Injuries
12 February 2011 651 comments
Mark Mark
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With the Gameweek and Wildcard deadline approaching at pace, itโ€™s time to chew the fat with Paddy Power to see if his odds can sway our thinking when it comes to last minute tinkering.

Complete with some double Gameweek specials, a United vs City preview and a tempting Money Back Special on the early kick-off at Old Trafford, hereโ€™s this weekโ€™s Paddy rundown…

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Arsenal 1.83 (WOL) dgw
  • Liverpool 1.83 (WIG)
  • Chelsea 2.25 (ful)
  • Man United 2.37 (MCY)
  • Blackburn 2.75 (NEW)
  • Birmingham 2.80 (STK) dgw
  • West Brom 3.00 (WHM) dgw
  • Stoke 3.10 (bir)

Even off the back of a home win against league leaders Man United, Wolves are fancied to draw blood against Arsenal this weekend. A poor average of 0.75gsa (goals scored away) this campaign agrees with Paddyโ€™s prediction, however Arsenal’s defence at the Emirates has been prone to a lapse and, if Arsene Wenger rests Johan Djourou for the midweek clash with Barcelona, the home cleanie looks less secure. The smart money says that the Gunners will hold their nerve after being on the receiving end of Newcastleโ€™s record-breaking comeback and if Djourou starts, they look well placed for a fifth shut-out in six league matches.

Liverpool are tied at the top of Paddyโ€™s odds and sport an impressive run of form at the back, with a healthy 0.77gch (goals conceded at home) to boot. Opponents Wigan appear to pose little threat with a mere 0.83gsa and, despite their goal glut in the win over Blackburn. Liverpool meanwhile have amassed four cleensheets in a row, the most recent of which came at Stamford Bridge. Paddyโ€™s odds look pretty sound then, with Martin Kelly (if fit) set to continue to as a strong budget option at the back.

Chelsea and league leaders Man United feature next, both a shade over even money, both facing stern competition. On the road, Chelsea have only attained 3 cleansheets, in comparison to their 8 at home, and face a Fulham side seeming increasingly settled under manager Mark Hughes. This one looks shaky to us โ€“ Mark even tipped a home win on the ScoutCast this week. While Iโ€™m not sure about that, Chelseaโ€™s cleanie does look vulnerable.

Man City travel down the road to Old Trafford for the second Manchester Derby of the season in the early kick-off. The first clash was a drab affair, offering little for the neutrals. Will we get the same again? Rio Ferdinandโ€™s absence at the back for United will provide City with a few more chinks of light and significantly Paddyโ€™s odds lengthened from 2.20 to 2.37 overnight – perhaps a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome here.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.44 (WOL) dgw
  • L Suarez 1.72 (WIG)
  • D Bent 1.83 (blp)
  • M Chamakh 1.90 (WOL) dgw
  • C Fabregas 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • A Arshavin 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (WOL) dgw
  • D Kuyt 2.25 (WIG)
  • D N’Gog 2.25 (WIG)
  • P Odemwingie 2.30 (WHM) dgw
  • F Torres 2.30 (ful)
  • D Drogba 2.30 (ful)
  • T Walcott 2.40 (WOL) dgw
  • W Rooney 2.37 (MCY)
  • D Berbatov 2.37 (MCY)
  • C Vela 2.50 (WHM) dgw
  • DJ Campbell 2.50 (AVL) dgw
  • J Defoe 2.50 (sun) dgw

Robin Van Persie has established himself as the most consistent form striker in the league and itโ€™s no surprise to see him topping the Anytime Goalscorer market this week. Netting 7 goals in his last 4 games and featuring twice in this Gameweek (hopefully),Van Persie has been the hot property this week and will be sporting the armband for thousands against Wolves later today. Paddyโ€™s price here – 1.44 is the shortest theyโ€™ve gone for any striker in any game this season. The planets seem to be aligning for Van Persie.

