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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. BlueIncognito
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Is this good for GW4? I'm giving Mata and Rooney one last chance since they've got QPR at home.

    Krul (Myhill)
    Clyne Chester Moreno (Rose, Wisdom)
    Mata Fabregas Ramsey Sigurdsson (Cattermole)
    Jovetic Rooney Costa (C)

  2. Lucy.
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    If the Alderweireld rumours are true, I'm a delighted Saints fan 😀

    1. 50shades of o'shea
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      I knew they would invest well 🙂

    2. King Kohli
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      He is primarily a RB no?

      Where does this leave Clyne?

      1. CRUSHER
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        He's a CB. He plays RB for Belgium because they have no fullbacks.

        1. Lucy.
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Haha, well said.

          Do think his versatility is helpful though as we have no natural RBs to cover any Clyne injuries.

      2. Lucy.
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        He's a CB. Plays RB for Belgium because they have no full backs.

    3. SW6
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      He's a CB, no? Where would he fit in? Gardos benched before even getting a game would be harsh

      1. Lucy.
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Not sure. But we've lack defensive depth ever since promotion. 🙂

  3. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Any chance of Sturridge falling in price before next week?

    1. KISSES
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Not with those fixtures buddy

  4. KISSES
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    I know the % on TFPL is busted but are the NTI figures correct?

  5. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Pretty set on Mata ---> Sterling

    but is Terry ---> Ivan worth a -4 and the extra cost?

    Am leading my ML at the moment.

  6. DÏLKS
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    I want to WC, and make roughly 6 changes, but none of them are really desperate transfers, more of luxury. Is it worth it or not?

    1. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      No

    2. Messi & fabregas
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      make half of them for an 8pt hit and re assess

  7. Frank Black
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    So...with Chicharito going to Real does that mean that Falcao will join the PL?

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Coming to cardiff. Desperate to work with a United legend by all accounts

    2. Jeremiah
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Hopefully 🙂

    3. Daniel Levy- Not the Chairm…
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Falcao to Man City when Negredo joins Valencia on loan.

      1. Frank Black
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Really hope so, although Arsenal would need him much more.

  8. Bolivian Seaman
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    When does the transfer window shut?

    1. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      11pm

    2. Wouter
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      11pm tomorrow evening, GMT.

      1. Wouter
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Never mind, not GMT. GMT+1.

    3. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Tomorrow night. 10 or 11.

    4. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks

  9. VougieDipond
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Is Aguero on international duty?

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      I hope so. Need to get him fully fit.

    2. Frank Black
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      If he is his hamstring will explode.

  10. Miami Monkey
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Have Rooney/Costa/Dzeko

    Any reason not to do Rooney --> Aguero right now?

    Have 2 FT but it only requires one

    Should've done it last night I guess but seems like Rooney will fall

    1. An Púca
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Aguero on Intl duty

    2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Thing is united it's only a matter of time before united thump a team 4 or 5, when that will be though is anyone's guess. I sold mata and am keeping Rooney

      1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Fa cup third round if they draw Merthyr at OT and if Merthyr have injuries

        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          🙂

    3. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      I would find the cash to do dzeko to aguero instead

  11. Demí
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Sunderland getting Alvares and Coates
    https://twitter.com/CaulkinTheTimes/status/506188471887986688

    1. Daniel Levy- Not the Chairm…
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Wouldn't say they were great signings. By no means guaranteed first team football either.

    2. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      You think this might threaten Van Aanholt's position in the first team?

      1. Demí
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Nah

        1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Didn't think so, good to get a second opinion. Cheers.

    3. SW6
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Two very average signings. Sunderland aren't very good at buying players imo.

    4. Frank Black
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      The incredible news is that Inter managed to get rid of Alvarez for 11 million euros(same amount they paid for him when they bought him).

  12. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Triggerlips still around?

    1. gravless
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      He's down in his bunker refreshing Total FPL and FISO like nobodies business.

  13. another bad start
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Which will be best to use my free transfer on. Had a great week but defence not looking great next gw and don't want another drop from Bojan, or should I break out the wildcard see if I can pick up some funds and refresh.

    Bego - 4
    Caulker - Rangel - Chambers - Terry - Colo
    Fab - Ramsey - Siggy - Sterling - Schneider
    Costa - Roonpig - Bojan

    Any thoughts peeps 0.9 itb

  14. nevertrustbony
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Ramsey or fabregas? Edging towards ramsey because i feel the greater goal potential outweighs the greater assist potential...

    1. BlueIncognito
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Fabregas

  15. BlueIncognito
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Got stuck at the bottom of the last page.

    Is this good for GW4? I'm giving Mata and Rooney one last chance since they've got QPR at home.

    Krul (Myhill)
    Clyne Chester Moreno (Rose, Wisdom)
    Mata Fabregas Ramsey Sigurdsson (Cattermole)
    Jovetic Rooney Costa (C)

  16. TD Champ
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    You don't want both Aguero and Dzeko with citys fixtures

    1. TD Champ
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Sorry was a reply

    2. Miami Monkey
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      First of all city score regardless of fixtures.

