634x258 The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. BT31 - WE ARE ALL TINKERMEN…
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    (Howard) (Lewis)
    Coleman Johnson Evra (Clyne) (Gabbidon)
    Yaya Cabaye Ozil Ravel (Ramsey)
    Suarez Rooney Lukaku

    1) Ramsey/Ozil > Navas/Walcott for -4
    2) Ramsey/Ozil/Howard > Silva/Walcott/Mannone for -8

    ???

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  2. Del Monte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Would Lallana be a good signing for Utd? There is not many natural left sided players out there and he has been impressive this season.

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    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, he'd be a good signing for anybody.

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    2. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      good player but not really what United need

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    3. floydy_floyd
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      No they need proven world class

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      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Can't do their own progression anymore?

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      2. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Still better than all but one of their midfield players

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    4. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Don't think he's a United type of player. Better fit in Arsenal or City.

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      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Too good 🙂

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  3. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Best replacement for Ramsey?

    Cabeye,? Lallana? Someone else?

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    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling?

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    2. spartannn
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Short term: Sterling
      Long term: Cabaye

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  4. Greasy
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Best mid for 8.4 or below? I already have cabaye

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    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Nasri?

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      1. Greasy
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah I could... Do you think he's a good pic?

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        1. jonnybhoy
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Not too bad, not much else around that price

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      2. Greasy
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I don't really like the look of him tbh

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        1. Goaldigger
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Very MEH for that price.

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  5. PogChamp
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else struggling to find a Ramsey replacement? I'm not taking a hit to get Walcott in with WC around the corner. Slim pickings for mids under £7m. I've got Young, Yaya, Fer, Sissoko.

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    1. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabaye's your man.

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      1. PogChamp
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah for sure. I've got Sissoko and he will do until WC.

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    2. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabaye
      Henderson
      Sterling
      Lallana

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      1. PogChamp
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Might go for Henderson.

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    3. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      IMO Walcott will score 4 more than whoever you get below 7m... So it makes sense to get him for a hit also...

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      1. PogChamp
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Possibly but i've got 2 newcastle players and don't want them facing Walcott next GW.

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  6. oxido_76
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Hi everyone !

    Any news about mirallas ? Do you knkw why he came off at the HT ? Injured or tactical ?

    Cheers

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    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He was crook 🙁

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  7. BantamPhil
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Oh Chester baby you made it from 3rd sub 😀

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    1. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Me too. Clyne and Flanagan made sure of it.

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    2. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Stuck on mine 🙁

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  8. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone know the situation with Negredo? I have enough money to upgrade him to Rooney tonight for a hit but will only do that in case he is confirmed not to play...

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    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      City play at home to crystal palace this weekend. I wouldn't be transferring him out.

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  9. Bad Seed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Repost:

    (A) Howard + Ramsey -> Gazzaniga + Walcott (-4)

    or

    (B) Howard + Terry + Ramsey -> Mannone + Kompany + Walcott (-8)

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    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      A

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    2. ccc
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      A

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  10. Elniñorules
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Don't even want to imagine what would have happened to my score this week, if I hadn't done the sideways transfer of Özil to Feoo.

    I'd like to say I saw that Feoo haul was coming et al. but the truth was: If not for Wenger's scaremongering about Mesut getting benched, I wouldn't have done it.

    So here's to you, Arsene. Bottoms up.

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    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I did the same. For me it was the impending rest and the trips to west ham and newcastle seemed much more suited to wally. I still plan to have them both in gw21

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      1. Elniñorules
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I don't know man. Far too many cheap mids doing the job- Haz, Silva, Cabaye, Walc seem like a great midfield at the moment.

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        1. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Manonne Marshal
          Kos Evans Coleman Shaw Whittaker
          Silva Mozil Wally Hazaa Mutch
          Suarez Rooney Jrod

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          1. Elniñorules
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Cabaye + Kun over Jrod and Mozil for me.

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            1. Get up ya bum
              • 16 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Yes but kun is crocked. This^ is similar to what I'm getting gw21. When kun is back I'll pick a mid to downgrade

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    2. MJ6987
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I did the same move too. Thank God Ozil was a rest risk!

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    3. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      It works both ways. You profited from calling the Ozil absence wrong, I got totally punished for calling the Rooney absence wrong!

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      1. Elniñorules
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Ouchie, but you might be onto something with Negrito if RVP returns soon.

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    4. The Shadow
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Wait. You didn't foresee the GK fumbling a save for a goal or Walcott's first headed goal ever in the PL? You are an honest man.

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      1. Elniñorules
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        😆 Better to be lucky than good

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  11. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Is Ben arfa back in the starting 11?

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    1. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldn't bet on it

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  12. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I jumped 90,000 places today to 31,000. Geez!! 😆

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    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I jumped from 31K to 21K 🙂

      It's only 20 points

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  13. GlamRock Chauffeurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Having terrible luck with my choice of subs! Who would you sub Gw19? Also, who would you hand the armband to?

    Marshall (SUN) Mannone (car)

    Coleman (SOT) Mert (new) Shaw (eve) Ward (mci) Burner (SUN)
    Cabaye (ARS) Yaya (CRY) Walcott (new) Hazard (LIV) Sterling (che)
    Rooney (nor) Negredo (CRY) Suarez (che)

    I am tempted to Cpt. Walcott and bench Mannone, Sterling, Ward & Shaw...

