Spot the Differential
11 September 2020 2172 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

Best players by position:

GET IN-GAME DATA AT LIVE FPL

Check your own rank and in-play FPL stats on LiveFPL.net every Gameweek

2,172 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anything you'd change here?

    McCarthy
    TAA Robbo James
    Salah Auba ASM Soucek
    Ings Jimenez DCL

    Steer Mitchell Taylor Stephens

    0.5m itb to do Jimenez to Martial in week 2

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Missing Spurs coverage

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Yeah I'm considering James to Davies, thanks

        1. Marmalade Forest
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Then you’d have “no Chelsea coverage”

          1. panda07
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            6 years, 14 days ago

            lol true

          2. DRIZ ✅
            • 14 Years
            6 years, 14 days ago

            Agree - need Spurs/Chelsea Coverage

    2. Ninjaa
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Looks good, not fussed on DCL

      1. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks, I'm a bit unsure of him myself

  2. LewanGOALski
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    McCarthy - 4.0
    TAA - Digne - Tierney - C.Taylor - Mitchell
    Salah - Auba - JWP - Soucek - Bissouma
    Werner - Mitrovic - Ings

    bank: 0.5 for Ings ➡ Martial in GW2

    Defence too heavy or will do?

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      feel like it is fine, you can switch between 433 and 343 if necessary. Not a big fan of Digne though, will lsoe set piece to J.Rod

  3. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Is Keinan Davis A regular starter?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      No

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      No

    3. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Nope

    4. Jullepuu
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Might not play one minute but probably comes off the bench once in a while

    5. Marmalade Forest
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Even less so with Ollie Watkins around

  4. rozzo
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Can anybody remember what Spurs clean sheet ratio was towards the end of last season?

    More specifically after Jose took over?

    Thanks

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      1 in 3

  5. Muhammed Wael
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Is perez lei city nice choice?!

  6. Titchmalpas
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Wife and kids out tonight so a night of tinkering for me I thinks ...(78 transfers later, still not happy...)

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I can relate to that!

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      ‘tinkering’ good metaphor sir

      1. Titchmalpas
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        You think I have the time or desire for that the day before the season starts??????

        You're probably right.

    3. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Pot Noodle and a Tinker

  7. AnyoneButLiverpool
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Can someone please offer any advice? This is only my 2nd year playing so any advice would be really great.

    McCarthy Nyland
    TAA Dier Justin Ayling Mitchell
    Auba Mane Pereira ASM Bissouma
    Kane Werner Adams

    1. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Prefer Vardy over Kane personally because Spurs are not very attacking. And you want Ferguson over Mitchell as a long term plan.

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Not interested in Kane just now. Looks knackered

    3. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      GTG

  8. Kante Touch This
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Son vs Havertz?

    1. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      H

      1. Kante Touch This
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks, enables me to change Soucek to Fraser too!

  9. PocketZola
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone care to take a guess at dong magnus's team?

  10. Many_Chickens
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on this team? Much appreciated =)

    Ryan (Steer)
    TAA | Egan | AWP (Ayling/mitchel)
    Auba | Salah | Alli | JWP (Soucek)
    Vardy | DCL | Mitrović


    I don't know about Werner....

  11. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Callum Wilson the best max6.5 fwd? Why / why not?

    I'm currently on him - proven PL player in an improving NEW side (with Fraser too!) and decent fixtures...

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Two of his favoured opponents are West Ham and Brighton

      1. FPL Scoop
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Sorted then! See lots of Mitro / Adams love but not much for wilson...

        1. Garlana
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          0.5m difference can be used to greater affect in defence imo.

    2. Jullepuu
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Wood is better imo but doesn't play gw1

      1. FPL Scoop
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        EZ swap

    3. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Yeah although I started with him last season and it went very very badly.

      1. Brosstan
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        He cost 8.0 then and it really didn't go that badly for the first 8 or so game weeks

  12. pablo discobar
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    GK Mccarthy
    DEF TAA, Dier, Justin,
    MID Son, Salah, Soucek, Auba
    FWD Wilson, Werner, Mitrovic

    Subs (GK Villa 4) Lascalles, Bissouma, Taylor

    GW2 -4 either Salah to KDB or Werner to Martial + Son to Bruno

    GW3 Auba to Salah/Mane or KDB

    Pretty set on that?!

  13. Mr_Barbs
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Best option considering I have:

    Mitchell, TAA, Robbo, Vinagre
    Salah, Auba, Soucek, Bassouma
    Werner, Mitrovic

    A) Buur, Havertz, Wilson

    B) KWP, Saint-Maximin, Martial

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

      1. Mr_Barbs
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks.

    2. Kante Touch This
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Is Buur a likely starter? haven't heard much about him

      1. Mr_Barbs
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        I don't think so, that's the worry! I believe its only him or Traore available to play that position currently.

