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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    would arsenal fans take carvalho as cdm?

    1. Keno
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Hell yes

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        😎

    2. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      He said today he's not leaving in this window

    3. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      anyone will do.

    4. UnderstandablyDistraught
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Yes. Perfect spot start and back up for this year and great potential for next year. Would be money well spent

      1. UnderstandablyDistraught
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        The Alderweirald loan to the Saints is interesting ...... Schneiderlin on the cards?????

  2. Lallana_
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Can't wait for deadline day tomorrow. Who knows...with decent players coming in and international break injuries I might WC

  3. Keno
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Thinking about using my FT for the following switch:

    Debuchy-----> Shawcross

    Thoughts?

  4. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Best 2 gks to get if on WC?

    1. bennyp
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      courtois - bego - hart - mingolet

  5. Gooner Kebab
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    I haven't seen too many complaints about Sturridge blanking.

    1. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      plays Villa next

      🙁

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Not a popular pick on here. I sold Costa for him yesterday morning 😡

  6. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Yaya > Sterling
    Chambers > Moreno

    one for a -4 or both for a -8? leaning towards just the first move, but I've been talking about Moreno for a week now and now that he's scored he'll probably start to rise 😆

  7. Fantasy Gold
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    If you wildcard, you have to do it tonight, right?

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      dont count on price rises Grim...

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Uhh no 😉

    3. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      yesterday. But yeah, the earlier the better if you are definitely playing it

    4. pokern1nja09
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Better to if you've made your mind up. My finger is hovering over the button

    5. Mr Wizard
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Yesterday would have been better

  8. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Is this worth a hit?
    Mata-> Sterling
    Rooney-> Costa

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        But...the fixtures...

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            This

            Keep one

      2. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I'd keep Rooney.

      3. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        yes, but if you can wait for internationals to play out first, do that.

      4. johnbarnes
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I'd just do Mata>Sterling and not take a hit for the other one. Rooney has QPR

      5. Mr Wizard
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I would say...hell yeah!

        1. Think Tank
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Depends if you have any cash itb as Costa will likely rise a fair bit over the intl break.

    2. Mr Wizard
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      The joys of using your wildcard.

      Transferring out Rooney, wait for his price to drop then get him back in.

      Every little helps

      1. Fergies fledgling
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Shhh, don't tell everybody! 😉

        1. Red Elephant
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          +1

        2. Woy of the Wovers
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          What if he falls again two weeks on Saturday?

      2. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        haha, good thought

      3. Prime
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Because making a few .1's is what a WC is all about...

        1. Mr Wizard
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Nope but it's best to take advantage of the unlimited transfers

      4. pokern1nja09
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Wouldn't want Rooney for 10.5 at the moment regardless if fixtures. Did you not see their last 4 matches? Fallen off a cliff

        1. pokern1nja09
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Look how leicester are playing now. They'll pick utd apart

        2. Mr Wizard
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          That's why you take a punt on him against QPR and keep money in the bank to do a straight swap to Aguerooooooooo

      5. Reeker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Next level strats

    3. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Jov Haz and Eriksen to sterling costa and Adam Johnson (team getting too template , fancy at least 1 differential punt) for -4. Go??

      1. Park the bus
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Or Henderson?

      2. michaeld2054
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Tadic

        1. Park the bus
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          0.5 short for Tadic. Could do JWP?

    4. HUMZAH96
        11 years, 3 months ago

        How many players are in this league?

        1. 4vets
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          What league?

          Do you never actually look at the FPL web site?

          1. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              FFS

          2. 7shadesofsmoke
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            which league?

            1. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                FFS

            2. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Which?

              1. HUMZAH96
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  FFS

                  1. 7shadesofsmoke
                    • 12 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    one answer would suffice 😉

                    Aren't you in it now?

            3. ZakAFC_
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Mata to Sterling now or wait?

              1. the axolotl
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                wait till tomorrow. prices look stable

              2. HUMZAH96
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Now

                • HUMZAH96
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Check this lol http://strawpoll.me/2463525/r

                    I thought about it too and I agree

                  • Mr Wizard
                    • 15 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Play your wildcard and don't worry about it.

