Scout Notes
6 July 2020 3158 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Southampton 1-0 Manchester City

  • Goal: Che Adams (£5.3m)
  • Assist: Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m)
  • Bonus: Alex McCarthy (£4.5m), Adams x3, Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.4m) x1

A wonder goal from Che Adams (£5.3m) and a defensive performance that was the bus-park version of 300 meets Dunkirk produced one of the more unlikely wins of this longest league season.

Short version: Southampton score after 16 minutes and Manchester City fail in their attempts to equalise.

Stats version: Only three City players (out of the 13 who play) don’t have a shot – and one of those is Ederson (£6.0m).

Fantasy version: Danny Ings (£7.3m) doesn’t score, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.8m) doesn’t start and the bonus points are shared out between three players with a combined ownership of 4.3% in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Full version…

City coach Pep Guardiola almost out-pepped himself by making six changes to his side, with benchings for the 52.2%-owned De Bruyne and Phil Foden (£5.4m), whose 12-point heroics against Liverpool in Gameweek 32+ had earned him nearly 200,000 new managers. The 12.2%-owned Kyle Walker (£5.6m) was another sent for an evening of social isolation behind the dug-outs.

As for Southampton, close to 100,000 had bought Ings on the back of his stellar Project Restart form – three goals and one assist – but the Saints frontman blanked.

One of the key reasons for that was he had just the one attempt all match. It was a great opportunity, on 44 minutes, that he blasted over from inside the area, and it was a rare one – Southampton’s only big chance of the match.

City had five such clear-cut opportunities.

Two came in a frantic few seconds of play in the first half that summed up the entire match.

Home goalkeeper Alex McCarthy (£4.5m) was forced into a fine save at his near post from a fierce Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) drive. The ball found its way out to Fernandinho (£5.1m), whose deflected shot hit the inside of the post but stayed out. Possession was recycled to the right flank, where a cross led to another McCarthy save, this time from a David Silva (£7.3m) header, before Sterling narrowly curled wide from the rebound.

All of that happened after the Saints went ahead.

Adams had been selected up front alongside Ings in a 4-4-2 formation that conceded the width of the pitch to the visitors while giving Southampton two players available for quick counters and the opportunity for a high press.

So when Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.2m) mis-controlled the ball in his own half, the home side had the personnel on hand to capitalise.

Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) put in a challenge and the ball fell to Adams. The striker had gone 29 matches without a goal for his new club. Such a run invites doubt and dark thoughts. But Adams didn’t stop to think when the ball arrived at his feet. Instead, he curled a wondrous first-time lob, from 39 yards, over Ederson and into the net.

To claim that Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side just parked the bus from then on in was not entirely true. They worked Ederson four times in total and broke with consistent purpose over the 90 minutes.

But their victory was definitely built on a backs-to-the-wall doggedness – and some slices of good fortune – that made for a one-sided affair involving pure anguish for the many Fantasy managers with City assets in their squads.

Both Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m and 10.3%) and Sterling, owned by 16.3%, endured a frustrating evening before being subbed off on 59 minutes, thus robbing their owners of another appearance point to soften the blow of their blanks.

Their replacements, Foden and De Bruyne, fared no better, although the Belgian’s work-rate was phenomenal – more of that in the Members Analysis section.

The two Silvas, David and Bernardo (£7.7m), mustered seven attempts between them, only to be repelled by a mix of McCarthy, any number of Southampton defenders throwing their bodies in the way and, occasionally, the duo’s own profligacy in front of goal.

But neither was as wasteful as Gabriel Jesus (£9.6m).

The Brazilian has managed only one assist since football returned. And he’s scored just the one goal since Gameweek 22.

He had plenty of chances to rectify that at St Mary’s Stadium. Six chances, to be exact, of which three were clear-cut opportunities, including a couple of close-range headers he really should have buried.

Still owned by just 4% in FPL, Jesus should really be a tempting differential option for City’s final fixtures, which will involve Newcastle at home and then four of the bottom six. But his woeful lack of form, and good ‘ol Pep Roulette, mean he remains strangely unattractive.

