634x258 The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. LeBron - King of Argentina
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Hi lads!

    My team: http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/624174/event-history/18/

    Have 1 FT and 0.7 in the bank. Ramsey's selling value is 6.8 and Howard's 5.8.

    Does Howard + Ramsey -> Cabaye + Mannone for -4 sound good?

    Thanks in advance.

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    1. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      In a similar dilemma and really dont think that is worth it. Cabayes fixture not bood enough. And you would miss out on Howards good fixtures after the suspension.

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      1. LeBron - King of Argentina
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Ta. What changes would you make? Lewis - Mannone possibly?

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  2. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Harper (Howard)
    Coleman - Williamson - Burner (Koscielny - Gabbidon)
    Hazard - Walcott - Redmond - Ravel (Ramsey)
    Suarez - Rooney - Negredo

    0FT, 1.6 in bank

    Koscielny & Ramsey -> Bardsley & Silva (-8)?
    Or avoid hits and wait a week?

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    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      avoid taking hits, kos for kolarov?

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    2. Ferris Bueller
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Don't take hits, stick as you are and ride out the storm. That front 3 alone could get you a great score.

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  3. The ghost of a Pug's g…
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Rooney or Lukaku and 4pts

    Place your bets

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    1. SW6
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Wayne

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Form says no brainer.

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    3. Gloria Kanchelskis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on Rooney (own both )

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    4. bitterandstout
        12 years, 1 month ago

        rooney

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      • Evans
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Rooney

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      • The ghost of a Pug's g…
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks guys. Asked this question about 10 times tonight n it's the first time I've had more than 2 replies. Welcome to my team Jordan Mutch! If only Meyler wasn't inj

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    5. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Got 43 @ rank 10.2k ...only dropped to 10.5k

      Thoroughly expected to go down ...

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Most of those above have Yaya, Ramsey & captained Suarez.

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      2. chandramouli
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        same here , was at 15.8k dropped to 16.1 k... i expected atleast 10k fall...

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    6. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      In other news:

      John Obi Mikel now has 6 PL starts. 4 CS for Chelsea in those, while conceding only 3 goals when he's been on the pitch

      #Essential

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      1. Rafabio
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Good at what he does, break up opposition play, not surprised!

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      2. Get up ya bum
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        He sure is. Chelsea are always so much better when he plays

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    7. @FPLStrategist
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Lads,
      Ramsey and Lukaku to Walcott and JRod ( no hit)

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      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        no brainer

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    8. Dago
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Just need to find 0.3 million to do Ramsey to Walcott? Have two free transfers, who should I downgrade?
      Mignolet
      Terry Coleman Burner Ward Rosenoir
      Hazard Silva Ramsey Morrison Barkley
      Rooney Suarez Lukaku 

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      1. bitterandstout
          12 years, 1 month ago

          do morrison to meyler or some other bench fodder. should get you there..

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        • Gooner Kebab
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Terry obviously?

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        • Dago
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Was considering Mignolet to Mannone?

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        • Tezmoore
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Downgrade Terry

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          1. Tezmoore
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Or Mig to Mannone is better 🙂

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        • jurgenizer | TRIPEIROS
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Migs

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      2. Leaf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Any news on Rafael or Ravel ?

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        1. Evans
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Rafael injured and ravel argument at training ground

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          1. Gooner Kebab
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Ravel argument?

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          2. Leaf
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Rafael badly injured ? , guess so if he came off on 17

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      3. I Am Nobody
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Is it worth transfer in mannone? What about westwood.almost recover from injury.

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        1. sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          A Sunderland fan said that Westwood might not even be renewed and that Mannone's form can't be ignored and he'll continue to start

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          1. I Am Nobody
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Thanks for the reply. Cheers 🙂

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        2. Damo.
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Did he not have surgery? Worth it til WC imo

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      4. Liastro ⭐️
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Is Sterling nailed?

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        1. Scottys Army
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          until sturridge is back

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        2. Evans
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          That's the problem

          His next game is Chelsea

          Will he lose his place to sturridge ..... ? Probably

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Sturridge isn't back.

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        3. Wild Card this!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          I guess...as long Sturridge is out...at least.

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      5. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Wish I didn't have so many injuries.

        Lukaku needs to go out of my squad.

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        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Yep

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        2. Ole Gunnar Kush
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          hold on for 1 more week

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      6. Brazooka
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        One amateur question. The hit points is valid for cup matches, correct? Thanks.

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          It is.

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      7. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        FPL Open qualification under 400K
        Elite 64 qualification under 53K
        Max safety score is 37 in LMS
        After Xmas League leader on 83

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      8. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Cabeye or Sterling on for Ramsey?

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        1. Brazooka
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Cabaye

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        2. bitterandstout
            12 years, 1 month ago

            I'd do sterling, or lallana if you can afford him. lallana's stats are better and from GW20 southampton's fixtures improve. cabaye is on four yellows..

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            1. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Cabaye is on 5 yellows and already served his ban.

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            2. Prime
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Cabaye was on yellow suspension GW16 so is clean now.

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            3. Mr Smith
              • 15 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Forgot about those yellows! Thanks for the reminder.

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        3. Ferris Bueller
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Which option would you take?
          A Ozil & Ramsey > Wally & Silva (-4)
          B Ozil, Ramsey & Howard > Wally, Yaya & Mannone (-8)

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          1. Marouane Fellatio
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Do you have another goalie?

