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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Woy of the Wovers
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    My 1 transfer has cost me a rank of 4% higher. And that's before the points I lost from dropping Giroud.

  2. The EJJ
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Krul, Elliot
    Cahill, Chester, NTaylor, Wisdom, Moore
    Hazard, Ramsey, Eriksen, Siggy, Marney
    Dzeko, Rooney, Costa

    2FT, 0.0m in bank

    Thinking: Hazard -> Fabregas
    Eriksen -> Sterling

    Any thoughts, had a very bad week aha, cheers.

  3. asm_fanz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Who do you think will rise twice over the international break? Dyer seems obvious but besides thatt?

    1. RyanC
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Costa, Ivanovic, maybe Sterling, maybe Schneiderlin.

      1. Think Tank
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Likely candidates are top 3 in each position.

        1. Twelve years a slave
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Naismith

          1. Twelve years a slave
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Forgot about sneiderlin

            1. Twelve years a slave
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Doubt he will though

  4. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Would like to get Sterling but would mean losing one of Hazard, Fabregas, Ramsey or Sigurdsson. Any thoughts? I'm stumped 😐

    1. SW6
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      I have a feeling I might end up doing Ramsey -> Sterling..

    2. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Probably one of the Chelsea boys. Leaves room for Ivan the Awesome.

    3. VougieDipond
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Fabregas would be my pick to take out

    4. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Run the comparison tool, you won't be too sorry to sell Hazard afterwards.

      1. GreenWindmill
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Interesting, cheers Milanista.

        1. Think Tank
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I'd get rid of Haz - Fab is keeping pace and .8 cheaper.

    5. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers all, don't think there's an easy answer!

  5. DÏLKS
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Would you WC?

    Krul-Gilks*
    Terry*-Moore-Wisdom-PVA-Chester
    Hazard*-Ramsey*-Sterling-Siggy-Wanyama*
    Diego Costa-Rooney*-Jovetic*

  6. HUMZAH96
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Torino winger Alessio Cerci has signed a 3 year contract with Atletico Madrid

      Not going to Arsenal then

    • Pringle
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Do Jovetic, Eriksen --> Naismith, Sterling tonight?

      1. The EJJ
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        If you can afford it, wait.

    • Pub Crawl to the Townsend
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Eriksen replacements? Have 1.0 ITB.

      Front Seven Is:

      Siggy - Eriksen - Sterling - Ramsey
      Rooney - Costa - Jovetic

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I'd keep him.

      2. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I still think Tadic is going to be good. Maybe try and raise the extra funds to get Cesc.

    • Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Just done mata to sterling. Hope Mata doesn't troll me.

      1. The EJJ
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Good move imo

      2. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        and that Sterling stays injury free on England duty!

      3. Tommytour
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        He did last time

      4. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        There will be much rejoicing when I rove mata from my team.

      5. LDG
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Just done exactly the same.

    • HUMZAH96
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Torino winger Alessio Cerci has signed a 3 year contract with Atletico Madrid

        Arsenal miss out again

        1. Fantasy Gold
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Good player

        2. The EJJ
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Atleti done really well in this transfer window

      • Adam
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Expected price rises over the next few days - Moreno, Ivanovic, Dyer, Sterling, Clyne, Naismith. Anyone else I'm missing to capitalise my WC on?

        1. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Costa if you aren't an owner.

        2. Fantasy Gold
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Bruce and Dummett

        3. Mr Wizard
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Where are you getting this from?

        4. Fergies fledgling
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Shawcross, Siggy again, Fabregas, Costa for sure

      • Wells - Anti-Dentite!
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Stuck on last page, would appreciate some feedback.

        .........................Krul
        ...............Terry, Clyne, Chester
        Sigurdsson, Sterling, Fábregas, Ramsey
        .Diego Costa (C), Rooney (VC), Jovetic

        Gilks, Hutton, Naylor, Albrighton.

        Save FT? Obviously, if Falcao signs for City I'll transfer him out.

        Thanks all.

        1. Gooner Kebab
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Save until after internationals 🙂

          1. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Cheers.

