Fixtures
19 October 2016 869 comments
James H James H
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Our latest look at the teams with the most favourable upcoming schedules sees Liverpool top the bill, while Stoke City players should continue to provide excellent value over the next six Gameweeks.

Liverpool

(WBA, cpl, WAT, sot, SUN, bou)

Jurgen Klopp’s men avoid all of the current top seven over the next six Gameweeks, suggesting Reds assets should be at the forefront of our thinking.

Liverpool had been in fine goalscoring form before Monday night’s goalless draw against Manchester United and should be able to get some joy against Sunderland and West Brom, in particular, with both sides in the top five for shots conceded inside the box over the last four Gameweeks.

It’s only the Gameweek 12 trip to Southampton that looks a tricky match-up for the Reds attack, so while only the Sunderland clash appears to be a plum fixture, there should be ample opportunities for Liverpool’s in-form midfielders to earn returns.

After gaining their first clean sheet of the season against United, the possibility for further shut-outs also appears strong over the next few weeks.

Sunderland have only scored three goals in their last four matches, while West Brom have netted just three times in their four away matches so far.

Once again, it’s only the Southampton fixture that looks a testing one for the Reds rearguard, so there’s every chance the likes of Loris Karius and Dejan Lovren can provide solid value over the next six Gameweeks, with Nathaniel Clyne the strongest option should your budget stretch that far.

Stoke City

(hul, SWA, whm, BOU, wat, BUR)

According to our Season Ticker, it’s the Potters who have the most favourable upcoming schedule over the coming period.

Mark Hughes’ side face just one side currently in the top half of the table, while they’ll square up to two teams, Hull City and Swansea City, who are currently propping up the form chart.

From a defensive perspective, it’s perhaps the Hull City and Burnley fixtures that appear the most appealing, with both sides ranked in the bottom four for total goal attempts over the last four Gameweeks, scoring three goals apiece.

Additionally, Bournemouth have failed to score in two of their four away matches, while West Ham have only created three big chances over the last four Gameweeks, so there does look to be a realistic chance of defensive returns in the majority of the Potters’ upcoming fixtures.

With Jack Butland expected to remain sidelined with an ankle injury for at least the next month, the value offered by goalkeeper Lee Grant cannot be ignored, while Erik Pieters appears to provide the bargain option in the back four.

At the other end of the pitch, the forthcoming fixture list looks hugely promising for the prospects of Stoke attackers.

Hull, Swansea, West Ham and Burnley hold the top four spots for goals conceded over the last four Gameweeks, while Bournemouth rank joint-sixth for big chances conceded over the same period with seven.

Watford, meanwhile, have shipped goals in each of their four matches at Vicarage Road this season, so the lure of owning a Potters attacker appears strong at this point.

Joe Allen looks the obvious target given his current form, although Marko Arnautovic and Wilfried Bony may also thrive over the next month or so. It’s worth noting, though, that the Austrian is now just one booking short of a single-match suspension after earning a fourth yellow of the season on Saturday.

Man City

(SOT, wba, MID, cpl, bur, CHE)

With City avoiding all of the current top four in the next six matches, we should see the premium assets on show at the Etihad live up to their lofty price tags.

Burnley rank second for shots conceded inside the box over the last four Gameweeks and third for big chances allowed, so despite their strong defensive record at home, Pep Guardiola’s men may still be able to shine at Turf Moor in Gameweek 13.

It’s pretty surprising that Middlesbrough have only conceded two big chances over the last four Gameweeks, despite letting in seven goals. But that fixture also appears pretty favourable for the Citizens, while West Brom’s defensive record on home turf isn’t particularly strong, making that another decent match-up.

The Southampton and Chelsea clashes could be slightly more difficult for the City attack, but it’s fair to say that Sergio Aguero should remain a popular captain choice through the next six Gameweeks, despite his poor showing last weekend, while Kevin de Bruyne and Raheem Sterling may also have big scores beckoning.

The Middlesbrough and Burnley match-ups look very enticing from a defensive standpoint, with both teams ranked in the bottom four for both shots inside the box and big chances created over the last four Gameweeks.

Clean sheets appear strong possibilities there, then, while the Crystal Palace and, to a lesser extent, West Brom fixtures are also reasonably favourable.

