The Dugout Discussion - Southampton vs Chelsea - Best FPL Tips, Advice, Team News, Picks, and Statistics from Fantasy Football Scout

FPL GW16 Scout Picks - Final Selection

Raya Martin

Lewis-Potter
Chalobah
Andersen

Szoboszlai
Saka
Bruno Fernandes
Eze

Raúl Jiménez
Haaland
Thiago

Dubravka
Spence
Heaven
Le Fée

GW16 Captain Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Rogers	AVL	7.0m	93.9%	Likely
Wilson	FUL	5.5m	90.8%	Likely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	99.5%	Likely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	99.6%	Likely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	87.4%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.3m	83.2%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	85.3%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	87.9%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.6m	77.2%	Unlikely
Marc Guiu	CHE	4.2m	81.5%	Unlikely
Bowen	WHU	7.5m	78.3%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	73.3%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	75.9%	Unlikely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.6m	61.4%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	73.4%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	69.5%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	66.8%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	62.1%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	64.7%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	66.3%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	66.2%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	65.1%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	61.2%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	57.5%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	57.2%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	56.2%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.4m	55.1%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	63.1%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	55.1%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	54.0%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	53.9%	Unlikely
Cash	AVL	4.9m	50.8%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	15.0m	44.3%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.5m	47.2%	Unlikely
James	CHE	5.6m	46.5%	Unlikely
Flemming	BUR	5.3m	47.5%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	44.8%	Unlikely
Pickford	EVE	5.5m	43.1%	Unlikely
Wilson	WHU	5.8m	41.4%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	4.9m	38.1%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Mateta	CRY	7.9m	152.3%	Very Likely
Minteh	BHA	6.2m	101.1%	Very Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	100.3%	Very Likely
Longstaff	LEE	4.9m	100.5%	Very Likely
Gudmundsson	LEE	3.9m	100.2%	Very Likely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	99.9%	Maybe
Rodon	LEE	4.1m	99.7%	Maybe
Muniz	FUL	5.4m	98.8%	Maybe
Bobb	MCI	5.2m	99.9%	Maybe
Neave	NEW	4.4m	99.7%	Maybe
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	97.3%	Maybe
Mayenda	SUN	5.3m	95.9%	Maybe
Elanga	NEW	6.6m	94.1%	Maybe
Yarmoliuk	BRE	5.0m	95.0%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.3%	Unlikely
Anthony	BUR	5.3m	87.4%	Unlikely
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	93.5%	Unlikely
Barnes	BUR	4.3m	93.5%	Unlikely
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	93.3%	Unlikely
McKenna	BOU	4.0m	92.9%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	92.2%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	92.4%	Unlikely
Balcombe	BRE	4.0m	91.9%	Unlikely
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	92.0%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	90.1%	Unlikely
Bentley	WOL	4.0m	89.7%	Unlikely
Toti	WOL	4.3m	90.7%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	5.0m	89.9%	Unlikely
Irving	WHU	4.4m	86.1%	Unlikely
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	92.1%	Unlikely
L.Guilherme	WHU	4.9m	86.8%	Unlikely
Nørgaard	ARS	5.2m	87.5%	Unlikely
Worrall	BUR	3.9m	86.4%	Unlikely
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	86.0%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	86.0%	Unlikely
McAtee	NFO	5.1m	86.8%	Unlikely
Coleman	EVE	4.3m	82.8%	Unlikely
Aina	NFO	4.7m	80.6%	Unlikely
Danso	TOT	4.3m	82.5%	Unlikely
Bevan	BOU	3.9m	81.2%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Sus
Up	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:16am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C, Inj
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Up	Andersen	FUL	C
Up	Marc Guehi	CRY	A
Up	van den Berg	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:28am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	B
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Foden	MCI	A
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
Up	Szoboszlai	LIV	C
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
No Change	Schade	BRE	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:34am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	C
Up	Ekitiké	LIV	B
Down	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
Down	Woltemade	NEW	B

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:43am

GW16 Free Transfer Poll

GW16 Chip Poll

Dugout Discussion

The Dugout Discussion – Southampton vs Chelsea

30 October 2016 1898 comments

Paul

After Everton defeated West Ham 2-0 at Goodison earlier, we now turn our attentions to St Mary’s as Southampton entertain Chelsea at 4pm.

Diego Costa and Eden Hazard boast the greatest threat as the Blues look to grab a fourth successive league win.

