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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. There's Always One!
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Best midfielder for 8m or less to replace eirksen? I have siggy

    1. bennyp
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      De Jong maybe.. I took a punt last gw, didnt pay off but i see him scoring with his run of fixtures

  2. Ed
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Mata > Sterling tonight?

  3. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone want to buy my 2 FTs?

  4. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Yaya > Sterling
    Chambers > Moreno

    ..one for a -4 or both for a -8? leaning towards just the first move, but I've been talking about Moreno for a week now and now that he's scored he'll probably start to rise 😆

  5. DVassell
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    A) Clyne > Ivanovic

    or

    B) Save 2.1 mil in the bank

    1. johnbarnes
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. bennyp
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      You should have clyne AND ivan imo

  6. Comment removed. Please refer to our terms and conditions on posting comments.

    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      😯 FPL points reset to 0 🙂

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      he has played like he is on drugs so maybe some truth to it

    3. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Is taking steroids actually a criminal offence? Pretty sure it's just dealing. It's obviously a big no no in the FA's books though

    4. the axolotl
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      then why post it?

    5. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Lol

    6. Hazard for Ballon D'or
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Terrible for us cheslea fans but great for fpl. F.luis has dropped to 5.7

      1. HUMZAH96
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Ohhhhhhhhhhh yhhhhhhhhhh

        • Ings on the up
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Fpl is the priority

      2. HUMZAH96
          11 years, 3 months ago

          It's true I think

          1. Wirtzle Gummidge
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Even though you are not sure about the source?

            Which you also didn't post.

            1. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                It's fake

                New source, not reliable

              • Malcolm Tucker for England …
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                In fairness this lad is regularly right about Chelsea

                1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Or not....

                  Was on chelseatalk joke site

          2. VougieDipond
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            😯

        • Kavali
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Will Eriksen price drop tonight?

          1. Sweetpea
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            probably, been over the threshold for a while now

            1. Kavali
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I don't like an idea to make my transfer(s) now because someone is going to drop/rise... Anything can happend during international break, injuries, i don't know

        • Chu Young Ping Pong
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Who's happy with his team but is still wildcarding??

          1. DÏLKS
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Very very tempted.

          2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            why would you even do that?

            1. Chu Young Ping Pong
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Terry, Pieters and Rio dropping.

              1. The Machine
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Pieters is dropping?

                Okay

              2. KISSES
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Terry dropping?

            2. Hailzter
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              $$$$$$

            3. Chu Young Ping Pong
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Rooney soon too.

            4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              i'd advise against it but just my opinion

        • sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          OMG bottom post twice haha

          Yaya > Sterling
          Chambers > Moreno

          ..one for a -4 or both for a -8? leaning towards just the first move, but I've been talking about Moreno for a week now and now that he's scored he'll probably start to rise 😆

          thanks gents

          1. Think Tank
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Sterling looking good, save Moreno move for next gw?

            1. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I actually might ignore the Moreno move for now or do Baird > Moreno as Chambers might be nailed on if Kosc is out for a while

        • Hazard for Ballon D'or
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Been away for the weekend.

          1) what have I missed?

          2) any star performances (watched chelsea)??

          3) is there something up with price drops?? Got about 50/60 people set for the drop tonight.

          1. Hazard for Ballon D'or
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Anyone??

          2. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            City lost. Liverpool were brilliant.

        • Davido989
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Guzan Myhill
          Ivanovic Moreno Robertson Hutton Wisdom
          Ramsey Siggy Sterling Fabregas Zaha
          Aguero Costa Naismith

          Thoughts on my WC team?

          1. Hazard for Ballon D'or
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Very good berahino. Is his too raise value or not?? If it is for value I'd go dyer and shcniederlin but it looks like a very good team that is going to do very well. Could you look at my post above please?

            1. Davido989
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I'm not into the price thing mate

              1. Think Tank
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Looks good - have the same front eight except Chadli-Zaha

        • Big Col
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Really don't understand why so many are wild carding good teams, when double price rises are so few and drops are unpredictable, with 35 weeks to go surely the Wildcard could be more value later in the season!

          1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Myopia innit

          2. Hibbo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            This.

          3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            ^Lots of this

          4. Chu Young Ping Pong
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            No, now is the time. Starting from GW 20 or so everyone basically have the same team.

          5. Tiote on Peyote
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Word.

        • Ings on the up
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Hazard genuinely injured?

          1. Sweetpea
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            no

            1. Ings on the up
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Thought so. Keeping him

          2. Hailzter
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Just an excuse to not play international matches.

            1. Ings on the up
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Cheers

        • Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Where will Remy fit in at Chelsea? Benched and come on for Costa after 70ish?