But having only kept one clean sheet so far, and given the Southampton and Chelsea matches will present fairly testing examinations of their defence, Fantasy managers may still be slightly hesitant in investing members of City’s backline.

Rotation is also a concern with Vincent Kompany now back fit, so outside of goalkeeper Claudio Bravo, investing in a defender looks to have limited appeal.

Also Consider

Hull City
The Tigers have endured a tough start to the campaign, but their schedule (STO, wat, SOT, sun, WBA, mid) eases dramatically over the coming period.

In terms of Hull’s attacking potential, all of the next six matches appear to offer hope in terms of being able to pick up goals, although it’s perhaps the matches on the road at Sunderland and Middlesbrough that seem the most favourable.

There don’t appear to be many appealing options in the Hull attack outside of Robert Snodgrass, though.

Defensively, it’s again the Middlesbrough and Sunderland clashes that stand out as the most likely to yield a clean sheet for Mike Phelan’s men.

But with Andrew Robertson now set to be sidelined for between six to eight weeks with a calf injury, and having conceded 17 goals in their last four matches, it’s unlikely many Fantasy Premier League (FPL) bosses will be rushing to bring in a Hull defender.

Leicester City
The Foxes only face one difficult fixture, away to Tottenham Hotspur, in the next six (CPL, tot, WBA, wat, MID, sun), so Leicester City players may come back onto our radars over the coming weeks.

Those five favourable matches should see Claudio Ranieri’s men get amongst the goals, with the Palace, ‘Boro and Sunderland clashes perhaps the key match-ups.

Jamie Vardy, Islam Slimani and Riyad Mahrez could all be able to flourish over the coming period, then, although with so many in-form options for our front eight positions, the trio will struggle to attract investment. Ranieri’s recent rotation policy may also deter most from rolling the dice on their attackers.

The Foxes have kept three clean sheets at home already this season, so it’s members of their backline that may prove to be the shrewdest purchases over the next few weeks.

Those Palace, West Brom and ‘Boro clashes all look promising, and with decent away trips to Watford and Sunderland also on the agenda, Kasper Schmeichel, Wes Morgan and Christian Fuchs may warrant some consideration.

Watford
Walter Mazzarri’s side have four favourable matches (swa, HUL, STO, wba) in the next six, with the Hornets also having to contend with a trip to Liverpool, and a home clash against Leicester.

Given the Foxes porous defensive record on the road, conceding 13 goals in four matches, that match-up is actually a pretty favourable one for the Watford attack. The Hull fixture should also prove fruitful, while with three other decent fixtures, Troy Deeney should remain one of the leading options for our third forward slot.

With Stoke and Swansea improving in front of goal of late, and with Leicester also providing a difficult challenge, the fixtures aren’t quite so appealing from a defensive point of view.

But there may still be a clean sheet or two in there, and with Jose Holebas also providing an attacking threat, he remains one of the leading budget defenders available to us. The Greek international is one yellow card away from a one-match ban, though.

869 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JJJ
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Antonio out for Lallana or wait 1 GW?

    My current front 8

    Sanchez Snodgrass Antonio,Capoue Mane

    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    1. makaveli123
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Wait

    2. v12w12
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Out for me

    3. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I think Ive decided to wait... cant sell vs SUN

    4. Hurricane Gilbert
      10 years, 19 days ago

      For me it was a really close call but in the end I decided to part with Ant man because of his likely RB position

    5. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      wait

    6. Arteta
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Wait.

  2. bigbudgie
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Ronaldo Captain....stick or twist? (7 points, two assits and a yellow card)
    Options are Suarez or Sanchez

    1. Sylas
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I'm facing the same dilemma with Lewandowski and Suarez as my options.

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      10 years, 19 days ago

      same. think I'll stick

  3. Old Wulfrunian
    10 years, 19 days ago

    hi there,
    i want your opinion
    a) friend>stones
    b)friend>lovren
    thanks

    1. sergioaguero67
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B

    2. Costa's Counsellor
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Lovren as I think he's more nailed.

    3. Old Wulfrunian
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I believe city will have a clean sheet against saints(they will be tired after europa league and i expect city more solid after everton draw).they can make a clean sheet with boro as well and maybe with west brom.
      Liverpool has 3 fixtures with dangerous attacking teams(cp,WT,sou) and i found diffcult for a clean sheet.
      I think better get stones now and in gw 13 buy lovren.what do you think?
      thanks again

    4. Alnair
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B but I don't expect anything in the next couple of GWs.

  4. sergioaguero67
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Coutinho or Mané?