The Spain international – who remains one yellow away from a single-match ban – has netted four goals in as many road trips, whilst Hazard has notched in each of his last four starts for club and country.

Chelsea’s recent move to 3-4-3 has harvested three straight clean sheets in the top-flight, though their hosts have been similarly resilient in front of their own fans.

The Saints have conceded just one goal in their last five home matches in all competitions and have been breached on only eight occasions over the first nine Gameweeks.

With a trip to Hull next up on their agenda, Nathan Redmond and Charlie Austin have the chance to stake a claim for our consideration, as the latter looks to net for the third successive league outing.

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404_FC
9 years, 1 month ago
any though ?

hav 9.7 for 2 def

other 3 = holebas evans amat

a) fuch (5.4) + martina (4.3)
b) morgan (5.0) + francis / friend / pieters / mee

thx
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1. Flynny
  9 years, 1 month ago
  Morgan and Gibson
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2. vardys party
  9 years, 1 month ago
  Morgan and Pieters for me
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3. 404_FC
  9 years, 1 month ago
  thx mates. i will go with b
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Flynny
9 years, 1 month ago
Hi...got exact cash to do walcott and benteke to redmond and lukaku for a hit (first of season).

Needs to be done tonights before lukaku rise....do I do it?

Heaton pickford
Mustafi Williams holebas Evans amat
Sanchez Walcott firmino coutinho capoue
Kun Benteke deeney

Thanks
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1. 404_FC
  9 years, 1 month ago
  lukaku away to chelsea ... no for me this week
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vardys party
9 years, 1 month ago
Sanchez to Haz worth it?

Sanchez has some difficult fixtures coming up and could be rotated with long international trips/cl games. Hazard looks bang in form
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seaside
9 years, 1 month ago
(end of last page fail...)
I have the following midfield:

Sanchez Walcott Firmino Sterling Capoue

Is it madness to ship Sanchez for Hazard and upgrade Sterling to Coutinho? Or any other suggestions? I would like to get Hazard in, not convinced of Sterling and not too sure about doubling up on Arsenal. I would rather have two Liverpool midfielders as their fixtures look much better.

What are your thoughts? Any suggestions? (I have 2 FT and 0 ITB)
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GXNG
9 years, 1 month ago
Anyone have any tips on increasing squad value
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New Post
TorresMagic™
9 years, 1 month ago
New Post!

http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/10/30/the-stock-check-gameweek-10-sunday-2/
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Mind över Mata
9 years, 1 month ago
Both long term moves, are either of these worth doing this week for a hit?

A) Mustafi -> Fuchs
B) Rashford -> Austin
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Evasivo
9 years, 1 month ago
No idea how to set up my team this week. Injured Theo, 3 Watford away to Liverpool and Walker vs Kos isn't great. Fortunately I have 2.5Mil in the bank and 2FTs, but where to start?

I'd like Theo n Deeney out but that still leaves defensive issues. Deeney Theo Walker to Austin Smith Sanchez?

Heaton Pickford
Holebas Walker Kos Evans Amat
Walcott Allen Firmino Sterling Capoue
Aguero Deeney Costa
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Dr Kenneth Noisewater
9 years, 1 month ago
2FTs - Sterling + Walcott to...

A) Coutinho + Redmond (Haz in 4-5 weeks for good run)
B) Haz + Redmond

Rest of team:

Sanchez - Firmino - WALCOTT - STERLING - Allen
Agüero - Lukaku - Deeney
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1. Evasivo
  9 years, 1 month ago
  Kdb and Chadli?!
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  1. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
    9 years, 1 month ago
    That kind of renegade thinking could get a man stoned on this site. I thought we were all bound to template/hive mind suggestions...
    
    Nice though, I'll look into it.
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    1. Evasivo
      9 years, 1 month ago
      If you want to follow sheep, then I guess Cout. But Citeh fixtures are nicer..Kdb one to watch
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2. Beard of Zeus
  9 years, 1 month ago
  I'm looking at B.
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Mr Go
9 years, 1 month ago
Hi all
Who should I transfer out this week? Rondon? Rashford?
Foster Jaku
Kosc Smith Holebas Walker Kingsley
Couthinho Firmino Sanchez Walcott Allen
Rondon Rashford Augero
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The Generalator
9 years, 1 month ago
Who is the best defender for under 5m?

Heaton?
Anyone else ?