          1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            🙂

        • Clam. ☘️
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Eriksen > JWP
          Jovetic > Costa
          For a -4 btw and I bank the rest.
          Worth it?

        • Hailzter
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Some help with this week's transfer please.

          http://strawpoll.me/2466380

          1. kimoo
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Voted

            keep Rooney for QPR ( H)

          2. Ings on the up
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Done

        • DÏLKS
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Is it 'casual' to bring in Naismith? Sure does feel it.

          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            don't worry yourself with labels 🙂

          2. Ings on the up
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            It wasn't last week 🙂

          3. Stephen - Robot Daniels
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Not many other strikers viable unless you want to spend big.

            1. Hazard for Ballon D'or
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Ulloa?(

        • istanbul05
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Begovic/Krul

          Clyne/Terry/Caulker/Wisdom/PvA

          Hazard/Sterling/Ramsey/Siggy/Young

          Costa/Rooney/Bojan

          Already done Bojan to Naismith as my FT, should I do Young to JWP for -4 to protect TV?!!

          1. JTEXTREME
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Transfer Young for a myriad of reasons.

        • kimoo
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          http://strawpoll.me/2466388 Really all ppl need this poll

          1. Ings on the up
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Done

          2. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Voted (Y)

        • Geoff
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Have just enough to do Jovetic + Marney out for Naismith and Sterling. Ya?

          1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            aye

          2. UnderstandablyDistraught
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            sound

            1. Geoff
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I would if it was a normal week but with internationals I'll probably pick up an injury somewhere

              1. UnderstandablyDistraught
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                a calculated risk is ok, the calculation has to be yours though 🙂 It is very early to be making 2 xfers though.

        • Pea Soup
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          DDG/4.0

          PVA - Cahill - Clyne - Wisdom - Moore

          Mata - Ramsey - Fabregas - Siggy - Marney

          Rooney - Costa - Fletcher

          Mata & Fletcher --> Naismith & Sterling... (-4) leaves me with £3.0m in the bank...

          What do you reckon?

        • camarozz
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Yes Axo, villa fan here,we could steal couple points,defending a lot better and benteke to come back. V happy at da moment...

        • Davido989
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Villa's next 4: Liverpool Arsenal Chelsea Man City

          1. Davido989
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            0100

          2. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Brutal. The plebs are still bringing in Hutton in their tens of thousands though :p

          3. Tiote on Peyote
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Thanks.

          4. the axolotl
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            they beat city and arsenal last season, and drew with liverpool in anfield. can't remember the chelsea games. still though, you'd be mad to invest

            1. Davido989
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Best Chelsea at villa park

        • Brian (Not the Messiah)
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          For times like these: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYtjpIwamos

        • sinik
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          thanks gents

          http://strawpoll.me/2466415

          1. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            3rd options supposed to be a -8 😐

        • flippetyflop
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          How's this for a wildcard team

          Krul ( foster)

          Moreno Clyne Naylor (Van aanholt) (wisdom)

          Fabregas Sterling Ramsey Siggy (marney)

          sturridge costa Pelle

          1. Think Tank
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            No City?

        • Mr. Mystic
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Right, 2 free transfers:

          Debuchy -> Clyne
          Eriksen -> Sterling

          Would you:

          A) do it now - benefit from price changes
          B) do it after internationals - not benefit from price changes

        • It's only Carlton Cole…
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I've got Young, Mata and Rooney with 2m in the bank and 2FTs. Not sure what to do. Team as follows:

          Krul Foster

          Terry Cahill Vertonghen Coloccini Caulker

          Mata Young Nasri Ramsey Siggy

          Rooney Pelle Barnes

          Thinking
          Nasri > Sterling

          Not sure what to do with the other could do Rooney to Costa, but then I still have Young but Not sure what to do with him anyway. Nightmare. Could WC

          1. Hibbo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Wildcard.

            1. Hibbo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Copy Triggerslips WC team.

          2. The Governor
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            IMO, you've spent far too much on your defence

            Plus, 3-5-2 is really not the one.

        • The Governor
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Okay, here's my current team for the next gameweek:

          McGregor
          Jones -- Bardsley -- Kelly
          Mata -- Ramsey -- Eriksen -- Fabregas
          Rooney -- Naismith -- Costa

          Heaton -- Marney -- Caulker -- Naylor

          2 FT's, £0.4m in the bank.

          My only real concern is Eriksen.
          Thinking of downgrading Bardsley to Wilson (sideways move) to fund Eriksen to Sterling.

          Thoughts?

        • Geoff
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Do straw polls have to be only two choices? If not, add a "both are bad" option