    Money no issue
    Please help

    1. Costa's Counsellor
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Tough but probably continuous.

      1. Costa's Counsellor
        10 years, 19 days ago

        🙄

        Coutinho

    2. Rex Lapis
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Coutinho

    3. KDF
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Coutinho will get points little and often, Mane will have a monster haul then blanks.

      I would prefer Coutinho and hope that he gets assists for when Mane goes nuts

    4. Alnair
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Coutinho.

    5. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Mane no Q

    6. DantheManinaPan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Mane

  5. United10
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Stekelenburg
    Walker, Stones, Cameron,Collins, Amat,
    Sanchez, Coutinho, Son, Capoue, Allen,
    Aguero, Lukaku, Diomande.

    What should I do next week? 3.8 in the bank.
    a) Son to De Bruyne
    b) Capoue to Sterling?
    c) any other suggestions, I know defense needs work.

    1. Rex Lapis
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B

    2. DantheManinaPan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Capoue to Walcott?

  6. Shirokov(c)
    10 years, 19 days ago

    A) Baines to Holebas
    B) Valencia to Holebas
    C) Baines/Valencia & Antonio to Holebas and Walcott (-4)

    Thoughts?

    1. Costa's Counsellor
      10 years, 19 days ago

      C with Baines.

      1. v12w12
        10 years, 19 days ago

        +1

  7. Hurricane Gilbert
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Siggy not even featuring on the watchlist. Shame.

    1. Costa's Counsellor
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Surely that's good if you've got him and think he'll do well?

    2. Costa's Counsellor
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Or are you his mum and want him to feel proud?

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        10 years, 19 days ago

        No, I'm a soccer WAG enjoying Siggys stardust 😉

    3. bojack
      10 years, 19 days ago

      He will be in a few weeks.

  8. michudagawd
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Valencia Williams Evans Friend Amat
    Sanchez Firmino Son Antonio Capoue
    Aguero Costa Rashford

    1 FT, 0.2 itb

    Lining up Friend and Antonio to Pieters and Lallana for -4. Should I also transfer out Rashford for Austin or Wilson for a -8?

    1. KDF
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Just Friend to Pieters then change Lallana week after, West Brom are awkward and seem to keep things tight and Antonio has Sunderland, not worth a hit to make that change this week

  9. Totti
    10 years, 19 days ago

    need help
    if i want to choose between 4th and fifth midfielders who could u choose?
    A) capoue and allen
    B) snodrass and allen

    1. Lazarus Star
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B - Snoddy appears to be Hull's conduent for attack.

      1. Lazarus Star
        10 years, 19 days ago

        *conduit

        1. Totti
          10 years, 19 days ago

          what about capoue and snodgrass?
          i think allen and snod more stronger?
          what do u think?

    2. Rex Lapis
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B

      1. Totti
        10 years, 19 days ago

        or capoue and snodgraas? 🙂

  10. Sadio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Before you cast judgment, watch the highlights from Stoke v Sunderland.

    Bony actually looked good, might be one to consider for this run of fixtures.

    1. Ruth_NZ
      10 years, 19 days ago

      It looks like it's coming. I hope it comes soon as he's already in my team. 😉

      Maybe playing Hull will help. 🙂

      1. Big Red Dog
        10 years, 19 days ago

        Great pick it will come good.

  11. Mateja
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Cech(Pick)
    Holebas-Coleman-Walker(Pieters-Amat)
    Antonio-Sanchez-Firmino-Snoddgrass(Fletcher)
    Lukaku-Kun-Deeney
    1FT 1.6 itb

    A)Antonio->Arnie/Cout/Alli/Wally
    B)Save
    C)Any other suggest?

    1. Rex Lapis
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Antonio to Walcott

    2. Lazarus Star
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Fletcher to Allen and catch a price rise. Give Antonio one more week, he may go back into Winger position against sunderland.