                    1. HUMZAH96
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Don't play it if you don't have to

                      • ZakAFC_
                        • 12 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Haha not gonna happen

                  • flippetyflop
                    • 12 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Krul (Foster)

                    Terry Coloccini Naylor (Ferdinand) (wisdom)

                    Hazard Sterling Mata Young (Marney)

                    Rooney Costa Jovetic

                    Should I wildcard this side? I really want to get rid of Terry/Ferdinand/Young/Rooney and Jovetic and capitalise on the likes of Moreno/Clyne/Naismith price rises.

                  • jdogg
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Thoughts on boyd as a 4.5 poss 4.4 option when he goes to burnley?x

                    1. Red Elephant
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Please don't put the 'x' at the end. We don't really do that around here. 😀

                      1. jdogg
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Sorry.x

                        1. Red Elephant
                          • 11 Years
                          11 years, 3 months ago

                          It's fine xx

                  • Holy See
                    • 15 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    I tend to wc at this stage, as I tend to be doing shite at this stage. Best wc then. Unlimited drunken transfers.

                    1. 4vets
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      I concur.

                  • johnbarnes
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    apparently Utd submitted a bid for Falcao about an hour ago

                    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      be interesting to see how it pans out tomorrow

                      1. johnbarnes
                        • 11 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Rooney>Falcao, done

                    2. Back to Back Ballacks
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Where did you get that?

                      1. johnbarnes
                        • 11 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Tancredi Palmeri's twitter. Usually a good source, not rumor-mongering

                    3. blauriecon
                      • 14 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      united needs defenders

                      1. johnbarnes
                        • 11 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        this

                    4. Twelve years a slave
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Seriously

                      1. Twelve years a slave
                        • 15 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        They do need a striker. Van persie is past it

                    5. michaeld2054
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      That's good thinking . another attacking midfielder and 2 more left backs and they should be sound

                      1. pokern1nja09
                        • 12 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        And dirk kuyt to cover left back just in case

                    6. Poseidon. Not arrogant, jus…
                      • 13 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Apparently he is desperate to come to us. Ambitious bloke.

                  • blauriecon
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Need to move Rooney or Jovetic Silva to get Costa
                    A) Rooney to Costa
                    B) Rooney/Jovetic to Costa/Adebayor or Pelle
                    C) Jovetic/Silva to Costa/Mirallas or Tadic

                    1. Villan
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      B if for free. And Pelle

                      1. blauriecon
                        • 14 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        A if not.

                  • Lallana_
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Despite doing some really bad transfers this week my team is looking good for the next 3-5 games:

                    My team next week (no hits):

                    Begovic
                    Jones Clyne Coloccini
                    Sigurdsson de Jong Ramsey Sterling (C)
                    Sturridge (v) Costa Rooney

                    Bench: Gilks, Moore, Marney, Baird
                    Got 0.3M ITB

                    No injuries please!

                  • Bareth Garry
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Krul - (Foster)
                    Jones - Cahill - Chambers - (Duff) - (Moore)
                    Siggy - Fab - Eriksen - Rambo - (Marney)
                    Dzeko - Costa - Roo

                    £0.5 ITB, 1 FT.

                    Cahill + Eriksen > Azpi + Sterling (-4). Sound move?

                  • Villan
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Would you do :-

                    A) Debuchy + Bony -> Ivan + Pelle for free

                    B) Debuchy + Bony + Rooney -> Ivan + Pelle + Balotelli -4

                    C) Debuchy + Bony -> Bertrand + Balotelli for free

                    Thoughts appreciated!!!

                    1. Recoba
                      • 12 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      C

                      1. Villan
                        • 11 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        cheers

                  • OptimusBlack
                    • 12 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Jovetic to Costa now or wait ?

                    1. Villan
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Yup to make funds

                    2. Lallana_
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      I did it now. They'll be a 0.3-0.6M loss if you wait.

                  • KISSES
                    • 12 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    When will any deadline day signings be added to FPL? I want to get my transfers in early but don't want to be hanging about too long due to price changes.

