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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Master Kane
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Can we start trusting totalfpl and fiso predictions yet?

    1. XhakaCan
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      No

    2. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Total looks like it may be getting close, I'd still say give it a 10% margin for error.

  2. Turbodog
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Hey folks it's been a while ...

    Can anyone explain how Clyne gets an assist after a defensive clearance but Siggy does not , for Swans second goal?

    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      it's a terrible call by OPTA deeming clyne's cross to be a shot.
      sigurdsson's doesn't really merit discussion if we're honest, even if it's purely in a comparison sense

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Sanogo today also got one similar to Clyne

        1. applebonkers
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          sanogo's was a shot at least, looked like one and opta actually registered it as such

          1. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Really? Looked like a cross to me

    2. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Probably. Why not ask?

    3. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Strange one that, no way was Clyn's an assist according to rules. They must have decided it was a shot

    4. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      just going what i was told yesterday by a poster on here, but looking now clyne doesn't have any shots registered

  3. jurgenizer | TRIPEIROS
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Bret Friedel owned MOTD2... great job!

    1. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Old Bret.

      1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I remember when he was managed by Matt Hughes at Blueburn

  4. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Pretty set on Mata ---> Sterling

    but is Terry ---> Ivan worth a -4 and the extra cost?

    1. micsway
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Is case a concern?

    2. micsway
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Cash!

  5. xtina
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    What shall I do with my defence? (2.6m in bank)

    Currently: Cahill / Lovren / Wisdom / (Chambers/ Bruce)

    A) Upgrade Cahill to Ivanovich?
    B) Upgrade Wisdom to someone like Dier/Shawcross/Cyne?
    C) Leave my FT for the week? (pretty happy with the rest of my team)

    1. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      hmm i duno how my choice is doing

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Banter

        1. VougieDipond
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          how was the lane today? must of been a good day out

          1. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Amazing mate. Up there with the top 3 I've been too!

            1. VougieDipond
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Nice man

    2. XhakaCan
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      That's a tough one

  6. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Who Would you sell for Sterling. Mata or Eriksen? Tinging Eriksen andre he's about to drop.

    1. xtina
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Eriksen. Mata could get points against QPR at home

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        My thoughts exactly.

  7. Every Dog Has Its Day
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    352 or 343?

    1. TD Champ
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      343

    2. jurgenizer | TRIPEIROS
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      343

  8. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    2 ft and want to get Sterling in and Eriksen out before he drops

    Krul Foster
    Terry Jones Naylor Caulker Moore
    Mata Eriksen Ramsey Siggy Marney
    Rooney Costa Jovetic

    So how do I do it with 0.0 in the bank?

    Eriksen and ? To Sterling and ?

    Thanks in advance

    1. Stephen - Robot Daniels
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Terry to Clyne or jov to Pelle or Naismith

    2. Hailzter
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Just do Mata to Sterling and keep Eriksen.

  9. jernej93
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    http://strawpoll.me/2466597

    Thank you in advance 😉

  10. Sadio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Scout picks scored 35 points this week.

  11. WSRevilo
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Hey, what would you do with this team?

    2FT, £0

    De Gea
    Cahill, Coloccini, O'Shea
    Siggy, Ramsey, Henderson, Erikson
    Costa, Sturridge, Rooney

    (Gilks, Chambers, Chester, King)

    I want to do Erikson & Henderson to Chadli & Sterling but will need another £0.7...

  12. Ludo
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    I don't suppose anyone will get him, because he 'only' scores points from penalties, free kicks and corners, but Gerrard has a great run coming up, and has got 5 bonus points already, having done nothing more than score a penalty.

  13. HUMZAH96
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Please vote http://strawpoll.me/2466602

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        10/10

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            😀

        2. Ryan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Straw polls are annoying if I have to click on it to find out what its all about. Better to actually post what its about then add the strawpoll link.

          1. In Like Flynn.
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            I won't open them at all.

          2. Hibbo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Ridiculous aren't they.

        3. chuckberry04
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Strawpolls are annoying, therefor you are a strawpoll.