Liverpoolโ€™s new hitman Luis Suarez is favoured by Paddyโ€™s odds this week, coming in second in the market. The Uruguayan will be eager to make his mark again following his debut goal and Wiganโ€™s away record of 1.5gca (goals conceded away) should grant him every opportunity if Dalglish throws him in from the start at Anfield.

Steady scorer Darren Bent has been welcomed by Aston Villa faithful, already helping take the scalp of Man City and finding a consolation at Man United. His FPL price of 8.8m looks a bit much for a striker without the lure of a double fixture but Bent certainly looks a handy differential and Paddy rate him this weekend.

Significantly Arsenal are so strongly backed for goals against Wolves, they offer four attacking players with Cesc Fabregasโ€™ odds looking particularly short considering he has yet to catch fire since his return from injury.

Peter Odemwingie once again sits above big guns like Torres, Drogba and Rooney, a sight that is becoming more and more familiar. With Roy Hodgson newly installed at the Hawthorns helm, the Nigerian shouldnโ€™t struggle to find the motivation here and will be expected to improve on his 9-goal season haul. With the Baggies playing both West Ham and Wolves at home in the Gameweek, Fantasy investors will be hoping and expecting for at least a 2 goal return.

Paddy’s United vs City Preview

This afternoon derby promises to be more competitive than it has been for quite some time but from a neutralโ€™s point of view, the biggest concern is that weโ€™ll be served up another turgid display between two sides who have only really managed only a handful of truly convincing performances between them this season.

The way Roberto Mancini has set his teams out against his title rivals doesnโ€™t bode well and another 0-0 draw at 8/1 is a distinct possibility. City have scored just once in five games against United, Spurs, Chelsea and Arsenal, with three of those five games ending 0-0. Itโ€™s clear that when the pressure is on the Italian reverts to type and focuses firmly on avoiding defeat. A fifth shut-out against a title rival in this game is 7/2 if you fancy them to hold firm.

Rio Ferdinand, though perhaps over-rated, does form a reliable partnership with Vidic and when heโ€™s been absent from the team this season, Ferguson has struggled to find a satisfactory replacement from his underwhelming list of options. With the addition of Dzeko and the improvement of David Silva, City have been more potent going forward or late and for all his off-field attitude problems, once heโ€™s on the pitch Carlos Tevez has been excellent this season. He may feel he has a point to prove, especially if the home fans get on his back, and heโ€™s well priced at 6/1 to score first and 15/8 to score anytime. He certainly looks better value than the sporadic Berbatov and the not-quite-back-to-his-best Rooney, both of whom are 9/2 to open the scoring.

For all the previous United bashing their record at home is near perfect, which is more of a testament to the managerโ€™s ability to instil belief in his players than it is to the general standard of their play. That record is the reason why the home side are odds on at 4/5 but with Ferdinand gone and their unbeaten run ended, the draw at 12/5 and City to win at 15/4 both provide better value.

Paddy’s Money Back Special…

The Money Back Special is a “Feast or Famine” offer for the early kick-off at Old Trafford. If this game finishes scoreless or it has more than four goals, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast singles on the match.

Click here for this and other Paddy odds…

Paddy’s Scout Specials

Weโ€™ve had a host of specials from Paddy running this week, all tying in with our double Gameweek selections.

Peter Odemwingie to score 3 or more goals in the Gameweek 7/1 (8.00)

Charlie Adam to score 2 or more goals in the Gameweek 6/1 (7.00)

Arsenal to keep two clean sheets in the Gameweek 5/2 (3.50)

Cesc Fabregas to score 2 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 6/4 (2.50)

Robin Van Persie to score 3 or more goals in total in the Gameweek 13/8 (2.62)

Robert Huth to score a header against Arsenal 16/1 (17.00)

Bet ยฃ10 Get ยฃ20

If youโ€™re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free ยฃ20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Powerโ€™s terms and conditions.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

651 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Evil Frost
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Foster(Begovic)

    Kelly/Coleman/Baines(Kolorov/Walker)

    Fab/VDV/Nani/Cahill/Walcott

    RVP/Odem(Tevez)

    Only 5 DGWers and I’m on wildcard. Thinking more about the next 6 weeks. Am I making a mistake?

