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Who are the stand out players to get in the Sky game?

Morning all,

Promised some analysis of the Uber using last years stats. I have posted it on the Hot topic for people to find later but here it is now.

http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2013/07/03/sky-sports-fantasy-football-201314-goes-live/?hc_page=1#hc_comment_5013973

GW1: EVE/wba/SOT 2,1,6
GW2: NOR/WHM/SUN n/a,2,2
GW3 : FUL/SOT/SWA 6,6,2
GW4: CAR/avl/WHM n/a,1,2
GW5: HUL/AVL/SUN n/a,1,2
GW6: WHM/stk/CPL n/a, 2,n/a
GW7: AVL/SWA/car n/a,2,n/a
GW8: WBA/SUN/stk 6,1,6
GW9: CAR/FUL/WHM n/a,1,6
GW10: SOT/car/CPL 1,n/a,n/a
GW11: WHM/HUL/STK 6,n/a,2
GW12: NOR/SUN/AVL 6,6,1
GW13: WBA/CPL/new 2,n/a,1
GW14: CAR/NEW/swa n/a, 6,2
GW15: HUL/NOR/wba n/a,2,1
GW16: SOT/SWA/hul 1,1,n/a
GW17: AVL/EVE/HUL 1,1, n/a
GW18: STK/FUL/new 2,6,1
GW19: ARS/avl/whm 2,1,1

11 CS
16 n/a
41 Applicable games
total 110
ppg 2.7

The ppg isn't great but there are a few things to consider here;

1. The 16 n/a games involve promoted sides who you could argue are the easiest fixtures. The 16 split is 4 homes for Hull (part of the Uber) and 12 games against promoted sides. Using last years promoted side stats, they failed to score 21/57 or 37% of the time. There are 8 home fixtures against promoted sides. Using the percentage number you can say there would be 3 clean sheets. This would give you 28 further points (2point GW for other 5) or 3.5ppg. This would raise the total ppg to 2.8ppg
2. I haven't included any unpredictable scoring such as goals, assists, BAPS. Can you assume this would add another 0.5 onto the ppg? to gain 0.5 you would need 25 attacking points from the 49 games (2012/13 results + Promoted home games) to raise the figure by 0.5. The ppg would sit at 3.3 ppg at this stage. I also believe that 25 additional points from 49 games is an underestimate but I don't want to mess the figure up to much with unpredictable events.
3. Of the eight remaining games, 4 are Hull fixtures playing NOR/CAR/WHM/AVL. I can't say anything for Cardiff but WHM were last, Norwich 3rd last and Villa 14th for goals scored on the road. 2 Clean sheets out of 4?
4. These figures are using last seasons defensive records. We are all predicting an increase in returns for Southampton or Newcastle for example.

Conclusion: Having managed to conservatively estimate a ppg of 3.3 and with positive thinking I believe this could go as high as 3.8 ppg the Uber is something well worth considering. 3.3 ppg last season was the equivalent of Sagna or Shawcross. Both are likely to be priced around 5.5. 3.8ppg and the Uber is equivalent to Vidic, Agger or Azpil.

Don't forget, the other non measurable is the benefits you would get with a bigger budget for your front 8 as this is the whole point of the Uber

Cheers 🙂

I have finished in the top 100 since the sky game started a few years back and thought i would post a little help guide for some of the players i have noticed with potential value in the lower and mid bracket (we all know about the big hitters). Generally it looks alot harder this year to put together a team based around RVP, Bale etc so here are some of the potential 'fillers'.

Goalkeepers (Low)

Westwood 3.7/ Mannone 4.2 - depending on who is first choice one of these 2 is probably the best cheap option especially with save points now added to the game.

Goalkeepers (Mid)

Tim Krul 4.7 - top keeper that will get save points and occasional clean sheets, Newcastle have good opening fixtures but remains to be seen if they can perform this season.

Ben Foster 4.8 - Loves a save for the cameras and is a bit of a darling for MOTM for some reason again will get save and cleanies from time to time.

Simon Mingolet 4.9 - the stand out option if he is handed the number 1 spot - cheap way into a good liverpool defense.

Defenders (Low) - very slim pickings here until those guaranteed starters come to light.

Antonio Luna 4.0 - risky as not guaranteed a starter yet but seems the most viable cheap option, Villa have terrible opening fixtures however.

Razvan Rat 4.7 - looks a decent option due to potential attacking returns and cleanies in West Ham's good opening fixtures.

Defenders (Mid)

Michael Turner 5.2 - if he can stay injury free he is a viable option especially if Norwich continue to get shut outs.

Dejan Lovren 5.2 - good opening fixtures, occasional goal in him and potential bonus points to be had.

Davide Santon 5.4 - good fixtures and good attacking potential.

Midfielders (Low)

Joe Cole 4.7 - good fixtures was good once upon a time lol?

Charlie Adam 4.9 - new manager new style? When Adam was fit Stoke played ok, he is on free kicks/corners (potentially pens with Walters missing all the time) gets assists and goals, also a bonus points magnet assuming Stoke try to play football. Does like a card or 2 though.

Jonathan De Guzman 5.0 - Terrible opening fixtures but is good for a goal or 2 and is one for getting bonus points.

Midfield (Mid) - lots of potential value here, seems to be a lot more options than in attack or defence.

Mousa Dembele 5.8 - Absolute darling when it comes to bonus points both tackling and passing, just needs to add goals, maybe he can this season with Paulinho and Sandro sitting?

Hatem Ben-Arfa 5.9 - Good fixtures incredible talent and also on pens. Is he just too much of a risk?

Jack WIlshere 6.2 - if he stays fit he was fielded behind the striker taking Cazorla's place, if he adds goals he can be a massive points scorer as he gets bonus points and Sky loves giving him MOTM.

Samir Nasri 6.3 - rotation issues but good price here if he starts

Antonio Valencia 6.4 - incredibly cheap for probably UTD's best winger, just needs to rediscover his form.

Kevin Miralles 6.5 - Massive potential here often played of the striker and with Martinez attacking outlook i think he will play the Malony position.

Yohan Cabaye 6.6 - Bonus points magnet and has a goal in him, he was around 8.4m last season.

Strikers (Low) - very hard market here

Peter Odemwingie 6.8 - if playing can be explosive.

Strikers (Mid)

Ricky Van-Wolfswinkel 7.5 - bit of an unknown quantity but comes with a reputation

Emanuel Adebayor 7.6 - looks good value if he can play like he did towards the back end of last season assuming Spurs dont sign anybody.

Hope that helps some of the newer players, feel free to ask any questions about the Sky game. Thanks.