      2. Fergies fledgling
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Wildcard template?

        Krul - Elliot
        Ivan - Moreno - Shawcross - Clyne - 4.5
        Ramsey - Fabregas - Sterling - Siggy - Dyer
        Costa - Naismith - Balotelli

        1. TD Champ
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Not liking the front 3

          1. Fergies fledgling
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Whole team will be altered once I've made some $$$. Not planning on keeping Balo.

      3. Mr. Mystic
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        What is with the Mata hate?! He will come back to bite!

        1. You've got red on you.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          People wanting the price rises elsewhere. Can always get Mata later once the system has settled.

        2. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Nah man, I Sterling is the priority, he's an essential. Look at his ownership and fixtures. If you have Rooney it's okay to go with Mata

          • Royal5
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            It's more a United hate.

            1. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              This. Just bitter abus completely ignoring the fact we are steamrolling everyone.

          • Fergies fledgling
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            United have been awful and Mata anonymous. Avoid.

            1. Mr. Mystic
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Have you not seen Mata's stats?

              He scored a week ago as well.

              United will only improve.

              1. Fergies fledgling
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I'm a United fan. I've seem them play. That's enough.

            2. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Bitter abu

        3. jackluhg
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Krul Mannone
          Clyne Terry Hutton Caulker Wisdom
          Sterling Sigurdsson Fabregas Ramsey Marney
          Costa Rooney Jovetic

          doing ok atm (was 5k before today, but captaining Rooney hasn't helped)

          any suggestions? thinking of dropping Rooney (to who?) and then maybe upgrading Marney to Henderson?

          1FT 0.4 ITB, don't mind taking a -4 maybe -8

        4. Pub Crawl to the Townsend
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Thoughts on this team? Considering it for the future.

          Krelliot

          Moreno - Fonte - Cahill - (Hutton - Wisdom)

          Siggy - Fabregas - Sterling - Ramsey - (Rodwell)

          Aguero - Costa - Ulloa

          1. Fergies fledgling
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Is this on a wc?

            If so, get rid of Hutton (liv, ARS, che, MCI next 4). I'd also go Clyne and Ivan over Fonte and Cahill.

            1. Pub Crawl to the Townsend
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Haven't played WC. Pondering it though.

        5. Pea Soup
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          DDG/4.0

          PVA - Cahill - Clyne - Wisdom - Moore

          Mata - Ramsey - Fabregas - Siggy - Marney

          Rooney - Costa - Fletcher

          Mata & Fletcher --> Naismith & Sterling... (-4)

          Leaves me with £3.0m in the bank...

          Any suggestions?

          1. Sadio
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Good moves, I'd do them now.

            Mata is an absolute must sell.

        6. You've got red on you.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Bottom...

          Pretty set on Mata ---> Sterling

          but is Terry ---> Ivan worth a -4 and the extra cost?

          1. Fergies fledgling
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Wildcard!

          2. Malcolm Tucker for England …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Rik Mayall 🙁

          3. Ludo
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            If you're going to keep Ivanovic long-term, I think it's fair to say he'll outscore Terry by quite a bit more than four points - may as well do it while you can afford to.

        7. ★A-O-Chamberlain★ COYG …
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Considering going with Di Maria over Rooney. Anyone else considering Di Maria?

          1. VougieDipond
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            hes in my UFPL team as my hopeful punt

          2. Licky
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Nope, just don't fancy him at 9.5.

        8. flippetyflop
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Krul (Myhill)

          Moreno Clyne Wilson ( Van Aanholt) (wisdom)

          Hazard Sterling Mata Siggy (zaha)

          Sturridge Costa (naismith)

          How's this for a wildcard team???

        9. applebonkers
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          from what i read opta didn't seem to give clyne a shot on goal for the pelle goal. therefore i can't see any logic in giving him an assist, just because a keeper deals with something it doesn't make it a shot

          1. Heydudes13
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Go to Twitter and search 'Jennifer Lawrence' of you're feeling really down about it.

            1. Bolivian Seaman
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I can't believe instead of typing twitter into google, I typed demi..

              1. Heydudes13
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                😯 😀

              2. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Wish there were Demi nudes on Twitter 🙁

          2. Mílanista
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            AB, do you think Chadli could be a genuine FPL option?

            1. applebonkers
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              he'll be a regular starter in their current squad, still to be seen if he can make the most of that, i'd guess yes he can.