  12. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Stick or Twist on CR7 as Captain? Also have Walcott, Cavani and Kimmich going today?

    1. Clickzy
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I'm keeping him as captain

  13. Clickzy
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Barcelona vs Man. City score prediction?

    1. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      3 -+ 1 Barca

    2. mikess
      10 years, 19 days ago

      3-1 Barca

    3. Demí
      10 years, 19 days ago

      4-2 City

    4. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      2-2

    5. v12w12
      10 years, 19 days ago

      2-2

  14. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Pick one to play?

    Zaha away at Leicester
    Capoue away at Swansea

    1. Totti
      10 years, 19 days ago

      capoue

    2. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Capoue

    3. Mateja
      10 years, 19 days ago

      zaha

    4. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Zaha

    5. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
      10 years, 19 days ago

      2 each, this is getting tense

    6. Jasoooooooo
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Capoue, Leicester have only conceded 1 goal at home so far this season.

    7. MANGE TOUT RODNEY
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Swansea new manager effect/bounce?
      Leicester CL hangover?

    8. v12w12
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Cap

  15. Rex Lapis
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Baines to?
    A. Mustafi
    B. Fuchs
    C. Clyne

    1. Clickzy
      10 years, 19 days ago

      A

    2. Totti
      10 years, 19 days ago

      fuchs

    3. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Hard but C

    4. v12w12
      10 years, 19 days ago

      C

  16. Jasoooooooo
    10 years, 19 days ago

    I'm seriously thinking that De Bruyne's a better option than Aguero for City coverage and that downgrading Aguero -> Costa to upgrade someone like Son -> De Bruyne is worth it. In an ideal world, I would have both of them, except unfortunately I don't have the budget to do this without destroying the rest of my team. Am I crazy to be considering this??

    1. Lazarus Star
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I thought this based on KDB performance, but don't want to be without Kun if honest. KDB & Kun will be a target.

      1. Jasoooooooo
        10 years, 19 days ago

        It's pretty hard to get both of them, I would have to ditch Lukaku or Sanchez or completely destroy my defence.

    2. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      KDB too fragile for me. He is the penultimate band aid boy

      1. Jasoooooooo
        10 years, 19 days ago

        And Aguero isn't fragile?? Aguero is just as if not more injury prone than KDB

        1. Disco Stu
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 19 days ago

          The potential of his 3 or 4 goal games makes him worth that risk. Never going to see that out of KDB

          1. Jasoooooooo
            10 years, 19 days ago

            De Bruyne already has 3 games of above 10+ points so he is no slouch in terms of being able to get a massive score. Yes, he's no Aguero, but his ceiling is still very high.

            I'll probably keep Aguero because it's Aguero but I'm all so tempted by KDB

            1. Disco Stu
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              10 years, 19 days ago

              It's what makes this game so great. We all have our own opinions and each one is valid

              1. Jasoooooooo
                10 years, 19 days ago

                Yep, very true. There's more than one way to play this way and it's great like that.

                1. Jasoooooooo
                  10 years, 19 days ago

                  *game

    3. Totti
      10 years, 19 days ago

      i don't like it
      do u think aguero will continue to get -1 every week! ??
      and if you do it you'll lose a captin option every week and i think the running fixtures of city deserve to captin aguero
      think carefully about it before making anything drastic

    4. nevins84
      10 years, 19 days ago

      There is no better option than Aggy dont be kidding urself

    5. Ruth_NZ
      10 years, 19 days ago

      The only way KDB gets into my team is if Sanchez leaves. Which is not impossible. But I wouldn't move till GW11 at the earliest. KDB is as vulnerable to rotation as anyone else at City while the CL is ongoing.

    6. v12w12
      10 years, 19 days ago

      So Aguero + Son v KDB + Costa possibly? Not a bad shout actually, could be her close but like you say - Kun's Kun

      1. DantheManinaPan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 19 days ago

        I think it's best just to forget about Kun. Stick him in your team and leave him there.

        Comparing him + someone else as a pair is a bad idea in my eyes

  17. Guadlajara
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Considering the fixtures
    Shaqiri and sanchez -> kdb and coutinho ?

