Paddy Says
9 April 2011 640 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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Just over an hour to go before the door slams shut on another week’s Fantasy tinkering. Time for our Saturday morning sit down with our bookie buddies at Paddy Power – can their odds sway our late late gameweek thinking?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.72 (WIG)
  • Man Utd 2.00 (FUL)
  • Tottenham 2.25 (STK)
  • Arsenal 2.40 (blp)
  • Blackburn 2.40 (BIR)
  • Aston Villa 2.50 (NEW)
  • Sunderland 2.87 (WBA)

Defeated on home turf in the Champions League in midweek, Chelsea head the Clean Sheet market with by far and away the shortest price this week. Wigan travel to Stamford Bridge with a markedly better defensive record on the road than at home, sporting a reasonable 1.43gca (goals conceded away), but still very much lacking bite going forward, tallying a mere 0.79gsa (goals scored away). David Luiz was ineligible mid-week and will surely return to the Chelsea back four – given Paddy’s odds it’s no surprise to see him enjoying heavy Fantasy investment this week ahead of the double in gameweek 33.

Manchester United welcomed Rio Ferdinand back from his calf injury to keep a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge, but he could well be rested with Chris Smalling drafted in. The former Fulham defender could face off against his former team-mates then, with Paddy ranking Alex Ferguson’s back four as strong options for another shut-out. We’re less than certain here, with Bobby Zamora and Clint Dempsey key threats for the visitors.

Fresh from a Real mauling on Tuesday night, Harry Rednapp will be looking to add to a recent spat of clean-sheets against a travel sick Stoke unit. Michael Dawson will be key to dealing with Rory Delap’s slingshot throws, and, given Stoke’s poor scoring record away from home, Spurs look justified as third favourites in Paddy’s reckoning.

Further down, the value in Fantasy terms can be found via Blackburn at home to Birmingham and Villa hosting Newcastle. Paddy offers them favourable odds, with Chris Samba and Kyle Walker both graced with selection in this week’s Scout Picks.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.53 (blp)
  • F Torres 1.61 (WIG)
  • D Drogba 1.61 (WIG)
  • J Hernandez 1.83 (FUL)
  • D Berbatov 1.90 (FUL)
  • D Bent 1.90 (NEW)
  • N Anelka 1.90 (WIG)
  • F Lampard 1.90 (WIG)
  • M Chamakh 2.00 (blp)
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (blp)
  • S Kalou 2.10 (WIG)
  • S Nasri 2.10 (blp)
  • A Arshavin 2.10 (blp)
  • C Fabregas 2.30 (blp)
  • D Welbeck 2.30 (WBA)
  • Asamoah Gyan 2.30 (WBA)
  • R van der Vaart 2.37 (STK)
  • P Crouch 2.37 (STK)
  • D Sturridge 2.40 (WHM)
  • Nani 2.40 (FUL)
  • T Walcott 2.50 (blp)
  • J Defoe 2.60 (STK)
  • C Tevez 2.60 (liv)
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.60 (STK)
  • J Elmander 2.62 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.62 (WHM)
  • F Malouda 2.60 (WIG)
  • L Suarez 2.62 (MCY)
  • J Elmander 2.70 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.70 (WHM)
  • J Beckford 2.75 (EVE)

January and February were golden months for Robin Van Persie in what most players would consider an injury devastated season. For the Dutchman however, it’s business as usual – Fantasy Managers have come to accept his brilliance and brittle limbs in equal measure. Ten of Van Persie’s eleven goals were notched up in a short burst of games, and Paddy have him as a huge favourite to register against the Blackpool defence this weekend.

Didier Drogba and Fernando Torres get close to Van Persie’s odds but, in Fantasy terms, neither is nailed on for starts at home to Wigan. Carlo Ancelotti will surely rest players ahead of the Champions League second leg on Tuesday and Wednesday’s strike pairing are leading contenders.

Some familiar names follow the Chelsea duo. Darren Bent heads them up – he was in the goals again last weekend and should find Newcastle’s 1.53gca record an invitation to continue boosting his late assault on the Golden Boot.

Midfielders Frank Lampard and Salomon Kalou join the list a few places down, hovering around the even money mark. Lampard has been snaffling up Fantasy interest this week and heads the likes of Rafael Van der Vaart and Samir Nasri when it comes to Paddy’s midfielder scoring odds.

Switching back to strikers – Paddy rate both Asamoah Gyan and Danny Welbeck over Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge – we’re not sure we agree with that assessment, but there’s no doubt that all three will head into the gameweek as strong scoring prospects.