  14. Smokey_Lowkey
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    McCarthy
    TAA Justin Doherty
    ASM Auba Salah (c) Alli Soucek
    Werner Ings

    Subs: Nyland Mitchell Taylor Brewster

    0 ITB

    GTG?

  15. Strchld
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Would you pick ASM or Adams?

    I think If Adams would be nailed, its easy call.

    1. Mr_Barbs
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I'd pick ASM

  16. Budgies
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts please....

    McCarthy
    TAA, Justin, Saiss
    Aub, Salah, ASM, Havertz
    Werner, Mitro, DCL

    (Nyland, Bissouma, Mitchell, W Bissaka)

  17. Muhammed Wael
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Doherty or davies?!

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      D

    2. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      This! Absolutely no idea if either will start?

  18. anish10
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Foden a good option?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      If he behaves

    2. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I've got him. Cheap enough that the BGW1 doesn't hurt and easily replaced if he doesn't get the minutes

  19. Dire Souffle
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Down to my last two decisions, for the first few game weeks would you have:

    1. Reece James or Saiss

    2. Mount or Barnes

    1. Ron_Swanson
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      S&B

  20. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Areola (FUL) set and forget over Ryan? Quality keeper, surprised that Fulham got him and he's only 4.5!

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Only 4.5 because of Fulham and their defence.

    2. Nightcrawler
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      U could have allison in goal for fulham and they still wouldnt keep clean sheets

    3. JelliedSpark968
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      He's a good keeper, but it's still Fulham. I am considering Areola but will probably go with Ryan in the end

  21. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    How important is ownership at this stage? Is it of more importance now or later in the season?

    Werner for example, is owned by half of teams already.

    Is going without too big a risk? You could conceivably fall behind 2.5million players if he hauls.

    Or should you ignore ownership and play your own game?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      C

    2. JelliedSpark968
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      There have been players that I've picked because of their ownership, but it shouldn't ever be purely about that. I was deciding between Werner and Vardy, and ownership was an important point to me, but it shouldn't be the deciding factor.

      1. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Funny, you mention Vardy/Werner. Thats one dilemma I'm mulling over just now.

        Knowing Werner is new to the league, I'm more tempted to go with the Premier League proven Vardy. But 48%+ ownership is pretty frightening.

        I can't decide how much importance I should give that ownership percentage.

    3. FPL Theorist
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      And if he blanks, you'll gain on 2.5 million players. You can't focus only on the negative.

      1. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thats true. Is it an unnecessary risk though?

    4. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Pick the players you think will score the most points.

      EO is not important in GW1

  22. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    For week 1 only:

    A) Ings Alli Noble

    B) Mitrovic Son Bowen

    1. JelliedSpark968
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B

  23. Threat Level Midnight
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    My head hurts

    1. PocketZola
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Have a kit kat and get back at it son

  24. PocketZola
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Antonio or adams?

    Im leaning towards Antonio despite the bad fixtures.

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Antonio here as well.

      Let's do this!

  25. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Ings or Havertz... Still cant decide

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      The one who is proven

    2. PocketZola
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      adams is cheaper and pulisic could do better than havertz

    3. AuFeld
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Ings.

  26. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    RMT my team plz

    Mccarthy
    TAA Justin Davies
    AUBA Salah(C) ASM Soucek
    Kane (VC)Vardy DCL
    Nyland Johnson Bissouma Mitchell

  27. Azathoth
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Tanganga,threat to anyone of Spurs defs(who r considered nailed)?

  28. sirmorbach
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    How likely to start are (a) Doherty and (b) Havertz?

    1. AuFeld
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I think both are likely to start.

  29. Demi
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Sorry for the spam, 1 spot left to fill in my league this season. £80 buy in. Email demil1990@hotmail.co.uk if interested. cheers

  30. Reza14
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Any comment/thought is much appreciated:

    ________________________
    Nyland,McCarthy

    Arnold, Justin, Pieters, Lascelles, Mitchell

    Salah, Aubameyang, Son, Doucoure, Bissouma

    Werner, Mitrovic, Wilson
    ________________________
    1.5 in the bank

    1. JelliedSpark968
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Are you saving 1.5 to upgrade Son to Bruno? Because I don't think Son is a good pick for just this week

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Why not?

      2. Reza14
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Most likely I'm upgrading him to Bruno/Martial next week.