Wisdom of the Crowd: Gameweek 7

Price Change Predictions

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Thiago	BRE	A
Down	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Chalobah	CHE	5.2m	99.0%	Likely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.0m	87.2%	Likely
Cash	AVL	4.7m	88.6%	Likely
Saka	ARS	10.1m	96.9%	Likely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.8m	93.1%	Likely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	98.1%	Maybe
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	88.9%	Unlikely
Burn	NEW	5.1m	85.7%	Unlikely
Rogers	AVL	6.9m	79.6%	Unlikely
Muñoz	CRY	6.1m	69.5%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	80.1%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	80.7%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	77.6%	Unlikely
Szoboszlai	LIV	6.6m	75.0%	Unlikely
Sánchez	CHE	4.8m	71.7%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	76.7%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	73.7%	Unlikely
O.Dango	BRE	6.0m	70.1%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	71.3%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	68.0%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	66.6%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	66.8%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	66.3%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	63.3%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.3m	58.7%	Unlikely
Merino	ARS	6.0m	48.8%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	53.9%	Unlikely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	47.0%	Unlikely
King	FUL	4.5m	52.2%	Unlikely
Tarkowski	EVE	5.4m	43.0%	Unlikely
Sessegnon	FUL	5.4m	47.1%	Unlikely
Barnes	NEW	6.4m	51.0%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.5m	42.5%	Unlikely
Foden	MCI	8.5m	30.6%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.4m	46.1%	Unlikely
De Ligt	MUN	5.0m	47.5%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	44.4%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	7.0m	46.7%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	39.6%	Unlikely
Wilson	WHU	5.8m	38.4%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Gabriel	ARS	6.3m	105.2%	Very Likely
Botman	NEW	4.9m	102.2%	Very Likely
Maguire	MUN	4.4m	101.4%	Very Likely
Baleba	BHA	4.7m	99.7%	Likely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.3m	99.3%	Likely
Enzo	CHE	6.7m	95.9%	Likely
Young	AVL	4.4m	99.3%	Likely
Pedro Porro	TOT	5.4m	98.8%	Likely
Boateng	BUR	4.8m	98.7%	Likely
Ngumoha	LIV	4.4m	93.8%	Likely
Obi	MUN	4.3m	96.9%	Maybe
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	96.5%	Maybe
Ortega Moreno	MCI	4.8m	97.3%	Maybe
Byram	LEE	3.9m	96.3%	Maybe
Matete	SUN	4.4m	95.7%	Maybe
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.2m	95.6%	Maybe
Travers	EVE	4.4m	94.3%	Maybe
Akinmboni	BOU	3.9m	93.6%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.4%	Unlikely
Pinnock	BRE	4.3m	94.7%	Unlikely
Gruev	LEE	4.8m	89.5%	Unlikely
Sonne	BUR	3.9m	91.5%	Unlikely
George	CHE	4.9m	95.2%	Unlikely
Knight	BHA	4.5m	91.7%	Unlikely
Gannon-Doak	BOU	4.9m	91.7%	Unlikely
Cox	BRE	4.0m	90.5%	Unlikely
McGill	BHA	4.0m	90.7%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.4m	87.8%	Unlikely
Neave	NEW	4.4m	89.7%	Unlikely
M.Bizot	AVL	4.3m	85.4%	Unlikely
Agbinone	CRY	4.4m	86.4%	Unlikely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	86.7%	Unlikely
Ndoye	NFO	5.6m	82.6%	Unlikely
Hato	CHE	4.7m	87.1%	Unlikely
Abbott	NFO	3.9m	84.9%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	86.3%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.5m	86.6%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.8m	83.7%	Unlikely
Patterson	SUN	4.3m	82.6%	Unlikely
Elliott	AVL	5.3m	82.9%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C, Vs
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Sels	NFO	B
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:36am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	A, Sus
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	de Ligt	MUN	B, Inj
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Andersen	FUL	B
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	B
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A, £
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:41am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	A
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	B
No Change	Foden	MCI	A, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
No Change	Gakpo	LIV	B, Vs, Rest
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
Up	Schade	BRE	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	A, £
Down	Fernández	CHE	B

Last updated: 6 Dec, 2025 12:48am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A, Vs
Up	Thiago	BRE	A
Down	Mateta	CRY	C
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory). And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.

THE CONCEPT

We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on. If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.

We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom. That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.

We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.

GAMEWEEK 6 REVIEW

The average crowd predictions last weekend were fairly average…5 correct picks out of 10 matched the performance of the overall community, although 2 were exact score picks and 2 were ‘close’, which was better than most.

Overall, our Crowd Wisdom user is still beating the majority of people on Superbru.

GAMEWEEK 7 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW7:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

Man City are top of the predicted goalscoring charts by a distance, having put 5 past Cardiff and now returning to the Etihad to host Brighton. Sergio Aguero is the obvious pick for the captaincy frankly, and it’s probably worth tripling up on City assets.

Liverpool are normally up there with City on this table, but travel to Stamford Bridge for what is usually a low-scoring fixture. The historic results feature on Superbru shows that only once in the last 5 matches has there been more than 3 goals, and it has finished 1-1 in three of those games.

Tottenham is the only other side expected to score at least twice as they travel to Huddersfield, and Harry Kane is the only potential alternative as captain. It’s also City and Spurs to focus on in defence, whilst Wolves and Burnley offer the budget defensive options this week.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.