      • Tommytour
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Mata and Jones too risky to keep in UFPL?

        1. Sweetpea
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          i'd keep Jones - he's a bap king, get rid of mata until he/united start firing

        2. 7shadesofsmoke
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          yep, but no price changes in UFPL. Wait for internationals and signings

          1. Tommytour
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Good Sunday players

            Wish I saved a few more transfers only got 7

          2. Tommytour
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Ah took that as they are fine 🙂

            Rotation risks or just plain rubbish?

            1. 7shadesofsmoke
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Well, theres an element of uncertainty - especially while the window is open.

              LvG aint happy with his lot and ADM makes Mata a high value risk with 4-3-3 on the cards.

        3. SW6
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I won't be owning them but they're not bad picks

          What are your thoughts on getting in Walcott for UFPL? Doubt he'll make GW4 but maybe GW5. Could be a massive differential

          1. VougieDipond
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            I thought he wasnt due back till October.

          2. Tommytour
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Utd play a lot on Sundays, the only reason I have them

            He could be a great differential if you have enough cover initially but I'd still rather Ramsey/Sanchez

      • Sweetpea
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Tempted to WC, down to 250k with 37 points.

        Krul Elliott

        Cahill Debuchy Naylor Wisdom Hutton

        Hazard Ramsey Eriksen Siggy Albrighton

        Rooney Costa Adebayor

        What ya reckon?

        1. Tommytour
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Nearly identical to mine, I think I'll keep faith

          1. Sweetpea
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            whats the move this week tommy?

            1. Tommytour
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I got Costa back but for you I'd look to get Sterling even for Ramsey if needed

              1. Sweetpea
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                thinking debuchy eriksen dzeko > costa sterling van aanholt (-4) tonight

                1. Tommytour
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  You have Costa?

                  1. Sweetpea
                    • 13 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    not yet but gonna do the above to get him

                    1. Tommytour
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Confused 🙂

                      Looks good but I'd go Wilson as your defender

                      1. Sweetpea
                        • 13 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        sorry Costa should be Dzeko in my original post.

                        Wilson good option too.

        2. Fantasy Gold
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          This is your current team? I'd save it

          1. Sweetpea
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            aye

        3. Gooner Kebab
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I'd take your team mate.

          1. Sweetpea
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            ta spree

      • HUMZAH96
          11 years, 3 months ago

          A record-breaking £766,050,000 has been spent by Premier League clubs so far in this window.

          1. 7shadesofsmoke
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Muh En Tal

          2. Lord Flashheart
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            A quarter of that to get 2 points from three easy games.

          3. Woy of the Wovers
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            £316,600,000,000,000 spent by FPL teams. Fact.

        • Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          So, Terry will drop during the international break, but only by 0.1, right? And do we think Ivan will rise more than that?

          1. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Why would Terry drop?

              1. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Because 9 points in 3 games is not enough for a 6.5m defender and Ivanovic is clearly worth the extra.

              2. Camp No No
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Because a lot of people are selling him.

          2. Sess!
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            @HLNinEngeland: Southampton will sign Toby Alderweireld on a 1 year loan. #saintsfc

            Great signing for them and makes clyne an even stronger proposition.

            1. Prime
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Nice!

          3. Az
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Here's the updated spreadsheet for the early bird cup.

            Unfortunately, as the group stages come to a close we say goodbye to 16 competitors.

            Congratulations to all of those left in!

            https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AjjtGjCCBpZvdHpodVVxWWFsV3dsYnpKeHRkT09kZUE&output=html

          4. CelticBhoy1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            I have Mata, Jones and Rooney. As Utd are terrible think im going to take out Mata as Tripling up on Utd has been a mistake

            1. KISSES
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Im shipping Mata and Rooney

            2. Sess!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Yeah just lose mata and give other two another game or two.

          5. MJ6987
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            A lot of people taking out Jovetic...

            Can he really have gone from being a good pick to a bad one in the space of a few days?

            1. Fantasy Gold
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              No. Just typical knee-jerkers

            2. SW6
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              No, but he never was a good pick in the first place 😉

              1. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Just what I was about to say.