    Already have firmino, Walcott and aguero

    1. nevins84
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Never sell sanchez

      1. Pino
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 19 days ago

        Its not about Sanchez, but about the player you bring in for him + the extra money you can invest in someone else. I sold a few weeks ago Sanchez and Capue and got in Walcot and Son. I never regreted in for the second. Will i regret ir in the futere??? I dont think so. There are so many good midfilders at the price range 7.0-8.5 that I can run 2 of the for the price of Sanchez + some cheap defender I never going to use.

        1. Pino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 19 days ago

          sorry I meant Sanchez + cheap midfilder.

    2. Dasher0303
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Next week

    3. Guadlajara
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Surely kdb and coutinho will get more points than sanchez and Shaqiri.

      Also feel it just a matter of time before wenger does something stupid and moves sanchez out wide again

  18. Lone Wolf FPL
    10 years, 19 days ago

    RP. Choose one each:

    1. Best way to get some cash
    A) Capoue to Fletcher
    B) Evans to 3.9

    2. Best way to upgrade defense
    A) Williams -> Clyne
    B) Valencia -> Mustafi
    D) Williams -> Vertonghen (only with 1.B answer)

    Valencia, Williams, Holebas, Evans, Amat - 2FT, 0 idb

    1. Ruth_NZ
      10 years, 19 days ago

      AA

    2. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I like

      1B

      and either of 2B or C

  19. Z
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Baines (X)
    Valencia (che)
    Holebas (swa)
    Smith (TOT)
    Amat (WAT)

    Hit for Baines (Fuchs/Lovren/Clyne) or play with 3 of those?

    1. Disco Stu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Lovren and Clyne is placing a lot of faith in Pool clean sheets. Baines > Holebas will also free up some $$$

      1. Jasoooooooo
        10 years, 19 days ago

        I think he means that he already have Holebas and that he'll consider fielding him.

        And, I wouldn't advise anyone to take a hit for a defender, very rarely does it work out.

        1. Disco Stu
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 19 days ago

          My bad. Still early here in the States. Haven't even had my coffee yet

    2. Hasselbaink Forever
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Play 3 of those

    3. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Play Smith holebas amat. Fancy Bournemouth at home.

    4. Arteta
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Just play 3 of them.

  20. Kane Train
    10 years, 19 days ago

    best 6.2 mid or less

    1. Jasoooooooo
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Snoddy probably, but even he has question marks on him now due to Hull's form.

    2. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Fer or Snodgrass

    3. Pino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      1. Allen
      2. Snodgrass

      When it comes to Capue the statictics show that he was very, very lucky with the points he got at the start of the season. He had like 1 shot on the target per mach that went in and its the same for other stats too. In the long run he is not the player you want on your team and in my opinion you shoud sell him not bring him in. Allen is actually a very good number 4 midfielder that you can play and not just let him rotten on the bench. He plays in much more andvanced rolle in Stoke then in Liverpool and thats why he scores and is much more involved in offensive gameplay

    4. Haggis
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Stanislas and even Moses looks good

      1. GARYNEVILLESTASH
        10 years, 19 days ago

        I like the Moses shout. Considering him as a punt when the fixtures are in favour as my 4th-5th mid.

  21. TheTinman
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Karius
    Koscielny / Coleman / Holebas
    Sanchez (c) / Firmino / Sterling / Allen
    Aguero / Lukaku / Deeney

    Pickford / Snodgrass / Amat / Kelly

    What yall think?

    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Looks good.

      I'd swap Coleman & Koscielny and Allen & Sterling though. 😉

    2. Arteta
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Good to go.

  22. Hurricane Gilbert
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Bob Bradley looking like a certain villian from Harry Potter:
    https://s17.postimg.org/z0eb8r97j/image.jpg

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        10 years, 19 days ago

        Good one. It will be awesome to have a badass manager in the PL again.

  23. Big Red Dog
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Is Baston going to start? If so I assume Sigg behind him and Fer at #8 but still going forward. All three look like options right now and I tip them to find some form.

    If Antonio scored most of his points last season from wingback why sell him against SUN?

    Is Allen a decent 4th mid choice?

    Should I keep Ibra til BUR?

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Agree about Swansea hitting some form, especially attacking wise.