Thanks in advance
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1. marquinhos
  9 years, 1 month ago
  Holebas, Heaton
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  1. Pasqualinho
    9 years, 1 month ago
    I'm a Holebas owner but think his time is coming to an end - at least for the rest of the calendar year. It will be nice to get another price rise out of him, however.
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marquinhos
9 years, 1 month ago
Amat to ?

A) Fuchs
B) Alonso

Already have Mustafi, Holebas, Amat
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1. TOPCAT1960
  9 years, 1 month ago
  A
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Kanteisking
9 years, 1 month ago
Hey all a little help needed

Pickford, Grant
Williams, Holebas, Vertong, Kingsley, Amat
Firmino, Allen, Capoue, Walcott, KDB
Aguero, Costa, Lukaku

a) Williams and Amat for Stones and Lovren -4
b) Williams and Capoue for Stones and Moses -4
c) Amat to Lovren no hit
d) Capoue to Moses no hit

Capoue price drop today I think and not sure Amat is going to play or not so bit risky shipping him

Thanks
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1. Pasqualinho
  9 years, 1 month ago
  Capoue shouldn't drop that quickly - on Friday maybe, if at all this week. But even then I wouldn't be in a rush to get him out unless you have 2 FTs and no other plans. Transfers around International game weeks are more precious than losing 0.1 of profit.
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2. No_name
  9 years, 1 month ago
  personally would sell off Capoue. The last 4 games he's not getting into scoring positions. Coincidentally, they got 3 CS the last 4 games. Maybe Materazzi tweaked his tactics a bit?
  
  Gundogan is actually a pretty interesting one to watch/punt. Bolasie is another one, though his fixtures are not the best. Or you can go Matic/Kante for that random points they'll score sometimes.
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1NVINCIBLES
9 years, 1 month ago
Sorry if this has been posted before, but looks like Antonio Valencia will be out until December.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/football/2078423/antonio-valencia-injury-manchester-united-right-back-set-for-six-weeks-out-after-undergoing-hand-operation/
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No_name
9 years, 1 month ago
Been doing some scouting today. And just realises that no one ever quoted the 3 index Threat, Creativity and Influence. And as far as I know, I haven't seen any articles that quoted these three index yet. So, a question crept into my mind. Are these unreliable? Or is it just because it is a new feature so no one is paying close attention to it yet?

A quarter of the season has passed. So, I try to do a simple and quick analysis. For those who aren't familiar with these index, can read via this link. https://www.premierleague.com/news/65567. I'm just interested to look at the Mid and Fwd because these are the positions that are going to provide with the biggest chunk of our points.

This is the ranking based on each index. I separate Mid and Fwd.

Influence:-

1. Sanchez
2. Coutinho
3. Hazard

1. Costa
2. Lukaku
3. Aguero

Creativity:-

1. Payet
2. Tadic
3. Silva

1. Ibrahimovic
2. Barrow
3. Lukaku

Threat:-

1. Walcott
2. Sanchez
3. Coutinho

1. Ibrahimovic
2. Costa
3. Aguero

And finally, sorted by ICT index, I list the top 8 mixing both forwards and midfielders. This is, copied from the website, "...offers a single figure that presents a view on that player as an FPL asset."

1. Ibrahimovic
2. Coutinho
3. Sanchez
4. Costa
5. Lukaku
6. Firmino
7. Payet
8. Hazard

--

Based on these data, in terms of translation to points, I believe the Influence index is the best that represents the total scored by the players. At least for Mid and Fwd. For defenders, it does not seem so. This is most likely due to the higher emphasis on goals and assists.

The least likely index that will translate to points is creativity. Indeed, this makes sense because assists bring less points than goals. Also, it includes chances created. Which means, key passes and crosses that their teammates didn't convert won't be translated into points.

--

The most interesting observation we can note here is how high Ibrahimovic is ranked in each of the list except for influence. This shows that Ibrahimovic has been getting and creating chances for teammates but somehow he and his teammates just fail to convert these chances. Based on these numbers, it can be argued that Ibrahimovic is basically a ticking bomb. We will never know when or will his numbers be translated to FPL points or not, but the numbers are there.

Further looking at the numbers (other than the top 3), I would argue that the index are a pretty useful tool to consider using in terms of planning your transfers, because it also take into consideration pitch location and giving higher weightage to actions that are regarded as higher chance.

I feel this will be important when determing to get your 3rd/4th/5th mid and/or your 3rd striker.

However, it alone won't be enough. Again, need to look in more details (including fixtures, current form, injuries, formation change) to be fully effective.

--

Hope it's gonna be useful to some people. Pretty long post lolz
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