Selection
26 October 2018 819 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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While the Fantasy Premier League community largely dwells on which big names to move in or out for Gameweek 10, we’ve also been thinking about some differentials.

We’ve got two midfielders and one defender who can offer the potential for FPL points this weekend.

One of them in particular looks ready to provide value for a considerable length of time given their fixtures.

David Brooks (£5.1m)

Ownership: 1.9%

With Bournemouth facing the hapless Fulham defence this week, there is plenty of interest in the Cherries’ attacking options. Ryan Fraser (£6.0m) is the most popular of their assets in midfield with 21.9%, and only Callum Wilson (£6.5m) has more backers on Bournemouth’s roster (24.3%).

However, David Brooks (£5.1m) may have been overlooked for this particular match.

He has outperformed Fraser in recent weeks and looks likely to register attacking returns for the third time in four Gameweeks when he travels to Craven Cottage this weekend.

Since Gameweek 6, Brooks has seven shots to Fraser’s seven, is ahead for shots on target (four to zero) and has had more touches in opponent penalty boxes too (12 to three).

Shane Duffy (£4.5m)

Ownership: 4.5%

This particular choice is perhaps the most long-term of the options worth considering for Gameweek 10.

Brighton currently sit top of our Season Ticker for defensive fixtures over the next six Gameweeks, timed well after they recorded back-to-back clean sheets for the first time this season at Newcastle.

Despite being the flavour of the month, Wolves have actually been quite goal-shy on their travels so far this season. Only Cardiff (one) have scored fewer times in away matches than Nuno’s side (three) in 2018/19.

Furthermore, striker Raúl Jiménez (£5.7m) is without a goal since Gameweek 5.

Afterwards, Brighton face low-scorers Cardiff, Crystal Palace and Huddersfield.

Duffy also carries some goal threat having found the net twice and assisted another two strikes this season.

Jonjo Shelvey (£5.4m)

Ownership: 0.6%

Jonjo Shelvey (£5.4m) could be the best way to capitalise on Newcastle’s upcoming run of appealing matches. While the Magpies have been in poor form, their upcoming schedule provides them with the opportunity to make amends.

The former Swansea City man has registered five shots on target in the last four Gameweeks, the same number as Mohamed Salah and Eden Hazard.

He has also created more chances than Salah in that time, his 10 since Gameweek 6 ranking joint-fourth best in the league.

It’s Southampton up next for Newcastle, who have been very accommodating to their opponents in 2018/19.

Only Brighton and Burnley have allowed more shots in the penalty box over the last four Gameweeks than Mark Hughes’ Saints.

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819 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. primal33
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Who to start?

    Doherty v Fraser?

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Fraser....just!!!

    2. MTPockets
        7 years, 1 month ago

        fraser

    3. Smokey_Lowkey
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Need a replacement for Hennessey. Fabianski or Ryan?

      Thanks!

      1. Balls of Steel
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Fab long term

    4. Champagne supernova
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Good evening,

      Who would you captain between
      Kun, Sterling or Robertson

      1. Lambert Is A Goal Machine
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        None of those this week, do you not have any better options?

        If I had to pick from those, Robertson then Sterling.

        1. Champagne supernova
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          These are my big hitters, I was actually thinking city would rip spurs a new A-hole but the Wembley pitch is not in the best of conditions so could affect the game

      2. FantasyHero
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Im captaining robertson

        1. Tony Moon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          Lol

    5. Lambert Is A Goal Machine
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      2.2m ITB
      Patricio (Hart)
      Doherty Duffy TAA (Laporte Wan-Bissaka)
      Salah (c) Sterling Hazard Fraser (Hojbjerg)
      Vardy Iheanacho Mitrovic

      G2g?

    6. #FPLBhuna
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Gtg? No ft remaining

      henny
      robertson - alonso - TAA
      hazard - moura - mane(c) - fraser
      kane - vardy - mitrovic

      hamer - doherty - awb - guendouzi

    7. Garth Marenghi
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I think on the question of Richie versus Wolves defender—I’m going Richie for 2 reasons—I think he goes back to the wing and Utd defense is not that great at all.

    8. Feloh
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      is a Richarlison to maddison a good us of a ft with no other issue to sort apart from haz and vardy injury doubts?

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Dont know if its good or bad but I'm doing it 😛

      2. clodhopper
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Probably good but could back fire maddison looks good though

    9. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Should I keep the armband on Haz, or do Firmino instead?? =o/

      1. EmreCanDrinkwater
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Keep it on Haz

    10. EmreCanDrinkwater
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Reposting
      Richa+Kane>Mane+Vardy for -4
      Yay or nay?

      1. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Pondering on it.

    11. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Which transfer?

      A) Mane/Kane to Salah and one of Vardy, Arnie
      B) Kane/TAA to Lacazette/Mendy

      1. seewhyaxe
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Kane with Arnie seems popular

    12. el polako
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Still got my WC to fall on so might just follow the herd and take -4 hit to get Mo in, not convinced he is in good form though...
      Other option would be rather dull straight Kane to Firmino for free.