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          2. najk
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Depends on your other keeper. But A would be the answer...

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        4. Dunny
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Any1 else notice Negredo limping off at the end of the game? Bit reluctant about putting him in after I saw that

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          1. Mr Smith
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Yup saw it and commentator mentioned it also. Was going to bring in for Lukaku but will certainly hold off.

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        5. Marouane Fellatio
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Anyone know whats happened to Jussi?

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          1. najk
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Just rested?

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          2. Brazooka
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Nothing.

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          3. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Might be back after todays performance.

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        6. najk
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          No answers, sorry for repost:
          Evening lads, hope you had a lovely Christmas! Need some help with this weeks transfers, got 4 troublemakers (Ramsey, Begovic, Myhill, Brunt)...
          1 FT, 2.9 ITB
          Begovic (Myhill)
          Ward Terry Coleman (Shaw, Rat)
          Barkley Ramsey Whittingham Hazard (Brunt)
          Suarez Rooney Negredo

          Was thinking:
          1. Begovic + Ramsey -> Szczzcz + Walcott
          2. Begovic + Ramsey -> Szczzcz + Silva
          3. Begovic + Ramsey -> Man-On + Walcott
          4. Begovic + Brunt -> Gazz + Walcott
          5. Other?

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          1. Gooner Kebab
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            2

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            1. najk
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              thanks! Any thoughts on why Silva rather than Walcott?

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          2. Brazooka
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            2

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            1. najk
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Thanks for the reply! But why Silva before Walcott?

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          3. Goaldigger
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            1 or 2 both sound good. I would choose Walcot for goal threat.

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            1. Goaldigger
              • 13 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              And also slightly less threat of rotation imo

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        7. Doar1986
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Will Ramsey drop tonight, or can I do my changes tomorrow

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          1. Mr Smith
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Won't happen tonight.

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          2. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            http://www.totalfpl.com/pricechanges

            Not falling tonight.

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        8. Ziggers
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Yaya -> Silva for a -4 isn't worth it right? Already used my FT on Ramsey -> Cabaye. Everyone above me in my ML has Yaya. Rest of MF is Walcott, Haz, Cabaye, RavMo.

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        9. Strificus
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          1) Howard, Lovren, Ramsey -> Mannone, Whittaker, Silva [-8]
          2) Howard, Lovren -> Mannone, Mertesacker [-4]
          3) Just go Ramsey for Cabaye and play with no goalie

          I'm torn on this one. My gut wants me to go a bit crazy and get Silva into the mix.

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        10. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          So in summary from MOTD - Suarez COULD have had 6 assists quite easily. Yay. Instead we got lumbered with 2 points

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          1. Scottys Army
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            The luck of fpl

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          2. Mr Smith
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Thems the breaks unfortunately, I took armband off Walcott and put on Suarez at 11:28am so a little bit peeved.

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          3. Dr Dream
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Yep..it happens.

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        11. Pinky and Brain
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Ramsey and Negredo > Rooney and Sterling (-4)?

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          1. Gooner Kebab
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            droppign negredo vs CRY?

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            1. Ziggers
              • 13 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              What this guy said, but keep an eye on injury news as people here have stated he limped off when subbed.

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        12. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          any chance rooney will be rested for the spurs game?

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          1. Scottys Army
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            zero % chance

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          2. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            lol.

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            1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
              • 13 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              even if rvp is back?

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          3. Mr Smith
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Nah, looks as fit as a butchers dog ATM and is key to everything they do. Moyes would be daft to bench him.....which means he'll probably bench him 😆

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          4. Get up ya bum
            • 16 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Depends how much Moyes hates this winning stuff

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            1. isacki: full casual
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Ah - so you're saying he's getting dropped 😉

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          5. Rafabio
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Yes, a fat one!

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          6. Paully Walnuts
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Not a hope!

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        13. ClaireT
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Have Walker and Ramsey suspended and injured, worth taking 4pt hit to get rid of both next GW ? 0.2m in bank

          Mignolet, Myhill
          Walker, Coleman, Gabbidon, Jagielka, Baker
          Januzaj, Hazard, Ramsey, Toure, Morrison
          Suarez, Lukaku, Rooney

          Thanks in advance

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        14. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Shameless repost: unsure what to do with Ramsey 1.2 in the bank

          Marshall Price
          Coleman Distin Evans Dawson Flanagan
          Ramsey Walcott Silva Hazard Ravel
          Rooney Suarez Lukaku

          I've narrowed things down to 2 options should I

          A keep Ramsey and do Ravel and Flanagan to Cabaye and Chester for a hit.
          B just do a straight Ramsey to Cabaye swap?

          Thanks.

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          1. chandramouli
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            B.

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        15. Yome
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Mig + Ramsey to Mannione + Silva, -4 okay?

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        16. Del Monte
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Hurry up Sky Sports update!!

          I want to see whether i'm number 1 now

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          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            You'll be rich.

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            1. Del Monte
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              19 points off lead with captain Hazard, walcott and rooney today

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        17. isacki: full casual
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Thank feck for that! I thought with 55 I was going to have a crap week given I didn't even have Rooney, but I went from 77k to 58k despite taking a hit.

          Things went a lot better than expected.

          Leave my Walcott and Silva differentials alone btw. 😉

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        18. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Can't wait for the bagful of points from Lukaku when many sell him this week. 🙂

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          1. Ole Gunnar Kush
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            +100

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