634x258 The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. mgilbert86
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I'm want Walcott and Silva but am not so eager to jump and get either considering the possibility they are benched

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    1. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      both are fresh and silva needed more if negredo out

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  2. Gooner Kebab
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    nice game today Lebron.
    HBA as the other option to Cabaye.

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  3. Deulo10
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Yaya is at 95% to rise. Will he rise tonight?

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    1. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      no

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      1. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        wouldnt surprize

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    2. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      if he gets to 100%, most likely.

      Check his %age change for today and you'll know how on trend he is.

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    3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      99.1%

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  4. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Lampard or Navas for the next couple of GWs as a punt?

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  5. Elniñorules
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Silva not worth a hit over Burner / Chester, is he?

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  6. Leaf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Ravel Morrison

    So what was it, I heard groin injury reported onXmas eve ?

    Or training ground argument

    Or just rested

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    1. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      How essential is Rooney?
      I have all other 'essential' players (Walcott, Silva, Suarez etc.) but would have to take an -8pt hit to get Rooney in...

      the set of transfers would be Ramsey, Mignolet, Lukaku ➡ Sterling, Mannone, Rooney (-8pt)

      Cheers guys

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      1. FPL Touches
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        sorry, meant to be new post 😳

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      2. Get up ya bum
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        He's essential but don't do that man. Wildcard around the corner

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  7. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I think I turned away when it originally happened and then rushed into a meeting. I know we're waiting on the presser tomorrow regarding Negredo, but can anyone who was watching explain what might have happened? All I've heard is that he hobbled off when subbed..

    thankfully neither him nor Lukaku are dropping and (at the moment) Rooney isn't rising again so I might be able to wait until tomorrow..

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    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      It's chinese whispers. Nothing happened. Looked like he was cramping up

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        so even given that, think he'll even start against Palace? If Rooney is set to rise again I may have to decide between him and Lukaku to sub out and would hate to be stuck with Negredo on City's bench lol

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        1. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          No idea. Seems a good game to rest either him or silva but only if they need it

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    2. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He limped off to time waste was coming off for Dzeko anyway

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        so same nonsense that Suarez did against Everton whenever Liverpool didn't have the ball..lol

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  8. GK
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts please chaps? 🙂

    (A) Nasri > Yaya/Silva
    (B) Ramsey > Lallana/Cabaye
    (C) Both
    (D) Other

    1FT, 1.5m in the bank.

    Krul
    Chester, Distin, Shaw
    Nasri, Januzaj, Walcott, Hazard
    Rooney, Suarez, *Negredo

    (Daniels)(*Ramsey, Collins, Gabbidon)

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    1. BBB
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      B

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      1. GK
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Who'd you go for of the two? Tempted by Lallana

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        1. BBB
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Cabaye will do better against arsn

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  9. The EJJ
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Up to 260k, top 10k still possible? Or only with extreme luck?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Very possible.

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    2. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Easily..

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    3. SW6
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Easily possible

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    4. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely, just behind you at 260k so see you there 😀

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    5. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      1166 for top 10K, how many points are you on?

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      1. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        He'll be ~100pt away.

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        1. The EJJ
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          1063, need to make 100 pts.

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        2. 7shadesofsmoke
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          very doable IMO,

          You have a W/C and plenty of fixtures, plus a few DGW no doubt.

          Good luck!

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    6. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Finally broke 200k myself! Onwards and upwards!

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  10. Mr Smith
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I think the question burning everyone's lips is, are Lukakus team mates going to bleedin well pass to him or what?!

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    1. GuyIncognito
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Kevin Mirallas probably wouldn't pass to Messi.

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      1. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        This is very true. I guess we need Baines back to fire in a load of crosses. Barkley and Osman don't know the meaning of the word pass also!

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  11. gg1314
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Cabaye or Sterling or Lallana for Ramsey ?

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    1. BBB
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabaye

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    2. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm thinking Sterling or Lallana are both good options, just depends how much extra money you want. Lallana should be nailed on for the rest of the season (if he stays at Southampton) and Sterling is certainly nailed on until Gerrard/Sturridge are back

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    3. Doar1986
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabeye more long term

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    4. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabaye

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    5. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      am i missing something? Cabaye or NEW next 5 is tough

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  12. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone taking a punt on Ben Arfa?