His future is not looking bright at present, and Guardiola, while describing yesterday’s game, could have been talking about what is still to come as well:

With ten Southampton players on the penalty spot, it’s difficult. I am so proud. I like the way we played but it’s not enough. It’s not a complaint of the players. Far from it. The game was a little bit of a repeat of how some games have gone this season – one mistake and they punished us. After, we created a lot, but as I say, they had ten players behind the ball.

Such a strong run of fixtures pretty much demands inclusion of key City assets in your Fantasy side, just with the usual caveats involving rotation.

As for the Saints, trips to in-form Everton and Manchester United are up next, which doesn’t exactly scream ‘buy buy buy!’.

But despite being safe for another season of top-flight football, the players have made it clear they’re not beach-ready just yet, with three wins from their last four matches.

They obviously relished the chance to stick it to the Man City yesterday, and they’ll need to keep channelling that doggedness over the next two matches before their schedule (BHA, bou, SHU) eases and the attacking points might come rather more easy again.


Southampton XI (4-4-2): McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Stephens, Bednarek, Bertrand; Armstrong (Smallbone 90′), Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Redmond; Ings, Adams (Long 70′).

Manchester City XI (4-1-2-3): Ederson; Cancelo, Garcia, Laporte, Zinchenko; Fernandinho; Silva, Bernardo; Mahrez (De Bruyne 59′), Jesus, Sterling (Foden 59′).

MEMBERS ANALYSIS

View the full player and team data from Southampton v Manchester City here

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 33+

3,158 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Red Rock
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Planning on bringing in Fernandez and KDB for free (I know very silly to not get them).

    I have Mahrez as well, would bringing in Foden as my 5th mid for a -4 be worth it or overkill?

    1. Slacker
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      It is Newcastle...

  2. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Stuart Armstrong at 5.2m is calling out to me!

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Do it

    2. Stoic
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Take a car. 5.2 miles is a lot to walk

      1. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        you should watch him play 😉

  3. Dybala10
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    DCL > Kane (-4) or just play Foden?

    1. sovietrockettes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      can you do both?

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Play Foden!

    3. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      play foden, but would also want kane

    4. JIMMY TUGGINS
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Think I'd get rid of DCL for -20 right now.

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        This! Even for Gayle ...

  4. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    People making fun of Kane and calling him defensive tonight, what if you found out he took double the amount of shots tonight, that Jimenez took all game against Arsenal.

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      No one cares what the Mexican Altidore does.

    2. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      2 over 1?

      1. Cheeto__Bandito
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Jimenez only taken 5 shots overall in games against bou, villa, arsenal

  5. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Activate BB?

    Pope(whm), Digne(SOU), Saiss(shu), Gordon(SOU)

    1. Coys96
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Yes

    2. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Gordon?

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Yeah he had the better fixture than Nkietah

  6. NULL-X-VOID
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Is Salah to Sterling, to have KDB Sterling Mahrez a good one?

    1. sovietrockettes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      I'm considering this now

  7. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Robertson or Van Dijk?

    1. Coys96
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      VVD

    2. Slacker
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      VVD

  8. Coys96
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    1FT, 0.4 ITB

    Foster
    Trent | Doherty | Diop
    Salah | KdB (C) | Mahrez | B.Fernandes | Martial
    Jimenez | Greenwood

    Henderson | Egan | Gayle | Lundstram

    A) Salah > Sterling / Son
    B) Salah & Gayle >> Kane & Foden (-4)
    C) Save FT

  9. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Is sterling, Mahrez and kdb too much?

    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      maybe not for Newcastle game but then any of those could be benched following game I.e. Sterling and Mahrez

      1. FF Dirtbag
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Is it worth the risk though... Hmm

    2. sovietrockettes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      not if you have a good bench

  10. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    OK to save FT this week and reasses next week?
    Bench look right? thanks all

    Pope
    Maguire Doherty Aurier TAA
    Salah Mahrez KDB (c) Bruno Martial
    Jimi
    Martinez DCL Nketiah Fernandez

    1. Coys96
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Think so or Salah out?

      1. Rinseboy
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Not sure for who. Surely Salah scores soon as well cant see him going too much longer without a goal even if its a tap in or pen

        1. FF Dirtbag
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 23 days ago

          Might be rotated...

  11. The VAR Team
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Managers still with the wildcard, when do you plan on using it?