    13. seewhyaxe
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Foster
      Alonso, Robbo, Doherty
      Salah (C), Hazard (vc), Maddison, Richarlison
      Aguero, Mitrovic, Arnie

      Fabianski, Yedlin, Stephens, AWB.

      gtg? should i play Fab instead of Foster? Yedlin or doherty

    14. Rohun
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      A) Kane + Ings -> Kun + Arnie
      or
      B) Kane + Dilva -> Arnie + KDB

      if B could also do Chilwell -> Mendy for -4?

      Leaning towards A atm.

    15. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Allison
      Robbo Alonso Mendy Doherty
      Hazard preyra madison
      Aguero firmino mitrovic

      With hazard being a doubt and firmino playing 90 mins mid week, thinking of captaining robertson. Thoughts ?

      1. YoungPretender
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Firmino got a rest against Huddersfield. He should start.

    16. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Alonso + richarlson + firmino -> holebas + salah + jiminez

      1. -8 pt hit to do this week
      2. -4 pt hit ti do next week
      3. Not worth it

      Thoughts ?

      1. YoungPretender
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Definitely not. Firmino could outscore Salah

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Not a fan.

      3. FantasyHero
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks guys

    17. YoungPretender
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Richarlison > Maddison? Have 2FT’s and no other real issues.

    18. Ould Onion Bagger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Hazard to Sterling worth a hit?

      And if not, Jonny or Hughes as first sub?

    19. Lets jump straight into it.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      A. Sterling > Salah

      B. Hazard > Salah

      C. Keep free transfer

      1. barcaa7
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        C
        and get Salah next week if he score more than 10 points

    20. Ray In Bruges.
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Foster (Fabianski)
      TAA Alonso Mendy (Doherty, AWB)
      Salah Hazard Maddison (Stephens)
      Aguero Arnautovic Wilson

      1FT, GTG and save?

      1. Ray In Bruges.
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Fraser my other mid.

    21. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Bench Jiminez or Knockaert?

      Most likely playing with double Wolves defence.

    22. thebetever
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I want to make a case for Schindler over Duffy. I know this is crazy at face value because Huddersfield have kept one clean sheet this season, but please hear me out.

      (1) Last 4 Gameweeks - xG Conceded

      Brighton: Over the last 4 GWs, Brighton are the worst team in the EPL with an xG conceded (xGC) of 8 versus only 4 goals conceded, from fixtures against TOT, mci, WHU & new.

      Huddersfield: Over the last 4 GWs, Huddersfield are 9th in the EPL with an xGC of 4.8 versus 7 goals conceded. This represents fixtures against lei, TOT, bur & LIV.

      (2) Last 2 Gameweeks - xG conceded

      Brighton: Improve slightly to 15th in the EPL for WHU & NEW fixtures. xGC is 3.2 and total goals conceded is ZERO. Only 5 teams have conceded zero goals over the last two games, and the other 4 teams are in the top 7 in xGC.

      Huddersfield: Improve to 2nd in the league for xGC with 1.0 versus 2 total goals conceded. Barely behind Man City here and well ahead of 3rd. This was for an away fixture against Burnley and a home fixture against Liverpool.

      (3) Other:

      Duffy: Duffy sits outside the top 30 defenders for Baseline BPS over the last 4 GWs for defenders with a max price £5M. He has 6 touches in the final third, 1 shot and 1 assist over those games.

      Schindler: Schindler sits 9th for Baseline BPS on the same scale. He has 8 touches in the final third, 2 shots and 1 goal for the last 4 GWs.

      (4) Fixtures:

      Brighton: WOL, eve, car, LEI, hud
      Huddersfield: wat, FUL, WHU, wol, BHA

      (5) Eye Test: I wanted to keep this stats only but I am going to put some eye test bias in here.

      Brighton: Having watched both of Brighton's games against WHU and NEW, BHA were extremely lucky to keep a clean sheet in both games. Both teams missed some sitters and looking at even the total shot statistics (17 vs 9 and 27 vs 8 to WHU and NEW respectively) there is no doubt BHA are fortunate to have any clean sheets.

      Huddersfield: I have watched the highlights of the Burnley game, as well as the full 90 against Liverpool. Huddersfield performance exceeded expectations in both games and they were unlucky not to get at least one clean sheet. Going back to shot statistics, Huddersfield got the better of both teams (18 vs 6 and 13 vs 11 against BUR and LIV respectively). Both Vokes and Salah scored from half-chance, and neither team created much of anything else.

      Conclusion

      Based on all of the above, I think Schindler is a better option over the next 5 games. Both teams have a comparable set of fixtures with Huddersfield's extra home game at Brighton probably giving them a slight advantage there. In recent weeks, Huddersfield are streets ahead of Brighton in xGC despite having conceded more goals. Both have similar attacking potential, but Schindler is beating Duffy in Baseline BPS. If Huddersfield keep a clean sheet, Schindler will almost certainly get some bonus points. All factors considered, there is no reason Huddersfield can't match if not outperform Brighton over the next 5 games, at least defensively.

    23. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Kane and Obiang ➡ de Bruyne and Arnautovic? Yes / no?
      Or find a way to get Salah? (Have Mane and Robertson)

    24. Wheyyyy
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Still can't decide between the 4.5m or less defenders to join my team as a rotating 3rd/4th defender. Leaning towards Duffy but considering Jonny or Zabaleta. Any input would be greatly appreciated.

    25. Planet Head
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      As if anyone's gonna start Schindler