              2. MJ6987
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                For the price he is.

                If Falcao goes there then, get rid, but otherwise he'll surely get points.

            3. Sweetpea
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              only one good gameweek and rotation threat = trouble

              1. Lallana_
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Has a good record against Liverpool, tough fixtures too

            4. Wells - Anti-Dentite!
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I'm keeping him, although if Falcao signs all hope is lost.

          6. Woy of the Wovers
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            MOTD boys like Lovren.

            1. Mílanista
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Must be casuals

            1. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              serious. move along Tom, you have no future at United..

          7. Adam
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Van Ginkel has joined AC Milan on loan for the season.

          8. phattbeats
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            HELP with Team req please

            currently got foster, krul

            debuchi,vlarr,shawcross,rose, invoavic,
            fabregas, siggy, sterling, ramsey, hazard (miralez)?? ( to bring in costa)
            jovatic (costa) ,naismith,zareta,

            1. Think Tank
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Too much money tied up in defence.

              1. phattbeats
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                who should i shift you think no free transfers used wildcard

                1. Camp No No
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Downgrade one of the forwards to a cheapie and upgrade one of them to someone who starts, has good fixtures and can score.

          9. DÏLKS
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Would you WC?

            Krul-Gilks*
            Terry*-Moore-Wisdom-PVA-Chester
            Hazard*-Ramsey*-Sterling-Siggy-Wanyama*
            Diego Costa-Rooney*-Jovetic*

            1FT. £0.8 in the bank.

            1. Gooner Kebab
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Nothing a couple changes wont fix.

              1. DÏLKS
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                It's probably unnecessary, but I feel Sturridge is essential for upcoming GW's. Jovetic has got to go and I want Ivanovic.

            2. 7shadesofsmoke
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              nope

          10. KISSES
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Fab or Hazard?

            1. Think Tank
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Fab.

          11. Lallana_
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Swallowed my pride and did Jovetic>Costa after that abysmal week

            1. Gooner Kebab
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Yikes. Chelsea's fixtures turning blue.

              1. Lallana_
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Next three fixtures aren't bad! 😉
                Can see him scoring against City

          12. Yome
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Isn't Aldewereild playing as LB for Belgium? He will play this position at Southampton with Clyne Rb I think.

            1. Prime
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Plays RB for Belgium but only cause of a lack of alternatives. He will be a CB.

              1. Yome
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Vert is RB, mixed up

                1. Yome
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  LB another mistake jeez

            2. Reeker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              He's naturally a CB and Southampton need a CB so he will play CB

              1. Yome
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Got it, makes sense

            3. Sess!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Centre back or left back. Either way he improves saints defence.

            4. Wouter
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              He plays right back for Belgium but was bought by Atletico as a centre back. That's where he played for Ajax.

              1. Yome
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Cheers, so a CB originally

            5. Mull
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Clyne--Fonte--Aldeweireld--Bertrand

          13. seanie3
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            someone please tell me how chambers got 4 points for a clean sheet?

            1. Prime
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              He played more than 60 minutes and did not concede a goal while on the pitch

            2. Spencer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Got 60 minutes and didn't concede while he was on the pitch.

            3. Sess!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Came on after Leicester scored and before 30 mins had gone on clock = ultimate jam for his owners

          14. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Deadline day tomorrow. Comment the team you support and 1 player you want them to sign!

            Liverpool - Valdes

            1. King Kohli
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Man Utd - Vidal

            2. Sess!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Sunderland - Micah Richards (i heard we're getting Coates instead......urgh)

              1. Davido989
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Coates was brilliant in pre season if that's anything to go by

            3. Les Bleus
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              United - Hummels

            4. There's Always One!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I would love utd tp sign Vidal if hes 100% fit

            5. Wouter
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Feyenoord - Bas Dost

            6. Reeker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Everton - Messi

              1. Reeker
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                On a serious note Shawcross would be pretty good

            7. VougieDipond
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Chelsea- that would just be being greedy

              1. Davido989
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                😀

                You lot have done the best business this summer

            8. Glasner Ball
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Crystal Palace - James McArthur (kind of player we need imo)