    Or are we all jumping on the Cabaye boat

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    1. Doar1986
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      That's what I'm thinking but will he still be rotated

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    2. BBB
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I fancy cabaye v arsn to be top

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  13. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I'm now contemplating losing Flanagan for Kolorov and keeping Ramsey decisions decisions

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    1. Leaf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Is he not. Big rotation risk with Cliche waiting in the wings

      Would make an ideal rafael replacement for me too

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      1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah he does carry rotation risk but when he plays he has the potential to score double digits, not sure I can risk him with my injury situation

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        1. Leaf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Good time to try as we have a wildcard just around the corner ...and 2 reserve defenders

          Shane he played full 90 today and cliche 0 , surely cliche starts next

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          1. John Nerdelbaum
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Rumours that Zaba will be rested so you would have thought that Kolorov will start

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  14. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone here get 80+ this week.

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    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      nah..70 with a C fail..

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      1. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        thats awesome Wakey. Could've been a monster mover if you'd got your © right!!

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  15. mgilbert86
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    silva worth a punt then for crystal palace?

    have yaya and negredo

    thinking of loading up on city as they are fairly safe bets to score goals at home

    need to recover after last two gameweeks

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    1. Mike Skinner
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Please don't describe Silva as a punt you'll break my heart

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  16. Doar1986
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    HBA in for Ramsey or should I follow everyone else and go cabeye

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    1. mgilbert86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      not until after arsenal

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    2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Look at fixtures next 3 weeks, maybe someone else

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      1. Najoman86
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Home to Arsenal & City - Away to WBA - Toon next 3

        I fancy returns for Toon MIDs and FWDs in all fixtures. Only City out-points them over the last 6 weeks. Very solid form

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  17. DaveZubie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    From what weeks are the winter WC active? (20 to 22?)

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      21-24

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      1. DaveZubie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers TM

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      2. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Is that leading up to GW24 or after and up to GW25?

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  18. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Discussion topic.

    How much does FPL effect your mood?

    For me - it effects my mood a lot, if I have a great gameweek (GW Rank top 100K), then i'll probably be in a great mood until the next gameweek...

    but... if I am GW Rank 2.5m, i will be in an intermittent depression until the next deadline...

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    1. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      A little bit too much tbh. Bit silly really.

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      1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        It is annoying though, so much effort... no reward 🙁

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    2. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Bad gameweeks happen, I get over it after an hour or so of anguish 🙂

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    3. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      A lot.

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    4. BantamPhil
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Just depends if I beat my mates or not, I wish I could take it a bit more relaxed at times though

      Relaxation is the pro of being a casual I guess

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    5. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      more than i think is reasonable.

      If i get a red arrow, i feel deeply annoyed at the bad decisions which led me to it.

      If i get a green, i feel buoyant. Ridiculous impact, since it really shouldn't make a difference to my day!

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  19. Stephen - Robot Daniels
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Oh dear Martinez, Osman in for Barkley who fluffs the back pass causing the penalty.

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  20. Del Monte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I'm still holding onto the fact I can make top 10k, currently 300k but WC only 2 games away!!

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    1. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Knowing your propensity for picking good players, surely its well within reach

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      1. Del Monte
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        my defence is killing me atm

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  21. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    @TM I'm up to 169k! 😎

    was 1.08 million in GW7 🙂

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Great work. 🙂

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        now to just maintain and keep pressing on up

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    2. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Slow and steady rise. Nice.

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        damn, you as well! Nice!

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        1. Goaldigger
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Thx 🙂

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    3. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Great you climbed 100k in a week then, I'm up to 1279

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        ha! I found you

        http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/2394245/event-history/18/

        when you said 2394245 earlier today, I thought you had just run your fingers along the keyboard 😆

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        1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Yep that's my team.....

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            couldn't find you earlier because I thought you were in the FFS league

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      2. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I'm cooling off the Eriksen move, would like to see a heatmap though..