      Hammers don't have the personnel to play 3-4-3 this week with Cresswell and probably also Arbeloa out. Antonio can ofc still score at RB, but my bet is that others will score for Hammers

    2. Jasoooooooo
      10 years, 19 days ago

      1. Don't know much about Swansea but I'm guessing that Baston will start.
      2. West Ham are crap this season and his point totals this season has dropped since he's returned to that RWB role.
      3. 5th mid, yes. 4th mid, no.
      4. Your choice mate. 50/50 call that could go either way.

      1. Big Red Dog
        10 years, 19 days ago

        1. agreed
        2. They are quality though. Class is permanent. Back of a win last week I think they will win their next 3.
        3. I have to play Allen as my 4th mid! lol
        4. I am 60% sticking

    3. Dino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I'm thinking of a punt on Baston. My third striker has been rubbish all season (the latest one was bringing in Ighalo after his father had passed away) so I feel as if I have nothing to lose but I can't expect my mids to keep bailing me out, I need that third striker doing something.

      Kind of looking like a gamble on Baston or Bony with fixtures or Austin with horrible fixtures. Really unsure

      1. Big Red Dog
        10 years, 19 days ago

        Austin thrives at home so I'll wait for a banger like BUR. Bony looked decent last match and I think is a great option. Baston great punt as he finally has match fitness, scored a goal and was really quality in La Liga last season. Unfortunately like Andy I dont have the balls to sell Ibra with BUR coming up

        1. Dino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 19 days ago

          Well if a big red dog doesn't have the balls then who does!

          1. Big Red Dog
            10 years, 19 days ago

            Haha

            Wish this decision was as black and white as my vision

      2. Jasoooooooo
        10 years, 19 days ago

        Tbh, Austin's fixtures aren't that bad in the long term. Starting from GW 11, his fixtures really, really open up

        1. Dino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 19 days ago

          Austin next 5 are mci, CHE, hul, LIV, EVE. I know three are at home but why would you bring in a striker with those fixtures? After that it clears up a bit alright but that is over a month away who knows what will have changed by then?

          1. Big Red Dog
            10 years, 19 days ago

            This.

  24. Punty McPuntface
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Predictions for tonight's Barca v City?

    I'm going to lump £50 on 3-1

  25. Pino
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 19 days ago

    1. Allen (no doubt)
    2. Snodgrass

    When it comes to Capue the statictics show that he was very, very lucky with the points he got at the start of the season. He had like 1 shot on the target per mach that went in and its the same for other stats too. In the long run he is not the player you want on your team and in my opinion you shoud sell him not bring him in. Allen is actually a very good number 4 midfielder that you can play and not just let him rotten on the bench. He plays in much more andvanced rolle in Stoke then in Liverpool and thats why he scores and is much more involved in offensive gameplay.

    1. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Snod > Allen > Capoue imo. Allen looks good budget pick atm.

    2. Dino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Allen's stats are very similar to Capou by all accounts. His are a little better but not enough for his improbable scoring run.

    3. Dino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Allen 10 shots, 7 inside the box, 5 on target and 4 goals. Nobody scores with 80% of their shots on target, not even the top strikers so Allen should probably be on closer to 1 goal for what his stats are reading, possibly 2 if he got lucky.

    4. Dino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Capou 10 shots, 5 inside the box, 5 on target and 4 goals. Incredibly similar to Allen but you seem to favour one over the other for some reason?

      1. Econ Man
        10 years, 19 days ago

        I just wanted to mention I had a look at your SiB fallacy table. I did multiple regression on the 15/16 data, and it convincingly showed that shots in the box definitely correlates very highly with goals. The model I got was:

        goals = 0.120*(shots inside) -0.198*(SYB shots) + 0.3802661*(big chances) + 0.0001*(touches) -0.062
        R2=0.88

        The robust t statistic for shots inside was 5.13, which is very, very significant. The size of the effect is as big as expected as well. Including penalties 14 % of goals inside the box are scored. Here a shot inside is expected to increase the number of goals at the end of the season with 0.12, even when you have controlled for big chances.

        1. Dino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 19 days ago

          I don't think I've ever knocked sib stats. The ability of the striker and the type of shot (is it a header, volley under pressure or a one on one etc etc) does have to be taken into account but I use this stay a lot myself too.