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      38

  12. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Foden or Greenwood for this week

    1. The VAR Team
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Green

    2. Coys96
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Foden

    3. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Both

      1. Slacker
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        could definitely afford this

  13. Dannyb
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Dcl Jiminez and De Gea to Lloris Greenwood and Kane -4?

    1. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      yes

  14. FPL Theorist
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Score prediction for SHU-WOL?

    1. The VAR Team
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      0-1

    2. MOZIL
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      0-0

    3. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      agree tight game.

    4. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Wolves clean sheet please oh please

  15. cuppatea78
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Looking to bring in Saiss but not sure who to sell. Looking to play my Bemch Boost this week.

    Any ideas who to sell?
    A) O'Connell
    B) Lascelles

    Thanks

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Lascelles

  16. Bob B
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Holgate is injured?
    Forced to either play Lascelles or take a hit?

    A. Lascelles (mci)
    B. Digne (SOU) (-4)
    C. Azpi (cpl) (-4)

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Maybe c

  17. dshv
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Son for Pulisic or willian

    Captain?

    Kdb or bruno??

    1. sovietrockettes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      KDB - villa is tough to break down nowadays

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      KDB. Villa could be tough as they will have to defend for their lives. Newcastle I think will let this game go and rest a few

  18. Slacker
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Worth taking a hit to switch out Saka + Rashford --> Pulisic + Greenwood?

    Or just switch out Son for Pulisic?

  19. GW34+ Fixture and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    GW34+ fixtures and clean sheet odds

    GW34+ fixture odds can be found here:
    http://prntscr.com/tczzx8
    (Provided by Betbrain)

    GW33+ clean sheets
    MUN: 57% ❌
    LEI: 46% ✅
    MCY: 46% ❌
    CHE: 45% ✅
    LIV: 42% ✅
    SHU: 37% ❌
    BUR: 35% ❌
    BRI: 34% ✅
    WOL: 34% ❌
    TOT: 32% ✅
    WHU: 29% ❌
    NEW: 28% ❌
    ARS: 26% ✅
    NOR: 25% ❌
    EVE: 22% ❌
    CPL: 21% ❌
    WAT: 13% ❌
    AST: 11% ❌
    SOT: 11% ✅
    BOU: 9% ❌

    GW34+ clean sheet odds
    MCY: 58%
    MUN: 49%
    CHE: 47%
    WOL: 44%
    WAT: 43%
    LIV: 41%
    WHU: 38%
    TOT: 37%
    EVE: 34%
    ARS: 29%
    SHU: 29%
    BUR: 24%
    LEI: 23%
    SOT: 22%
    NOR: 19%
    BOU: 17%
    CPL: 16%
    BRI: 15%
    AST: 12%
    NEW: 7%
    (Provided by Betbrain)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Liverpool: 15
    Burnley: 13
    Manchester City: 13
    Leicester City: 12
    Sheffield United: 11
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: 11
    Arsenal: 10
    Crystal Palace: 10
    Manchester United: 10
    Newcastle United: 10
    Watford: 9
    Brighton and Hove Albion: 8
    Everton: 8
    Southampton: 8
    Chelsea: 7
    Tottenham Hotspur: 6
    West Ham United: 6
    Aston Villa: 5
    Norwich City: 5
    Bournemouth: 4

    Have a great GW34+ everyone, the fixtures are still coming thick and fast...

    G

    1. The VAR Team
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Cheers

    2. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Wow Burnley only 24

    3. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Look at those 5 misses
      United
      City
      Burnley
      Sheffield
      Wolves

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Just goes to show, even one as high as 57% (!) can fail...

        1. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 23 days ago

          Yeah; Most consistent teams all had a bad week sans Liverpool

          Can expect more CS points next week

        2. RedLightning
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          6 years, 23 days ago

          57% should be expected to fail more than 4 times out of 10.
          The top two (MUN and LEI) getting one sheet between them was pretty much as expected.

      2. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Anything under 45% that misses isn't really a shock imo...

      3. RedLightning
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        The combined percentages of these five plus Leicester, Chelsea, Liverpool and Brighton and Spurs was 408%, so 5 hits and 5 misses from these 10 was actually one hit better than the odds forecast.

    4. tuvok
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Thanks G Whizz!

    5. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Thanks for this as always!