That trio are fancied above Carlos Tevez and Luis Suarez who come face to face at Anfield on Monday night. If you’re looking for a striker with Fantasy potential and decent odds for a goal however, consider one of “Big Dunc’s Differentials” – Wolves’ Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. Paddy have him at 3.0 for a goal against Everton – that looks tempting with Mick McCarthy set to go with a 4-4-2 and with and in-form Matt Jarvis feeding from the flank.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

Friday night’s “Fantasy Flutter” was packed with Paddy specials based on our Scout Picks selections. You can get a view on the batch of special bets right here. These include the Clean Sheet Accumulator with 8/1 offered on shutouts for Blackburn (vs Birmingham), Spurs (vs Stoke) and Chelsea (vs Wigan) this weekend. Other highlights are odds of 9/1 on Chris Samba scoring a header and 17/2 on a Daniel Sturridge brace against West Ham at the Reebok.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy takes a trip to Villa Park for this weekend’s refund special. If Darren Bent scores the last goal, Paddy Power will pay back all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

640 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    So, who else is leaving Lampard out?

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    1. gooner dave
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      me, but not through choice.....

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        there is ALWAYS a choice....

        I'm gonna save my transfer this week, which I HATE doing. You do the same with my orrible lot?

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    2. arfa
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      im leaving him out but dont feel good

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      1. Futbol Heritage
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I am.

        Needed a 8 Point hit to get him and I don't do 8 Point hits

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        1. arfa
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          good luck

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  2. DundalkKid
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Folks,

    Captain Fat Frank or RVP ??

    Cheers

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      RVP

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      1. DundalkKid
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

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  3. drughi
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    how will i do ?

    foster
    walker, luiz,smalling
    nasri,ferguson,jarvis,bale,lampard(c)
    van persie, drogba

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      56

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      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        i guess thats ok

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  4. SAINTS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    For those deciding between Sturridge and Welbeck, I think Sturridge is the better. Sunderland's form has been attrocious home and away recently whereas Bolton have been great at home. West Brom's recent form has been better than West Ham and so I think that's the decision made. And Bolton have the double in two GWs time.

    I'm going sturridge.

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I agree, Ive got Welbeck only because I cant afford Sturridge!

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      1. The Wizard of Ozil
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        hope your right 😀

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Dat's what I said ... 😉

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      1. SAINTS
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        You did. I just have OCD and so had to research the fkk out of it.

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Good luck!

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  5. jhill89
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Who to Captain out of Nani/RVP/Chicharito/Young/Arshavin?

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    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Rvpppppp

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    2. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      RVP!

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  6. mr messi
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Will Coleman play? Anyone know?

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    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      David Moyes

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    2. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Probably

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  7. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    A/ Kolarov Bentley Rooney to Ruiz Lamps Welbeck
    B/ BentLEy Rooney to Lamps Welbeck
    C/ Kelly Bentley Rooney to Lamps Welbeck Walker

    Then bench Adam, Welbeck, Odem or VDV??????
    Panic times

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  8. EastLeakeTerrier22
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Whcih 2 of these should I start?

    Coleman
    R Johnson
    Zamora
    Zigic

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      RJ and Zamora

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    2. markieffm
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Coleman and Johnson with samara then zigic as backup

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  9. Grimmaldi - Send in the Clo…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Drunk last night I transferred out Nani. I don't know whether I'm pleased or horrified with my drunkard action.

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    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I am usually horrified with my drunken decisions...

      Some real scary ones 😆

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      In vino veritas ... 😉

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  10. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Better combo this week?

    (A) Malouda & Terry
    (B) Kolarov & Fabs

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      B

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  11. markieffm
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Im going lampardless as it would take an 8 point hit to get him in and I font think thy will get covered so I will get him in for the double. Come on ugly faced Tevez! Your my only hope for a differential!!!

    Who to bench, VDV, Odem,Adam or Barton?

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  12. EastLeakeTerrier22
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Will Sturridge score 4 more than Zamora?

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    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      This week or to the end of the season?

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      1. EastLeakeTerrier22
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        this week

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  13. Bigo1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Coleman or Koscielny?

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  14. Demí
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    paaaaaniiiiiccccccc

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    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Why?

      You have had 1 week to sort your team out.

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        If only he could spell.

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  15. rockyman10
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    why would anyone want to leave lampard out?

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Because he is a bit fat and costs 13 mil

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      1. GirlsJustWanaHaveKun
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        lol fail

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  16. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Time is up for asking questions. Time to lock in your 11.....

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    1. rasher
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      time to change your name.. 😉

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Tie for you to pass me again. 😛

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        1. rasher
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          its only a matter of time 🙂

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          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            Probably won't see you link your team again now. 😛

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    2. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      UR CLOCK IS 3 MINS AHEAD 😕

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  17. @FuzzyWarbles
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Mignolet

    Luiz, Walker, Coleman

    Lamps(c), Nani, VDV, Nasri, Adam

    RVP, Gyan

    (carr, simpson, rooney)

    12 point hit, never did more than 4 before

    green arrow still possible? or red inevitable?

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      1. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        You love that answer haha

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      2. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        did it with lamps or RVP, and it gave me rvp!!