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    1. BantamPhil
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'd sub Marshall, Ward, Shaw and Sterling

      Would captain Roo or Wally

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      1. GlamRock Chauffeurs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks Phil, I think I will go for Mannone after all, was stung this week by benching him!

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  14. Marouane Fellatio
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Ozil out for Silva/Yaya worth a 4pt hit this week?

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  15. David silva
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Migs (Mcgregor)
    Terry, Coleman, Chester (Gabbidon, Williams)
    Ramsey, Mirallas, Silva, hazard (Ravel)
    Suarez, Negredo, Lukaku
    1FT .9 in bank

    A) ramsey>Cabaye/Lallana/Sterling
    B)Ramsey and Mirallas>Cabaye and Oscar (-4)
    C)Ramsey and Lukaku to Walcott and JRod
    D) Anything else? Thankyouu!

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  16. Hibbo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    If I had to downgrade Jagielka to a 4m def or Lukaku to a striker max value 6.7m which move would you do and who would you recommend?

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    1. The EJJ
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Jags -> Moxey

      Lukaku -> Rodriguez

      I'd do the first

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  17. BantamPhil
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Should I get Cabaye if I already have Remy?

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    1. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I did

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    2. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't

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    3. Bow Locks
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I didn't

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    4. BantamPhil
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Right cheers guys

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  18. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Howard - Lewis
    Coleman - Mert - Clyne - Burner - Chester
    Hazard - Silva - Walcott - Ramsey - Ravel
    Suarez - Lukaku - Negredo

    2 FT, 1.5m, so all for -4:

    A) Howard + Ramsey + Lukaku > Mannone + Sterling + Rooney
    B) Howard + Ramsey + Negredo > Mannone + Sterling + Rooney
    C/D) A/B but with Cabaye instead of Sterling
    E/F) A/B but with Lallana instead of Sterling
    G) you're crazy, shut up.

    basically can't decide if I want to risk Negredo getting rested (not convinced he's hurt and he IS their best striker with Kun out) because either way I am getting frustrated with Lukaku but at least he's nailed on..

    cheers in advance

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    1. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'm currently thinking A/B for the differential..

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    2. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      C

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  19. ccc
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Lukaku > Rooney, funded by Ozil > Walcott & Ramsey > Sterling for -4. Yay or nay cheers.

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    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

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    2. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      other strikers?

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  20. SW6
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Isacki, getting on board the Kolarov wagon? 😉

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  21. United come on!
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I have Remy so do you guys think I bring Cabaye for Ramsey is overkill, considered their fixture?

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    1. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Probably

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  22. DAV087
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    A) Howard and Ramsey to szczesny and cabaye for -4
    B) Howard ramsey and lukaku to szczesny silva jrod for -8

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    1. ccc
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Do you have a back up keeper? Honestly, I'd consider keeping Howard through the suspension.

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  23. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Is it worth a -4 to do Ozil + Ramsey >> Silva + Wally??

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  24. MJ6987
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Wow, haven't been on here today much, didn't think my 66 was that good given a captain fail, but have gone up from 40k to 16k so I guess it was!

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    1. The EJJ
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Lots of low scores at the top, due to Suarez captain fail and low ownership of Walcott.

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, despite captain fail, Walcott basically propelled me (and Rooney, Silva and Hazard)

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    2. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Well played lad.

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      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers. And you!

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  25. gg1314
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Repost .

    1) Ozil - Ramsey > Walcott - Cabaye/Sterling (-4)
    2) Ozil - Ramsey - Lukaku > Walcott - Yaya - JRod (-8)
    ( Considering that Yaya has good fixture , JRod in form..pretty good choices long term as well )

    Already have Silva .

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  26. GlamRock Chauffeurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Having terrible luck with my choice of subs! Who would you sub Gw19? Also, who would you hand the armband to?

    Marshall (SUN) Mannone (car)

    Coleman (SOT) Mert (new) Shaw (eve) Ward (mci) Burner (SUN)
    Cabaye (ARS) Yaya (CRY) Walcott (new) Hazard (LIV) Sterling (che)
    Rooney (nor) Negredo (CRY) Suarez (che)

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    1. FPL Notebook (John)
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Sub: Mannone, Shaw, Ward, Sterling

      Captain: I'd be tempted by negredo, but probably suarez

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  27. MGMata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsey + Lukaku >> Wally + Dzeko for a -4?

    Expecting Dzeko to start against Palace.

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  28. FPL Notebook (John)
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Any idea why McAuley didn't play today for West Brom?

    Rested? Dropped?

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  29. Elniñorules
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    JT is such a beast in the box. Looks like scoring every single game.

    Again, got cleared off the line against Swansea.

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    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      And Mou has gone back to basics, grinding out clean sheets

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  30. white lightning
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Is this worth a -8

    Ozil out, Walcott in
    Hazard out, Silva in
    Welbeck out, Rooney in

    Mignolet
    Coleman, Jags, Mert, Terry
    Walcott, Silva, Cabaye
    Suarez (c), Rooney, Remy

    Boruc, Burner, Oviedo, Ramsey

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    1. shorty2580
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Didn't know begovic was injured ..Waste of a trade last week.

      Beg -> Sczceny
      Ramsey-> Januzaj -4 but verse Norwich hopefully gets on the sheet

      also a silva captaincy is on the cards I think!

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      1. shorty2580
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        sorry wasn't ment to post on your comment

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