    ARGH!! โ—

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    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      I am doing the same, Snood.

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      1. Evil Frost
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        thanks si!!!

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  2. DickFranDyke
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Adam to A. Young, yay or nay?

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    1. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      I've done Adam to Cahill for the future but A.Young was in my thoughts all the way!

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      1. DickFranDyke
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Cahill for Walcott next week. So may save a future 4 point hit and shift Adam now.

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        1. DickFranDyke
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Arggghh, cup opponent has Adam.

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  3. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Cahill or tevez

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    1. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Cahill

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  4. tbhogal
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Guys – What do you think of my WC dream team?
    Szczceny (Begovic)
    Johnson,Huth,Kelly (Kolarov, Coleman)
    Adam, Brunt, Fabregas, Nani, Barton
    Tevez, v.persie, Odemwinge.....

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    1. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Good

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  5. malcolmpeebles
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    nani, vidic or coleman?

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    1. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      coleman

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    2. niko
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      nani, don't play 4 def.

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  6. njfsdkffslkf
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    This week Fabregas is finally gona score a few goals. Chalk it down.
    Maybe 2nd double a cheeky pen while RVP is benched ๐Ÿ˜‰

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    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Are you captaining him then?

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      1. njfsdkffslkf
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Indeed. You?

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        1. denial
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          RVP atm, but worried about his gametime.

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      2. Johnny Unitas
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        I am

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    2. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      argh

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  7. Clive
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Guys, Fabregas or Walcott - money no concern?? I want to go Walcott as hardly anyone else has him in my leagues and a few have Fabs, but what are the chances of Fabs catching fire and/or Walcott being rested?!?

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    1. Evil Frost
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      walcott on form!

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  8. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    *brain frazzled* 8-|

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    1. DickFranDyke
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Have you kept Adam si?

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  9. nandastone
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone else thinking of playing Fabs, Walcott, and RVP?

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    1. winwinwinnerteam
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      yes. yes i am.

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    2. niko
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Why wouldn't you?

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    3. Damo.
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Had to go for it too man, it's do or die

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      1. DickFranDyke
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        +1 indeed

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    4. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Hell ye. Just bought Walcott in

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    5. kommissar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      yep

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    6. Oliver Reed
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      i am

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  10. niko
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Both my rivals have Nani and VDV, neither have Tevez. I'm in front by 27. Should I play both Nani and VDV and leave Tevez on the bench. At the moment I have VDV there. Help appreciated.

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    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      yes

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  11. tim
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    coleman or bardsley ?

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    1. niko
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Coleman

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      1. niko
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Can you help with my question above tim?

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  12. winwinwinnerteam
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Vdv out for lennon?! on my WC, want to get things sorted whilst i still have the transfers.
    probably won't be able to buy him back though!

    thoughs?

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    1. Fowler is God
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Good call mate. I did exactly the same yesterday. Lost 0.5 on VDV but reckon his price will drop a bit and Lennon's may go up to soften the blow.

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  13. Raheem's perm
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Having a last minute WC panic... thinking of selling Nani for Young and then getting Cahill in for Nolan next week. Also have VDV, Cesc and Walcott. I would lose 0.5k on Nani though if I ever wanted him back. Just looking at the remaining fixtures though for the rest of the season I can't justify keeping him over Villa, Everton, Arsenal & Spurs players. Am I mad or should I hit confirm?

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  14. Aidy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Any thoughts for last min adjustments?

    Szczesny/Howard (for double week)

    Carr (only cheap for double), Kelly, Luiz, Johnson R (Coleman)

    Adam, Meireles, Fab (c), (Nani, Barton)

    Tevez, RVP, Suarez

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    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Sczcesny in net, play Barton ahead of Luiz.bench order: Nani, Luiz, Coleman

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      1. Aidy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        yeah that is a coin-toss. I'm thinking barton getting 2 points each match. Stuff it I've stuck in barton just for the potential points. Thanks.