              1. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Thanks, he seems to have potential. Has been getting into very advanced positions and so far has only been shooting inside the box. Him alongside Siggy opens up a lot of possibilities.

          3. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            might send an email in work tomorrow if deadline day starts slow

          4. Ryan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Write an angry email to FPL towers

            1. applebonkers
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              meh. i don't care 'that' much. just hoped someone would know something i don't. in the past confusion has often simply been ignornace on my part. as far as i can see though is it's a cross by clyne parried out at almost a right-angle to pelle who thumps it in

              1. Ryan
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Do you think the cross was on target? maybe the mistake is the fact it should have been recorded as a shot on goal.

                1. applebonkers
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  i don't think fpl would ever override opta like that. if they have reviewed it (did read it was added late) and taken that stance it's a huge call and imo a bad one. if it was due to a cross on target (not even sure it is on target) being enough then that's crazy, that's effectively rewarding a cross for being less accurate than one which was a yard close to the penalty spot.
                  clyne doesn't actually miss his man by much, but that man wasn't pelle

        10. Dr. Rog
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Krul Elliot
          Wisdom Hutton Clyne Janmaat Duff
          Sterling Hazard Ramsey Sigurdsson Sánchez
          Jovetic Naismith Agüero
          0.8m banked

          1) Jov --> Ade
          2) Sanchez/Jov --> 8.7/Costa
          If 2: a) Tadic, b) Lamela, c) someone else

        11. IL Fantasista
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Ditched Costa for Aguero before the deadline and now I feel I should assume the mistake and get him back. Dont mind taking a hit but need to act tonight before he rises.

          Mannone, Myhill
          Cahill, Debuchy, Wisdom, Dummet, Moore
          Mata, Ramsey, Sterling, Siggy
          Aguero, Rooney, Jovetic

          Looking to ditch 2 between Mata, Rooney or Jovetic.

          Who would you take out and for whom?

          All suggestions apprecitated.

          1. Licky
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            A bit weak up front and in defense.

          2. Malcolm Tucker for England …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Nice colours.
            Easy to click.
            Not much explanation.
            Bit annoying really.

            NEXT!

            1. Licky
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Perdy clulers... *Drool*

          3. Ludo
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Is this a WC team? Get rid of Bartley, he's 4th choice.

          4. Heydudes13
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Not doing it for me.

        12. OReiMessi
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Krul Foster
          Cahill Chester PVA NTaylor Dummett
          Mata Fabregas Ramsey Siggy Marney
          Dzeko Rooney Costa

          2FT, 0.0 ITB

          Pretty set on doing Mata -> Sterling tonight.

          Should I also do Dzeko -> Ade/Bony/other?

          1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Other.

            NEXT!

        13. Amateur Pundit Zan
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Anyone else with both mata and Erik now finding it easier to give mata another week

          1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            3 million plus players so probably yes.

            NEXT!

          2. nevertrustbony
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Yes, can see united putting a few past QPR, although it's so frustrating that so 5 or so of my players will drop in price for no good reason.

            1. Amateur Pundit Zan
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              To be fair there are plenty of good reasons for mata to drop but I'm going to hold on to him home to QPR anyway

          3. Royal5
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Just did. Ditched Eriksen for Sterling. And will keep Mata.

        14. mitro
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Whatever team Falcao joins i will get him

          1. Wirtzle Gummidge
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            This

          2. Royal5
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            You play la Liga fantasy?

          3. Hibbo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Even at Palace?

            1. mitro
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Yep

          4. kimoo
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Real Madrid

            1. mitro
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Didnt they sign chicharito today?

              1. Royal5
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                If so, he will officialy have spend his whole career sitting on the bench when he retires.

        15. Golden Company
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Sorry if this has been mentioned a dozen times... but who's doing a WC over the break?

          My team

          Schm/Begovic

          Vlaar, Davies, Clyne, Terry, Dummet

          Siggy, Rambo, Mata, Hendo, Fab

          Roo, Costa, Naismith...

          but thinking of trying to get some team value over the break with the WC.

          1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Mark Davies
            Stuart Thomas
            Bill Johnson
            Paul Lewis
            Kevin garner
            Mike Jones
            Paul Jones
            Look, a lot are and I can't be arsed to name them all.

            NEXT!

            1. Golden Company
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              ha, cheers reassuring