                    1. The Milkman
                      • 14 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Next day I guess?

                  • Lord Flashheart
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    I'm still top 15k but decided to wc for financial reasons (have Rooney mata and jovetic who likely drop twice, and some others who might drop once)

                    As a public service, if you hit wc (and you must do it TODAY) here are the players with potential to rise twice this long gw:

                    Moreno
                    Ivan
                    Shawcross
                    Clyne

                    Siggy
                    Fab
                    Sterling
                    Dyer
                    Shneiderlin

                    Costa
                    Naismith
                    Weinman

                    The new price system is a big black hole so no guarantee all those players will rise twice, but those are the ones who CAN do it.

                    Just remember not to swap players who already rose in value and you want to keep, and also free cash by lending two 4.0 keepers for the week.

                    Enjoy the wc!

                    1. Mr Wizard
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Cheers for the info

                    2. Twelve years a slave
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Bit optimistic on Shawcross and Weizmann

                      What abou the Leicester striker

                      1. Lord Flashheart
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Dd not say they will - just said they are the only ones who can and maybe matic but unlikely as people have a lot of Chelsea players

                    3. Mr Wizard
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      What about Jovetic ?

                      1. Lord Flashheart
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Will fall. Not rise.

                    4. Adam
                      • 16 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Dier too. 50,000 net transfers in this GW

                      1. Lord Flashheart
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        After today it will reverse

                        1. Adam
                          • 16 Years
                          11 years, 3 months ago

                          27,000 net transfers in today...
                          Best bet after the 4 you mentioned anyway I think. Doing my WC too, got all the players you mentioned except Shneiderlin in case Ramsey will rise

                          1. Mr Wizard
                            • 15 Years
                            11 years, 3 months ago

                            Me too

                          2. Lord Flashheart
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 14 Years
                            11 years, 3 months ago

                            Most before his game. I assure you he will not rise twice.

                  • Red Elephant
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Any chance Ron Vlaar will be snapped up by United/Southampton? I bought him for 4.5, and now he's 4.6 so I'm reluctant to sell him unless I'm absolutely sure he's staying at Villa. Any ideas?

                    1. Reeker
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 12 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      No chance

                    2. Woy of the Wovers
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Certainly one to keep an eye on.

                  • Recoba
                    • 12 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    A) Rooney > Costa
                    B) Terry > Ivan
                    C) Save for now

                    1. johnbarnes
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      B

                    2. Villan
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Both could be worth a hit due to price rises/drops

                    3. HUMZAH96
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        b

                    4. Costa in Wengerland
                      • 14 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Ohh wow my name in the article 😀
                      Thankyou scouts 🙂

                    5. There's Always One!
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Eirksen to Ramires? Just till I figure out who to replace Eirksen with. I have cesc

                      1. johnbarnes
                        • 11 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        not nailed on

                      2. Walrus Eggs
                        • 12 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        No. That's the definition of kneejerk right there. If he started every match in the 4-3-3, he would be OK, but he'll spend a lot of the time on the bench and as the more defensive in a double pivot.

                        1. There's Always One!
                          • 15 Years
                          11 years, 3 months ago

                          Not kneejerk at all. I want rid of eirksen but am really stumped as to who to get before eirksen drops probably tonight

                    6. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
                      • 15 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Can't believe tomorrow is September. Back to the cold and dark 🙁

                      1. Davido989
                        • 15 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Absolutely stressful

                      2. 4vets
                        • 15 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        It's quite depressing 🙁

                      3. Gooner97
                        • 12 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        School 🙁

                      4. Woy of the Wovers
                        • 15 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        Do you not have electricity?

                    7. Frank Black
                      • 12 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Who cares about Falcao! The Jennifer Lawrence scandal IS ON!

                      1. Bojaninho
                        • 16 Years
                        11 years, 3 months ago

                        ohhhhh yeeeeerrrssss 😀

                    8. phattbeats
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      debuchi,vlarr,shawcross,rose, invoavic,
                      fabregas, siggy, sterling, ramsey, hazard (miralez)?? ( to bring in costa)
                      jovatic (costa) ,naismith,zareta,

                      suggestions please want to bring in costa

                      1. HUMZAH96
                          11 years, 3 months ago

                          Lmao that name spelling

                          I'd say Mirallas to someone and Costa in