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  15. Long ago I drew a walrus
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Pick 2 to start:

    Nani Rafael Berbatov Tevez. currently on tevez and nani, but afraid that tevez might not be in best attitude after his daughter's incident

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    1. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      oh great. the typical saturday morning when everone asks questions but nobody answers them. ;(

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      1. Bojaninho
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        tevez and nani

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        1. Johnny Unitas
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          Tevez and Nani

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        2. Long ago I drew a walrus
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          cheers

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    2. Aidy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Tevez and Berb. City and UTD to pack the midfield will leave little space for nani's moves. More chance of a rooney to berb goal.

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  16. David Davros
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Before i go. check this out

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=422mQac48HQ&feature=player_embedded#at=184

    I'm not sure what's more laughable, the song or the fact that united fans are on there talking it up.

    Shocking and cringeworthy. Frankly, it's embarassing. COME ON CITY

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  17. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    carew and ashley young or etherington and defoe. pleasse advise quick, thanks

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    1. SkyByBo
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      first one

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  18. Hegsmouth
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 10 months ago

    Comment was last on last page.

    Need to bench either Nani or Berba. Which one?

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    1. Mr Blue
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 10 months ago

      Bench Berba

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      1. Hegsmouth
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Thank you ๐Ÿ™‚

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    2. Mak_Gold
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Start Simpson or Coleman?????

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        1. Mak_Gold
            14 years, 10 months ago

            Jesus!How did it come as reply for you???It was my own question.

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      • Mr Blue
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 10 months ago

        Any late news on Brunt (doubtful) ?

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        1. Long ago I drew a walrus
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 10 months ago

          was confirmed yesterday that he was fine

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      • Mak_Gold
          14 years, 10 months ago

          1) Play Simpson or Coleman?

          2) Play Adam or VdV?

          3) Play Coleman or Mummy(Facebook team)?

          Cheers.

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          1. The Wizard of Ozil
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            1st in each

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            1. Mak_Gold
                14 years, 10 months ago

                Cheers!

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          2. Catastrophe
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            hi guys,

            who to bench - TCahill/Barton/Adam/Berbatov/Tevez?

            who to bench - Rafael/Coleman/Huth?

            cheers!

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            1. Mr Blue
              • 14 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              I would say Berbs and Rafael...

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              1. Catastrophe
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 10 months ago

                cheers, not sure, am on Tevez and Rafael at the moment..agh

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          3. Oliver Reed
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            i cant do it. the armband is back on RVP and staying there...

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          4. 4-4-who?
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            RVP has recovered from flu! More like international mid-week fixture man flu - do me a favour...

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          5. Tmel
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            Walcott & R Johnson or Lennon & djourou/sagna?

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            1. Mr Blue
              • 14 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              Walcott & R Johnson for sure

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            2. boofstein
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              walcott/john

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          6. pyrohippy
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            jara/evatt in cathcart out for 4 point hit?

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          7. boofstein
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            Right. So out of Nani/Tevez/Rafael/Kolarov i'm playing my 2 utd players, anyone doing anything similar? Or would ye say coleman over rafael?

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          8. Bojaninho
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            vdv benched! screw him

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            1. Oliver Reed
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              +1

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          9. Gargamel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            I just want to let you know that Berbatov will outscore Nani, Tevez and Kolarov (not combined) today. Yep.

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            1. Bojaninho
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              nope ๐Ÿ˜‰

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              1. The Wizard of Ozil
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 10 months ago

                i think Berbatov might score 2day, still going for Nani tho as every1 else has him

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            2. Boom!!!
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              I just want to let you know that Odemwingie will outscore RVP, FAB and THEO (combined) this gw. Yep.

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          10. tazri
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            quick, which lpool def should i get?

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            1. Mr Blue
              • 14 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              Price? I would go for Carragher if possible

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            2. Lanley Staurel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              Jimmy Case or Phil Neal.

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          11. mr messi
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 10 months ago

            Vidic or Simpson!! Still can't decide.

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            1. tazri
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 10 months ago

              simpson

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              1. Mr Blue
                • 14 Years
                14 years, 10 months ago

                50-50 imo

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