          It is touches in the box (tib) that I think is almost worse than useless as a stat. There seems to be no correlation between touches in the box and goals scored.

          1. Econ Man
            10 years, 19 days ago

            Well, you named the table as "SiB fallacy" and further described it as "Table to prove no correlation between goals and SiB". I only took you at your own word.

            I think indeed it might be a fallacy to look at touches in the penalty area, and I found no effect here... The thing is that touches in the box might possibly predict more shots and chances created in the future, but I haven't really bothered to check it.

            The way I do my own predictions is in 2 steps (for goals inside the box). First I model shots inside the area, and secondly I model the conversion rate (partly because I want to see what's going on). The number of shots inside is easy to model, and I doubt adding penalty touches would change much, while conversion rates are hard to predict. The correlation for conversion rates between years is only something like 0.2.

            1. Dino
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              10 years, 19 days ago

              Really sorry about that. I do more or less the same as you actually.

              If you have time or the inclination have a look at tib and correlation with goals (or even shots I'd guess). I must rename that table

    5. I Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      I agree that Allen is a better pick than Capoue but it's not like he has great stats either. In fact he's scored his 4 goals from 10 shots, the same numbers as Capoue.

    6. Pino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Sorry guys, I wanted to answer to some other comment but posted it here. However I do prever Allen for Capue and he is much cheaper than Snodrass.

  26. nevins84
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Best defender to get...I have up to 6m to spend

    1. liiusions
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Mustafi

    2. Pochecinno
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Mustafi

    3. Haggis
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Alonso is on my radar

      1. nevins84
        10 years, 19 days ago

        That's an interesting one.. am feeling a bit punty..

    4. Arteta
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Mustafi or Clyne

    5. Dasher0303
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Mustafi because I have him

  27. Red or Dead
    10 years, 19 days ago

    What to do with this lot??

    Pickford (Jakupovic)
    Walker Holebas Pieters (Amat, Evans)
    Sanchez Firmino Sterling Capoue (Barry)
    Costa Aguero Lukaku

    1. liiusions
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Capoue->Allen, or save and next week downgrade elsewhere to upgrade Capoue

  28. Ronnies
    10 years, 19 days ago

    Play... a or b ?

    a) valencia - away to chelsea

    b) amat - home to watford

    Tnks

    1. liiusions
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Valencia, good chance of another boring 0-0 and at least he has some attacking threat

    2. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B

  29. b✪mber
    10 years, 19 days ago

    1FT (happy with the team and not selling Antonio before the Sunderland game)

    a) Baines to Clyne
    b) save (play Amat vs WAT)

    I want a Pool defender for the upcoming run of games. Not sure if Lovren will be better value and I think that Clyne is the most nailed of Pool's D line. Clyne also has the attacking stats (crazy attacking stats that is), but that comes at +0.6M.

    Lovren leaves me with 8M for an Antonio replacement and Clyne leaves me with 7.4M. This is not an issue since all my potential targets for Antonio are below 7.4M (not interested in Son currently).

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 19 days ago

      B) There may be other midfielders that interest you this time next week and Amat has a decent fixture.

    2. liiusions
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Antonio is playing RWB so I'd suggest to ditch him, but I'd go for Lovren so you have more options to get someone in for Antonio

      1. b✪mber
        10 years, 19 days ago

        the only option that Lover enables for me is Son (I don't want a Spurs player right now)

        potential replacements for Antonio are:

        Siggy
        Arnie
        Shaq
        Allen
        Tadic
        Redmond
        Chadli
        Puncheon
        Snoddy

        1. Big Red Dog
          10 years, 19 days ago

          Not Puncheon, Redmond, or Shaq though imo.

          1. b✪mber
            10 years, 19 days ago

            I agree that they look the least appealing.

    3. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      A. Clyne looks great. Lovren doesn't. 🙂

    4. Arteta
      10 years, 19 days ago

      Save for now.

  30. liiusions
    10 years, 19 days ago

    What's everyone's TV now? Mine's 103.7m after 3 risers last night, could be vital come DGWs

    1. Big Red Dog
      10 years, 19 days ago

      101.8 from sticking with Antonio & Ibra!