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          You need to do best of 5 or you get the wrong answer.

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    2. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Nice midfield. Still a poss green arra

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    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Wait and see...

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    4. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      sweet team mate.

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  18. Spoiler
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    11.29

    rooney to torres for a 4 pointer

    i can feel a goal

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    1. greghammer95
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      WOO! I did it too. And (C) him/

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      1. Spoiler
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        i sure wouldn't have the balls to captain.

        bring on 2pm (i just hope he bloody starts at the moment)

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      2. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Based on what he's showed you since he joined Chelsea why would you

        a) Get Torres?
        b) Compound the mistake by captaining him?

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Yes - but can he??? 😉

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    3. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Fernando on bench perhaps?

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      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I hope so.

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  19. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    tImEs uP! gOoD lUcK eVeRyOnE.

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    1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      indeed

      best of british

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    2. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      TM - hope you are well. Did you do some transfers? I noticed just before FPL started updating that Jafalad took his first hit of the season.(3 trsfrs for a 4pt hit)

      Never thought i would ever see that!

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I did the same as Jafalad. Sometimes change is the way forward.

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        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          And that is?

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          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            3 trades for -4. 😕

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            1. Christina.
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              uuuuhhh...realie?

              Wo did you bring inn?

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              1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 8 months ago

                You're spelling in South Afrikan now ... 😉

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                1. Christina.
                  • 15 Years
                  14 years, 8 months ago

                  Jip

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              2. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 8 months ago

                I copied Jafalad. Thought I'd take a leaf out of your book.

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                1. Christina.
                  • 15 Years
                  14 years, 8 months ago

                  *leave

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                  1. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    14 years, 8 months ago

                    Obviously you have never heard this phrase.... 😕

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              3. DementedFlamingo
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 8 months ago

                Lads. How are we?... I almost did Tevez to Bent & Young to Lampard (-8) but whimped out 🙂 Hope I don't regret it.

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                1. Christina.
                  • 15 Years
                  14 years, 8 months ago

                  Ahh, at last...someone I can have a decent conversation with!

                  Long time no "see" DF.

                  Good luck!

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                  1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    14 years, 8 months ago

                    Huh! Well!!! If that's the view you take!!! 😉

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                  2. DementedFlamingo
                    • 16 Years
                    14 years, 8 months ago

                    🙂

                    Sorry, had to look after the 2.5yo. She's just starting to have nightmares. Poor thing.

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  20. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    so hard to choose between lamps and rvp for captain

    gone for rvp

    nervous

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    1. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      The right decision mate (hopefully) 🙂

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    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I've gone for Lanmps. I made sure I didn't log on so that i didn't make any changes.

      Good luck to everyone who has the same players as me.

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      1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        ahhahaha like the last sentence

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  21. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    11.29.. gordon to foster for free.. benched begovic and r.johnson.. and started foster and coleman.. phew.. that was scary

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  22. Damo.
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Ah well no Fat Lumpard, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fbGUEelmzxo

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  23. markieffm
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Screw fat Frank!!

    Screw Sturridge!!

    Screw fantasy football!!

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  24. deckybhoy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Was just about 2 change capt from lamps to RVP - n just missed deadline. Hope I am not disappointed.

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    1. deckybhoy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Hope fat Frank does the business today. Had I gone RVP and he did well, my head would have been done in.

      Good luck everyone!

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  25. Fray Bentos
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Captain Nani!!!

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  26. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Foster
    Luiz-Dawson-Coleman (Carr,Simpson)
    Lampard-Young-Adam-Nani-Fabergas
    RVP(c) Sturridge (Zigic)

    good luck all 😀

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Nice team jeff

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      1. The Wizard of Ozil
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        cheers, money in the bank to get rip of Zigic after next week (at long last)

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    2. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      same to you!

      Foster (begs)
      Huth, RJ, Coleman (Djourou, Simpson)
      Lampard, O'Hara, VDV, Nasri, Nani
      RVP (c), Welbeck (Roonpig)

      Please VDV & Nasri do something for once.

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      1. The Wizard of Ozil
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        rival has both so i hope not lol, went Sturridge over Welbeck, could go eather way

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  27. super zlatan
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    So any chance united could drop points this avo? I hope not.

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    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Yes there is a chance.

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Nothing is certain...

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  28. AP
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    C'mon © Smalling.

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      What have you done to your name, Partridge? 😉

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      1. AP
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        What?! F*cking WHAT?!

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Exactly. 😀

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      2. Cheggers
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Oh dear, Smalling captain?

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          ... and the pressure mounts ... 😀

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  29. Sess!
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    My team for this week. Good luck all.

    Foster
    Luiz Bardsley Smalling
    Fabs VDV Lampard Nani
    Hernandez Wellbeck RVP (C)

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    1. deckybhoy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good

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