    6. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      thanks

  20. Vazza
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Who to bench next week?

    A. Foden
    B. Jimenez

    1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      B

    2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Hi mate!! I’m still on Jiménez haha

      1. Vazza
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        Haha.. I’m clearly feeling quite bored. Lol. How many points did you end up on this gameweek. I finished on 65.

        1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 23 days ago

          67 mate, After all my thinking transfer wise I went for Lundstram to Ben Mee!! Then we find out before the match yesterday he’s picked up a thigh problem, was going to get Vardy and Van Dijk in for Aubameyang and Lundstram for a hit but didn’t coz I didn’t want to go into a week with no Pool attack already -4 down, but it would have worked out handsomely if I’d made those moves!!

          1. Vazza
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 23 days ago

            If Aubameyang had scored a brace, the story would have been different. So these things happen. Luckily, the next gameweek starts from tomorrow so this would soon be history.

            1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 23 days ago

              Absolutely mate, and my predictions for all the matches played out, I predicted Arsenal would score at Wolves, I also thought Vardy would score and also thought Villa would be a much tougher test for Pool than people thought hence why I didn’t get Salah in and captained Martial, Aubameyang brace tmoz will be lovely then I’m moving him to Vardy for Bournemouth game

              1. Vazza
                • 6 Years
                6 years, 23 days ago

                I have Son for the Bournemouth game who will be moved on for Sterling the next gameweek (for free). Can’t wait. Haha

                1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
                  • 8 Years
                  6 years, 23 days ago

                  Yessss!! A good position to be in there Mate!!! Absolutely!!

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      B

    4. sovietrockettes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Jimenez easily

    5. Coys96
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      B

  21. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Dcl has Southampton, Jimmy has arsenal. Crazy to still hope they might get something?
    Would be a - 4 to get greenwood.
    Other options are:
    A) dcl to ings
    B) Jimmy to vardy
    What do you think?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Sorry Jimmy has shu

  22. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Is Digne likely to start on Thursday too despite the short turnaround?

    Thanks

  23. pol
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Who to bench:

    A- greenwood (avl)
    B- Jimenez (shu)
    C- DCL (SOU)
    D- Pulisic (cry)

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      C

    2. Slacker
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      DCL

    3. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      The Donkey

  24. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Best moves here with 1Ft and 0.2m

    Ddg
    Taa • Doherty • Holgate
    KDB • Salah • Bruno • Pulisic
    Rashford • Dcl • Jimmy

    A: DCL + Rashford > Kane + Greenwood (-4)
    B: Salah + Jimmy >> Mahrez + Kane (-4)
    C: Save FT and take a hit next gw to get either (or both) martial and greenwood by taking out Ddg
    D: Something else

  25. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Ballers, G2G?

    Pope
    Aurier, TAA, Doherty
    Pulisic, Mane, (K)DB, Bruno, Martial
    Jiminez, Greenwood

    Button, DCL, Taylor, Lascelles

    Right Bench?

    1. Rider on the Storm
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Very strong team. Bench us ok

  26. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Mendy good punt?

    1. Rider on the Storm
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Yes

  27. Rider on the Storm
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    How was Calvert Lewin tonite?

    1. trinzoo
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Poor

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      He took a shot!!!

    3. sandman58
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Rubbish...as was the whole Everton team

    4. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Stats will tell the whole story.

  28. sandman58
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    OMG.. Sterling or Salah????

    1. Slacker
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      Sterling. Expecting a reaction after the southampton game

  29. Pukki Party
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Thoughts here?

    1ft 0.1itb

    DDG
    TAA Boly Stevens
    Salah KdB Mahrez Foden
    Rashford Jimenez Origi

    Martinez Mount Soyuncu Fernandez

    A) Origi to Greenwood
    B) Mahrez to Martial
    C) Mahrez, Fernandez to Fernandes, Kiko -4
    D) Origi, Stevens to Greenwood, Digne -4

    1. sandman58
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 23 days ago

      U need Bruno

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 23 days ago

        So C? Any other way to get him in?

  30. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 23 days ago

    Wc

    Foster Martinez (fixtures good for both, not sure about else)
    Taa Awb Aurier Boly Stephens
    Salah Bruno Kdb Mahrez Foden
    Vardy Ings Greenwood

    Mahrez or Son? Anything else to improve?