the hole, the type described above, and the Cazorla, Mata, Morrison type who play in that position, offer some goal threat but also have set pieces and more assist potential due to their greater mobility and creativity. (We'll call these Type B)

    If I needed to score big to make up points, I'd go for Type A. If I wanted consistent returns over a season, I'd look at Type B. Given where we are in the season, I'm looking to build a MF of the Bs right now.

    I think the emergence of this type of quasi-second striker is one of the key elements of this year's game so I'd be interested to hear anybody's else's thoughts on it.

    NB: Michu is a bit of an exception now as he is literally playing up front - though he did score his goals while in the hole...

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    1. elkunaguero
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 1 month ago

      The bonus point system has to be changed because it favours goal scorers to heavily. I think this is a bigger issue than creating sub categories of players in the game. I really dont like this idea of having a CAM category. Rewarding midfileders with a strong defensive or creative impact, say Modric or Scott Parker in recent years, would be a better solution to balance bonus points and therefore midfilders selection.

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  4. Anti Top Four
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Analysis paralysis:

    Begovic
    Baines Hangeland Simpson
    Hazard Mata Gerrard Nolan Pienar
    Ba Torres

    Foster Berbs Barnett McCartney

    Captain.??? Ba? Baines?

    Note: self-restrictions do not permit fielding players from last season's top four clubs

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  5. GreennRed
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Surfer Rosa -

    Begovic
    Gorkss, Sagna, Ivanovic (c)
    Bale, Mata (v), Pienaar, Cazorla
    Long, Mirallas, Rooney

    Foster, Sterling, Cuellar, Clark

    2.3 m in the bank.

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  6. marlborored
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    any suggestion for my captain this week? I'm having a hard time choosing one between Ba/Jelavic/Tevez/Baines/Hazard. Keep in mind i'm kinda behind in my league so I can take a little bit of gamble. what's your suggestion? thanks 🙂

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  7. frankzod
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Option A : Mata + Sterling
    Option B : Valencia + Nolan
    Option C : Mata + S. Taylor

    This is for at least next two or three games.. I'm in a dilemma..

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    1. Butters
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 1 month ago

      Gotta get some mata in 🙂

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  8. interwebme
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Hi will someone please tell me how I transfer a player?

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    1. Kane Toads
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 1 month ago

      Go to transfer on top grey tap and select.

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  9. wah1berg
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Begovic
    Baines McAuley Clichy
    Mata Michu Bale Pienaar
    Rvp(c) Berbs Jelavic

    Foster Davies Caulker Kacaniklic

    Save transfer?

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    1. Kane Toads
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 1 month ago

      ..looks good - save trans for next week..

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  10. Kane Toads
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    Which forward do I bench? Pog (RDG) or Crouch (STK) both at home.

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  11. pieandgravy
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 1 month ago

    In: Begovic, Demel, Baines
    Out: Krul, Gibbs, Skrtel

    Worth the 4 point hit?

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    1. Kane Toads
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 1 month ago

      Demel? Perhaps Morrison (RDG)

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