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        1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah that would be good, i'm also gonna wait a day to decide.... I also need a goali and am gonna steel your Mannone move i think

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          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            right now it's between Cabaye, Lallana (both these two are not differential picks which I kinda need but could be safe ones to maintain a steady climb) and Sterling (even though they have Chelsea next, he's nailed on given his form until Gerrard/Sturridge return)

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          2. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            yeah Mannone is the safest bet I think..for the money a Southampton keep would be but it's a 50/50 who will start..

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    4. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I was +1M on gw13. Now 250k. Climbing steadily...

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        😯 WOW, now that's some ground you're making up.. well done! 😎

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  22. FPL Touches
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    How essential is Rooney?
    I have all other 'essential' players (Walcott, Silva, Suarez etc.) but would have to take an -8pt hit to get Rooney in...

    the set of transfers would be Ramsey, Mignolet, Lukaku ➡ Sterling, Mannone, Rooney (-8pt)

    Cheers

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    1. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm considering this question too, though I'd only need a -4 (Negredo & Ramsey > Rooney & 5.5). I am tempted over these fixtures.

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      1. FPL Touches
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Although Negredo is also needed if fit...tricky

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    2. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Essential. But not for a -8 so close to the WC..

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    3. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Not at all imo. Plays too deep so wont get the explosive results of aguero and suarez. Points machine yes, but you pay premium for it.

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      1. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        but a Carrick return is just around the corner and Fletcher looked raring to go today and was very sharp with his passing 😉

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      2. Hibbo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Agüero is injured.

        Apart from Suarez and Rooney who is there? Lukaku? Negredo?

        Rooney is returning goal assist and bonus home or away and in the overall dream team I don't know what people want.

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  23. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Do you reckon top 1k is a reasonable goal if you're current rank is 92k?

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    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      your*

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Easily.

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      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Hope so 🙂

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      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Lol

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    3. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm aiming for that and I'm 200k 😉

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    4. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

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    5. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      My aim is top 50k and my OR is 150k not a great target but it's my second season on FPL

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    6. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely

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    7. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I consider top 1k a pipe dream.

      How many points do you need to make up?

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  24. BantamPhil
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Problems with Ramsey, McGregor, Clyne and Koscielny

    Worth taking a hit or just get rid of Ramsey?

    I also have Harper as spare keeper and beginning to wonder whether Clyne has been ousted out by Chambers

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  25. - DC -
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsey to:

    A) Cabaye
    B) Ben Arfa
    C) Sterling
    D) Lallana
    E) Do a - 4 and get Navas

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    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Think Navas for instant gratification

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    2. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabaye

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  26. Ferris Bueller
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Having an injury/suspension/rotation nightmare (see below), so which option would you advise?
    A Ozil & Ramsey > Silva & Wally (-4)
    B Ozil, Ramsey & Howard > Yaya, Wally & Mannone (-8)
    C other suggestion

    Howard Camp
    Coleman Mert Burner Clyne Walker
    Ozil Oscar Whitt Ramsey Ravel
    Suarez Negredo Luka
    1FT, £1.5 bank

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  27. FPL FREAK
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Hi guys....! What change should i made.....?? 2.5 in bank and 1ft..........

    Mignolet£5.5 Boruc£4.6 

    Clark£4.5 Zabaleta£6.0 Distin£5.2 Turner£4.3 Ward£4.0 

    Ramsey£6.9 Özil£10.1 Cabaye£6.5 Morrison£4.8 Bannan£4.4

     Negredo£9.5 Rooney£11.3 Suárez£12.0

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Any ideas?

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    2. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      My eyes

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    3. FPL FREAK
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Plz reply guys...................

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      1. FPL Touches
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Ramsey and Ozil to Walcott and Silva

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    4. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Ramsey to sterling. Then next week cabaye to wally or silva.

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  28. Rog.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Oscar -> Walcott or Haz (-4)

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    1. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Theo

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  29. Hibbo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Overall Rank 460 Tony's a happy man.

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    1. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Nice one. Heady heights.

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