      Second I'm not planning to keep Dzeko. But having both for a week or two isn't a pressing need to get rid. Really wanted Remy at his price but now he's gone to Chelsea he's useless

  17. matpower_
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Will Eriksen drop tonight anyone know?

    1. Game of Stones
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      By the looks of it

    2. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Totalfpl have him as a drop.

      1. There's Always One!
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        This last 3 days!

  18. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Ballague confirms Negredo to Valencia have agreement for loan deal. All depends on Falcao deal being finalised.

    Falcao wants to move to man city and personal terms discussion at an advanced stage.

    1. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      thought it was Utd that was getting him?

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        United submitted late bid for him. Man City fav's to sign because he wants to go city

      2. Licky
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        No, that was just a rumour floating about earlier, Madrid interest seemed to have cooled, typical though considering he apparently didn't want to move to England, eating his words now for that phat paycheck.

      3. Frank Black
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Nah.

      4. n-doggg
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Neither need him. Very strange

      5. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Think they were being used as a catalyst for City to pull their finger out

  19. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    2fts, shall i do sterling and dyer in for mata and mutch now, or closer to the start of next gw?

  20. Malcolm Tucker for England …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    How's Ufpl looking for everyone?
    Just had my first tidy score to get into the top 1500 its been that bad.

    1. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      rotten score fell miles to 1500's

      1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        We're meeting in the middle then! 🙂

        1. VougieDipond
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          hopefully back into the top 1000 next gw. won my H2H still this week so happy with that

    2. SW6
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Bad GW this week. Ranked 2400

  21. MJ6987
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    When did FPL become so knee-jerky in flagging players as injured?

    Flagged Costa based on one unconfirmed report from the Sun!

    Then, they flag Mata for coming off with cramp!

    These flags have major repercussions for price changes and if they just waited for official word from the club they could avoid it.

    Maybe they would be better only acting on official reports from the clubs themselves.

    1. Lucy.
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      They've screwed everything up this year when it comes to the values and flags, IMO.

      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Yup

        By the way, why the full stop after your name?

        1. Lucy.
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          There was a reason...

          1. Lucy.
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Oh yes, someone apparently already uses 'Lucy' 😆

            1. MJ6987
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Wow, what are the chances? It's kinda cute anyway.... 😕

          2. MJ6987
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Would you care to share it?

    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      well costa was confirmed by chelsea too

      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Yes, but later on, and nowhere near as serious

        1. Kostja
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          he had a yellow flag 75%, absolutely correct, and you dont know where they got their info

    3. Vardy Gras PBFC
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe they got a new person in the flag admin dept with new job motivation.

      1. MJ6987
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        He needs to calm down!

  22. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Guys, i can't access TotalFPL. Will Jovetic drop in price before the next gameweek starts?
    Just have a bad feeling that he will

  23. Fantasy Gold
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Who is using their WC and why?

    1. gravless
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Loads - Triggerlips

    2. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      I'm very tempted

    3. Game of Stones
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Me - getting rid of droppes, trying to increase TV and to make it better

  24. HUMZAH96
      11 years, 3 months ago

      If I join the FFS league now, will all my points count?

      1. The Machine
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        No they'll give you extra points for being so cool

      2. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Yes they will Humzah.

      3. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        yep 😀

      4. brianutd-why always we? 20
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        yes

      5. HUMZAH96
          11 years, 3 months ago

          THANKS all 😀

      6. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Jennifer Lawrence nudes 😎

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Aha that's all over Twitter

          • Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Not a fan of her elbows. I'll pass.

          • Cilly Bonnolly
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            The day I have been waiting for has arrived.

        2. MJ6987
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Wow, I'm into the top 1k in the Telegraph game and only used one transfer (get 30 fixed)

          Don't think I've ever been that high in that game.

          (Thanks to Nate for pointing out I was talking to myself in the old post!)

          1. Lucy.
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Good work 😀

            1. MJ6987
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Thanks. For some reason I am nowhere near as good in that game, which is a shame cos there's good money in our work league. This year....

        3. Daniel Levy- Not the Chairm…
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I have a feeling that Aguero has an injury. If Man City get Falcao, they will probably send Aguero off for an operation and he will be out for a couple of months.

          1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            😯

        4. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Hard to keep up with transfer news when JLaw nudes are all over Twitter

            1. Wirtzle Gummidge
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              They are magical.

          • There's Always One!
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Improve this midfield please. No other money

            Sterling. Siggy. Ramsey. Fab. Eirksen

            Thinking of getting rid of Eirksen but haven't a clue who for??

          • Sid07
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Repost
            Please suggest
            De gea
            Terry chester wisdom pieters colocini
            Ramsey siggi eriksen Fab marney
            Dzeko rooney costa
            1ft. 0.0 in bank

            A)terry to clyne and eriksen to sterling(-4)
            B) dzeko to naismith and eriksen to sterling(-4)
            C)dzeko to ade And eriksen to sterling(-4)
            D)play wild card
            Any other suggestion